Transcript Slide 1
Decision Making Tools for N Management in Corn and Wheat: a U.S. Perspective C.S. Snyder, PhD, CCA Nitrogen Program Director Acknowledgements • IPNI • Paul Fixen • U. of Nebraska – Richard Ferguson • • • Tom Bruulsema Scott Murrell Steve Phillips • Oklahoma State U. – Bill Raun • Iowa State U. – John Sawyer • Virginia Tech. U. – Steve Phillips (IPNI), Mark Alley Public Perception ….. Ag is Bad Actor A Need for Industry to be More Proactive? Nitrogen Use Efficiency • “…… estimated NUE for cereal production ranges from 30 to 35%.” Corn grain produced in the U.S. per unit of fertilizer N used, 1964 to 2005. 1.4 1.15 bu per lb of N 1.3 1.2 * 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.76 0.8 0.7 0.6 *Application rate for 2004 estimated as avg of 2003 & 2005. 0.5 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Since 1975: 51% increase in N efficiency 12% increase in N fertilizer use Data sources: USDA Ag Chem Use Survey & Annual Crop Production. Effects of Crop Harvest N Removal on Net Anthropic Nitrogen Input (NANI) Figure 1. Net anthropogenic N input (NANI) in major sub-basins of the Mississippi River Basin estimated from state level statistics. Source: McIsaac, 2006. Increased Farmer Interest in Better N Management • Increased N costs • Better crop prices • Calibration and verification of newer technologies • Improved farmer skills and availability of professional guidance by crop advisers “The Market” Nov.1, 2007 USGS Spatial Modeling of Stream Nutrient Flux SPAtially Referenced Regression on Watershed Attributes (Smith et al., Water Resour. Res., 1997) Source: Personal comm. – R. Alexander. USGS Kg/ha .01 .01- 0.1 0.1 to 1 1 to 5 5 to 10 >10 N Loss Consequences Requiring Management Attention • Decreased crop production and profitability – Inefficient land use, reduced performance of other crop inputs, reduced water use efficiency • Water resource contamination – eutrophication: lakes, streams, rivers, estuaries – groundwater contamination – coastal water contamination - urea and harmful algal blooms (neurotoxin poisoning) • Air pollution – Ammonia and particulates, nitrous oxide and NOx (global warming, stratospheric ozone depletion, acid rain) U.S. Consumption of N Sources 30,000,000 Short tons of fertilizer 25,000,000 Other 20,000,000 Am. thiosulfate Am. sulfate 15,000,000 N Soln. Am. nitrate 10,000,000 Urea Aqua ammonia 5,000,000 A. ammonia 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 - A. ammonia, urea, and UAN solution consumption in IL, IN, IA, MN, NE, and OH Anhydrous ammonia Urea + UAN Sol. Anhydrous ammonia + urea + UAN 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 2,500,000 Metric tons of N Metric tons of N Year ending June 30 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 Year 1995 2000 2005 2010 2,000,000 AA urea UAN Sol. 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year Decision Support Systems • “Computer programs or recommendation guides used by field practitioners in consultation with farmers/land managers in a facilitated decision making process.” – May or may not include • On-the-go sensing • Remote sensing • Manual sampling and analysis – Soil (30 cm or greater): pre-season, pre-sidedress (corn) – Plant tissue Soft Red Winter Wheat Spring N Recommendations Estimate tiller density at GS 25 Tiller density < 100 tillers ft-2? NO YES Willing to split spring N applications? NO Obtain tissue test at GS 30 Measure soil NO3-N to 1 m at GS 25 Apply N as recommended at GS 30 Apply N as recommended at GS 25 YES Apply N as recommended at GS 25 GS 25 N recommendation, lb/acre GS 25 N APPLICATION Also, have GS 30 N interpretation 60 40 20 0 40 50 60 70 80 90 GS 25 tillers/ft2 100 110 120 N Sensing and Spatial Management in DSS USDA NSTL Okla. State U. U. of MO, P. Scharf Miss. State U., J . Varco USDA ARS, Nebraska USDA-ARS, Missouri InfoAg 2007 Springfield, IL N Management Talks http://www.infoag.org/ConferenceBuilder/cb_SpeakerPictures.asp?ConfID=7 • A Comparison of Approaches to N Management – J. Meisinger • GreenSeeker Experiences – R. Mullen • Developing Optical Sensor-Based N Rate Algorithms – S. Phillips • Crop Circle Experiences – J. Schepers • European Perspective on N Management –H. Matthieu • AgriQuest – D. Lepoutre InfoAg 2007 Springfield, IL N Management Talks http://www.infoag.org/ConferenceBuilder/cb_SpeakerPictures.asp?ConfID=7 • Changing from Yield-based to Yield ResponseBased N Management – P. Fixen • Fertilizer Recommendation Software for Irrigated Corn –R. Ferguson • Precision Agriculture, Apple Pie, Motherhood and Other Good "Stuff“ – D. Fairchild • Slow-Release Nitrogen Products for Nitrogen Conservation – A. Blaylock Agronomic DSS -Examples Variable-Rate N Fertilization of Wheat and Corn in Virginia Steve Phillips, Paul Davis, and Ursula Deitch Eastern Shore Agricultural Research and Extension Center Small Plot Results – Virginia Tech. l l l Used in-field high N reference strips Developed N rate algorithms: wheat and corn Virginia wheat studies: l l l 8% increase in grain yield (7 bu/A or 470 kg/ha) 10% reduction in N (11 kg N/A) Virginia corn studies: l 5% increase in grain yield (11 bu/A or 690 kg/ha) l 21% reduction in N (24 kg N/ha) http://nue.okstate.edu/ http://www.soiltesting.okstate. edu/SBNRC/SBNRC.php N- Rich Strip Approach: Wheat • Jan.- Mar. NDVI readings (value output from the sensors) from N- Rich Strip compared to “Farmer Practice”, and known planting date • Used to estimate biomass, and to predict the obtainable wheat grain yield. • Calibrated algorithms, are used to estimate both the yield and the need for additional N. • Benefits of this approach were valued at about $25/ha Source: Raun et al. Oklahoma State University Mosaic InSite VRN http://www.mosaicco.com/ • “The InSite VRN® (Variable Rate Nutrient) system can be utilized by working closely with your local agronomist to develop a detailed plan for each field using: – – – – – – Variable yield goals across the field Preplant fertility levels Organic-N mineralization Manure N availability Legume N availability Nitrates in irrigation water” Environmentally-Driven or Motivated DSS http://www.soil.ncsu.edu/nmp/ncnm wg/ncanat/about.htm • Nitrogen Loss Estimation Worksheet (NLEW) • Phosphorus Loss Assessment Tool (PLAT) • Neuse River and Tar-Pamlico River Basins – animal waste and other nutrient loss, public policy, “environmentally driven” tools • Development supported by EPA 319(h) funds, with little to no state government financing Fertilizer Recommendation Software for Irrigated Corn • Richard B. Ferguson • Dept. of Agronomy & Horticulture • University of Nebraska University of Nebraska Nitrogen Recommendation Algorithm for Corn N Rate (lb/acre) = 35 + (1.2 x EY) – (8 x NO3-N) – (0.14 x EY x OM). = Expected yield (bu/acre) AreEYrecommendations NO -N = Root zone residual nitrate-N (ppm) developed OM = Soil organicfrom matter (%)research 20 – Additional credits for legumes, manure and irrigation water 30 years ago still valid today? subtracted from basic algorithm. 3 Developed from 81 site/years of research conducted between 1976 and 1982; 51 irrigated, 30 dryland. Implemented in 1990. Nebraska N Rate Calculator for Corn soilfertility.unl.edu Work is underway, with coordination led by IPNI, to include N fertilization logic • • • • Corn Belt Regional N Rate Recommendation Iowa Illinois Wisconsin Minnesota Hong, N., P.C. Scharf, J. G. Davis, N.R. Kitchen, and K.A. Sudduth. 2007 Economically Optimal Nitrogen Rate Reduces Soil Residual Nitrate J. Environ. Qual. 36:354–362 • EONR should be evaluated at both wholeand sub-field scales • Both environmental impacts of N fertilizer and economic needs, to avoid overapplication of N, can be addressed by applying the EONR • Techniques might be based on crop reflectance sensors, aerial imagery, soil tests, and/or soil/landscape attributes. SUMMARY • Corn decision support software Regional N rate calculator approach • considers previous crop, crop and fertilizer N price ratio extension.agron.iastate.edu/soilfertility/nrate.aspx Great Plains states approach Considers rainfed and irrigated production and wider climatic variety, generally include yield goal, soil organic matter and residual nitrate in addition to previous crop and economic factors. soilfertility.unl.edu • Wheat decision support software Ramped calibration strips, in-season sensing. • http://nue.okstate.edu/ Nutrient Use Efficiency Fertilizer N BMPs Nutrient Use Efficiency and Effectiveness: Indices of Agronomic and Environmental Benefit Nitrogen DSS Essentials • Practical, user-friendly • Field-calibrated and verified • Sensitive to site-specific considerations: – – – – agronomic response (yield and yield gain) weather (rainfall, temperature) soil characteristics (physical, chemical, biological) environmental loss (to minimize (optimize?) water and air discharge/emission) • Risks of loss • Magnitude of loss – short-term and long-term economics – personal grower choice (owned or rented land) – measures of Nutrient Use Efficiency IPNI Member Companies and Affiliates Questions?