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Sharing guidelines knowledge: can the dream come true? Medinfo panel Cape Town, September 15, 2010 Motivation The vision of sharing executable clinical knowledge can be achieved only if we: 2 Standardize platforms for deploying scalable knowledge based services Ensure services are mutually compatible and interoperable and free of institution-specific details Develop reusable content and service components Support automated cross-verification for quality and safety Establish communities of practice who share, maintain, update, and improve content Objectives Raise awareness of the practical challenges involved in maintaining repositories of sharable executable clinical knowledge 3 Challenges with maintaining a repository Defining what knowledge can be shared and how Challenges in piecing together knowledge into a care plan and integrating it with EHR data If the knowledge if free, what’s the business model and incentives for contributing knowledge? Panel participants 4 John Fox, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, UK Robert Greenes, Ira A. Fulton Chair of the Department of Biomedical Informatics, Arizona State Univercity, Phoenix Sheizaf Rafaeli, Head of the Graduate School of Management and Sagy Internet Research Center, University of Haifa, Israel Mor Peleg, Head of the Department of Information Systems at the University of Haifa What shall we discuss? John Fox Bob Greenes Mor Peleg Sheizaf Rafaeli 5 Life-cycle approach for sharable knowledge-based patient-care services Methodology for distilling sharable knowledge from business/ implementation considerations Methods for weaving medical knowledge services into an application and for mapping clinical abstractions into EHRs Incentives and business models for a knowledge-sharing community John Fox 20th Anniversary Gold Medal Award Options for addressing open-source publishing of medical knowledge, drawing on lessons learned in the OpenClinical project 6 OpenClinical: Open Source? John Fox University of Oxford (Engineering Science) UCL (Oncology, Royal Free Hospital) www.cossac.org www.OpenClinical.org • Goal: To promote awareness and use of decision support, clinical workflow and other knowledge management technologies for improving quality and safety of patient care and clinical research. • A resource and portal for technologists, clinicians, healthcare providers and suppliers • Currently about 200,000 visitors a year (80% growth in 2010) www.OpenClinical.net • Experimental project to explore how to develop content for high quality clinical decision support and workflow services at the point of care • Goal is to build a community of users, researchers and content providers who are willing to contribute to the development of a repository of open content, including applications and application components OpenClinical.net test site pro tem: modx.openclinical.net Content development lifecycle • Prototype development model for open source content repository on www.OpenClinical.net • Currently limited to PROforma decision and process modelling language • Intended to eventually multiple representations (e.g. GLIF, ASBRU, GELLO, OWL ...) Load from, save to repository Download tools www.cossac.org/tallis Web publishing (“publets”) Integrate and Deploy Key questions for open content • Quality and Safety – Quality lifecycles, safety culture, who is liable? • Reusability and interoperability – Open technical standards, who is developing them? • Functioning community (Sheizaf Rafaelli) – What will sustain the open source ethic? • Facilitating infrastructure (Bob Greenes) – Three organisations; too little? too much? • Sustainable business models – How do the proprietary/open source worlds coexist? Sustainable business models (1) • Traditional standalone apps? • Issues of integration and localisation • Likes fragmentation; hates interoperability • Pay per patient (analogous to pay per view) • Who would/should actually pay? • No-one pays for Adjuvant! Online Sustainable business models (2) • Standard medical publishing model • Commercially viable on a publishing model? (Clinical Evidence) • Discussion on www.berkerynoyes.com/ pages/innovations_in_evidence_based_medicine.aspx • Open Source with value-adding services? (c.f. Linux model) • Attractive model but how can we achieve critical mass of a content development community? Towards an open content lifecycle? Ioannis Chronakis Vivek Patkar Richard Thomson Matt South Ali Rahmanzadeh Thank you Robert Greenes MUMPS Morningside Initiative Morris Collen Award Sharing medical knowledge involves separation between the medical content and the business/applications considerations 22 Toward sharing of clinical decision support knowledge - A focus on rules Robert A. Greenes, MD, PhD Arizona State University Phoenix, AZ, USA Purpose of this talk • Identify key challenges to CDS adoption with focus on rules – Expressed in terms of 3 hypotheses: 1. Sharing is key to widespread adoption of CDS 2. Sharing of rules is difficult 3. Sharing can be facilitated by a formal approach to rule refinement Hypothesis 1: Sharing is key to widespread adoption of CDS • We know how to do CDS! – Over 40 years of study and experiments • Many evaluations showing effectiveness Rules as a central focus • Importance of rules – – – – Can serve as alerts, reminders, recommendations Can be run in background as well as interactively Can fire at point of need Same logic can be used in multiple contexts • e.g., drug-lab interaction rule can fire in CPOE, as lab alert, or as part of ADE monitoring – Can invoke actions such as orders, scheduling, routing of information, as well as notifications • Relation to guidelines – Function as executable components when GLs are integrated with clinical systems • Poised for huge expansion – Knowledge explosion – genomics, new technologies, new tests, new treatments – Emphasis on quality measurement and reporting Yet beyond basics, there is very little use of CDS • Positive experience not replicated and disseminated widely – – – – Largely in academic centers <30% penetration Much less in small offices Pace of adoption barely changing • Only scratching surface of potential uses – – – – drug dose & interaction checks simple alerts and reminders personalized order sets Narrative infobuttons, guidelines Adoption challenges • Possible reasons 1. 