Transcript Slide 1

The Reality of Risk
Dam Safety in the 21st Century
• PFMA as a Dam Safety Tool – Joe Ehasz
• FERC Regulator Perspective – Doug Johnson
• USACE Perspective – Doug Boyer
• Owner Perspective - Bill Christman
2013 NW Hydroelectric Conference
Portland, OR February 19, 2013
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The Reality of Risk
Dam Safety in the 21st Century
The PFMA Process as a Dam Safety Tool
Joe Ehasz
URS Energy & Construction, Inc
2013 NW Hydroelectric Conference
Portland, OR February 19, 2013
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The Reality of Risk
Potential Failure Mode Analysis (PFMA)
The process utilized to determine the Potential Failure Modes
pertinent to the dam under investigation
Essentially asks the Question:
• How could this dam fail
• What happens if it does
• Are the identified potential failure modes recognized
• What actions can be taken to reduce the dam failure likelihood
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The Reality of Risk
Presentation of Three Actual Dam Failures that :
1. Were scheduled to have PFMA performed
2. Failed prior to PFMA
3. Failure could have been avoided if PFMA process had been done
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The Reality of Risk
Three Actual Dam Failures
1. Swift 2 Forebay Dam – Washington - Failed April 21,2002
2. Silver Lake – Michigan - Failed May 14, 2003
3. Taum Sauk Upper Reservoir Dam – Missouri - Failed Dec. 14, 2005
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The Reality of Risk
Swift No. 2 Hydroelectric Project
Forebay Dam Failure
April 21, 2002
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The Reality of Risk
Swift No.2 Hydro Project
Constructed - 1957 – 1958
• Length of water supply
canal – 3 miles
• Impoundment - 2400 ac-ft
• Embankment height in
forebay – 93 ft
• Max water depth – 53 ft
•
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The Reality of Risk
Operating History
• Considerable
leakage upon first filling
• Cracks and sinkholes in canal bottom
• Mud boils below canal levels
• Portions of dike removed and filter placed in canal bottom
• No further distress until 2002 when failure occurred
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The Reality of Risk
•
Sinkholes developed in forebay at 3:00 AM
•
Blowout followed at toe of embankment
•
Orifice expanded upstream
•
Embankment breached at about 6:30 AM
•
Flooding destroyed powerhouse
•
Discharge contained in the lower reservoir
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The Reality of Risk
April 21, 2002 Failure
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The Reality of Risk
•
Sinkholes developed in
forebay at 3:00 AM
• Blowout followed at toe of
embankment
• Orifice expanded
upstream
• Embankment breached at
about 6:30 AM
• Flooding destroyed
powerhouse
•
Discharge contained in
lower reservoir
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The Reality of Risk
Potential Things That Could Have Been Done to
Recognize the Problem?
• Periodic (annual) draining and inspection of the forebay and canal
• Install piezometers beneath the basalt to measure pressures
• Develop a complete water balance to establish the total loss of canal water
• More study and critical review of construction conditions and photos
• Perform a PFMA to develop the possible failure modes with consideration of
the construction and series of repairs that were required upon first filling and
later
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The Reality of Risk
Silver Lake Failure – May 14, 2003
• High Rainfall Period
• Fuse Plug Failure
• Fuse Plug Foundation Eroded
• Entire Lake Empted
• Flooding Downstream Facilities
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The Reality of Risk
Silver Lake Reservoir
May 13, 2003
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The Reality of Risk
May 14, 2003
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The Reality of Risk
May 14, 2003
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The Reality of Risk
May 14, 2003
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The Reality of Risk
Taum Sauk Pumped Storage Project
• 450 MW Pumped Storage Project
• Located in Reynolds County, Missouri
• One of the First PSP, Started in 1963
• Licensed by FPC in August 1965
• Owned and Operated by Ameren UE
• Upper Dam is a Continuous Dike 6,562 Ft. Long
• Upper Reservoir Water Level Overtopped the Dam
• Upper Reservoir Dam Failed on December 14, 2005
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The Reality of Risk
Taum Sauk Upper Reservoir
Powerhouse
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The Reality of Risk
•Dumped and Sluced Rockfill
•Upstream Reinforced
Concrete Lining
•Parapet Wall Placed atop the
Rockfill Dam
•Underdrainage Concerns
Upon First Filling
•Continued High Levels of
Leakage Through Dam
•Large Settlements and
Movements of Dam and Wall
•Relining in 2004 to Reduce
Seepage
•Revised Water Level
Instrumentation in 2004
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The Reality of Risk
Do you Really
Operate This Full?
Taum Sauk – Upper Reservoir Full
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The Reality of Risk
December 14, 2005
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The Reality of Risk
Potential Failure Mode Analysis (PFMA)
Is a Good process because it does ask the tough questions
• How could this dam fail
• What happens if it does
• Are the identified potential failure modes recognized
• What actions can be taken to reduce the dam failure likelihood
Because of that, I believe that it actually can minimize or even eliminate failures
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The Reality of Risk
Discussion Later!
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