Transcript THE ADMINISTRATIVE DATA RESEARCH AND EVALUATION …

THE ADMINISTRATIVE DATA
RESEARCH AND EVALUATION PROJECT
(ADARE)
BACKGROUND AND OPPORTUNITIES TO
PARTNER
David W. Stevens
The Jacob France Institute
University of Baltimore
&
Jonathan Simonetta
Employment and Training Administration
United States Department of Labor
March 4, 2004
TOPICS COVERED IN THIS PRESENTATION
•
The ADARE project
Brief history since 1998
States included
State research partners
•
Longitudinal files of administrative records
•
Welfare to work research findings: An
example
•
Opportunities to partner
THE ADARE PROJECT
A BRIEF HISTORY
•
The Administrative Data Research and Evaluation Alliance (ADARE)
pairs university and private researchers and state employment
security agencies that maintain longitudinal databases comprised
of the individual member states WIASRD data, labor exchange
data, unemployment insurance wage and benefit records, TANF
records, Perkins/Voc ED records, and education records.
•
ADARE began in 1998 with five state partners
– Florida
– Georgia
– Maryland
– Missouri
– Texas
•
Illinois was added in 1999
•
Washington was added in 2001
•
California and Ohio were added in 2004
– With the addition of CA and OH, the ADARE project covers
approximately 43% of the U.S. workforce.
STATE RESEARCH PARTNERS
• University of California, Berkeley and California
Employment Development Department
• Florida Department of Education and Florida Agency for
Workforce Innovation
• Georgia State University and Georgia Department of Labor
• Northern Illinois University and Illinois Department of
Employment Security
• University of Baltimore and Maryland Department of Labor,
Licensing and Regulation
• University of Missouri, Columbia and Missouri Department
of Economic Development
• The Ohio State University and Ohio Department of Job &
Family Services
• University of Texas, Austin and Texas Workforce
Commission
• The Upjohn Institute for Employment Research and
Washington State Employment Security Department
LONGITUDINAL FILES OF ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS
UI WAGE RECORDS
• Most ADARE project partner state files of UI wage records
begin in early 1990s. All begin no later than mid-1995.
• All UI wage record files are continuous since beginning
year/quarter.
• All UI wage record files are routinely updated quarterly
within four months of the end of the most recent
reference quarter.
• All UI wage record files are maintained by employee
social security number.
• Each quarterly wage record includes a dollar amount and
the reporting employer’s state UI tax account number.
• UI wage record information is confidential. The identity
of employees and employers cannot be disclosed to the
public.
LONGITUDINAL FILES OF ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS
AFDC/TANF CASH ASSISTANCE PAYMENTS
• Longitudinal monthly welfare cash assistance payment files
are maintained by six of the nine ADARE project partners—
FL, GA, IL, MD, MO, and TX.
• These files predate the beginning of TANF. Currently, the
files are routinely updated to include recent cash
assistance payment information.
• Negotiations for the California and Ohio partners to receive
historical TANF data are underway.
• These files document the beginning and ending dates of
each continuous spell of temporary cash assistance
payment.
LONGITUDINAL FILES OF ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS
WORKFORCE INVESTMENT ACT PARTICIPANTS
• Workforce Investment Act Standardized Record (WIASRD)
files are maintained by each of the ADARE project partners.
• WIASRD coverage begins in July 2000 for all states except
Ohio (which begins in July 2001).
• The WIASRD files maintained by the ADARE project
partners include personal attribute, services received, and
outcomes information for each One-Stop customer
registered under Title I-B of the WIA.
• Each partner’s WIASRD file is currently updated annually,
but plans are underway to receive quarterly updates.
LONGITUDINAL FILES OF ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS
OTHER
• The ADARE project partners are currently negotiating
the acquisition of historical UI claimant and Job Service
registrant administrative records.
• A partner-specific matrix of data source time coverage
is being updated as each partner completes successful
(or unsuccessful) negotiation of new file acquisition.
• Some of the ADARE project partners have received
authorized access to public postsecondary education
records for approved research studies.
• Again, all records described in this presentation are
confidential.
• Complex two-party and multi-party data sharing
agreements have been negotiated to permit the
acquisition, maintenance, and use of the confidential
administrative records for approved research and
evaluation purposes.
Low Income and Welfare Client Priorities
Peter Mueser – University of Missouri, Columbia
David Stevens – University of Baltimore, Maryland
Overview
• What are patterns of employment, earnings and
TANF receipt before and after WIA participation?
• How do these differ by type of WIA participation?
• Are there important differences across states?
Method of Analysis
• PY2000 (7/00-6/01) Adult and Dislocated Worker
records are extracted from WIASRD state data files.
• State Unemployment Insurance “wage record” data
are matched, providing quarterly earnings in
– 2 years prior to program year
– program year
– year following program year
• State administrative data identify TANF receipt over
same period.
Method of Analysis
• Employment, mean earnings, and % receiving TANF are
tabulated for each quarter
• States include
– Florida
– Georgia
– Illinois
– Maryland
– Missouri
– Texas
AGGREGATE RESULTS FOR
FLORIDA, GEORGIA, ILLINOIS, MARYLAND, MISSOURI, AND TEXAS
FIGURES 1 & 2
Quarterly Employment
WIA Terminees in PY 2000 (July 2000 - June 2001)
Adult Clients Receiving Core or Intesive Services
Large
Employment
Gains
80%
% Employed
70%
60%
PY 2000
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1998-3 1998-4 1999-1 1999-2 1999-3 1999-4 2000-1 2000-2 2000-3 2000-4 2001-1 2001-2 2001-3 2001-4 2002-1 2002-2
Year-Quarter
Adult
Employment
Adults--Core & Intensive
Adults--Training
AGGREGATE RESULTS FOR
FLORIDA, GEORGIA, ILLINOIS, MARYLAND, MISSOURI, AND TEXAS
FIGURES 1 & 2
6,000
Quarterly Earnings
WIA Terminees in PY 2000 (July 2000 - June 2001)
Adult Clients Receiving Core or Intesive Services
Large
earnings
gains,
especially
for Training
PY 2000
Quarterly Earnings
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
1998-3 1998-4 1999-1 1999-2 1999-3 1999-4 2000-1 2000-2 2000-3 2000-4 2001-1 2001-2 2001-3 2001-4 2002-1 2002-2
Employed
Adult
Earnings
Year-Quarter
Adults--Core & Intensives
Adults--Training
States have
FIGURE 3
very similar
Quarterly Earnings for Employed WIA Exiters July 2000 - June 2001
Adult Clients Receiving Training Services by State
patterns
PY 2000
6,000
Quarterly Earnings
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
1998-3 1998-4 1999-1 1999-2 1999-3 1999-4 2000-1 2000-2 2000-3 2000-4 2001-1 2001-2 2001-3 2001-4 2002-1 2002-2
Year-Quarter
State 1
Adult Earnings
(Training) By State
State 2
State 3
State 4
State 5
State 6
AGGREGATE RESULTS FOR
FLORIDA, GEORGIA, ILLINOIS, MARYLAND, MISSOURI, AND TEXAS
FIGURE 1 & 2
TANF Receipt
WIA Terminees in PY 2000 (July 2000 - June 2001)
14%
PY 2000
12%
% TANF
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
1998-3 1998-4 1999-1 1999-2 1999-3 1999-4 2000-1 2000-2 2000-3 2000-4 2001-1 2001-2 2001-3 2001-4 2002-1 2002-2
Year-Quarter
Adults--Core & Intensive
Adults
TANF
Adults--Training
TANF receipt declines,
AGGREGATE
RESULTS FOR
especially
for
Training
FLORIDA, GEORGIA, ILLINOIS, MARYLAND, MISSOURI, AND TEXAS
participants FIGURE 1 & 2
TANF Receipt
WIA Terminees in PY 2000 (July 2000 - June 2001)
14%
PY 2000
12%
% TANF
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
1998-3 1998-4 1999-1 1999-2 1999-3 1999-4 2000-1 2000-2 2000-3 2000-4 2001-1 2001-2 2001-3 2001-4 2002-1 2002-2
Year-Quarter
Adults--Core & Intensive
Adults
TANF
Adults--Training
OPPORTUNITIES TO PARTNER
References:
– TANF Leavers: Examining the Relationship Between the
Receipt of Housing Assistance and Post-TANF WellBeing, Cityscape, 6:2 (2003), pp. 123-138.
– Work Participation and Length of Stay in HUD-Assisted
Housing, Cityscape, 6:2 (2003), pp. 207-223.
– HUD Announces $54 Million to Train Young People and
Expand Affordable Housing, News Release, December
23, 2003.
– The Role of Program Evaluations and Research Studies
in Assessing Program Performance, Appendix 3:
Performance and Accountability Report, Fiscal Year
2002, pp. A-6 through A-11.
OPPORTUNITIES TO PARTNER
• The purpose of this presentation is to explore ways in
which the ADARE project can supplement the existing
HUD research strategy. To this end we offer some
suggestions on possible research linkages:
– Refinement of Housing Assistance/Post-TANF Well-Being
research and/or Adaptation of Housing Assistance/PostTANF Well-Being research design to post-Workforce
Investment Act sub-populations.
- Research on the dynamics of Housing Assistance, TANF
cash assistance spells and duration, and unemployment
compensation spells and duration.
- Refinement of HUD Work Participation/Length of Stay in
HUD-Assisted Housing research.
- Youthbuild program research—38 percent of current year
funding is in ADARE project states. Also practical to cover
1993-2003 Youthbuild funding in these states.
OPPORTUNITIES TO PARTNER
cont.
– Census Bureau Local Workforce Dynamics Program
Quarterly Workforce Indicators used by ADARE project
partners as context for analysis of affordable housing
supply-and-demand dynamics.
– Content of and access to HUD micro data files?
• Multifamily Tenant Characteristics System (MTCS)
• Tenant Rental Assistance Certification System
(TRACS)
• Other?