2. Users don’t want it Bad implementations • Time-consuming, inappropriate • Disruptive 3. Adoption is difficult • • • • Finding knowledge sources Adapting to platform Adapting to workflow and setting Managing and updating knowledge • But new incentives and initiatives rewarding quality over volume can address #1 – Health care reform, efforts to reduce cost while preserving and enhancing safety and quality • And #2 AND #3 can be addressed by sharing of best practices knowledge – Including workflow adaptation experience Hypothesis 2: Sharing of rules is difficult • Rules knowledge seems deceptively simple: – ON lab result serum K+ – IF K+ > 5.0 mEq/L – THEN Notify physician • Even complex logic has similar EventCondition-Action (ECA) form – ON Medication Order Entry Captopril – IF Existing Med = Dyazide AND proposed Med = Captopril AND serum K+ > 5.0 – THEN page MD Why is sharing not done? • Perception of proprietary value – Users, vendors don’t want to share – Non-uptake even with: • Standards like Arden Syntax for 15 years, GELLO for 5 years • Knowledge sources such as open rules library from Columbia since 1995, and guidelines.gov, Cochrane, EPCs, etc., - most not in computable form • Failure of initiatives such as IMKI in 2001 • Lack of robust knowledge management – To track variations, updates, interactions, multiple uses • Same basic rule logic in different contexts • Beyond capabilities of smaller organizations and practices to undertake • Embeddedness – – – – – In non-portable, non-standard formats & platforms in clinical setting in application in workflow in business processes Example of difficulty in sharing • Consider simple medical rules, e.g., – If Diabetic, then check HbA1c every 6 months – If HbA1c > 6.5% then Notify • Multiple translations – Based on how triggered, how/when interact, what thresholds set, how notify – Actual form incorporates site-specific thresholds, modes of interaction, and workflow • Multiple rules have similar intent • Differences relate to how triggered, how delivered, thresholds, process/workflow integration • Challenge is to identify core medical knowledge and to develop a taxonomy to capture types of implementation differences Setting-specific factors (“SSFs”) • Triggering/identification modes – Registry, encounter, periodic panel search, patient list for day, … – Inclusions, exclusions • • Interaction modes, users, settings Data mappings & definitions, e.g., – What is diabetes - code sets, value sets, constraint logic? – What is serum HbA1c procedure? • Data availability/entry requirements – Thresholds, constraints • Logic/operations approaches – Advance, late, due now, … • Exceptions – Refusal, lost to follow up, … • Actions/notifications – Message, pop-up, to do list, order, schedule, notation in chart, requirement for acknowledgment, escalation, alternate. … Hypothesis 3: Sharing can be facilitated by a formal approach to rule refinement • Develop an Implementers’ Workbench • Start with EBM statement • Progress through codification and incorporation of SSFs • Output in a form that is consumable “directly” by the implementer site or vendor Life Cycle of Rule Refinement Start with EBM statement Stage 1. Identify key elements and logic – who, when, what to be done – – 2. Structured headers, unstructured content Medically specific Formalize definitions and logic conditions – – 3. Structured headers, structured content (terms, code sets, etc.) Medically specific Specify adaptations for execution – – 4. Taxonomy of possible workflow scenarios and operational considerations Selected particular workflow- and setting- specific attributes for particular sites Convert to target representation, platform, for particular implementation – – – Host language (Drools, Java, Arden Syntax, …) Host architecture: rules engine, SOA, other Ready for execution Four current projects addressing this challenge EBM statement 1. Identify key elements and logic – who, when, what to be done 2. Formalize definitions and logic conditions 3. Identify possible workflow scenarios – model rules, defining classes of operation 4. Convert to target representation, platform, for particular implementation Idealized life cycle / Morningside / KMR / AHRQ SCRCDS/ SHARP 2B What we hope to accomplish • • • • Implementers’ Workbench (IW) Taxonomy of SSFs Knowledge base of rules Approach – Vendor, implementer, other project input, buy-in, collaboration – Taxonomy as amalgam of NQF expert panel, Morningside/SHARP/Advancing-CDS workflow studies, SCRCDS implementation considerations – Diabetes, USPS Task Force prevention and screening A&B recommendations, and Meaningful Use eMeasures converted to eRecommendations as initial foci – Prototyping, testing, and iterative refinement of IW What we expect to share • • • • Experience/know-how Knowledge content Methods/tools Standards/models Standards/models • • • • • • Representation Data model/code sets Definitions Templates Taxonomies Transformation processes Where CDS should go from here? • Need for coordination – Multiple efforts underway – Need to coalesce and align these • Need sustainable process – Multi-stakeholder buy-in, participation, support, commitment to use • Need to demonstrate success – Small-scale trials – Larger-scale deployment built on success • Expansion to other kinds of CDS Comments? Questions? Mor Peleg GLIF3 Process Mining New Investigator Award Biomedical Ontologies K KDOM Data 42 Weaving medical knowledge services into applications. Using a mapping ontology to map medical knowledge into institutional data Implementing decisionsupport systems by piecing sharable knowledge components Mor Peleg, University of Haifa Medinfo panel, Cape Town, September 15, 2010 Motivation Computerized guidelines have shown positive impacts on clinicians but they take time to develop Solution: Share executable GL components, stored in Medical Knowledge Repository Assemble computerized GLs from components Map the GL’s medical terms into institutional EHR fields Examples of medical resources that could be shared and assembled Medical calculators Risk-assessment tools Drug databases Controlled terminologies (e.g. SNOMED) Authoring, validation, and execution tools for computer-interpretable GLs Component interface Peleg, Fox, et al. (2005) LNCS 3581 pp.156-160. The interface can be used for Sharing components Indexing and searching for components Using the attributes: clinical sub-domain, relevant authoring stages, and goals Assembling components into a GL Specifying the guideline's skeleton language (e.g., GLIF, PROforma) into which components can be integrated Example: providing advice on regimens for treating breast cancer Get patient Data Prescribe regimen Is patient eligible for evaluating therapy choices? Calculate regimen Adjuvant's lifeexpectancy calculator Choose option Filter out nonbeneficial and contraindicated therapies Present choices to user Using Standards Skeleton can be any GL formalism Eligibility criteria expressed in GELLO standard Referring to the HL7-RIM patient data model Integrating assembled guideline with EHR data Encode once but link to different EMRs Global-as-View Mapping Ontology + SQL Query Generator RIM 50 Peleg et al., JBI 2008 41(1):180-201 Knowledge-Data Ontology Mapper (KDOM) Patient has Palpable Breast Mass or Hard_Breast_Mass GELLO interpreter anyEMR Guideline Expression (need not use EMR’s terms) “Breast Mass = true” KDOM mapping classes: Direct, Hierarchical, Logical, Temporal KDOM mapping instances SQL query generator SQL query Evaluated expression Query result: RIM view Palpable Breast Mass is-a Breast Mass. Palpabale 51 Breast Mass is stored in the Problems table true Observation of Breast Mass Summary 52 A repository of tested executable medical knowledge components that would be published on the Web Framework for specifying the interface of components so that they could be searched for and integrated within a Computerized GL specification KDOM used to integrate the medical knowledge with institutional EMRs Thanks! [email protected] Hope to see you at AIME 2011, July 2-6, 2011, Bled, Slovenia 53 Sheizaf Rafaeli survey and contrast social, technical, hierarchical and market-based models for motivating and maintaining the sharing of information and processing tools 54 Sharing Guidelines Knowledge: can the dream come true? Sheizaf Rafaeli [email protected] http://rafaeli.net MedInfo 2010 Bits Replacing Atoms 56 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net Moore, Gilder, Metcalfe, Reed utility users 57 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net Information Overload Economics of Scarcity vs. Economics of Abundance? 58 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net What’s really new? • Access has become widespread • Information as a commodity; IT as a commodity “Does IT matter “? Transmission has been solved • Information is an experience good • The impossible ease of copying • Disintermediation • Free information has become commonplace, normative, expected. Both free and for-fee information occupy the same net 59 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net “Free” as in free speech, or as in free beer? • New Rules for the New Economy : 10 Radical Strategies for a Connected World by Kevin Kelly • “Information Rules : A Strategic Guide to the Network Economy by Carl Shapiro, Hal R. Varian 60 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net 61 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net How is UGC motivated? 