Transcript Slide 1

Temporal Variability of Thermosteric & Halosteric Components of Sea Level Change, 1955-2005
S. Levitus, J. Antonov, T. Boyer, R. Locarnini, H. Garcia, A. Mishonov
NOAA/NESDIS/NODC/Ocean Climate Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD
We have used data from the World Ocean Database 2005 (WOD05) plus additional data to compute new estimates of the temporal variability of
ocean heat content and the thermosteric component of sea level change for 1955-2005.
WOD05 contains approximately 0.9 million temperature profiles not previously available as part of the WOD series. These include historical data
acquired as part of the IOC “Global Oceanographic Data Archaeology and Rescue” project, real-time and delayed-mode data sent via the GTS as part
of the IOC/GTSPP project, Argo profiling float data from the GODAE server, and modern data not sent via the GTS acquired through international
exchange as part of the IOC sponsored “World Ocean Database” project. Results presented here are still preliminary. Additional quality control is
being performed on the data.
History of the Number of Temperature and Salinity Profiles Available Electronically from NODC
9
WOD05
7.90
Temperature Profiles
8
Salinity Profiles
WOD01
7.04
# of Profiles (millions)
7
6
WOA94
4.49
5
WOD98
5.29
Approximately 3 million of the 5.5 million increase in
temperature profiles since the GODAR project began in
1993 are for the pre-1991 period. It is the “rescue” of
these data that have allowed the first estimates of ocean
heat content and steric sea level components to be
made.
Representativeness of the data in the ocean profile database:
Comparison of NCDC Yearly SST anomaly & Levitus et al. (2005) yearly SST anomaly
Hansen et al. (2005) have suggested that lack of data may partly be responsible for the strong interdecadal variability observed in ocean heat content (and
hence the thermosteric component of sea level change). Gregory et al. (2004) and manuscripts by other authors have examined time series of the data by
1° squares in the World Ocean Database (WOD) and reach similar conclusions. Here we present evidence that this variability is real. The figure below
compares the yearly, global average SST anomaly based on the relatively sparse data set of WOD with the same quantity based on ICOADS and satellite
SST measurements (constrained by SST observations from drifting buoys) from Smith and Reynolds (2004) (curve labeled “NCDC”). The correlation
between the two series is 0.96. The reason for such good agreement between the two series is that the anomalies contributing to the global average are of
large spatial scales (gyre & basin) and relatively long time scales (Levitus et al., 2005). Compositing and analyzing data by semester (6-month) and
seasonal (3-month) still results in the same signal characterized by large interdecadal variability. Even relatively sparse sampling captures this signal. The
objective analysis procedure used to generate the WODS based SST and heat content fields is basically a running spatial average of spatial scale 500 km,
not data restricted to individual 1° squares. Despite this agreement, there is an additional need for more data.
4
3
2
2.64
NODC 1991
2.54
2.12
NODC 1974
1.49
1.28
1.48
1
0.40
0
1970
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
Year
Basin integrals of the thermosteric component of sea level change, 0-700m, 1955-2005
Atlantic Ocean
Pacific Ocean
Linear trends (mm/yr) (1955-1998) of zonally averaged steric sea level and its components
The thermosteric & halosteric components of sea level change may compensate each other, or act in concert to affect sea level. Here, (Levitus
et al., 2005) we document this for the zonally averaged linear trend of these components.
Green line is the halosteric component of sea level;
Dashed red line is the thermosteric component of sea level change based on all T data;
Solid red line is the thermosteric component of sea level based on T obs. that have simultaneous measurement of salinity;
Solid black line is the steric sea level [sum of halosteric and thermosteric (T-S simultaneous)].
Indian Ocean
Indian Ocean
World Ocean