Transcript Background and objectives of the Revision of the Revised

INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
NATIONAL GREENHOUSE GAS INVENTORIES PROGRAMME
UNEP
WMO
2006 IPCC Guidelines
Background and Objectives of the Revision of the
“Revised 1996 IPCC Guidelines”
Simon Eggleston
Head
Technical Support Unit for
the IPCC National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Programme
Content
This Talk:
Background, objectives and scope
Outline of the 2006 IPCC GLs
Work programme
More Detailed Presentations:
AFOLU Sector (Leandro Buendia)
EFDB (Tanabe Kiyoto)
Background
 The “revised” 96 GLs were based on data
and knowledge from the beginning of the
1990s
 Successful but now 10 years old
 Two Good Practice Guideline reports to
complement the 96GLs (2000 & 2003)
 We now have
 Experience in use of GLs and GPG
 New scientific and technical developments
Therefore:
 There is a need for a comprehensive update
and revision
 This could contribute to the future
negotiations
Planning for Revision
 TFB 8/TFB9/TFB10
 first steps towards the revision
 IPCC Bureau XXVII
 proposal for IPCC XX
 SBSTA 17
 invitation to IPCC to revise the 96GLs by 2006
 IPCC XX
 approved the plan for the revision
 Scoping meeting and TFB 11
 (both in Geneva in September 2003)
 TOR, TOC and Work Plan were approved
by IPCC XXI (November 2003)
Objectives
Revise existing guidelines based on:
Existing GL and GPG reports
IPCC Emission Factor Database
Experience and feedback in using
guidelines as well as experience from
UNFCCC inventory reviews
(e.g.FCCC/SBSTA/2003/INF.10)
Improvements in scientific and technical
knowledge since mid 1990s
General Approach
 96GLs and GPGs to be initially merged into one
report
 Recent advances in science as well as experience
in use of the guidelines and results of the UNFCCC
inventory reviews will be taken into account (such
as; FCCC/SBSTA/2003/INF.10)
A key principle will be to approach the revision
with flexibility but to maintain the existing
structure as much as possible to facilitate the
job of inventory preparers (evolution not
revolution)
Scope of Gases
 Current coverage:
 CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs and SF6 (direct GHGs)
 NOx, CO and NMVOCs and SO2 (indirect GHG; precursors)
 The 2006 Guidelines will cover these.
 What About new gases?
Developments since 1997/2000
 Vol. 1, IPCC 3rd Assessment Report (TAR)
 “new” gases (i.e. not in SAR, e.g. halo-ethers)
 improved scientific understanding of atmospheric chemistry,
including lifetimes and GWPs of GHGs.
 Demands by Parties to the UNFCCC (e.g.
FCCC/SBSTA/2003/MISC.3)
 Development of Guidelines by other organizations
(e.g. EMEP/CORINAIR)
Candidate new gases for inclusion
 new halogenated direct GHGs
 e.g. halo-ethers, NF3, SF5CF3,
 other indirect GHGs
 e.g. H2
 other precursors and substances
 e.g. NH3, aerosols
Criteria for inclusion of a new gas
 Scoping Meeting (Geneva, September 2003)
agreed criteria for the inclusion of new gases:
 availability of a global warming potential
in the TAR
 there are identified anthropogenic sources
 there is a basis for methodological development
 relative importance to the total emissions
 A need for development for New methods for
ozone precursors is not anticipated as these are
addressed under other agreements and
conventions.
Aerosols
 Participants of the scoping meeting did not agree
on whether or not to include the development of
an annex on aerosol methodologies in the terms
of reference of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines
 The item was forwarded for decision to the IPCC
Plenary
 The IPCC Plenary decided, following a
suggestion by the IPCC Chair, to convene an
expert meeting before the next Panel meeting in
2004.
2006GLs - Aerosols
 Aerosols (black carbon, organic carbon and mineral
dust…)
 Not included in current outline
 Expert meeting in 2004 to assess possible scope
(inclusion or non-inclusion)
 IPCC XXII to decide on possible inclusion
2006GLs – New Sources
 New Sources will be included if the following criteria
are true:
 Basis for methodological development including
the ability to develop default emission factors
exists
 It is feasible to obtain the necessary data to
implement the method
 The source is significant within the sector.
