Durham - Duke University
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Transcript Durham - Duke University
A Study of Crime Rates from the
Past Decade – By Willson Buchanan
Population has increased from 180,697 in
2000 to 221,675 in 2009
Persons below poverty level in 2008: 13.8% or
30,591 people
◦ 13.4% or 28,557 people
◦ Average in NC: 14.6%
◦ Median income in 2008: $51,292
Highest Property Crime Rate in the State
One of the Highest Violent Crime Rates in the
State
◦
◦
◦
◦
Burglary
Larceny
Motor Vehicle Theft
Arson
◦
◦
◦
◦
Murder
Rape
Robbery
Aggravated Assault
Highest Overall Crime Rate in North Carolina
◦ Not the highest amount of crimes, just the most per
person
County
Tota l
Offe nse
Ca te gory
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Murder
28
32
33
23
33
37
17
28
25
22
Rape
87
79
83
76
91
91
101
85
79
70
Robbery
946
1,010
968
905
845
659
1,001
816
917
739
Agg. Assaul
t
893
848
848
772
703
841
930
876
893
837
Burglary
4,027
3,775
3,385
3,801
3,548
3,466
3,453
4,000
3,899
4,140
Larceny
11,153
10,581
10,194
10,686
9,493
9,491
9,160
8,810
9,093
8,714
MV Theft
1,337
1,193
1,179
1,146
1,023
1,033
1,244
1,097
971
832
18 ,4 7 1
17 ,5 18
16 ,6 9 0
17 ,4 0 9
15 ,7 3 6
15 ,6 18
15 ,9 0 6
15 ,7 12
15 ,8 7 7
15 ,3 5 4
2006
2009
2006
2009
9,000.00
Index Rate Violent Rate
Property
Rate
8,000.00
8,341.50
882.4
7,459.00
7,869.80
884.6
6,985.20
7,379.90
854.3
6,525.60
7,522.30
767.4
6,754.90
6,731.90
715.3
6,016.60
6,606.60
688.7
5,917.90
6,640.50
855.4
5,785.10
2,000.00
6,438.50
739.7
5,698.80
1,000.00
6,304.20
760
5,544.30
5,965.20
648
5,317.10
7,000.00
6,000.00
5,000.00
4,000.00
3,000.00
0.00
6000
Year
Murder
Rate
Rape Rate
Robbery
Rate
Assault
Rate
Burglary
Rate
Larceny
Rate
MVT Rate
Murder Rate
Arson Rate
5000
2000
12.6
39.3
427.2
403.3
1,818.60
5,036.70
603.8
27.5
2001
14.4
35.5
453.7
381
1,695.90
4,753.40
535.9
21.6
Rape Rate
4000
2002
14.6
36.7
428
375
1,496.80
4,507.50
521.3
17.2
2003
9.9
32.8
391
333.6
1,642.40
4,617.40
495.2
24.2
2004
14.1
38.9
361.5
300.7
1,517.80
4,061.10
437.6
22.7
2005
15.7
38.5
278.8
355.8
1,466.20
4,014.80
437
20.7
Robbery Rate
Assault Rate
3000
Burglary Rate
2000
Larceny Rate
2006
7.1
42.2
417.9
388.3
1,441.60
3,824.10
519.3
22.5
1000
9.9
31.4
364.1
354.6
1,548.20
3,610.50
385.6
13.9
2009
8.5
27.2
287.1
325.2
1,608.40
3,385.50
323.2
13.2
Arson Rate
0
2009
2008
MVT Rate
2008
15.2
2007
449.5
2006
3,610.20
2005
1,639.10
2004
359
2003
334.4
2002
34.8
2001
11.5
2000
2007
Lenoir County
Avery County
Mecklenburg
Guilford
The
Police?
Unemployed
Persons?
Self-Improvement?
Increase of 46,392 people in Durham from
2000 to 2009, a 20.8% increase
◦ North Carolina averaged 26.6%
Total Employees, Fulltime sworn policemen
and civilians, increased from 555 to 608
Result?
◦ In 2000 there were 478 citizens for every sworn
police officer
◦ In 2009 there were 586 Citizens for every sworn
police office
◦ Crime has decreased with fewer police officers per
citizen…
Increased from 3% to 5% from 2000 to 2003
Decreased to 3.5% by 2007
Increased to 8.5% by 2009
Result
◦ Crime has decreased during a time of economic
depression.
The status report in 2007 suggested that the city
had been able to:
◦
◦
◦
◦
◦
◦
create 5000 new jobs
create$1 billion dollars in investments
grow tax revenues
improve downtown entertainment
increase road circulation
create new county government facilities
Result
◦ The city has been able to continually improve upon itself
during the economic crises.
◦ There are, however, towns and cities that have a
decreased amount of crime and are not employing the
same techniques as Durham…
There has been an overall decrease in crime
in Durham
◦ Fewer Police
◦ Fewer Jobs
◦ But a City model for improvement
There are many more factors that exist in
determining the crime decrease
◦ Could it be that the bad guys are in jail?
Canada had a similar unexplained effect without an
increase in cops or people in jail…
There isn’t a great explanation yet or proof
that points one way or another
U.S. Census Bureau http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/37/37063.h
tml
http://crimereporting.ncdoj.gov/Reports.aspx
Durham Police Department Crime Mapper http://gisweb.durhamnc.gov/gis_apps/CrimeData/ds
p_entryform.cfm
Durham Downtown Master Plan https://courses.duke.edu/webapps/portal/frameset.j
sp?tab_id=_2_1&url=/webapps/blackboard/execute/l
auncher%3ftype%3dCourse%26id%3d_94796_1%26url
%3d
http://tierneylab.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/02/16/th
e-crime-mystery/