Transcript Background and objectives of the Revision of the Revised

INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
NATIONAL GREENHOUSE GAS INVENTORIES PROGRAMME
UNEP
WMO
The 2006 IPCC Guidelines
Simon Eggleston
Head, Technical Support Unit for the IPCC National
Greenhouse Gas Inventories Programme
Note:
 Production of new guidelines is still at an early
stage (due 2006)
 Guidelines still need to be compiled and reviewed
 So cannot state definitively contents of new guidelines
 Can indicate areas where changes or additions are
anticipated
 We will introduce issues that have arisen while
drafting the volumes
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The Existing IPCC Guidelines
 Comprise three parts:
 Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines For National
Greenhouse Gas Inventories
 Good Practice Guidance and Uncertainty Management
in National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (GPG 2000)
 Good Practice Guidance for Land Use, Land-Use
Change and Forestry (GPG2003)
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Guidelines have been very successful.
 The approach provides options for all countries.
 There are methods for almost all source and sink
categories.
 The IPCC created standardized reporting tables
 Successfully standardized source sink category
definitions, units, classifications, and reporting
techniques
 Have become the standard reference for
inventories
 Have played a critical role in furthering the goals of
the UNFCCC.
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IPCC Good Practice Guidance
 Framework for prioritizing resources through guidance
on methodological choice and key category analysis
 Guidance on QA/QC, quantitative uncertainty
analysis, methodological choice, reporting and
documentation, time series and consistency
 LULUCF change from activity-based to land usebased accounting system
 New guidance on land classification, Kyoto
accounting, additional categories
 New reporting structure and tables
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However
 Basis of Guidelines now 10 years old
 New information, scientific and technical advances
have appeared
 Further sources have been identified or have arisen
 Time for a complete revision of the guidelines
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Mandate
 SBSTA17 invited the IPCC to revise the Revised 1996
IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas
Inventories, taking into consideration the relevant work
under the Convention and the Kyoto Protocol, and to
aim to complete the work by early 2006.
 In response to the SBSTA request, IPCC agreed the
terms of reference and outline of the work at IPCC XXI
in late 2003.
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2006 Guidelines
 Will be based on
 the existing Guidelines and Good Practice
Guidance reports
 Emission Factor Database (EFDB)
 Advances in science and technology
 The experience in the use of GLs/GPGs as well
as experience from UNFCCC inventory reviews
(e.g.FCCC/SBSTA/2003/INF.10)
 A key principle will be to approach the revision
with flexibility but to maintain the existing
structure as much as possible to facilitate the
job of inventory preparers (evolution not
revolution)
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2006 Guidelines – 5 Volumes
Contents:
Overview
1.
Cross-cutting Issues, and Reporting Tables
2.
Energy
3.
Industrial Processes and Product Use (IPPU)
4.
Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU)
5.
Waste
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Volume 1: Cross-cutting topics
 Revised and consistent general guidance on
 QA/QC,
 Quantitative uncertainty analysis,
 Methodological choice,
 Data selection,
 Reporting and documentation,
 Time series and consistency
 NEW recommendation for key category analysis
level of assessment
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Volume 2: Energy
 Methods for most sources are well developed from the
1996 Guidelines and Good Practice
 Some important issues:
 Treatment of energy use of fossil fuel,
 Accounting for atmospheric oxidation of CH4,
NMVOCs, and CO (e.g., fugitive CH4 from coal
mining, oil & gas)
 Capture and storage of CO2
 Abandoned coal mines
 Aviation and marine emissions
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Volume 3: IPPU
 Merging of Industrial Processes and Solvents
chapters from the 1996 Guidelines
 Significant development on F-gases
 Areas for new work:
 Flat-panel display
 Broader coverage of mineral and chemical
industry
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Volume 4: AFOLU
 New structure merges Agriculture and LUCF to
resolve inconsistencies and avoid double
counting/omissions.
 Builds on the work of GPG 2000 and GPG 2003,
particularly the shift to consistent land classification
approach
 Countries have had very little experience with LUCF
GPG
 General need to streamline the guidance in LUCF
GPG
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Volume 5: Waste
 No major restructuring necessary
 Areas for further development/new methods:
 Improvement of emission factors for developing
countries
 Methodological work on accounting for reductions
in CH4 from landfills
 Development of improved Default method for Landfill
sites
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2006 Guidelines - Gases
Current coverage:
CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs and SF6 (direct GHGs)
NOx, CO and NMVOC and SO2 (indirect GHG;
precursors)
New gases identified in the IPCC TAR will be included if
they meet following criteria:
 GWP Available
 Anthropogenic sources identified
 Basis for methodological development
 Relative importance total emissions
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Precursors & Indirect GHG
 NOx, CO and NMVOC and SO2
 A need for development for New methods for
ozone precursors is not anticipated as these are
addressed under other agreements and
conventions.
 Users referred to other guidance
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2006 Guidelines – New Sources
 New Sources will be included if the following criteria
are met:
 Basis for methodological development including
the ability to develop default emission factors
exists
 It is feasible to obtain the necessary data to
implement the method
 The source is significant within the sector.
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Work Plan
Jul 04
IPPU
Washington
Jun 04
AFOLU
Mauritius
May 04
CC &
CLA
Oslo
Nov 04
Waste
Canada
Sep 04
Energy
Arusha
May 04 - Dec 04
Write First Order Draft
2004
Jan 05
First
Order
Draft
Dec 05
Final
Draft
Jun 05
Produce
Second Order Draft
Mar 05 - Apr 05
Expert Review
Sep 05 - Oct 05
Expert/Government
Review
2005
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SUBSTA
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Apr 06
IPCC Approval
Mar 06
Government
Consideration
2006
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Conclusions
 Writing is still continuing - First Order Draft nearly
finished – due January 2005
 Review not undertaken yet - So cannot be definitive
on any changes in guidelines
 However many improvements identified
 Guidelines to target for delivery in 2006
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