Transcript Slide 1
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Crop Production Systems and Fertilizer Management Effects C.S. Snyder, T.W. Bruulsema, T.L. Jensen, and P. E. Fixen Background • N is essential to the survival of all life • Over 40% of the people on Earth owe their existence to the food production made possible by N fertilizers • “Human alterations of the N cycle have caused a variety of environmental and human health problems ranging from too little to too much reactive N in the environment.” (Woods Hole Research Center) • half the synthetic N fertilizer ever used has been utilized since 1985 (Howarth, 2005). http://www.whrc.org/policy/global_nitrogen.htm IPNI Dedicated to improved nutrient use effectiveness and reductions in environmental footprints: including GHG emissions United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization & Scientific Committee on Problems of the Environment http://www.icsu-scope.org/unesco/070424%20(w)%20USPB04%20En.pdf World Population Growth in More and Less Developed Countries Billions 10 9 8 7 20% more people in ~ 20 years 6 Less Developed Regions 5 4 Food, fiber, and fuel demands will continue to increase 3 2 …… what will the environmental impacts be? 1 0 1950 More Developed Regions 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050 Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005. http://www.prb.org/Publications/GraphicsBank/PopulationTrends.aspx Best Management Practices to Minimize Greenhouse Gas Emissions Associated with Fertilizer Use IPNI Better Crops article, Issue 4 of 2007 IPNI Review Paper Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Cropping Systems and the Influence of Fertilizer Management http://www.ipni.net/ppiweb/bcrops.nsf/$webindex/6F2F57CBF1C5209685257394001B2DD0/$file/07-4p16.pdf Greenhouse Gases (GHGs) and their sources • Carbon Dioxide (CO2): fossil fuels (oil, natural gas, and coal), solid waste, trees and wood products, and also as a result of other chemical reactions (e.g., manufacture of cement). • Methane (CH4): production and transport of coal, natural gas, and oil; livestock and other agricultural practices and by the decay of organic waste in municipal solid waste landfills. • Nitrous Oxide (N2O): agricultural and industrial activities, as well as during combustion of fossil fuels and solid waste. • Fluorinated Gases: (Hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, and sulfur hexafluoride): synthetic, powerful greenhouse gases from a variety of industrial processes. GWP = Global Warming Potential N O x 296 = CO equivalent CH x 21 = CO equivalent – Sometimes used as substitutes for ozone-depleting substances (i.e., CFCs, HCFCs, and halons). Typically emitted in smaller 2 2 potent GHGs, they are sometimes quantities, but because they are referred to as High Global Warming Potential gases (“High GWP 4 2 gases”). Sources: U.S. EPA, IPCC 3rd assessment Agriculture’s Share of GHG Emissions is Not Increasing Agriculture < 10% of total U.S. GHG Distribution of GHG Emissions Estimates of N2O Emissions from Cropland in 1995 (adapted from IFA/FAO, 2001) Animal Manure N Applied N2O-N emitted Area (million ha) Fertilizer N Applied Canada 46 1.58 0.21 0.067 0.016 24 U.S. 190 11.15 1.58 0.316 0.112 35 1,436 73.48 20.66 3.150 0.735 23 Region World 1 total Fertilizer-induced 1 million tonnes % of total Estimated using IPCC emission factor of 1% Recently published reports suggest terrestrial and aquatic N2O-N emissions may range from 3 to 5% of “new N” (Crutzen et al., 2008. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 8:389-395) Consumption of N Sources 100 Oceania Africa 80 C. Europe 70 E. Europe & C. Asia 60 WANEA 50 NE & SE Asia 40 L. America 30 W. Europe 20 N. America 10 S. Asia 0 E.Asia 25 Other Am. thiosulfate 20 Aqua ammonia 15 Am. sulfate Am. nitrate 10 A. ammonia 5 Urea N Soln. Year ending June 30 2006 2003 2000 1997 1994 1991 1988 1985 1982 1979 1976 1973 - Metric tons of N, Millions U.S. N Source Consumption 30 1970 Short tons of fertilizer, Millions 1970/71 1972/73 1974/75 1976/77 1978/79 1980/81 1982/83 1984/85 1986/87 1988/89 1990/91 1992/93 1994/95 1996/97 1998/99 2000/01 2002/03 2004/05 Million metric tons of N 90 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Anhydrous ammonia Urea + UAN Sol. Anhydrous ammonia + urea + UAN 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year ending June 30 Data source: IFA, AAPFCO & TFI Range of N2O Emission Among N Sources can Vary Greatly • Report 1 (Stehfest & Bouwman, 2006) – 0 to 46% of applied N • Report 2 (Granli & Bockman, 1994) – 0 to 7% of applied N • Report 3 (Eichner, 1990) – 0 to 7% of applied N • Report 1 – Median among N sources ranged from: 0.26 to 1.56 kg of N/ha N Rates Above Agronomic Optimum Can Increase Risk of N2O Emission Nitrogen Use Efficiency • “…… estimated NUE for cereal production ranges from 30 to 35%.” Improving Nitrogen Use Efficiency for Cereal Production ( 1999 Agronomy Journal 91:357-363) N Recovery and NUE are Affected by Other Essential Nutrients Food Yield/ Net GWP .01 .09 .02 .02 .02 .02 .01 .01 N Loss Consequences Requiring Management Attention • Decreased crop production and profitability – Inefficient land use, reduced performance of other crop inputs, reduced water use efficiency • Water resource contamination – eutrophication: lakes, streams, rivers, estuaries – groundwater contamination – coastal water contamination - urea and harmful algal blooms (neurotoxin poisoning) • Air pollution – Ammonia and particulates, nitrous oxide and NOx (global warming, stratospheric ozone depletion, acid rain) Loss of NO3 - N to Water Resources May Also Impact N2O Emissions SPARROW - Modeled Estimate of N and P Discharge in Watersheds of the Mississippi R. Basin Kg/ha .01 .01- 0.1 0.1 to 1 1 to 5 5 to 10 >10 Alexander et al., 2008. Environ. Sci. Technol. 42: 822–830 Nutrient Use Efficiency and Effectiveness: Indices of Agronomic and Environmental Benefit Encourage post-harvest evaluation of N effectiveness in cropping systems http://www.ipni.net/ipniweb/portal.nsf/0/d58a3c2deca9d7378525731e006066d5/$FILE/Revised%20NUE%20update.pdf NUE Term Calculation Reported Examples PFP - Partial Y/F 40 to 80 units of cereal grain per unit of N (Y-Y0)/F 10 to 30 units of cereal grain per unit of N UH/F 0 to > 1.0 - depends on native soil fertility and fertility maintenance objectives <1 in nutrient deficient systems (fertility improvement) >1 in nutrient surplus systems (under replacement) Slightly less than 1 to 1 (system sustainability) (U-U0)/F 0.1 to 0.3 - proportion of P input recovered first year 0.5 to 0.9 - proportion of P input recovered by crops in factor productivity AE - Agronomic Efficiency PNB - Partial nutrient balance (removal to use ratio) RE – Recovery efficiency of applied nutrient long-term cropping systems 0.3 to 0.5 - N recovery in cereals-typical 0.5 to 0.8 - N recovery in cereals- best management F-amt. nutrient applied, Y- yield of harvested portion with applied nutrient, Y0- yield of harvested portion with no applied nutrient, UH –nutrient content of harvested portion of crop, U –total nutrient uptake in aboveground biomass with nutrient applied, U0 –total nutrient uptake in aboveground biomass with no nutrient applied Increased Farmer Interest in Better N Management • Increased N costs • Better crop prices • Calibration and verification of newer technologies • Improved farmer skills, and availability of professional guidance by crop advisers “The Market” Nov.1, 2007 Corn grain produced in the U.S. per unit of fertilizer N used, 1964 to 2005. 1.4 1.15 bu per lb of N 1.3 1.2 * 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.76 0.8 0.7 0.6 *Application rate for 2004 estimated as avg of 2003 & 2005. 0.5 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Since 1975: 51% increase in N efficiency 12% increase in N fertilizer use Data sources: USDA Ag Chem Use Survey & Annual Crop Production. Effects of Crop Harvest N Removal on Net Anthropic Nitrogen Input (NANI) Figure 1. Net anthropogenic N input (NANI) in major sub-basins of the Mississippi River Basin estimated from state level statistics. Source: McIsaac, 2006. Fertilizer N in California and GHG Emission 802,682 x 0.01= 8,027 metric tons N2O–N emitted (assuming IPCC 1% factor) N x 1.57 = 12,602 metric tons of N2O N2O x 296 = 3.73 million metric tons GWP CO2 equivalent All GHGs in CA in 2004 (CA EPA, ARB 2007) : 479.74 million metric tons CO2 equivalent Portion of total that is “fertilizer N induced” = (3.73/479.74) x 100 = 0.78% of all GWP in California Source: AAPFCO • Fertilizer N BMPs can help minimize potential for residual NO3-N accumulation & losses • N source, rate, placement , and timing …. which may include – – – – Urease inhibitors Nitrification inhibitors Slow-release materials Controlled-release materials • In combination with appropriate, sitespecific cropping system and conservation practices – (e.g. conservation tillage, cover crops, vegetative buffers, managed drainage, wetlands, bioreactors, etc.) http://www.floridaagwaterpolicy.com/BestManagementPractices.html http://www.ipni.net/bettercrops http://www.fertilizer.org CONCLUSIONS • Appropriate fertilizer N helps increase crop biomass to restore & maintain soil organic matter (SOM) • Tillage practices with the least soil disturbance help maintain SOM • Intensive crop management can help minimize GHG emissions, and lower GHG emission/unit of crop or food produced • Fertilizer N contributions to agricultural GHG emissions can range widely, BUT agricultural emissions are relatively small compared to other source emissions • We must continue to strive to improve NUE QUESTIONS ? 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