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London and the regional economy Brian Robson Centre for Urban Policy Studies What London thinks today, London thinks tomorrow • London now the only English region with a strategic plan • “The only prudent course is to plan for continued growth. Any other course would either require fundamental changes in policy at national level or could lead to London being unprepared for growth. (The London Plan, 2011) • Manchester’s transformation achieved through: Strong and consistent civic leadership Dynamic private sector Support of central government The geography of urban primacy • Centrifugal flows – off to the playground: students, retirees, holidays and second homes • Centripetal flows – the serious business: suck in talent and high flyers collect headquarters (the anti-HS2 argument) Flows of university students North East North West Yorks/Humber East Midlands West Midlands South West East South East London Flows to university Flows to first job Undergrads Postgrads Graduates Postgrads Ratio Univ:Home 1.38 1.06 1.44 1.34 0.90 1.00 0.58 0.81 0.92 Ratio:First job:Univ 0.74 0.95 0.77 0.70 1.03 0.93 1.51 1.14 1.42 Ratio Univ:Home 1.19 0.94 1.31 1.34 0.90 1.00 0.88 0.84 1.18 Ratio:First job:Univ 0.86 0.96 0.87 0.77 0.99 1.04 1.25 1.29 1.00 First job destinations of Yorks students North % Elsewhere Elsewhere Sheffield 1731 1382 44.4 Leeds 2749 1944 41.4 York 914 609 40.0 Sheffield Hallam 2579 1381 34.9 Hull 1716 701 29.0 Bradford 857 277 24.4 Leeds Met 2052 511 19.9 Trinity all Saints 395 98 19.9 York St John 754 167 18.1 Huddersfield 2360 350 12.9 Company headquarters Financial services Legal services UK headquarters No of companies UK headquarters No of companies London Manchester Leeds Dorking Edinburgh Glasgow Liverpool Reading Sheffield York 73 5 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 London Liverpool Manchester Newcastle Hull Sheffield Leeds Preston York 12 9 6 5 4 3 2 2 2 Top 25 Global law firms Rank Firm HQ country UK branch locations 1 2 UK UK London London US London 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Clifford Chance Linklaters Skadden ARPS Slate Meagher & Flom Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer Latham & Watkins Baker & Mckenzie Allen & Overy Jones Day Sidley Austin White & Case Weil Gotshal & Manges Mayer Brown Rowe & Maw Kirkland & Ellis UK US US UK US US US US US US 14 DLA Piper (US) US 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Sullivan & Cromwell Greenberg Traurig Shearman & Sterling WilmerHale O'Melveny & Myers Morgan Lewis & Bockius Mcdermott Will & Emery Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton Gibson Dunn & Crutcher Simpson Thacher & Bartlett Lovells US US US US US US US London London London London London London London London London London London, Birmingham, Edinburgh, Glasgow, Leeds, Liverpool, Manchester, Sheffield, Bradford London London London London, Oxford London London London US US US UK London London London London 3 22 23 24 25 Northern financial services: structural links Aberdeen 60+ Links 40-59 Links 20-39 Links Edinburgh Glasgow Newcastle Belfast York Preston Leeds Manchester Liverpool Sheffield Nottingham Leicester Norwich Birmingham Milton Keynes Cambridge Cardiff Bristol Reading London Exeter Southampton Brighton Northern legal services: structural links Glasgow 10+ Links 5-9 Links Edinburgh Newcastle Stockton York Preston Hull Leeds Chorley Manchester Liverpool Sheffield Birmingham Cardiff Bristol London DATAR classification 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 London & Paris Brussels Diverse metros Metro ports Science led Business led University led Services led Industry led Tourism led Commerce led Agricultural/mining Clark/Moonen – Revived post-industrial cities • Examples Manchester, Barcelona, Lyon, Warsaw • Attributes: Gateways to regional market Mix of services, retail and science Higher education • Priorities: Build international HE Economy Attract & retain entrepreneurs Leverage sport & culture Improve rail/air links Policy prescriptions • Devolution: - LEPs and City Deals a valuable start - ‘Council of the North’ • Graduate retention • More BBC-type relocations • Stand HS2 on its head HS2 reversed