Transcript Developing and Deploying CHP & Renewable Energy Technologies
Clean Energy Industry Trends and Workforce Development
Research Summary
Alan Hardcastle
Sr. Research Associate
November 18, 2010
Green Jobs Background
2008 legislation directed Employment Security to identify the number of green jobs in Washington. 47,194 private-sector jobs were found for 2008.
2009 legislation directed a series of follow up studies to cover both public and private sector green jobs.
First step:
Define green jobs
Development of products and services that promote environmental protection and energy security.
Businesses engaged in: Energy efficiency Renewable energy Preventing and reducing pollution Mitigating or cleaning up pollution
The Survey
Scientifically sound design. Direct, public and private-sector green jobs. More than 13,000 responses.
Results weighted to represent green jobs in all sectors. Second survey enabled initial measurement of change over one year.
Key Results (1)
Estimated 76,137 private sector green jobs 3.1 % of total covered private sector employment Additional 23,182 public sector green jobs Total: 99,319 green jobs
Key Results (2)
These 99,319 green jobs represent
3.3%
of total covered state employment Up from 1.6% in 2008
Private-sector
employers surveyed in 2008 and again in 2009 reported 32.4% increase in number of green jobs
Private-Sector Results by Green Core Area
Energy efficiency: 44.3% of all private-sector green jobs. More than two-thirds in construction, which is up 28.9% from 2008 Prevent/reduce pollution: 39.9% of private-sector green jobs. More than half in agriculture.
Clean/mitigate pollution: 11.6% of private sector green jobs. Mostly professional/technical services and waste management & remediation.
Renewable energy: 4.1% of private-sector green jobs. Mostly construction and professional/technical services.
Public-Sector Results by Green Core Area
Energy efficiency: 20.9% of public sector green jobs. Prevent/reduce pollution: 66.2% of public-sector green jobs. Clean/mitigate pollution: 11.6% of public-sector green jobs. Renewable energy:1.3% of public sector green jobs. 8
9
2009 Renewable Energy Trends and Workforce Study
Global, National, State and Regional Trends in Renewable Energy Employer Data (27) Workforce Implications Identify RE Education and Training in State
Wild Horse Wind/Solar Project – Kittitas County
Photo courtesy of Puget Sound Energy
Hubbert’s Curve and the Evidence
U.S. A Net Importer of Oil
The Cost of Oil – Updated (High=$140 Barrel in July 2008)
Clean Energy Investments Global :
New investment in clean energy was $162 billion in 2009 (China leads at $33.7 billion) Second highest figure ever, after $173 billion in 2008, and up from $157 billion in 2007
U.S.:
Clean energy investment was $17 billion in 2009, down 45% from 2008
WA
: $600 million in new federal stimulus funding in 2010, in addition to $2 billion for Hanford cleanup Source: New Energy Finance, 20010
Workers service a wind turbine at Nine Mile Canyon Site Photo courtesy of Energy Northwest
Annual Growth Rates In World Renewable Energy Supply 1990-2006
30% 24.5% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 9.2% 9.3% Source: EIA World Renewable Outlook 2008
Projected World Energy Use by Source, 2007-2035
Source: DOE-EIA International Energy Outlook, 2010
Net Electricity Generation Estimates by Source, 2007-2035
Source: DOE-EIA International Energy Outlook, 2010
200 150 100 50 0 250
U.S. Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Generation 2006-2030
(includes effects of post-stimulus investments) Annual Average Growth Rate 2006-2030 Geothermal 2.6% Municipal Solid Waste 2.2% Wood and Biomass 18.6% Solar 94.0% Wind 27.2% Geothermal Municipal Solid Waste Wood and Other Biomass Solar Wind Source: DOE-EIA, March 2009
2006 Resource Mix for Electric Power Generation
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 15% 16% 67% World 71% US 9% 77% 12% WA Geothermal Solar/Wind Biomass and Waste Nuclear Hydro Fossil Fuels
Industry Trends:
Washington Employer Perspectives
Federal/state policies driving growth Uneven patterns of development Renewable energy employers optimistic Recession has had negative impact, but viewed as a “
temporary setback
.”
Workforce Issues:
Employer Perspectives
Future workforce shortages Need for a multi-skilled workforce Core skills often lacking Significant interest from youth:
Solar employer:“I get an application a day from energetic young people”
Workforce Issues:
Education and Training
Lack of renewable education and training (at all levels, including STEM) Capacity limited Training delivery options—balance of distance options and applied learning
Energy Efficiency Trends and Job Creation
Energy price volatility, supply concerns, technology advances, climate change, energy independence, all contribute to long term investments in EE.
NWPPC-6 th power plan: Efficiency gains to meet 85% of new regional energy demand by 2020 Efficiency-related investments in 2004 were $300 billion; support 1.63 million jobs in US Twice the number of jobs that were created in energy supply sector But—still less than 1/3 of annual energy spending Source: ACEEE: American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy
EE Sector Job Growth Projections
Source: Lawrence Berkeley National Lab
EE study – Occupations in Weatherization (needed by 2020) Over 55,000 2008 = ˜13,000
Source: USDOE Weatherization Assistance Program
Conclusions
Clean Energy sectors will experience long-term growth Economic recession has moderated new investment and growth, but there is momentum State policies and green economy goals impact clean sectors differently; many opportunities and challenges Retirements, demographic trends, and inadequate education-training capacity will tighten labor market Career opportunities available for students, workers who are prepared
Solar panels on the roof of Wenatchee Valley College
Photo courtesy of Chelan County PUD
Contact: Alan Hardcastle Senior Research Associate
(360) 956-2167 [email protected]
WSU Energy Workforce Research Reports: http://www.energy.wsu.edu/ResearchEvaluation.aspx