IPCC Emission Factor Database
(EFDB) (more by Kiyoto…)
 Launched at COP8 – main objective to help
inventory compilers, useful also for reviewers
and other
 Main criteria robustness, applicability and
traceability (documentation)
 Includes IPCC Default factors from 96GLs and
GPG2000; defaults from GPG-LULUCF will be
included 2004
 Population with new data – input to revision
process
Documentation – Default Data
Author1
IPCC Source/Sink Category
Fuel2 (applicable only in the
Energy Sector):
Gas3:
CO2
CH4
N2O
Value:
Unit:
Uncertainty (as +/% or 2.5 and 97.5
percentiles )4
Applicability5 – fill in as necessary if
data not generally applicable. Describe appropriate
Technologies, Practices, Abatement Technologies,
Region, and/or Regional Conditions
Source of data (chose one)
Reference6
Measurement - Scientific Literature / Other
Measurement
National Inventory Report / Calculated
Based on fuel quality / Expert Judgement
Structure
 There will be 5 volumes:
 Cross Cutting Issues
 General Good Practice, Inventory Quality and Reporting
 Energy
 Industrial Processes and Product Use (IPPU)
 Combining industrial process and solvent and produce use
sectors
 Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU)
 Combining Agriculture and LULUCF Sectors
 Waste
General Structure – Sectors
 Methodological Issues
 Choice of Method, including decision trees and
definition of tiers.
 Choice of Emission Factor
 Choice of Activity Data
 Completeness
 Developing a Consistent Time Series
 Uncertainty Assessment
 Emission Factor Uncertainties
 Activity Data Uncertainties
 Quality Assurance/Quality Control, Completeness,
Reporting and Documentation
 Reporting Tables and worksheets
Volume 1: Cross-Cutting Issues and
Reporting Tables
Overview
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Overview
Approaches to Data Collection
Uncertainties
Methodological Choice and Identification of Key
Categories
 Time Series Consistency and Recalculation
 Quality Assurance/Quality Control and Verification
 Reporting Guidance, including Tables
Volume 2: Energy
 Overview and cross-cutting issues
 Reference Approach
 Stationary Combustion
 Mobile Combustion
 Fugitive emissions
The coverage of CO2 storage in will be coordinated with
progress on IPCC SR on CO2 capture and storage -the
activities will be integrated as appropriate into the methods
presented for source categories where it may occur.
Emissions from international aviation and maritime
transportation will take into consideration the relevant work
of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and
the International Maritime Organization (IMO).
Volume 3: Industrial Processes and
Product Use
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Overview and cross-cutting issues
Chemical industry emissions
Metal industry emissions
Mineral industry emissions
Non-energy product and feedstock use of fuels
Ozone precursors from industrial processes
Other industrial process emissions
Solvent and other product use
Emissions of Fluorinated Substitutes for Ozone Depleting
Substances
Cross-cutting issues (e.g. treatment of feedstocks)
with Energy and Waste Sectors – clear guidance on
how and where to report. Collaboration with other
agreements and initiatives, industry – avoid duplication
of work
Volume 4: Agriculture, Forestry and
Other Land Use (More by Leandro…)
 Overview and cross-cutting issues
 Consistent Representation of Lands
 Agriculture (incl. rice cultivation, non-CO2 gases,
fertilization/liming).
 Cropland
 Grassland
 Livestock
 Forest lands
 Wetlands
 Peatlands
 Flooded lands
 Settlements
 Other land
 Other - HWP (taking into consideration any decision of the COP
on this matter)
Volume 5: Waste
 Overview and cross-cutting issues
 Solid Waste Disposal Sites
 Wastewater Handling and Human Sewage
 Waste Incineration
Will cover emissions from open burning or
waste in SWDS and alternative waste
treatments technologies (like anaerobic
digestion).
Work plan
 Selection of Authors early 2004 - Done
 Authors/Experts meetings between May 2004 – November
2004 - First two already held
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Consolidation Meeting in January 2005 to prepare FOD
First review of FOD in March-April 2005
Meeting in June 2005 to prepare SOD
Second review in September-October 2005
Meeting to consider Government Comments Dec 2005
Government consideration in March 2006
 Final report for the Panel in April 2006 with a view of
presentation of the report at SBSTA 24
Progress so far
 Authors (CLA & LA) selected
 Two Meetings for Authors held.
 Volume 1: Cross Cutting, May, Oslo
 Volume 4: AFOLU, June, Mauritius
 Planning for remaining authors meetings
advanced
 IPPU, USA, July
 Energy, Tanzania, September
 Waste, Canada, November
Authors
(Coordinating Lead Authors and Lead Authors)
International
Organisations
Total
Cross
Cutting
16
7
2
1
26
Energy
31
11
5
3
50
IPPU
52
12
2
1
67
AFOLU
45
18
3
3
69
Waste
9
10
1
Total
153
58
13
Countries
Developed Developing
EIT
20
8
232
Progress
 Detailed contents for all volumes agreed
 Draft outline of Volume 1 completed and
timetable to complete agreed
 Detailed contents and tasks to complete
Volume 4 agreed
Progress
 General Guidance to Authors agreed and
distributed
 Guidance on cross-cutting issues agreed
and issued
 Only sectorial specific info in sector volumes
 Cross volume issues identified e.g.
 Feedstock use of fuels (Energy & IPPU)
 Carbon Capture & Storage (Energy, IPPU &
Waste)
More information:
http://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp