Transcript Slide 1

Motorcycle Safety
Motorcycle Statistics and
Demographics
FY09
Professional Development Conference (PDC)
16 – 20 March 2009
[email protected]’
757-444-3520 ext 7135
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Agenda
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
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MC Registrations/Census
Demographics
Fatal Trends
Fatality When/Where
Fatal Factors
Age Trends
Bike Types
Current Trends
Discussion
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Motorcycle Registrations
Motorcycle Registrations (Indexed to 2003)
3
Rate of Change
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
National
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Military
• National M/C registrations tripled since 1998
• Military M/C registrations tripled in 5 years.
CLEOC & NHTSA
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2006 National Motorcycle Sales
Sales Figures
2005
2006
% Change
Scooter
56,899
54,268
- 4.6%
Street
646,097
680,679
+ 5.4%
Dual Sport
29,610
35,245
+ 19.0%
Off-Road
276,982
252,140
- 9.0%
Total
1,009,588
1,022,332
+ 1.3%
NHTSA
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USN/USMC MC CENSUS
The current motorcycle census provides the most
accurate measure of MC ridership.
The Census is soon to be incorporated into ESAMS for
the Navy
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Motorcycle Census Data
Chasing Ridership
60
X 1000
50
46.4
40
35.3
30
20
23.8
25
47.8
35.9
26.5
10
0
CLEOC
9/07
1st Census Pre CMC
1/07
9/08
CMC Msg
10/08
Pre CNO
11/08
CNO Msg
11/08
Current
03/09
Total
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DoD MC Service Comparisons
FY 04 - 08
12
10
8
Personnel Under Age 30
6
4
2
100%
0
2004
2005
Army
2006
Navy
Air Force
2007
2008
Marines
DoD Motorcycle Class A Rates
80%
80%
64%
62%
60%
58%
40%
20%
0%
Service Fatalities and
Demographics compared
USMC
USA
USN
USAF
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03
20 (1Q
03 )
20 (2Q
03 )
20 (3Q
03 )
20 (4Q
04 )
20 (1Q
04 )
20 (2Q
04 )
20 (3Q
04 )
20 (4Q
05 )
20 (1Q
05 )
20 (2Q
05 )
20 (3Q
05 )
20 (4Q
06 )
20 (1Q
06 )
20 (2Q
06 )
20 (3Q
06 )
20 (4Q
07 )
20 (1Q
07 )
20 (2Q
07 )
20 (3Q
07 )
20 (4Q
08 )
20 (1Q
08 )
20 (2Q
08 )
20 (3Q
08 )
(4
Q
)
20
Rate per 100,000 personnel
PMV Fatality Trends
35
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FY 03 – 08
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
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4-Wheel
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Motorcycle
Linear (4-Wheel)
Linear (Motorcycle)
8
DoN PMV Fatality Trends FY 08
22
Rate Per 100.000 Personnel
Rate per 100,000 personnel
20
For the first time,
18
The Motorcycle Fatalities exceeded FourWheel Vehicle Fatalities
16
14
12
10
8
6
2007 (2Q)
2008 (1Q)
2008 (2Q)
4-Wheel
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Motorcycle
2008 (3Q)
2008 (4Q)
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When and Where Crashes Occur
(FY02-FY07)
70
Number of Fatalities
• Most fatalities occur:
Within 50 miles of the
installation
• Most dangerous
months:
April to August
• Most occur at night
• Most occur on
weekends
DoN PMV Fatalities
60
56
50
40
30
56
51
48
60
58
60
50
48
49
40
30
20
10
0
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
75% of Motorcycle Fatalities
Occur from April to August
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Navy Fall Safety Campaign
02 Sep – 30 Nov 2008
Week
1
2
3
4
MC
MC
OD/R MC
MC PMV
2008
2007
MC
2006
MC
Vehicle PMV
5
6
7
8
9
10
12
13
PED
MC PMV
PMV
PMV
PMV PMV
MC PMV PMV
PMV PMV PMV PMV
MC
Through
Week 9
Total Fatals
9
OD/R
OD/R
OD/R
OD/R
PED
MC MC PMV
PMV PMV PMV OD/R PMV PMV PMV
Motorcycle
11
PMV
MC
PMV PMV
PMV PMV
Total Fatals
15
MC
MC
Off-Duty/Rec OD/R
Total Fatals
16
OD/R PMV
Ped
PED
Alcohol
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As of 03 Nov 08 11
Critical Days of Summer Fatalities
Week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
S/R
2008
S/R
S/R
MC
MC S/R
MC
PED
S/R
MC PMV MC PMV MC MC
2007
13
14
15
Week 15
S/R
PED
MC
PED
MC
MC
PMV MC
MC PMV PMV PMV PMV S/R
Total Fatals
32
MC
MC MC
S/R
S/R
MC
PMV PMV PMV MC
Total Fatals
S/R
PMV
MC
S/R
S/R PMV PMV S/R PMV PMV PMV PMV
PMV
20
2006
Total Fatals
PED S/R
PMV S/R
MC S/R
S/R
PMV PMV MC MC MC PMV PMV
S/R
PMV
MC
PMV MC
MC
20
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Off-Duty :
Vehicle
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PMV
Motorcycle
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MC
Sports/Rec
S/R
PED
PED
Alcohol
As of 25 Nov 08
12
PMV-2 Fatal Factors
USN/USMC, FY06 – FY08
Total Deaths - 139
70%
60%
60%
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58%
52%
45%
50%
40%
30%
65%
FY02-06
60%
FY02-06
20%
42%
FY02-06
unk%
FY02-06
10%
15%
33%
FY02-06
0%
Night
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Speed
No Training
Alcohol
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Common Fatal Factors
Narrative
Speeding,
Lost Control
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Total
% of
Total
8
14%
Speeding, ran
into vehicle.
2
4%
Ran into vehicle.
7
13%
Lost Control and
hit object.
12
21%
Lost Control.
3
5%
Struck by vehicle
pulling into traffic
1
2%
Stuck by
oncoming vehicle
1
2%
Struck from
behind.
0
0%
Other vehicle
pulled out in front
of SNM.
3
5%
NR/Unknown
19
34%
TOTAL
56
100%
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Reported Common Violations
Total
% of
Total
Fatalities
No Helmet
7
12%
No License
16
28%
No Documented
Training
25
45%
Violation
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DON PMV-2 FATALITIES
24
22
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20
18
16
PMV-2
14
FY 07
FY 08
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
AL
AZ
CA
FL
GA
HI
JA
MA
MD
MI
MS
NC
NV
NY
SC
TX
VA
WA
WI
20
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18
16
PMV-4
14
12
FY 07
10
FY 08
8
6
4
2
0
AZ
CA
CO
CT
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DE
FL
GA
GU
HI
IN
IT
LA
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MD
ME
MI
MO
MS
NC
NH
NJ
NM NV
NY
OH OT
PA
RI
SC
TX
UK
VA WA WV
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CY03-07 Collision Claims by Age
30
supersport
25
non-supersport
20
15
10
5
0
< 21
21-25
26-30
31-35
36-40
41-45
46-50
driver age
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51-55
56-60
61-65
≥ 66
IIHS
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FY08 DoN Fatalities by Rank and Age
Age
Total
Percent of Total
18
1
2%
19
6
10%
Rank
Total
Percent of
Total
E1
2
3%
20
6
10%
E2
5
9%
21
7
12%
E3
11
19%
22
5
9%
E4
9
16%
23
4
7%
E5
15
26%
24
1
2%
E6
6
10%
25
8
14%
E7
4
7%
26
1
2%
E8
2
3%
27
1
2%
M2/C
1
2%
28
1
2%
01
1
2%
29
3
5%
02
1
2%
30
1
2%
O3
1
2%
32
3
5%
Total
58
100%
33
2
3%
34
1
2%
36
2
3%
38
3
5%
40
2
3%
Total
58
100%
78% E6 & below
66% under 26
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FY08 DoN MC Fatalities by Bike Model
600 cc Sport Bikes in 50%
of DON MC Fatalities
Sport Bikes are in 88%
of FY08 Fatalities
•Bikes are affordable
•Fuel mileage up to 65MPG
Motorcycle
Type
Total
% of Total
Honda CBR 600
Sport
8
14%
Suzuki GSXR 600
Sport
8
14%
Yamaha R1 600
Sport
7
13%
Kawasaki ZX600
Sport
5
9%
Suzuki Hayabusha 1300
Sport
3
5%
Suzuki GSX 750
Sport
2
4%
NR
Sport
1
2%
Cruiser
1
2%
Yamaha YZF-R1 998
Sport
1
2%
Suzuki SV 650 K8
Sport
1
2%
Suzuki GSXR 1000
Sport
1
2%
Honda VTX 1300
Cruiser
1
2%
Yamaha YZF 600
Sport
1
2%
Honda 1000F
Sport
1
2%
Cruiser
1
2%
Sport
1
2%
Cruiser
1
2%
Harley Softail 1000
Harley Sportster 883
•Insurance is affordable
Yamaha R6 600
•Power and handling
characteristics are significant.
Yamaha FZ 600R
Sport
1
2%
Suzuki GSXR 750
Sport
1
2%
Yamaha R2D
Sport
1
Yamaha V-Star 650
Cruiser
1
Yamaha YZF-R600
Sport
1
2%
Cruiser
1
2%
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Harley Fat Boy 1450
Harley Dyna Wide 1450
2%
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2%
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FY07 Fatalities By Type Motorcycle
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
78
66
38
39
22
13
6
Intro
6
0
Sport
National
11
Standard
USN
USMC
Values are percentages of total Class A’s
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10
Unk
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FY08 Fatalities By Type Motorcycle
Values are percentages
100
88
90
Fatalities
88
80
70
Sport
Cruiser
Total
USN
29
4
33
USMC
22
3
25
60
51of 58 USN/USMC
Fatalities in 2008 Were
on Sport bikes (88%)
50
39
38
40
30
20
13
12
12
10
10
0
0
0
0
0
Intro
Sport
National
Standard
USN
USMC
Unk
National IIHS CY05
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Current Status
• CNIC
– Contract update:
A. Contractor bid on 32 installations: currently servicing 70.
B. Training classes are experiencing an effective rate of 64% utilization seats.
– Funding status: A. Not funded this year for surge/redeploy. Instructor travel is already
spent for FY09.
