Transcript ***** 1

Aktobe Region
• Region is located in the west of the country. As of January
1, 2012 the area is 300.6 thousand square kilometers, the
region's population is 786.3 thousand people. Density of
population over the region per 1 km is 2.6 people.
• Resource base includes rich reserves of gold, silver,
cobalt, potassium salts, fossil linen, kaolin, glass and nonferrous raw materials, natural facing materials, jade and
bituminous rocks, and etc.
• Administrative-territorial structure of the region
includes 12 administrative districts, 8 cities, 4 urban
villages.
•The main socio-economic indicators of the region for 2011
are provided in the table.
Demography:
thousand people
Region’s population is growing. In 2000 it was 678
thousand people, at the beginning 2012 – 786 thousand
people:
Population, thousand people
790
770
750
704
730
710
678
670 668 668
672 679
687
757
764
777
786
695
670
650
hired labor
unemployed
Monthly average nominal
salary, Tenge
Nominal population income
(estimation), average per
capita a month, Tenge
Compared to previous year
in %
11.0
2.6
6.1
786.3
4.7
415.8
395.6
284.5
20.2
4.7
4.8
5.1
4.3
79878
90028
45196
45435
Share in total RK area, %
Index level in RK
Share in total RK
population, %
116.6
117.2
1433.1
5.2
Agriculture total output
(services), billion Tenge
Fixed asset investment,
billion Tenge
Share in total RK EAP, %
Share in RK index, %
Share in RK index, %
Share in RK index, %
Index level in RK
Index level in RK
CPI (end of period), by
December of previous year
in %
106.8
Volume of industrial product,
billion Tenge
1253.9
Retail trade, billion Tenge
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
300.6
2011
Economically active
population
employed
GRP, billion Tenge
810
690
As of January 1, 2012
Area, thousand square
kilometers
Density for 1 square
kilometer
Level in RK
Share in total RK GRP, %
Index level in RK
107.4
7.9
116.0
5.1
386.0
7.7
244.1
6.3
Share in RK index, %
Share in RK index, %
Share in RK index, %
Share in total RK index, %
1
Economically active population (EAP)
EAP of the region is increasing at a moderate pace and in
2011 it reached 415.8 thousand people. 395.6 thousand
people are employed, 20.2 thousand people are
unemployed. Economically inactive population made up
152.2 thousand people, it is above the level in 2000:
Labor Force
Economically active population
Economic
Including:
ally
Employed
thousand
inactive
including:
people
Unempl
populatio
oyed
n
Hired labor Self-employed
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
110.3
130.0
133.3
130.1
130.5
131.9
133.1
136.7
139.9
142.0
152.2
364.2
335.0
348.0
365.8
372.9
380.8
387.4
393.8
397.3
399.9
415.8
41.3
34.2
33.7
34.5
34.3
32.5
28.8
25.1
24.1
21.4
20.2
322.8
300.8
314.3
331.3
338.6
348.2
358.5
368.7
373.3
378.5
395.6
175.5
178.8
191.7
200.3
210.0
217.9
225.7
239.8
246.2
256.2
284.5
147.3
122.0
122.6
130.9
128.6
130.3
132.8
128.8
127.1
122.3
111.1

The number of employed population increases and unemployed
population falls in both absolute and relative terms. For 10
years, from 2001 to 2011, the employed population has
increased from 89 to 95%, while the number of unemployed
has fallen from 11 to 5%.

Characteristic feature of the employed population dynamics is
the growth of hired labor and the reduction of self-employed
people. From 2001 to 2011 the number of hired labor has
increased from 54% to 72%, the number of self-employed
people has fallen from 46 to 28%. EAP and employed
population structure corresponds to the average in Kazakhstan:
EAP Structure in 2011
EAP Structure in 2001
11%
5%
Unemploy
ed
Employed
89%
Employed Population
Structure in 2001
95%
Employed Population Structure
in 2011
Hired labor
28%
46%
54%
Selfemployed
72%
2
Unemployment Level

The changes of employed population structure
are supported by a strong tendency of
unemployment rate reduction from 13.3% in
2000 to 4.9% in 2011 and constant level of
economic activity of the population:
79.0
14
13.3
11.4
77.0
12
10.2
9.7
75.0
9.4
9.2
10
8.5
Kazakhstan – 5.4
Алматы
City of Almaty
5.6
Астана
City of Astana
5.8
5.2
Восточно-Казахстанская
East Kazakhstan
5.4
Северо-Казахстанская
North Kazakhstan
5.2
Павлодарская
Pavlodar
7.4
73.0
• In 2011 unemployment rate of the
region was slightly below the average in
Kazakhstan – 5.4%:
6.4
8
6.0
5.3
71.0
4.9
69.0
6
4
5.7
Южно-Казахстанская
South Kazakhstan
5.8
Мангистауская
Mangistau
5.5
Кызылординская
Kyzylorda
5.4
Костанайская
Kostanay
5.3
Карагандинская
Karaganda
67.0
65.0
2
68
77
72
72
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
73
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Economic activity rate, %
Unemployment rate, %
0
5.5
Жамбылская
Zhambyl
5.3
Западно-Казахстанская
West Kazakhstan
5
Атырауская
Atyrau
5.1
Алматинская
Almaty
4.9
Актюбинская
Aktobe
5.5
Акмолинская
Akmola
4
4.5
5
5.5
6
%
3
Quality of Life
Life expectancy at birth in the region is increasing and the
values are above the average in Kazakhstan:
number of years

Some of life quality indicators in 2011:

71.0
68.0
67.0
65.5 65.8
66.0
65.8
66.2
66.2 65.9
66.3
65.0
67.1
67.6
64.0
63.0
Child mortality for 1000 quick-born 12,02 14,84
68.3 68.4 69.0
69.0
66.0
63.9 63.9 63.9 64.3
68.6
69.3
70.2
66.2
65.4 65.7 66.0
Maternal mortality for 100,000
quick-born
17
17,4
Number of TB cases registered for
the first time, 100,000
76,4
86,8
Birth rate for 1000 people
62.0
Mortality for 1000 people
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Share of population with income used for consumption
below the poverty line is decreasing and it is below the
average in Kazakhstan:
%
50
46.7
44.5
40
30
20
10
0
37.5
41.4
33.9
36.9
28.5
31.6
28.0 28.7
22,74 22,50
7,34
8,71
RK
18.2
17.2
12.7
10.3
12.1
8.2
7.0
6.3
6.5
6.0
5.3
2.4
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Aktobe region
RK

Monthly average in tenge
Aktobe region

RK
Aktobe region
70.0
Cost of living has been growing steadily since 2003,
but the values are below the average in RK:
18,000
16,000
14,240
14,000
11,674 11,882
12,000
10,000
8,000 6,793 7,275
8,192
6,000
4,000
6,457
6,785
8,883
9,896
8,410
12,405
16,072
13,487
12,660
12,364
9,653
7,618
2,000
0
2003
2004
2005 2006 2007
Aktobe region
2008
2009
RK
2010
2011
4
Enrollment
%
80
70
9.
72.5
78.4
75.4
76.9
78.7
78.9 78.2
77.3
83.9
81.4
80.8 80.8 83.1
7.
75.4 74.9
6.
72.9 73.6
5.9
5.7
5.6
5.4
5.7
5.6
7.2
6.4
6.2
65
2.
60
1.
.
30 000
20 000
21 444
3.
69.5 71.2
35 000
25 000
5.
4.
77.7 76.3 77.1
40 000
7.8
7.4
8.
85
75
The number of children in regular preschools has
significantly increased since 2001:
people
90

%
Enrollment share of the population aged 6-24 years was
decreasing from 2005 and its values were below the
average in RK in 2010 and 2011:

9 182
8 290
8 702
35 136
14 800
11 807 19 007
15 000
10 000
5 000
24 338
10 328
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Aktobe region
RK
The number of students in technical and vocational
education is increasing:
6.4
6.4
6.3
6.1
5.9
6.3
6.2
6.2
35,000
6.2
27,817
5.9
45,000
6.4 40,000
6.4
6.3
6.2
6.2
6.0
6.3
22,287
34,928 38,187
31,821
38,067
38,734
30,000
25,000
20,000
38,503 15,000
10,000
37,335
5,000
16,724
5.8
5.7
5.6
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Aktobe region
Share in RK

6.0
%
6.5
people
%

Share in RK
The number of students in higher education has
been growing steadily since 2008, but the values are
below the level of 2001-2006:
5.6
5.0
5.2
4.5
4.7
40,000
4.9
37,740
4.0
3.0
28,801
29,433
35,037
35,000
4.3
3.5
3.7
20,000
24,335
15,000
23,199
24,808
1.0
4.3 30,000
25,000
33,031
2.0
4.0 4.1
people
Aktobe region
26,969 10,000
25,336
0.0
5,000
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Aktobe region
Share in RK
5
Population Income

Monthly average nominal salary per
employee for 2011 is 79,878 Tenge, that is
below the country’s average – 90,028 Tenge:
79878
80000
tenge
Kazakhstan – 90,028
г.
Алматы
121674
City of Almaty
г.
Астана
132612
City of Astana
Восточно-Казахстанская
East Kazakhstan
73677
Северо-Казахстанская
61712
North Kazakhstan
75338
Павлодарская
Pavlodar
67721
Южно-Казахстанская
South Kazakhstan
Мангистауская
151041
Mangistau
Кызылординская
81518
Kyzylorda
Костанайская
67252
Kostanay
Карагандинская
77940
Karaganda
Жамбылская
61825
Zhambyl
Западно-Казахстанская
87503
West Kazakhstan
Атырауская
165975
Atyrau
67638
Алматинская
Almaty
Актюбинская
79878
Aktobe
64495
Акмолинская
Akmola
0
50000
100000 150000 200000
Tenge

