Transcript Slide 1
Flood Risk Management Vision, Programs, and Actions Alex C. Dornstauder Office of Homeland Security HQ, U. S. Army Corps of Engineers US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG® 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> ® 1 BUILDING STRONG® Overarching Shared Challenges Governance Climate Change Federal Budget Demographic Shifts Legislative Changes Persistent Conflict Energy Increasing Demand for Water Aging Infrastructure Environmental Values Globalization 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> Declining Biodiversity Disaster Preparedness and Response ® 2 BUILDING STRONG® Life-Cycle Risk Management “Getting Ready” Actions taken BEFORE the event, including planning, training, and preparations Flood Risk Management system assessment / inspections ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Monitoring / forecasting threats ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ State and Local Coordination ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Reservoir operations ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Flood Fight Preparation “The Flood Fight” Actions taken DURING the initial impact of a disaster, including those to save lives and prevent further property damage USACE Disaster Preparedness, Levee Safety, and Silver Jackets Programs FEMA Preparedness Programs USACE FPMS, PAS, and Silver Jackets “Driving Down the Risks” Activities that PREVENT a disaster, reduce its chance of happening, or reduce its damaging effects. USACE Emergency Response Program and Reservoir Operations State and Local Partnerships Hazard Mitigation Plans ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Floodplain Management Plans ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ USACE Pre – and Post – Rehabilitation Response and Recovery Assistance Program Activities FEMA Mitigation, PA, and IA Programs FEMA Mitigation Programs NRCS Conservation Easements Federal Recovery Programs Modify mitigation plans ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Identify future mitigation opportunities ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Develop system improvements 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> FEMA NRF Response Activities Emergency system strengthening ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Monitor and report flood impact ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Monitor system performance ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Support State / Local FF “Getting back on our feet” Actions taken AFTER the initial impact, including those directed toward a return to normalcy. Repair damaged systems ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Assess and document system performance ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Implement mitigation measures / system improvements ® 3 BUILDING STRONG® Shared Disaster Risk Management “ Driving Down the Risks with an Informed and Engaged Public “ Initial Risk Outreach Hurricane KATRINA Natural Storage Lessons Learned Federal / State / Local Structural Risk Resulted from Federal / State / Local Federal / State / Local Non – Structural Federal / State / Local Contingency Plans Federal / State / Local / Individual Building Codes State / Local Zoning Local Insurance Individual / NFIP Residual Risk All Stakeholders contribute to reducing risk ! 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> ® 4 BUILDING STRONG® Relative Risk The expected value of an unwanted event which may or may not occur Threat x Vulnerability x Consequences ( External ) ( Internal ) Condition Classification A Probably Inadequate D F Adequate Probably Adequate Inadequate Failed I 11 16 20 23 25 II 7 12 17 21 24 III 4 8 13 18 22 IV 2 5 9 14 19 V 1 3 6 10 15 Employ a rigorous process of Risk-Informed Decisionmaking for: Probabilistic basis for decisions Systems Understanding ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Multiple Hazards and Consequences ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Quantification of Unknowns ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Sources of Vulnerability ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Consistent Analysis of Alternatives Consequence Category ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ B C Common Operating Picture 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> ® 5 BUILDING STRONG® Overarching Strategy Adaptive Management Measure responses to interventions within systems to adjust planning, construction and operations in response to changing conditions. Risk-Informed Decision Making and Communication State-of-the-Art Technology Improve resiliency of structures Consequence analysis ( especially populations ) Forestall possible failure mechanisms Quantify / communicate residual risk Ask which projects will fail to perform as designed, the likelihood of failure, and the consequences Integrated Water Resources Management Update design criteria Improve approaches to planning / design Leverage remote sensing / GIS / nanotechnology / . . . . Coastal / River Information System Recognize limits in disaster prediction Recognize limits in structural protection Systems Approach Collaboration and Partnering River basins / Watersheds / Coastal zones Multiple organizations contribute to problem-solving From INDIVIDUAL projects to INTERDEPENDENT systems Leverage funding, data, and talent Efficiencies, given scarce resources Sophisticated state / interstate organizations Tribes, local governments, non-profit organizations Partnering with profit-making organizations a next step From IMMEDIATE to LONG-TERM solutions Single actions trigger > 1 system responses / reactions 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> ® 6 BUILDING STRONG® National Flood Risk Management Planning • FMPS / PAS • OPS / Regulatory FRM Business Line • FRM PCX • R&D Environmental • International • Coastal Dam and Levee Safety • Levee Vegetation FEMA • DOI • EPA • NOAA / NWS NOAA CSC • USBR • HUD • USDS • DHS NRCS • Tribes • States • Locals Silver Jackets • IFRMC • FIFM-TF • ILTF / RFRMT Roundtables • Regional FRM Teams • CERB EO 11988 • PL 84-99 • Section 404 Unified National Plan • RiskMAP Disaster Response • Mitigation Land Use Planning / Zoning • Emergency Services Contingency Response • Evacuation • Flood Fighting Water Resources Management • Building Codes Floodproofing • Environmental Protection 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> ® 7 BUILDING STRONG® USACE Homeland Security Programs FY12 President’s Budget Accounts Business Lines Investigations Flood and Coastal Storm Damage Reduction 48 721 523 Coastal 7 23 8 Inland 41 698 515 Remaining Items Operations & Maintenance Construction NFRMP CIPR 3 6.5 6.75 Emergency Management Mississippi River and Tributaries Investigations Construction Operations & Maintenance 1 63 91 Flood Control and Coastal Emergency 27 NEPP Remaining Items 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> 6.75 ® 8 BUILDING STRONG® FCSDR O&M Funding FY11 and FY12 President’s Budgets ( $ MIL ) By State FY11 FY12 Notes 26 27 Expect to remain the same for foreseeable the future Inspection of Completed Projects 1.7 26.7 National Levee Database 10 20 Inspection of Completed Works Remaining Items Silver Jackets 4 NCLS Recommendations 1 During budget pass back, OMB increased USACE O&M ceiling by $40 MIL and directs USACE investment in these four (4) programs No impact on By-State O&M Project Funding 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> ® 9 BUILDING STRONG® Universe of Levees FEMA NFIP Objective: Communicate the most current information for flood insurance purposes. > 100-year ( Not to Scale ) FEMA FEMA NFIP and USACE NFIP ONLY ® 100-year Federal O&M Level of Protection No Nexus with NFIP or USACE ® USACE ONLY < 100-year 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> USACE built / Local O&M Local Local built / Enrolled In RIP 2,000 10,800 2,030 100,000+? miles miles miles miles 1 2 3 4 Levee Categories USACE Inventory and Assessment WRDA Authorities Objective: Assess all levees in USACE programs, regardless of level of protection. Objective: Inventory all levees in the Nation; lead strategic planning for a National Levee Safety Program. ® 10 BUILDING STRONG® Silver Jackets “Operationalizing” Inter-Agency Flood Risk Management Partner State-Led ( Voice of the Customer ) State sets priorities for Interagency Federal support Collaborative Leverage resources: talent, data, funding Facilitate integrated Post-Disaster solutions Active Inter-Governmental Flood Risk Management Team Continuous, not project-specific Fully Signed Charter Ongoing Effort to Develop Team Life-Cycle Risk Reduction Watershed Perspective State teams facilitate regional, state-to-state flood risk management As of: 6 DEC 2010 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> ® 11 BUILDING STRONG® Silver Jackets National Watershed Vertical / Horizontal Integration Watershed is forcing function for Local, State, and Federal effort Federal ( HQ USACE ) Provide focus on effects for each watershed State ( USACE Regions ) Identify feasible, acceptable, and suitable alternatives Local Align political, technical, and fiscal strategies ( USACE Districts ) 10¢ prevention upstream vs. $1000 in recovery downstream 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> ® 12 BUILDING STRONG® Silver Jackets National Watershed Time / Space / Purpose Synchronization 2111 2061 2031 $ ?+?+? BIL 50 years $ ?+? BIL 20 years $ ? BIL Now ( Non-Decisional. For Illustration ONLY. ) 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> ® 13 BUILDING STRONG® Challenges / Opportunities / Actions Synchronize Life-Cycle Flood Risk Management Budget and Business Line / Emergency Management / Dam and Levee Safety / Interagency Programs CIPR (OBJ 3b and Dams Sector) / DCIP / CIRM / AT-FP (CBRNE +) / G2 / Asset Management (OBJ 3c) ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Levee compliance to standards Levee Vegetation / Variance Process ( PGL ) / Standards ( ETL ) / CA 2012 Plan / STRATCOMMS Levee Safety EC / ER 500-1-1 ( Emergency Management ) / Certification / Accreditation ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Consistent Silver Jackets Implementation Interagency / State / Local / Division / District / CoP / Doctrine / TTP and Business Processes ∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙∙ Annual Emergency Management Funding Budget and Business Line vs. Emergency Supplemental Appropriations / Performance-Based Budget 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> ® 14 BUILDING STRONG® The “ Burning Platform “ “Let us raise a standard . . . . . . . . to which the wise and the honest can repair.” George Washington Constitutional Convention ( May 1787 ) 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY)Watershed Investment Model ) ESRI AFRICOM / EUCOM UC ( National < 110518 ASFPM10:00 final> a.m. May 20, 2009 ® 15 Strong “ “ Building BUILDING STRONG 15® Questions ? 110518 ASFPM Conference (Louisville, KY) < 110518 ASFPM final> ® 16 BUILDING STRONG®