Transcript Slide 1
Mobile Broadband spectrum allocations: Ericsson perspective Ulf pehrsson, vice president 3 december, 2013 2013-08-19 | Page 1 Mobile subscriptions outlook 2010-2019 2013-08-19 | Page 2 M2M subscriptions not included population Coverage › Around 90% of world´s population covered by WCDMA/HSPA in 2019 › LTE network deployments continue in all regions of the world, as LTE population coverage doubled in 2012 compared to 2011 (10% vs. 5%) › More than 65% of world’s population covered by LTE in 2019 2013-08-19 | Page 3 Speed increase with LTE Downlink Speeds Kbps 6000 5000 United States Japan South Korea Sweden 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2013-08-19 | Page 4 Source: Speedtest.net performance drives loyalty › Addressing network performance has largest impact on customer loyalty › Four times as effective as introducing loyalty rewards › Network performance is the principal driver of loyalty to mobile operators, followed by value for money (correlated parameters) Relative impact between each driver and loyalty to operator brand 2013-08-19 | Page 5 spectrum for mobile broadband - Regional mainstream hspa & lte deployments North America Base: 850, 1900, US700 & AWS New: 2600 Europe Base: 2100 & 900 New: 2600, 1800 & CEPT800 Japan Base: 2100, 1700, JP850 New: 1500, 900 & APT700 Latin América Base: 850 & 1900 New: AWS & 2600 2014+: APT700 2013-08-19 | Page 6 MEA Base: 2100 New: 900, 1800 & 2600 2014+: CEPT800 & APT700 APAC Base: 2100, 900 & 850 New: 1800, 2300 & 2600 2014+: APT700 Broadband capacity & coverage - typical deployment by a European operator Assumptions: Propagation based. Suburban environment. Reference frequency is 800 MHz. 5 dB higher antenna gain at 2,100 MHz and 6 dB higher antenna gain at 2,600 MHz. LTE and HSPA: re-use 1 Capacity bands 2,600 MHz LTE Radio link throughput proportional to FDD DL 20 MHz HSPA 2,100 MHz FDD DL 15 MHz 1,800 MHz FDD DL 10 MHz Coverage bands 900 MHz DD 800 MHz FDD DL 5 MHz FDD DL 10 MHz 0.5 Relative cell coverage area 2013-08-19 | Page 7 1.0 Mainstream mobile allocations current assumption for sub 1 GHz bands The APT700 band [B28]– Low & High Duplexer 703 803 807 814/ 824 2x45 MHz The APT700 band [B28]– Low Duplexer 703 2x30 MHz 788 844 852 859/ 869 The CEPT 800 band [B20] 791 The band 700 MHz [B12,17,29,13,14] The 900 MHz band [B8] The E850 Lower / Upper [B27/26] and the 850 MHz [B5] bands 821 832 APAC & Latin America >200 MHz 889 890 935 960 915 The 900 MHz band [B8] 862 880 915 925 Europe, Middle East & Africa 190 MHz 960 The E850 Upper band [B26] and the 850 MHz [B5] bands SDL 699 716 729 718 728 746 756 758 768 New momentum 777 787 788 798 814 824 849 859 869 894 = Uplink = Downlink SDL = Supplementary Downlink 2013-08-19 | Page 8 US & Canada 160 MHz APT700 – Current update › To date, 25 countries have adopted the APT700 band. › Japan, Australia, Mexico and Taiwan have licensed the band. › Devices and infrastructure will become available mid-2014. › Excellent potential for global roaming. › Momentum in ITU Region 1 for a combination of the lower duplexer of the APT700 band with the CEPT800 band, currently being deployed in Europe. › Ericsson recommends to license spectrum in blocks of 2x5 MHz. The APT700 band brings significant economies of scale and capabilities to cost efficiently cover also rural areas 2013-08-19 | Page 9 Options discussed in CEPT ECC PT1 CEPT will reduce the number of options for a preferred channelling arrangement for the band 694-790 MHz Two main options – currently a majority is supporting Option 1 2013-08-19 | Page 10 Frequency vs. costs Relative CAPEX for UHF infrastructure investments Relative number of base stations sites for UHF: • 700 MHz set to 0 dB antenna gain for reference • 900 MHz at 1.5 dB higher antenna gain • 2.1 GHz at 5 dB higher antenna gain • 2.6 GHz at 6 dB higher antenna gain the low frequency UHF band is key for cost efficient coverage 1,400 1,230% 1,200 1,000 [%] 800 675% 600 455% 400 200 328% 100% 126% 700 850 / 900 2,100 2,600 [MHz] 3,500 5,800 Source: BBC R&D networks based on UHF need less than a 3rd of the sites compared with higher bands 2013-08-19 | Page 11 2013-08-19 | Page 12 2013-08-19 | Page 13