Transcript Slide 1
Effective Nutrient Management Decisions … Looking Beyond the Next Harvest Paul Fixen, Potash & Phosphate Institute Fernando Garcia, INPOFOS www.inpofos.org www.ppi-ppic.org AAPRESID Congress, 2006 Africa, May 2006… Parts of Africa burn each year because of the importance of crop nutrients Earth Observatory - NASA Southern Congo Basin Ballard-Tremeer, 2006 Photo by Mike Braby Much at stake At least 30-50% of crop yield is attributable to commercial fertilizer nutrients Stewart et al., 2005 Science has never had a more complete set of “knowledge nuggets”. Industry has never had a more impressive set of technologies. Adsorption Index (mg kg-1) 0 150 300 450 600 750 900 1050 0 150 300 450 600 750 900 1050 0.0 Soil Depth (m) 0.2 Wright 0.4 The challenge: 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 Delivering science and technology to the farm such that it can be integrated in support of decision making No Manure 1.4 1.6 Manure No N or P 135 N + 0 P 135 N + 80 P No N or P 135 N + 0 P 135 N + 80 P 1.8 Highly P fixing soil Site factors in nutrient management decisions Crop - yield potential, value, tissue levels, leaf color, cultural practices Soil - soil nutrient supply indexes, other properties Grower - land tenure, capital supply, opportunity costs, objectives Nutrient inputs - available commercial forms, wastes, costs Water quality - set back restrictions, ground water regulations Climate - probabilities for relevant events (for models) Weather - for real-time model input Technology - what’s available and appropriate Typical nutrient management decision process Possible site factors Crop Soil Grower Nutrient inputs Water quality Climate Weather Technology Decision support Crop demand Soil supply Input efficiency Economics Environmental Grower/Owner Focus today will be on factors having long-term consequences Fixen, 2005 Recommended rates Event probability Economic return Environmental impact Application timing Etc. Output Decision Action Outcome Feedback loop Effective Nutrient Management Decisions … Looking Beyond the Next Harvest Efficiency vs. effectiveness Efficiency vs. effectiveness: a single-season crop response example Greatest effectiveness Yield response Lowest efficiency effectiveness Greatest efficiency Lowest Applied P Effectiveness depends on how well the goals of nutrient management are met Short-term goals Maximize net returns to fertilizer investments Eliminate deficiencies Improve effectiveness of other inputs Meet short-term production goals Long-term goals Improve soil productivity Increase land value Maximize effectiveness of other inputs Meet long-term production goals Short term vs long term goals A challenge: avoid confusing true gains in system level efficiency with practices that simply borrow from future productivity Case studies in Dobermann et al., 2005: Soybeans in Hawaii (P) Rice in Philippines (P&K) Cotton in California (K) Maize in Nebraska (N) N use efficiency in irrigated maize in Nebraska with recommended or intensive management Recommended: 7,500 p/ha; soil test-based fertilizer rates; 2 N splits. Intensive: 10,500 p/ha; higher fertilizer rates; 4 N splits + fall N on residue. 4-year averages Maize yield, t/ha Avg. Fertilizer N rate, kg/ha N removed in grain, kg/ha Rec. 14.0 195 167 Int. 15.8 305 198 Partial factor prod., kg grain/kg N applied Removal efficiency, % 72 86 52 65 Measured change in soil organic N, kg/ha/yr -58 +55 (N removal + change in soil N)/N applied, % 56 83 System level efficiency Dobermann et al., 2005 Effective Nutrient Management Decisions … Looking Beyond the Next Harvest Soil organic matter Crop removal and P budgets Organic C levels in soils of the northern Pampas since beginning of agriculture (Argiudolls) Carbon (t/ha) 80 60 40 43% of original 20 y = -6,4 Ln(x) + 70 2 R = 0,71 0 0 30 60 90 120 Years under cropping Source: Alvarez y Steinbach (2006) from data of Andriulo and Cordone (1998) Nutrient Depletion in the Pampean Region Typic Argiudoll - Arroyo Dulce Series Original = Undisturbed for at least the last 18 years Cropped = 30 years of annual cropping (20 years soybeans) Property Organic matter (%) pH Total Nitrogen (g/kg) Bray P (mg/kg) Exch. Ca (cmol/kg) Exch. Mg (cmol/kg) Exch. K (cmol/kg) Zinc (mg/kg) Copper (mg/kg) Boron (mg/kg) Original 5.3 6.2 2.8 123.5 10.1 2.4 2.3 3.9 3.5 0.77 Cropped 3.5 6.0 1.9 14.9 10.0 1.9 1.3 1.9 2.4 0.28 66% of original Urricarriet y Lavado, 1997 Simulated total soil C changes for the central U.S. Corn Belt (Lal et al., 1998) 61% of 1907 (0-20-cm depth) Litter fall & root production has been less than decay … So what? Janzen, 2006 Hypothetical hydroelectric plant Crop residues Soil organic matter Biological benefits O.M. decay Opening valve B temporarily increases power generation, but at the expense of water storage. Closing valve B increases water stored, but reduces power generation. Increasing both storage and power requires an increase in water inflow. Janzen, 2006 Organic C evolution during 40 years Rotations Study INIA La Estanzuela (Uruguay) 3.0 COrganic orgánico C (%) 2.5 2.0 1.5 S1 S2 S5 S7 1.0 0.5 0.0 1958 1968 1978 1988 1998 2008 Years Años S1: Continuous row cropping without fertilization S2: Continuous row cropping with fertilization S5: 50% row cropping 50% pastures S7: 66% row cropping 33% pastures Source: A. Morón (2003) Influence of 45 years of N and P fertilization of irrigated maize on soil organic matter content Soil organic matter, % 2.8 0-15 cm Bray P-1 ppm 2.6 26 2.4 5 2.2 Tribune, KS 2 0 50 100 150 Fertilizer N, kg/ha Schlegel, 2006 200 250 Soil carbon in 0-7.5 cm soil depth as a function of N and P fertilizer rates. 77 kg P2O5/ha No P fertilizer 0 Halvorson and Reule, 1999 22 45 67 90 112 135 157 179 N fertilizer rate, kg/ha Insufficient P leads to reduced C sequestration … bad for soils, bad for climate Root carbon costs of bean genotypes Low P plants: Lose more C through root respiration Have increased root exudation of C Often have increased physiological C costs P-inefficient genotypes Lynch and Ho, 2005 P-efficient genotypes Crop nutrient removal Provides a basic reference point for evaluating impact of current practices on soil fertility Most effective when combined with soil test information Negative budgets reduce soil test P Bray P-1 (ppm) 50 45 40 35 147 Kg P in 1975 30 25 20 15 10 0 P in 1975 19 75 19 76 19 77 19 78 19 79 19 80 19 81 19 82 19 83 19 84 19 85 19 86 19 87 19 88 19 89 5 0 Data source: Webb et al., 1992 (Iowa) Average P use on corn and soybeans in the U.S. relative to crop removal 60.0 Fert. + Manure P P2O5 , kg/ha 50.0 40.0 Use 30.0 Removal 20.0 10.0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Fixen and Murrell, 2002 Percent of samples testing medium or below in P in the Corn Belt. 55 R2 = 0.72 Medium or below , % 50 45 40 35 Removal < Use 30 1970 1975 Fixen and Murrell, 2002 1980 Removal > Use 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 U.S. Corn Belt states: P application/removal ratios for field crops Fert use/rem. 0.90 0.80 0.70 1.00 IL IN IA MN (Fert. + manure use)/rem. 1.00 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 2000 2001 After Murrell, 2006. 2002 2003 2004 2005 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 2000 Median soil P, ppm IL 36 IN 29 IA 25 MN 18 IL IN IA MN 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 A closer look at the state of Illinois BC AB MB SK ON PQ PEI WA NB ME MT ND NS MN OR VT ID NY WI SD MI WY IA PA NE NV IL IN MD UT VA MO KS KY NC AZ DE WV CO CA NJ OH TN OK NM AR SC MS TX AL GA LA FL P budget for the state of Illinois by watershed State total, million lbs P2O5 + Applied fertilizer (2005) 613 + Recoverable manure (1997) 77 - Crop removal (2005) 1,075 Net budget -385 Use to removal ratio 0.64 Median Bray P-1 level for 2005 crop = 36 ppm Removal and application of nutrients in wheat, corn, soybean, and sunflower 2004/2005 Season NPKS removal Girasol Soja Trigo Maíz 902 1500 1200 900 600 391 300 240 0 1800 thousand ton thousand ton 1800 1836 NPKS appication 1500 1200 900 600 522 165 300 0 N P K S N P 17 33 K S In the 2004/05 season, application of N, P, K, and S accounted for 28%, 42%, 2% y 13% of the N, P, K, and S removed, in corn, wheat, soybean, and sunflower Argentina: Application/Removal Ratios for N, P, K and S in field crops Application/Removal ratio 0.5 P 0.4 0.3 N 0.2 S 0.1 K 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Year The ratios are increasing by 1.2%, 2.1%, 0.1%, and 1.1% per year for N, P, K, and S, respectively P