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Air Warfare Centre
Operational Analysis Element
Alan Cowdale
Senior Scientific Adviser
RAF Waddington
Operational Analysis Support to
RAF During Operation TELIC
Purpose
Provision of Timely,
Integrated Mission Support
at the
Operational,
Tactical & Technical
Levels of Warfare.
SenSciAdv TOR
 ‘…
responsible for conducting studies
and providing Operational Analysis and
scientific advice to CinC STC and his
staff on any issue which affects the
conduct of Air Operations.’
Operation Analysis
 Support
to Operations
 Prepare to Support Operations
–
–
–
staff training
model development
database construction
OAE Staffing
 NCHQ
- Qatar
OAE Staffing
 NCHQ
- Qatar
 ACHQ - PSAB Saudi Arabia
ACHQ Questions
OAE Staffing
 NCHQ
- Qatar
 ACHQ - PSAB Saudi Arabia
 CFACC - PSAB Saudi Arabia
Operational Objective Achievement Indicators
A.
M
B.
L
C.
M
D.
H
E.
L
40%
80%
40%
80%
40%
80%
40%
80%
40%
80%
CFACHQ
 Strategy
to Task Analysis
 Counter Air
– Counter IADS
 destroy
–
–
–
–
C2 nodes
FOE
physical destruction of key nodes
DE
IADS unable to coordinate defence
MOE1 % of IADS nodes destroyed
MOE2 no loss of aircraft to IADS
OAE Staffing
 NCHQ
- Qatar
 ACHQ - PSAB Saudi Arabia
 Squadron Support
– Ali Al Salem - Tornado GR4
– Al Udied - Tornado GR4
– Al Jabr - Harrier GR7
DOB Questions
Segments
OAE Outputs
 UK
–
–
–
–
–
performance database
ATO
mission reports
imagery
TIALD video
interview
 airframe
database
OAE Staffing
 NCHQ
- Qatar
 ACHQ - PSAB Saudi Arabia
 Squadron Support
– Ali Al Salem - Tornado GR4
– Al Udied - Tornado GR4
– Al Jabr - Harrier GR7
 PJHQ
– Storm Shadow
OAE Staffing
 NCHQ
- Qatar
 ACHQ - PSAB Saudi Arabia
 Squadron Support
– Ali Al Salem - Tornado GR4
– Al Udied - Tornado GR4
– Al Jabr - Harrier GR7
 PJHQ
– Storm Shadow
 Home
Team
OAE Staffing
 NCHQ
- Qatar
 ACHQ - PSAB Saudi Arabia
 Squadron Support
 PJHQ
 Home Team
– IMS
Home Team Questions
Post Conflict
Post Conflict
 Support
to Lessons Identified
 Campaign Analysis
 Aircrew Questionnaire
 Coalition Weapon Effectiveness Team
Al Taji IOC
Lessons
Lessons
 Need
to be ready
– staff training
– tools
– data
 Need
connectivity
– internally
– externally
Mission
“To determine what the user wants, what he
ought to want, what he gets, what he ought to
get; and what he ought to have and do in order
to get what he ought to want out of what he
gets.”
Robert Watson-Watt 1942