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Automatically Balancing Intersection Volumes in A Highway Network 12th 12th thTRB Conference on Transportation Planning Applications TRB 12 Conference TRB Conference on Transportation on Transportation Planning Planning Applications Applications 12th TRB Conference May on Transportation 17-21, 2009 Planning Applications May 17-21, May 17-21, 2009 2009 May 2009Rahman Presenters: Jin Ren17-21, and Aziz Presenters: Presenters: Jin Ren Jinand Ren Aziz andRahman Aziz Rahman Presenters: Jin Ren and Aziz Rahman Presentation Outline Need for Balanced Volumes Current Balancing Techniques New Automatic Balancing Techniques Formation of Intersection Turn Matrix Doubly Constrained Method Successive Averaging or Maximizing and Iterative Balancing Statistical Comparisons of Methods Conclusion Need for Balanced Volumes Existing base highway network simulation in Synchro and VISSIM Unbalanced upstream and downstream post-processed future flow Build simulation confidence in audience Ensure simulation model run results not wacky Take into account mid-block driveway traffic in simulation Current Balancing Techniques 1. Manual Adjustment: match the volumes departing one intersection to those arriving at the downstream intersection, or vice versa 2. EMME Demand Adjustments: create a trip table and run traffic assignment based on intersection volumes 3. VISUM T-Flow Fuzzy Technique: create a trip table to emulate intersection turning volumes Pros and Cons of Each Technique 1. Manual Adjustment: a) uses a simple spreadsheet or Synchro b) time-consuming if numerous balancing iterations required 2. VISUM T-Flow Fuzzy Technique: emulate turns with balanced volumes, but intrazonal traffic causes turning volume losses T-Flow Fuzzy Example 1 T-Flow Fuzzy Example 2 Why Introduce New Methods? Develop a statistically sound technique Reduce labor time on balancing Generate more accurate turning volumes Create an automatic process which is user-friendly and affordable Build confidence in simulation with the balanced volumes New Automatic Balancing Techniques Successive Averaging/Iterative Balancing: iteratively average downstream and upstream link volumes and then balance intersections Successive Maximizing/Iterative Balancing: iteratively maximize downstream and upstream link volumes and then balance intersections Formation of Intersection Turn Matrix Doubly Constrained Balancing Method -Factors for origins (in) and destinations (out) -Bi-Proportional Algorithm Formula: Tij aib j tij Algorithm assumption: target target O D i j i j tij bj ai Schematics to Intersection Balancing t ij int ai bj 1 Tij old ai new b j Tij new ai old b j Final tij Yes %Err < 0.001 No Equations for Intersection Balancing Doubly constrained: Tij aib j tij mth Iteration: Row wise ai m O target,i * a im 1 bj bj m Oestimate,i m 1 Oestimate,i Otarget,i % Errori Otarget,i i mth Iteration: Column wise ai ai Dt arg et , j * b mj 1 m bj Destimate, j m m % Errorj j Destimate, j Dtarget, j Dtarget, j Successive Averaging or Maximizing and Iterative Balancing Diagram Non Balanced Vol. Avg. Link level In & Out Vol. Form Intersection Turns Matrix New Turn Vol. Balance Intersection In & Out Vol. Apply Doubly Constrained for Turns Vol. Adjustment Calculate %Error Yes %Error<0.001? Balanced Vol No Yes % Error Change? No Layout Unbalanced Intersection Volumes Int 4 Int 5 Average Current Average 1333 out 1192 in 0 out 0 1336 1189 Average