62 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net The Value of Information • • • • • • Public source Commodity Overload History Technology Psychology? • • • • • • • Private source Uniqueness Timing Presentation Tailoring Technology Network effects Emphasis on distinction between Private and Public Suggesting the Subjective Value of Info 63 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net Wikipedia: a system that shouldn’t work, but does. Participation Power Laws and Long Tail כלים מוזרים לתיגמול Wiki “barnstars” Web 2.0 UGC and Coproduction 65 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net Further personal stakes in info value • Information markets http://answers.google.com • Online Scientific Journals http://jcmc.indiana.edu • Citizens’ Advice Bureaus http://shil.info • Wikis http://misbook.yeda.info • Online Higher Ed systems http://qsia.org • Games and Serious Games 66 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net 67 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net 68 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net SHIL (שרות יעוץ לאזרח )שי"ל Citizen Advice Bureaux (CABs) Established 1957 55 “Brick and Mortar” offices Telephone hot line & Internet web site, operated at the Univ. of Haifa Sagy Center Operated by Volunteers, coordinated and funded by the Israeli Ministry of Social Affairs and Social Services in collaboration with municipalities. Ownership… • Legal Perspective Vs. Open Source, Peer-to-Peer, UGC, Web 2.0, etc. • Apply 19th century property law to 21st century reality? • Legality: "fair use" "first sale" "prior art" doctrines • Open Innovation 70 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net Discussion • Still LOTS to study and learn… • Interactivity and Social Motivations seem to be king • A high (too high?) overall subjective value for information. • As predicted by the Endowment Effect theory, WTA for information was significantly larger than WTP for information • This predicts undertrading. Implications for system design 73 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net Discussion (2) • Information is a commodity. Nevertheless, information is still easier to duplicate, easy to share, and ownership of it proves more difficult to enforce • Society has not yet adjusted its information consumption patterns to the present situation of information abundance • Scoring and Governance Rules! 74 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net Thank you [email protected] http://rafaeli.net 76 [email protected], http://rafaeli.net Provocative statements 77 Statement 1 78 A national or international effort can be put together to create a repository of implementable knowledge. Statement 2 79 Guideline sharing could be achieved within 10 years Statement 3 80 Guideline sharing at the implementation level requires separation into component steps that can be individually implemented, because of differences in process/work flow that prevent the guideline from being adopted in its entirety Statement 4 81 True sharing of executable medical knowledge could never be achieved because knowledge could not be separated from institutional adaptations Statement 5 82 Guideline formalization activities do not typically address implementation settings and requirements Statement 6 83 The benefits of formalizing and sharing clinical knowledge are beyond dispute: the challenge now is to establish principles of safe deployment and use in clinical service design Statement 7 84 As in so many other fields of engineering, one of the keys to effective and safe deployment will be open technical standards (covering medical concepts, clinical vocabulary, task models for example) Statement 8 85 Adoption of standards will be necessary but will not be sufficient for success: another vital challenge is to persuade the commercial world of medical IT, publishing, etc. to develop business models that accept and build on open standards Statement 9 86 If information “wants to be free” why discuss incentives for sharing anyway? Statement 10 87 The only types of incentives for sharing are material, social, or egooriented. Statement 11 Which of these incentives is more available (material, social, or ego-oriented) Which is more likely to generate results (material, social, or ego-oriented) Which has more leverage for potential participating scientists? (material, social, or ego-oriented) 88 Statement 12 89 Ever since Fred Brook’s “Mythical Man-Month” vs. Eric Raymond’s “The Cathedral and the Bazaar”, we’ve seen a conflict between orderly design and sharing. Following Brook’s recent “Design of Design”, should the notions of iterative design be applied to sharing; or is the Open Code approach the way to go? Discussion 90 Thank you! 91 Rafaeli, S. and Raban, D. (2003) , The Subjective Value of Information: An experimental comparison of willingness to purchase or sell information, JAIS: The Journal of the Association for Information Systems (AIS). Vol. 4:5 pp. 119-139 Rafaeli, S. & Raban, D.R. (2003 ) The Subjective Value of Information : Trading expertise vs. content, copies vs. originals in E-Business, The Third International Conference on Electronic Business (ICEB 2003), pp. 451-455. Rafaeli, S. and Raban, D.R. (2005) Information Sharing Online: A Research Challenge, in the International Journal of Knowledge and Learning, (inaugural issue), Vol. 1, Issue 1-2, pp. 62-80. , Raban, D.R. and Rafaeli, S. (2006) , The Effect of Source Nature and Status on the Subjective Value of Information , Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology ( JASIST ), Volume 57, Issue 3 (p 321329) Rafaeli, S., Raban, R.D., & Ravid, G., (2005). Social and Economic Incentives in Google Answers. ACM Group 2005 conference, Sanibel Island, Florida, November 2005. http://jellis.net/research/group2005/papers/RafaeliRabanRavidGoogleAnswers Group05.pdf M. Harper, D. Raban, S. Rafaeli, J. Konstan, Predictors of Answer Quality in Online Q&A Sites. CHI 2008. D. Raban, M. Harper, Motivations for Answering Questions Online. Book chapter in New Media and Innovative Technologies (Caspi, D., Azran, T. eds.), 2007. Rafaeli, S., Raban, D.R. and Ravid, G. (2007) 'How social motivation enhances economic activity and incentives in the Google Answers knowledge sharing market', International Journal of Knowledge and Learning ( IJKL ), Vol. 3, No. 1, pp.1-11.