Transcript Slide 1
Principles of
Corporate Finance
Chapter 5
Why Net Present
Value Leads to
Better Investment
Decisions Than
Other Criteria
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Eighth Edition
Slides by
Matthew Will
Copyright © 2006 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved
5- 2
Topics Covered
A Review of The Basics
– NPV and its Competitors
The Payback Period
– The Book Rate of Return
Internal Rate of Return
Capital Rationing
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NPV and Cash Transfers
Every possible method for evaluating projects
impacts the flow of cash about the company
as follows.
Cash
Investment
opportunity (real
asset)
Firm
Invest
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Shareholder
Alternative:
pay dividend
to shareholders
Investment
opportunities
(financial assets)
Shareholders invest
for themselves
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CFO Decision Tools
Survey Data on CFO Use of Investment Evaluation Techniques
NPV, 75%
IRR, 76%
Payback, 57%
Book rate of
return, 20%
Profitability
Index, 12%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
SOURCE: Graham and Harvey, “The Theory and Practice of Finance: Evidence from the Field,”
Journal of Financial Economics 61 (2001), pp. 187-243.
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5- 5
Net Present Value (NPV)
NPV = The difference between an
investment’s market value (=present value)
and its cost
An investment should be accepted if the
NPV is positive, and rejected otherwise
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NPV Example
Your company is worth three million, 1
million in cash and 2 million in other assets
There are 500.000 shares outstanding, the
expected return on these stock is 12 %
You are offered an investment costing one
million and offering cash flows of 300.000
per year for five years.
Should you accept the offer?
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NPV Example cont.
PV = 300.000(1/0.12 – 1/0.12(1.12)5)
= 1.081.432
NPV = -1.000.000 + 1.081,432 = 81,432
Accept because NPV > 0
Rationale:
– Share price will increase by 16 cents:
• from 6,00 euros to 6,16 euros
What if required return were 17%?
– NPV = -40.196
– Share price would decrease by 8 cents
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Book Rate of Return
Book Rate of Return - Average income divided by average
book value over project life. Also called accounting rate
of return.
book income
Book rate of return
book assets
Managers rarely use this measurement to make decisions.
The components reflect tax and accounting figures, not
market values or cash flows.
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Payback
The payback period of a project is the number of
years it takes before the cumulative forecasted
cash flow equals the initial outlay.
The payback rule says only accept projects that
“payback” in the desired time frame.
This method is flawed, primarily because it
ignores later year cash flows and the the present
value of future cash flows.
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Payback
Example
Examine the three projects and note the mistake
we would make if we insisted on only taking
projects with a payback period of 2 years or less.
Project
C0
C1
A
B
- 2000
- 2000
500
500
C
- 2000 1800
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C2
C3
Payback
Period
NPV@ 10%
500 5000
1800
0
500
0
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Payback
Example
Examine the three projects and note the mistake
we would make if we insisted on only taking
projects with a payback period of 2 years or less.
Payback
C2
C3
Period
500 5000
3
1800
0
2
Project
C0
C1
A
B
- 2000
- 2000
500
500
C
- 2000 1800
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500
0
2
NPV@ 10%
2,624
- 58
50
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Internal Rate of Return
The discount rate that makes NPV zero
Accept the project, if Internal Rate of
Return is greater than the Required return,
IRR > r
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Internal Rate of Return
Example
You can purchase a turbo powered machine tool
gadget for $4,000. The investment will generate
$2,000 and $4,000 in cash flows for two years,
respectively. What is the IRR on this investment?
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Internal Rate of Return
Example
You can purchase a turbo powered machine tool gadget for $4,000.
The investment will generate $2,000 and $4,000 in cash flows for two
years, respectively. What is the IRR on this investment?
2,000
4,000
NPV 4,000
0
1
2
(1 IRR ) (1 IRR )
IRR 28.08%
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Internal Rate of Return
2500
2000
IRR=28%
1000
500
10
0
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
-500
20
0
10
NPV (,000s)
1500
-1000
-1500
-2000
Discount rate (%)
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Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 1 - Lending or Borrowing?
With some cash flows (as noted below) the NPV of the project
increases s the discount rate increases.
This is contrary to the normal relationship between NPV and
discount rates.
Project
C0
C1
IRR NPV @10%
A
1,000 1,500 50%
364
B
1,000 1,500 50%
364
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Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 2 - Multiple Rates of Return
Certain cash flows can generate NPV=0 at two different discount rates.
The following cash flow generates NPV=$A 3.3 million at both IRR%
of (-44%) and +11.6%.
Cash Flows (millions of Australian dollars)
C0
60
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C1...... ......C9
12
12
C10
15
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Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 2 - Multiple Rates of Return
Certain cash flows can generate NPV=0 at two different discount rates.
The following cash flow generates NPV=$A 3.3 million at both IRR% of
(-44%) and +11.6%.
NPV
600
IRR=11.6%
300
Discount
Rate
0
-30
IRR=-44%
-600
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Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 2 - Multiple Rates of Return
It is possible to have no IRR and a positive NPV
– (NPV is positive at all discount rates)
Project
C0
C1
C2
IRR NPV @10%
C
1,000 3,000 2,500 None
339
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Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 3 - Mutually Exclusive Projects
IRR sometimes ignores the magnitude of the project.
The following two projects illustrate that problem.
Project
C0
C1
IRR NPV @10%
D
10,000 20,000 100%
8,182
E
20,000 30,000 75%
11,818
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Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 3 - Mutually Exclusive Projects
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Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 4 - Term Structure Assumption
We assume that discount rates are stable during
the term of the project.
This assumption implies that all funds are
reinvested at the IRR.
This is a false assumption.
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Profitability Index
When resources are limited, the profitability index
(PI) provides a tool for selecting among various
project combinations and alternatives
A set of limited resources and projects can yield
various combinations.
The highest weighted average PI can indicate
which projects to select.
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Profitability Index
Cash Flows ($ millions)
Project C0
C1
A
10 30
B
C
5
5
5
5
C2
5
NPV @ 10%
21
20
15
16
12
Suppose you only have 10 to invest. Choose (A) or (B and C)?
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Profitability Index
Cash Flows ($ millions)
NPV
Profitabil ity Index
Investment
Project Investment($) NPV ($) Profitability Index
A
10
21
2.1
B
C
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5
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3.2
2.4
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Web Resources
Click to access web sites
Internet connection required
www.invest-faq.com/articles/analy-int-rate-return.html
www.rebuild.org/lawson/irr.asp
www.hud.gov/offices/cpd/affordablehousing/training/ener
gy/cost/payback.cfm
www.unix.mcs.anl.gov/otc/Guide/faq/linear-programmingfaq.html
www.faqs.org/faqs/linear-programming-faq/
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