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LSND/MiniBooNE Follow-up Experiment with DAEdALUS W.C. Louis Los Alamos National Laboratory August 6, 2010 Outline LSND & MiniBooNE nm -> ne Oscillation Results 3+1 Fit to World Antineutrino Data Testing the LSND/MiniBooNE Signals with DAEdALUS Conclusions 2 LSND Signal LSND experiment Stopped pion beam p+ -> m+ nm m+ -> e+ nm ne Excess of ne in nm beam ne signature: Cherenkov light from e+ with delayed g from n-capture Excess=87.9 ± 22.4 ± 6 (3.8s) 3 LSND Signal Can't reconcile LSND result with atmospheric and solar neutrino using only 3 Standard Model neutrinos – only two independent mass splitings mass Assuming two neutrino oscillations 2 4 Sterile Neutrinos n5 3+N models N>1 allows CP violation Dm452 ~ 0.1 – 100 eV2 mass 2 n4 Dm342 ~ 0.1 – 100 eV2 n3 n2 n1 nm -> ne ≠ nm -> ne 5 MiniBooNE Neutrino Result PRL 102, 101802 (2009) 6.5e20 POT No excess of events in signal region (E>475 MeV) Ruled out simple 2n oscillations as LSND explanation (assuming no CP or CPT violation) SIGNAL REGION Phys. Rev. Lett. 98, 231801 (2007) 6 MiniBooNE Neutrino Result PRL 102, 101802 (2009) • Excess of events observed at low energy: 128.8 ± 20.4 ± 38.3 (3.0σ) • Shape not consistent with simple 2n oscillations • Magnitude consistent with LSND • Anomaly Mediated Neutrino-Photon Interactions at Finite Baryon Density: Jeffrey A. Harvey, Christopher T. Hill, & Richard J. Hill, arXiv:0708.1281 • CP-Violation 3+2 Model: Maltoni & Schwetz, arXiv:0705.0107; T. Goldman, G. J. Stephenson Jr., B. H. J. McKellar, Phys. Rev. D75 (2007) 091301. • Extra Dimensions 3+1 Model: Pas, Pakvasa, & Weiler, Phys. Rev. D72 (2005) 095017 • Lorentz Violation: Katori, Kostelecky, & Tayloe, Phys. Rev. D74 (2006) 105009 • CPT Violation 3+1 Model: Barger, Marfatia, & Whisnant, Phys. Lett. B576 (2003) 303 • New Gauge Boson with Sterile Neutrinos: Ann E. Nelson & Jonathan Walsh, arXiv:0711.1363 7 MiniBooNE Antineutrino Result 5.66e20 POT arXiv:1007.1150 8 MiniBooNE Antineutrino Null Probability Absolute c2 probability of null point (background only) model independent Frequentist approach 475-1250 MeV chi2/NDF probability nm -> ne 6.1/6 40% nm -> ne 18.5/6 0.5% 9 MiniBooNE Oscillation Fit E>475 5.66E20 POT E>475 is signal region for LSND type osc. Oscillations favored over background only hypotheses at 99.4% CL (model dependent) Best fit (sin22q, Dm2) = (0.9584, 0.064 eV2) c2/ND = 16.4/12.6; Prob. = 20.5% c2/ND = 8.0/4; Prob. = 8.7% (475-1250 MeV) 10 E>475 MeV MiniBooNE nm->ne oscillation results appear to confirm the LSND evidence for antineutrino oscillations, although more data are needed 11 LSND/MiniBooNE Data Compared to 3+N Global Fits (fits from Karagiorgi et al.) 3+1 3+2 3+1 Global Fit to World Antineutrino Data (with old MiniBooNE data set) G. Karagiorgi et al., PRD80, 073001 (2009) Best 3+1 Fit: Dm412 = 0.915 eV2 sin22qme = 0.0043 c2 = 87.9/103 DOF Prob. = 86% Predicts nm & ne disappearance of sin22qmm ~ 35% and sin22qee ~ 4.3% 3+N Models Requires Large nm Disappearance! In general, P(nm -> ne) < ¼ P(nm -> nx) P(ne -> nx) Reactor Experiments: P(ne -> nx) < 5% LSND/MiniBooNE: P(nm -> ne) ~ 0.25% Therefore: P(nm -> nx) > 20% MiniBooNE Neutrino & Antineutrino Disappearance Limits A.A. Aguilar-Arevalo et al., PRL 103, 061802 (2009) Global best fit * * Improved results soon from MiniBooNE/SciBooNE Joint Analysis! Future Experiments MicroBooNE CD1 approved Address MB low energy n excess Statistics too low for antineutrinos Few ideas under consideration: Move or build a MiniBooNE like detector at 200m (LOI arXiv:0910.2698) A new search for anomalous neutrino oscillations at the CERN-PS (arxiv:0909.0355v3) Redoing a stopped pion source at ORNL (OscSNS http://physics.calumet.purdue.edu/~oscsns/) or DAEdALUS! 