Current Desired 0 in 0 Average Current 804 882 in out Average 805 881 360 586 out in 360 587 OUT= 2579 IN= 2579 OUT= 2574 In= 2583 Current Desired 828 in 1044 out Average 829 1043 212 375 out in 211 375 OUT= 2318 IN= 2318 OUT= 2316 In= 2321 Int 15 Average Current 360 587 in out 359 588 101 136 Average Current Desired 806 879 Average Int 14 Average 101 out 136 in Average 805 out 881 in 236 256 in out 236 256 Average Current 271 174 in out Average 271 174 Average 178 out 273 in 142 239 out in 142 239 OUT= 1005 IN= 1005 OUT= 1004 In= 1006 178 273 Average Current Desired 211 375 in out 211 376 219 150 in out Average 219 150 18 19 out in 18 19 OUT= 722 IN= 722 OUT= 722 In= 722 Assumption: Averaging in/out link volumes are supposed to be equal. Doubly Constrained Balancing Int 4 Int 5 Current Arrival (in) and Departure (out) Current Arrival (in) and Departure (out) To: From: west west 0 north 0 east 787.75 south 548.19 Current exiting 1335.9 Desired exiting 1333 GF 1 Current Desired north east southEnteringEntering GF From: 0 844.65 344.54 1189.2 1191.8 1.00 west 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 north 0 0 15.803 803.56 804.95 1.00 east 0 37.59 0 585.78 586.66 1.00 south 0 882.24 360.35 2578.5 2583.4 IN Current exiting 0 880.73 359.82 2573.5 2578.5 0.9981 Desired exiting 1 1 1 OUT 1.0019 GF To: west 0 101.05 558.76 146.53 806.35 804.95 1 north 69.937 0 162.4 23.737 256.07 256.07 1 east 723.17 116.42 0 204.8 1044.4 1043.1 1 Int 14 Int 15 Current Arrival (in) and Departure (out) Current Arrival (in) and Departure (out) From: west north east south Current exiting Desired exiting GF To: west 0 80.182 12.448 8.6253 101.26 101.26 1 north 115.41 0 250.37 221.76 587.54 586.66 1 east 12.377 153.04 0 8.4569 173.87 173.87 1 Current Desired southEnteringEntering GF From: 8.1164 135.9 135.9 1.00 west 126.06 359.28 359.82 1.00 north 8.0035 270.83 270.83 1.00 east 0 238.84 238.98 1.00 south 142.18 1004.9 1005.5 IN Current exiting 142.1 1003.9 1004.7 0.9992 Desired exiting 1 OUT 1.0008 GF To: west 0 118.59 51.958 7.8212 178.37 178.37 1 north 212.98 0 159.52 3.2219 375.73 375.4 1 east 52.106 90.166 0 7.8825 150.16 150.16 1 Current Desired southEnteringEntering GF 86.097 879.21 880.73 1.00 18.877 236.35 236.35 1.00 106.64 827.8 828.82 1.00 0 375.07 375.4 1.00 211.61 2318.4 2321.3 IN 211.43 2315.6 2318.4 0.9988 1 OUT 1.0012 Current Desired southEnteringEntering GF 7.7647 272.85 272.85 1.00 2.4842 211.24 211.43 1.00 7.8033 219.28 219.28 1.00 0 18.926 18.929 1.00 18.052 722.31 722.49 IN 18.049 721.98 722.23 0.9996 1 OUT 1.0004 Method: doubly constrained intersection arrivals and departures Example 1 Balancing Statistics T-Flow Fuzzy Technique Successive Average Technique Example 2 Balancing Statistics T-Flow Fuzzy Technique Successive Average Technique Statistical Comparisons TESTS R2 RMSE Slope Mean Rel Err% VOLUME DELTA T-Flow Fuzzy Ex 1 0.96 20 0.95 12 -1358 (-3.0%) SA/IB Ex 1 0.97 17 0.96 10 4 T-Flow Fuzzy Ex 2 0.97 21 1.00 12 -1114 (-2.5%) SA/IB Ex 2 0.99 12 0.98 7 0 Findings: SA/IB Example 1 and Example 2 are both better than T-Flow. Conclusion • An innovative mathematical method is presented with two practical examples • Successive averaging/iterative balancing technique shows better goodness of fit statistics • Automatic balancing technique saves time in traffic simulation process • The spreadsheet method can be implemented cost-effectively • Capacity constraint can be incorporated in the balancing algorithm in future