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Jim Steer Director Greengauge 21 Director HSR Industry Leaders HS2 – more than a railway HS2: Building in the benefits at the local level PTRC London 25th November 2014 PTRC London 1 Starting points “A railway is not a strategy….” Prof Tony Ridley CBE 25th November 2014 PTRC London 2 HS2 Objectives 1. Capacity Performance reliability 2. Connectivity Economists’ construct (generalised cost) 3. Rebalancing the economy Coalition Government policy 25th November 2014 PTRC London 3 More than a railway… Transport • Across all of the modes of transport • In rail: not just intercity: • freight, commuter, regional and local rail (capacity released) • access transport Economy • Improve productivity • Bring businesses closer together • Expand labour markets • ‘Create’ jobs? • Change the pattern of regional growth… Social and environmental implications too 25th November 2014 PTRC London 4 The wider issue “We have a choice…cities in terminal decline, starved of infrastructure investment, poorly connected and unable to compete with developments on the urban fringes” “Or…enable our cities to grow and prosper, with new high-speed services between the major centres, complemented by better transport within urban areas allied to decisive city planning focused on high quality and sustainability.” Greengauge 21 Manifesto: the High Speed Rail Initiative January 2006 25th November 2014 PTRC London 5 The role of HSR in a sentence “to support a pattern of sustainable development across Britain” 25th November 2014 PTRC London 6 Transport • Highways Agency capital budget £1.5bn to £3.8bn pa 2020/1 • North of England 3-4% annual traffic growth….114% increase in time loss from congestion by 2040 • M62 – managed motorway programme reaches capacity by 2028 • Airport capacity decisions? 25th November 2014 PTRC London 7 Using released capacity – the Government’s six principles (October 2013) • Places with direct London services today – comparable or better after HS2 opens • Additional commuter capacity • Spread benefits to many towns and cities on existing network • Fully integrate HS2 services into existing network • Grow railfreight • Improve performance with more robust timetables. 25th November 2014 PTRC London 8 And conversely, freeing up capacity for HSR (for Gare du Nord (illustrated) read Euston) 25th November 2014 PTRC London 9 Economy 1. Development around stations Paul Deighton task force: ‘HS2 Ready’ Market response requires new planning frameworks 2. To rebalance the economy needs more than a set of railbased business parks City-wide Across City Regions Intermediate and extended network locations 3. Integrate investment and industrial policy Build a new export sector (just like automotive) 25th November 2014 PTRC London 10 Thinking through sustainability does affect design and outcomes • HSR stations work best in city centres • That’s where the fast growing knowledge intensive jobs are • That’s where the best access transport is • That’s how best to support sustainable development • Second tier cities and towns matter too • Removing existing through services, especially to London is very unpopular and with so much more capacity should be unnecessary • On freight • More railfreight is the key to getting a net carbon reduction from HS2 25th November 2014 PTRC London 11 High speed rail “to support a pattern of sustainable development across Britain” 25th November 2014 PTRC London 12 Thank you 25th November 2014 PTRC London 13