17 MiniDAEdALUS Build MiniBooNE-like detector ~300’ (~90m) below cyclotron; (or use large WC detector filled with Gd!) Copy MiniBooNE detector design except for higher PMT coverage (10%->20%) and addition of ~0.031 g/l of b-PBD; cost ~$10-15M Poor cyclotron duty factor compensated by 300’ overburden (cosmic muon rate reduced by factor of ~100) Assume ~ 1 year of data at ~1MW Well understood neutrino fluxes and cross sections Many advantages over LSND: (1) x5 larger detector; (2) x4 higher n flux; (2) x100 lower cosmic-muon rate; (3) negligible DIF background; (4) run 12 months per year (instead of 3); (5) larger distance for Dm2<1 eV2 implies lower n backgrounds; 18 MiniDAEdALUS For OscSNS & not MiniDAEdALUS nm -> ne D(L/E) ~ 3% ; ne p -> e+ n (2.2 MeV g) nm -> ne D(L/E) < 1% ; Monoenergetic nm !; ne C -> e- Ngs (17.3 MeV e+) nm -> ns D(L/E) < 1% ; Monoenergetic nm !; nm C -> nm C* (15.11 MeV g) nm -> ns ; nm C -> nm C* (15.11 MeV g) MiniDaedalus would be capable of making precision measurements of ne appearance & nm disappearance and proving, for example, the existence of sterile neutrinos! (see Phys. Rev. D72, 092001 (2005)). Search for Sterile Neutrinos with MiniDAEdALUS (or WC) Via Measurement of NC Reaction: nm C -> nm C*(15.11) Garvey et al., Phys. Rev. D72 (2005) 092001 MiniDAEdALUS ne appearance (left) and nm disappearance sensitivity (right) for 1 year of running (for 60m!) LSND Best Fit LSND Best Fit 21 Conclusions • The MiniBooNE data are consistent with nm -> ne oscillations at Dm2 ~ 1 eV2 and consistent with the evidence for antineutrino oscillations from LSND. • The MiniBooNE nm -> ne oscillation allowed region appears to be different from the nm -> ne oscillation allowed region. • The world antineutrino data fit well to a 3+1 oscillation model with Dm2 ~ 1 eV2. All 3+N models predict large nm disappearance! • A MiniBooNE-like detector (MiniDAEdALUS) located ~300’ below the DAEdALUS cyclotron could measure neutrino oscillations with high significance (>>5s) and prove that sterile neutrinos exist! 22 Backup E>200MeV 5.66E20 POT Oscillations favored over background only hypotheses at 99.6% CL (model dependent) No assumption made about low energy excess Best fit (sin22q, Dm2) = (0.0066, 4.42 eV2) c2/NDF = 20.4/15.3; Prob.=17.1% 24 E>200MeV Subtract excess produced by neutrinos in n mode (11.6 events) E<475MeV: Large background Not relevant for LSND type osc. Big systematics Null c2=32.8; p=1.7% Best fit (sin22q, Dm2) = (0.0061, 4.42 eV2) c2/NDF = 21.6/15.3; Prob.=13.7% 25 Future sensitivity E>475MeV fit MiniBooNE approved for a total of 1e21 POT Potential exclusion of null point assuming best fit signal 26 Protons on Target BooNE 6.5e20 Far + 1e20 Near POT MiniBooNE like detector at 200m Flux, cross section and optical model errors cancel in 200m/500m ratio analysis Present neutrino low energy excess is 6 sigma statistical; 3 sigma when include systematics Near/Far 4 s sensitivity similar to single detector 90% CL Sensitivity (Neutrino mode) Study L/E dependence Gain statistics quickly, already have far detector data 27 BooNE Better sensitivity to nm (nm) disappearance Look for CPT violation (nm nm nm nm) 6.5e20 Far/1e20 Near POT 1e21 Far/1e20 Near POT 28 Reminders of some analysis choices Data bins chosen to be variable width to minimize N bins without sacrificing shape information Technical limitation on N bins used in building syst error covariance matrices with limited statistics MC First step in unblinding revealed a poor chi2 for oscillation fits extending below 475 MeV Region below 475 MeV not important for LSND-like signal -> chose to cut it out and proceed 29 Reminders of some pre-unblinding choices Why is the 300-475 MeV region unimportant? Large backgrounds from mis-ids reduce S/B Many systematics grow at lower energies Most importantly, small S/B so not a good L/E region to look for LSND type oscillations 1250 475 333 Energy in MB [MeV] 30 E>475 MeV 1 sigma contour includes 0.003<sin22q<1 31 Initial MINOS nm Disappearance Results Expect nm disappearance above 10 GeV for LSND neutrino oscillations. OscSNS Spallation neutron source at ORNL 1GeV protons on Hg target (1.4MW) Free source of neutrinos Well understood flux of neutrinos Physics reach would be similar with DARDaedalus 33