balance for grain crops Estimated for 2002/03 kg/ha Elaborated from data of Fundación Producir Conservando Maps developed with ArcView ® Available P in soils of the Western pampas 35 Bray P (ppm) 30 25 20 y = -0.40x + 814.30 R = 0.42 2 15 n=1847 10 5 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Source: Díaz-Zorita, Duarte & Asoc. (2005) Fertilizing the system: Replenishing N, P, and S … economic results Averages of 5 trials of the Nutrition Network CREA Southern Santa Fe Rotation C-W/S – 6 years (3 cycles of the rotation) U$/ha 1800 1507 1200 1090 600 417 0 Fertilizer cost Gross income Gross margin Treatments compared were check and NPS (100% replenishment) Grain prices (U$/t) Corn: 80 – Wheat: 90 – Soybean: 165 Nutrient prices (U$/t) Urea: 380 – MAP: 380 – Calcium sulfate: 150 Average annual rates 126 kg N + 36 kg P + 21 kg S Source: CREA Sur de Santa Fe-INPOFOS-ASP Residual effects of fertilization Grain yield (kg/ha) Experiment El Fortín – Gral. Arenales (Buenos Aires) Nutrition Network CREA Southern Santa Fe 2004/05 and 2005/06 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 8288 Check between 2000 and 2003 NPS between 2000 and 2003 7257 5180 2976 Wheat 2004 2715 3274 Soybean 2004/05 Corn 2005/06 Wheat/soybean 2004/05: All fertilized with 86 kg N + 27 kg P + 10 kg S Corn 2005/06: All fertilized with 88 kg N + 26 kg P + 10 kg S Source: CREA Sur de Santa Fe-INPOFOS-ASP 5.4 35-48 Yield, t/ha 4.9 “On impoverished soils (<10 ppm P) even the largest fresh applications of broadcast P did not raise yields to those achieved on enriched soils (>25 ppm P) in the absence of fresh phosphate.” 23 4.3 6 3.8 A.E. Johnston, 1986 Olsen P 6 ppm 23 ppm 3.2 35 ppm 2.7 48 ppm * 0 56 112 168 Applied P2O5, kg/ha 224 Yields were higher where soil P was increased with an initial broadcast application compared to annual banding at a lower soil P level Relative yield, percent of maximum 110 Olsen soil test at end of 5-yr: 15 ppm 100 90 Amount broadcast initially, kg P ha-1 80 0 5 ppm 80 70 5-yr averages 60 0 5 10 15 20 Annual rate of seed placed P (kg P ha-1) Wager et al., 1986 Effects of soybean expansion on the soil system Soybeans dominate the rotation (soybean monoculture) Low C input to the system Corn, wheat or other crops are not profitable SOM decreases Field at Southeastern Cordoba under continuous soybean Biological, chemical and physical soil properties are affected Soil profile showing compacted zones (red marks) at 10-15 cm Leased land in Argentina Estimated that 50% of cropped land in Pampas is leased Recent survey of 131 farmers in southern Santa Fe province (central Pampas) on % of cropped land leased Farms < 200 ha: 28% leased Farms > 200 ha: 60% leased (Source: Cloquell et al., 2005) Percent of land in farms rented or leased in 2002 in the U.S. U.S. 28.4% Impact of duration of land use and capital supply on target Bray P-1 soil test levels Target soil test levels for the following durations of land use (yr.) Capital 1 4 More than 8 -------------- (mg P kg-1) -------------Very limited 4 14 20 Limited 6 16 21 Available 9 18 22 Based on PKMAN modeling approach with a visual interpretation of Iowa State Univ. calibration data for maize and soybean Summary Effective nutrient management should consider numerous site-specific factors, some of which have long-term consequences Sustainable management involves finding a balance between crop residue addition and the benefits of organic matter decay Appropriate nutrient management can supply more crop residue to the soil and increase system C retention P removal exceeds use in the Pampas and the U.S. Corn Belt Soil testing can help predict when deficit budgets will reduce productivity and profitability Rented land is common in the Pampas and the U.S. Corn Belt and can serve as a deterrent to increasing soil productivity There is a need for leases that equitably share the short-term costs of practices that return long-term benefits The Argentine Pampas and the U.S. Corn Belt have similarities in characteristics and challenges to long-term sustainability Continued cooperative sharing of research results should help meet those challenges and help us all look … beyond the next harvest Effective Nutrient Management Decisions … Looking Beyond the Next Harvest