Transcript 7 Ideas - bvsalud

I2K
SNBU-2000
April 26, 2000
ISTEC
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Agenda
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Trends and Needs
What is ISTEC?
Initiatives Report
I2K Plan
Discussion Topics
Conclusions
ISTEC
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Trends and Needs
ISTEC
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Trends and Needs
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Information doubles every 5 years; by 2010 every
72 days
Moore’s Law: CPU performance doubles every 1824 months
Bandwidth doubles every 9 months
• 1 Tbps data network being deployed
9 months to launch an IPO: business model change
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Brick and mortar to ideas (partnerships, solutions partners)
Digital divide gap: info-rich vs info-poor
Middle Ages to Renaissance
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Central to Distributed Systems
Closed vs Open Systems
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Trends and Needs
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50% of technology changes every decade
1984-1994: 26% of Fortune 100 companies
remain
Over 50%of information carried is data
rather than voice
Over 80% of revenues come from voice
80% of revenue in Silicon Valley come
from products developed and marketed in
18 months
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Trends and Needs
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35% of families in the USA have PCs
50% of teenagers have PCs
140+ million people on the Internet
• 10% growth per month
65% of computers sold are for the home
90% of PCs sold have modems and CD-ROM
drives
Average individual has contact with 70
microprocessors or microcontrollers on an
average day
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Trends and Needs
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2% of Latin America is connected to the
Internet
• currently 9 million, next 3 years grow to 35 million
• %15 population, info-rich, upper-class
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35% of population in USA is connected to
Internet
Telephone Internet access
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Wash DC
Argentina
Bolivia
Honduras
ISTEC
$45/month
$171/month
$302/month
$344/month
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IT Reality
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Teledensity
(telephone lines per 100 inhabitants)
• Industrialized nations is over 48
• Middle-income nations around 10
• Least advanced countries is about 1.5
• World average is 11.5
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Informatics gap
(PC ratio per 100 inhabitants)
• Industrialized nations is over 18
• Middle-income nations around 2.3
• Least advanced countries is about 0.01
ISTEC
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IT
MARKET SHARE
REST OF
WORLD
21%
JAPAN
15%
USA
35%
EUROPE
29%
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Latin America Y2K
There are hidden resources in Latin America.
Population Growth By Y2K
600
Millions
500
400
300
200
100
0
North
America
ISTEC
Russia
Europe
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Latin
America
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Trends and Needs
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Education: Static vs Dynamic
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Teamwork
Multidisciplinary
Teach entrepreneurship
Generate ideas
Create opportunities
Knowledge creation, administration, management
Universalization vs Privatization
Transparency, Efficiency, Effectiveness
• Internet is the new equalizer, democratizer, and brings
accountability
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Trends and Needs
Does not depend on a specific region
 Demand for IT personnel far outstrips
supply
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stretch out development schedules
go over budget
crimp expansion plans
vacancies affect more than 10% of IT jobs in an
organization
• turnover represents 10%; average is 20% in Silicon
Valley
• shortage will last 10 or 15 years
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Trends and Needs
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Shortage is dead weight for the economy
Potential job openings for IT workers are
450,000
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shortest supply are business-savvy professionals
followed by network administrators
then database administrators
lastly, system administrators
CE graduates:
• US industry needs 198k per year
• US universities produce only 35k (1/6th)
ISTEC
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Trends and Needs
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BS degrees awarded in IT declined from a
high of 42k in 1986 to 24.2k in 1997
In 1994 managers complain that degrees
awarded do not reflect the needs of
employers
Many university programs have been slow
to react to changes in the marketplace
Degrees focus on outmoded technologies
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Trends and Needs
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Some companies have taken active role in
changing university curricula
Other companies invest in internal training
which is No. 1 priority for retaining labor
Companies deal with shortage by using
contract labor, "outsourcing" ; problems
with company loyalty, less dedication
ISTEC
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Trends and Needs
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By year 2010 wireless
communications will need ten times
the number of engineers working
today
Few courses of study in the G-7
nations to train students to tackle the
emerging issues
• establish a global institute to foster the requisite
expertise and reduce the gap
ISTEC
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World Telecomm. Market
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Year 1997 - 150 billion dollars
Year 2000 - 374 billion dollars
Latin America represents 10 to 14% of
world market
Trends
• 1994 - switches, transmission
• 1996 - wireless, data communication, Internet
• 1997 - PCS/FWA, multimedia, Internet/Intranet
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World Telecomm. Market
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Growth until year 2000
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wireless 33%
broadband 25%
enterprise 24%
PCN 18 %
+ average growth is 28%
Cellular phone usage
• 4 million in 1988
• 123 million in 1995
• 400 million by 2001
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World Semiconductor Market
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Year 2000 - 300 billion market
17.6% compound annual growth
(1996-2001)
Areas of mayor growth
• telecommunications
• entertainment
• consumer electronics
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E-commerce
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More than 8% (11 million) of US population
made an on-line purchase in 1997
In 1998 was over 15 million
Average bill is $511
Low-end guess by Y2K is 7 billion
High-end guess in next 5 years is 115 billion
Latin America E-commerce currently $300
million, grow to $1.5 billion in 3 years
• %80 is collected outside (USA, EU)
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Education
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Web based training
• 1997: $197 million
• 2002: $6 billion
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Who does S&T?
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G-7 nations:
• industry does 50-70% of S&T
• resources for S&T come from government and industry
• majority of resources are spent in industry
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USA:
• basic R&D sponsored primarily by the government
• applied R&D sponsored primarily by industry and
government
• universities perform basic R&D
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Latin America:
• R&D primarily sponsored by the government
ISTEC
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Who does S&T?
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Brazil, Costa Rica, Chile, and Cuba are the
only countries in Latin America with
greater than 1% investment of GDP in
R&D.
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Japan 2.7%
Germany 2.4%
United States 2.4%
Brazil 1.3 %
Canada 1.6%
Spain 0.9%
Russia Less than 0.5%
Latin American average is 0.5%
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Who does S&T?
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Expenditure in S&T
• USA
• Canada
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$190 billion
$11 billion
Brazil
$9 billion
Spain
$5.4 billion
Mexico $1.7 billion
Argentina $1.5 billion
Human Resources in S&T
• USA researchers 1 million
• Latin American researchers 126 k (Brazil 50k, Arg 29k, Mex
15k)
• Spain and Portugal 63k
• Canada 100k
• Rest under 10k
ISTEC
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What is ISTEC?
ISTEC
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ISTEC Process (1990)
EXPLORED
OPPORTUNITIES
IDENTIFIED
OBSTACLES
DEVELOPED
RECOMMENDATIONS
CREATED
ISTEC MISSION
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Why do it? (obstacles)
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Lack of current information for planning and
developing technology
Lack of expertise in the use of information
Lack of international cooperation in
developing the critical mass needed for
projects and joint efforts
Lack of interaction (lack of confidence,
lack of information) among academia,
productive sector, governments and
international agencies
Lack of availability of technology
ISTEC
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Why do it? (benefits)
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Integrate Ibero-America with science and
technology: promote and support the new
multilateralism
Place Ibero-America in a leading role: a response
to challenges from other regions
Make S&T an integral part and top priority for the
economic development and sustainable growth of
Ibero-America
Create new opportunities: business, academia,
government
Reduce inequalities: invest in education and S&T
Competitiveness: create/enhance HR
ISTEC
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Mission Statement 12/4/90
Foster scientific, engineering, and
technology education; joint
international research and
development efforts among its
members, and to provide a costeffective vehicle for technology
transfer
ISTEC
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ISTEC Organization
Executive Committee
Exec. Office
UNM, UNICAMP, UVI
General Assembly
ISTEC
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Initiatives
ISTEC
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Why do it? (obstacles)
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Lack of current information for planning and
developing technology
Lack of expertise in the use of information
Lack of international cooperation in
developing the critical mass needed for
projects and joint efforts
Lack of interaction (lack of confidence,
lack of information) among academia,
productive sector, governments and
international agencies
Lack of availability of technology
ISTEC
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ISTEC - Contributions
Library Linkages (LibLink)
Initiatives
Los Libertadores
Information Technology
Advanced Continuing
Education (ACE)
R&D Laboratories (R&D)
ISTEC
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Los Libertadores Initiative
GOAL: network of Centers
of Excellence equipped
with the latest
telecommunications and
computer technology to
provide real-time access to
a world-wide system of
expertise and knowledge.
EFFORTS: technical assistance in
telecommunications and S&T
legislation in Ecuador, and Bolivia.
Awareness campaigns in IT throughout
the region. Agreements with IADB,
OAS, WB, UNDP.
TECHNOLOGY: creation of
the Ibero-American
academic and R&D Internet
backbone. A partnership
among industry, academia,
governments, and
international agencies.
ISTEC
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Library Linkage Initiative
GOAL: design and
implementation of
innovative, international
Science and Technology
information-sharing
services.
STATISTICS: annual compound
growth rate of >200% since 1995.
Over 45 libraries in 24 countries
connected in real-time.
Development of on-line scientific
journal, and database on S&T in the
region.
TECHNOLOGY:
Internet services and
connectivity. Search and
Push engines. Ariel and
Randex software. Seed
funding from Nortel
Networks.
ISTEC
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ACE Initiative
GOAL: upgrade of human
resources and curriculum
development through onsite training, distance
learning, and nontraditional exchange
programs.
STATISTICS: 6 satellite courses to 250
institutions with ATEI. Short courses for
Motorola. 196 scientists trained in DIP
with OAS support. Over 30,000 ftp
grabs of web DIP course. “Sandwich”
programs.
TECHNOLOGY: on-site
training, web-based
education, video courses,
satellite delivery, and
“sandwich” graduate
programs. Infocast.
ISTEC
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R&D Laboratories Initiative
GOAL: design and
installation of modular,
flexible, and expandable
laboratory facilities for
education, training, and
R&D (link with productive
sector).
STATISTICS: to date 106 Motorola
facilities in 67 sites. Approximately
30,000 users trained since 1991. 9
facilities with Nortel Networks, 2
with Fluke and 14 with VeriBest.
Efforts: Multicom-21, LatinChip,
C&S.
TECHNOLOGY: Motorola
microprocessors (680XX),
microcontrollers (68HC11)
and DSPs (56XXX, 96000).
Nortel Networks, Fluke,
VeriBest, Infocast.
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I2K Plan
ISTEC
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I2K Plan Goals
Increase ISTEC’s capacity to
promote science and technology
in Ibero-America through:
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Promote project identification, partnering,
and funding to diversify and expand the
capabilities of its initiatives.
Promote and raise awareness on the need
to create/enhance science and technology
sustainable policies and infrastructure.
ISTEC
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I2K Plan Goals
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Improve the Ibero-American international
profile in science and technology by
increasing the quantity and quality of
publications, production of science, and
participation and organization of
international forums.
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Become the Leading Educational and S&T
Portal in Ibero-America.
ISTEC
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I2K Plan
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LibLink
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On-line journal(s) – V. Tech
ETDs
Push and Search Engines
Alliance Membership, others
Randex-2K (Ariel alternative)
Improve Services and Fund Raising
Links: BDDIS, SFX, NDLTD, NUDL
Increase Digital Collections
Training: workshops, conferences, materials
Phronesis dissemination
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LIBRARY SERVICES ALLIANCE OF NEW MEXICO
* New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology Library
* New Mexico State University Library
* Santa Fe Institute
* Air Force Research Laboratories: Phillips
Four
* Sandia National Laboratories Technical Library
* Los Alamos National Laboratory Research Library billion
* University of New Mexico Libraries
in scitech
- Centennial Science & Engineering Library funding
1999= 218 million
p.y.
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From - Library Services Alliance of New Mexico to
Alliance for Innovation in Science & Technology Information
* Library Linkages Project of the Ibero-American Science &
Technology Education Consortium (ISTEC)
* Lovelace Respiratory Research Institute
* NASA's National Scientific and Technical Information Program
* Naval Research Laboratory
* University of Nevada: Las Vegas & Reno campuses
* New Mexico Highlands University, Las Vegas
* UNM Health Sciences Library
ISTEC
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Changing Visions
Buyers club
Innovation club
1999
1998
To be a world-class
information provider to
our primary communities,
while enhancing the
scientific and technical
research competitiveness
of New Mexico.
ISTEC
To be an innovative
leader in cyber sci/tech
information, producing
new models of scholarly
communication.
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New Vision: Sample strategic actions
 Community of scientists
 Active recommendation systems
 Cross database searching
 SFX aware databases
 Open Archives Initiative
 VxInsight / SciSearch application
 Phronesis
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Projects within LibLink
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Connect libraries for Information Transfer
Train librarians & researchers in search and
retrieval of information
Expand services to more countries
Open other collections - especially Latin American
collections - for scholars (e.g. LigDoc, PrEBi,
REBIDIMEX)
Develop software for information sharing
ISTEC
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Projects within LibLink
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Push & search engines
Plan and carry out workshops
Expand to other library types and services
NDTL in Ibero-America (Networked
Dissertation/Thesis Library Grant w. IDB,
UNESCO, World Bank for pilot with VTU and U.Rio)
Provide mechanism for data base
exchange of information
Provide interaction method for ACE, R&D
Electronic journal (MOU with Virginia tech)
ISTEC
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I2K Plan
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ACE - DEPI
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M-CORE Textbook
Develop and Adopt Standards for Content
Development
Develop Criteria for Assignment of Resources
(Quality, Real-time)
Assignment of Tasks and Resources: courses,
teams of universities
IP Protection
Promote exchange programs
Encourage “sandwich efforts”
Use of e-team
ARIADNE alliance
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I2K Plan
R&D
 Chips & Salsa
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LatinChip – Microelectronics
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Create/enhance laboratories
Training/certification
Software Engineering
S-o-C: M-CORE, DSP
CYTED, EUROPARTNER Alliances
Multicom-21 – Telecommunications
ISTEC
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I2K Plan
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BDDIS
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Who’s who
Surveys, Indicators
Los Libertadores
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ISTEC
I2K PORTAL
Deployment of Servers
Expand Intranet
E-services
Workshops, Conferences, Seminars
Create/Expand Strategic Alliances with OAS, IADB,
UNESCO, WB, UNDP, CAF and others
Work with Government Agencies
Launch the Motorola IT Design Challenge
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Why is this different?
Project Identification, Partnering, and
Fund Raising
• Industry (local, international)
• Universities (public, private)
• Government (State and Federal)
• International Agencies and Organizations
On-going infrastructure and projects:
• Digital Libraries
• Distance Education
• Research and Development Laboratories
ISTEC
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IT Reality

Teledensity
(telephone lines per 100 inhabitants)
• Industrialized nations is over 48
• Middle-income nations around 10
• Least advanced countries is about 1.5
• World average is 11.5
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Informatics gap
(PC ratio per 100 inhabitants)
• Industrialized nations is over 18
• Middle-income nations around 2.3
• Least advanced countries is about 0.01
ISTEC
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IT
MARKET SHARE
REST OF
WORLD
21%
JAPAN
15%
USA
35%
EUROPE
29%
51
Latin America Y2K
There are hidden resources in Latin America.
Population Growth By Y2K
600
Millions
500
400
300
200
100
0
North
America
ISTEC
Russia
Europe
All Rights Reserved, 2000.
Latin
America
52
ISTEC
NIH
ISTEC
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ISTEC
Collaboration  T 
1
dn
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Conclusions
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Conclusions
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Need a sound, aggressive, long-term, and
flexible national policy in Science and
Technology (S&T)
Degree of success is directly proportional to
strategic investments in science, technology,
and information systems
Countries that do not adapt to the technological
explosion will not be able to compete
Need Center(s) of Excellence for S&T to enhance
the capabilities of industry, government, health
and educational institutions
ISTEC
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Conclusions
University-Industry Relations. Why?
 access to pre-competitive research
 early warning of potential technology
breakthroughs
 pursue industry-relevant research
 access to high-skill resources
 conduit for intellectual creativity
 branding and market development
ISTEC
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Conclusions
Project Identification, Partnering, and
Fund Raising
• Industry (local, international)
• Universities (public, private)
• Government (State and Federal)
• International Agencies and Organizations
On-going infrastructure and projects:
• Digital Libraries
• Distance Education
• Research and Development Laboratories
ISTEC
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ISTEC and YOU
ISTEC is looking for partners to share the
risks and rewards in Ibero-America.
ISTEC is seeking to align people, needs,
and technology to foster IT in IberoAmerica.
ISTEC
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ISTEC
What can we .edu 4 u?
ISTEC
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ISTEC Contact Information
www.istec.org
obrigado
gracias
thank you
merci
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Discussion Topics
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What is next?
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