– Range status: A. Currently have 55 ranges certified.
• CFPS
– Number of Coaches Available: CFPS has 51 full time and 25 part time coaches
– Surge Capability: Cape Fox uses a modeling program to indentify routine training. The
Fleet must provide the regions with their surge requirements.
– Trainer Motorcycle Availability: CFPS has ordered the motorcycles and is in the
process of placing them throughout the regions.
– Simulator Status: CNIC has purchased 64 Simulators to distribute to the Regions
• Echelon IIs
– Riders Trained to Date: Current NSC motorcycle census is utilized to identify required
training numbers. Fleet commands now need to track their riders by names, requirements
and geographical location.
– Training Requirements:. ESAMS is being adapted to replace the Navy Census. A
working group has been established to move this forward.
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Current USN PMV Fatalities
PMV - 2
PMV - 4
Navy PMV2 3-Month Rolling Average
Navy PMV4 3-Month Rolling Average
6.00
6.00
FY 07
FY 08
FY 09
FY 07
5.00
FY 08
FY 09
5.00
4.33 4.33
4.00
3.67
4.00
3.33 3.33
2.67
3.00
2.67
PMV2
2.33
2.00
2.00 1.67
2.33
2.00
2.00
1.67
2.00
2.00
2.00
1.67
Fatalities
3.33
3.33 3.33
2.67
3.00
3.00
2.67
2.33
2.67
2.33
PMV4
2.33
2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00
1.67 1.67
2.00
1.33 1.33
3.33 3.33
3.00 3.00
1.67
1.67
1.33
1.00 1.00 1.00
1.00
0.67 0.67
1.00
0.67 0.67
1.00
FY 07
9.00
FY 08
6.33
5.00 5.00
5.00
5.00 5.00 5.00
4.67
4.00
5.00
5.67
5.33
4.33
4.00
3.67
3.33
4.33
5.33
5.67
4.67
PMV
3.33
2.67
3.00
2.00
2.00
1.67
1.00
Jan 09
Nov 08
Oct 08
Sep 08
Jul 08
Aug 08
Jun 08
Apr 08
May 08
Mar 08
Jan 08
Feb 08
Nov 07
Dec 07
Oct 07
Sep 07
Jul 07
Aug 07
Jun 07
Apr 07
May 07
• FY09
•PMV-2 & PMV-4 deaths trending
down
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Jan 09
Dec 08
Nov 08
Oct 08
Sep 08
Jul 08
Aug 08
Jun 08
May 08
Apr 08
Mar 08
Jan 08
Feb 08
Dec 07
Nov 07
Oct 07
Sep 07
Jul 07
Aug 07
Jun 07
May 07
Apr 07
Mar 07
Feb 07
Jan 07
0.00
Dec 06
Fatalities
•Decrease in PMV-4 deaths
7.33 7.33
7.00
6.00
•Increase in PMV-2 deaths
FY 09
8.00
5.67 5.67
Mar 07
• FY08
Navy PMV 3-Month Rolling Average
10.00
Jan 07
Dec 06
Jan 09
Nov 08
Dec 08
Oct 08
Sep 08
Jul 08
Aug 08
Jun 08
Apr 08
May 08
Mar 08
Jan 08
Feb 08
Nov 07
Dec 07
Oct 07
Sep 07
Jul 07
Aug 07
Jun 07
Apr 07
May 07
Mar 07
Jan 07
Feb 07
Dec 06
PMV
Feb 07
0.00
0.00
Dec 08
Fatalities
4.00
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Navy and Marine FY09 PMV Fatalities
PMV4
PMV2
PED
ROD TOTAL
•NAVY
6
4
1
3
14
•USMC
8
5
1
8
22
TOTAL:
48
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Discussion?
“What ?”
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Backup Slides
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Navy and Marine Class A by Month
Total per month from FY01 to FY06
70
60
56
50
56
51
48
40
30
60
50
48
40
Winter
Surviving
Driving
60
58
Spring Break
30
49
Critical Days of
Summer
20
10
0
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
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FY 06–07 Motorcycle Class A Profile
Note the significant number of
untrained riders who died.
FY06
Navy Profile
FY07
30
25
Marine Profile
30
24
25
20
20
19
16
Fatalities
Fatalities
20
15
15
10.33
10
10
8
4
5
0.46
11
10
6
5.25
6
5
5
2
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
18-26
Age
Speed
27-34
No Training or Unknown
35+
Average Years Riding Experience
18-26
27-34
Age
Speed
35+
No Training
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