In the dynamics, the average nominal salary per
employee and the average nominal income
per capita are ever-growing.
90000
The index of the nominal and real incomes
showed a decline during the crisis in 2009. In
2009 the growth of nominal income was less
than the consumer price index, i.e. revenue
growth did not cover inflation:
69726
70000
60000
50271
50000
34851
40000
56090
40905
29482
24702
23848
21078
18125
16982 19347
13750
20000
8264 9752 11351
10000
60375
35010 33710
38761
41238
30000
0
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
The average nominal salary per employee, tenge
The average nominal income per capita, tenge
150
141.7
140
130
119.5
120
%

110
121.1
118.0 116.4
111.9 111.5
109.9
123.5
113.9
115.3
117.5
124.5
113.0
96.3
106.6
100
90
127.7
105.6
106.7 106.2
106.9 106.4
107
114.5
108.2
115.0
115.9
107.3107.6
90.6
106.8
105.8 107.4
80
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Consumer price index
The index of nominal income
The index of real income
6
•
GRP shows the growth in the dynamics
either in absolute or in relative terms:
bln. tenge
1,600.0
1,200.0
5.4
5.1
1,400.0
5.4
5.1
4.8
4.54
5.3
5.4 5.4
5.0
1,478
5.0
5
4.5
4
1,000.0
800.0
3
872
600.0
679
1,174
854
2
517
400.0
413
200.0
0.0
6
118 147
180 237
1
296
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
GRP
Region's share in total GRP
region's share in total GRP (%)
Economy
• GRP growth in 2011 is slightly below the
average growth of total GRP of all RK regions and
makes up 125.9% compared to 2010, against the
total value of RK - 126.4%:
Growth of total GRP in RK – 126.4
г. Almaty
Алматы
City of
124.8
Астана
City ofг.Astana
117.9
Восточно-Казахстанская
East Kazakhstan
130.6
Северо-Казахстанская
North Kazakhstan
143.0
Павлодарская
Pavlodar
148.0
Южно-Казахстанская
South Kazakhstan
125.1
Мангистауская
Mangistau
117.9
Кызылординская
Kyzylorda
120.4
Костанайская
Kostanay
132.5
Карагандинская
Karaganda
128.0
Жамбылская
Zhambyl
Западно-Казахстанская
West Kazakhstan
Атырауская
Atyrau
Алматинская
Almaty
Актюбинская
Aktobe
Акмолинская
Akmola
142.1
126.2
121.2
124.9
125.9
138.1
0
50
100
150
200
% compared to previous year
7
Investment
bln. tenge
•
Fixed assets investment tends to a stable
significant growth:
450
6,000
400
4,5854654
4,211
350
300
200
150
50
0
5,000
4,000
3,392
2,825
2,421
250
100
5 010
596
41
1,704
1,328
1,100
943
62
83
116 131
184 187
3,000
225
287 313
364
386
2,000
1,000
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Aktobe region
RK
•
The share of fixed assets investment in the
Kazakhstan’s level of investment has increased from 6.9% in
2000 to 7.7% in 2011:
8.72
%
9
9
8
8
7
7
6
6
5
7.51
6.90
6.56
•
The growth of fixed assets investment in 2011
was below the total average level in RK regions and
made up 105.9% compared to previous year, against
107.7% in general in RK. This tendency can be
explained by the base effect from the stronger decrease
of investments in 2010 in the region compared to RK
level:
7.83 7.71
7.69 7.61
6.62 6.64
6.82 6.82
Growth in Kazakhstan in general – 107.7
104.3
City ofг.Алматы
Almaty
г.Астана
City of Astana
Восточно-Казахстанская
East Kazakhstan
Северо-Казахстанская
North Kazakhstan
167.0
134.7
Павлодарская
Pavlodar
Южно-Казахстанская
South Kazakhstan
Мангистауская
Mangistau
112.0
104.0
99.3
Кызылординская
Kyzylorda
Костанайская
Kostanay
Карагандинская
Karaganda
Жамбылская
Zhambyl
Западно-Казахстанская
West Kazakhstan
Атырауская
Atyrau
Алматинская
Almaty
Актюбинская
Aktobe
Акмолинская
Akmola
89.9
124.7
119.9
72.6
73.0
97.4
121.6
105.9
114.9
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
144.3
50
100
150
200
% compared to previous year
8
Agriculture
bln. tenge

• The share of the region’s volume of
production
in
agriculture
in
total
Kazakhstan’s
volume
of
industry’s
production. In 2010 5.7%
of country’s
agricultural production was manufactured in the
region:
The volume of production in agriculture
was increasing until 2009, decreased in
2010 to 82.3 billion Tenge:
100
1,641.4
90
1,404.5
80
70
825.6
50
40
30
Алматы
City of г.
Almaty
0.1
1,600
1,442.6
г. Астана
City of Astana
0.1
1,400
East Kazakhstan
Восточно-Казахстанская
1,089.4
60
615.4
557.4
533.6
82.3
1,800
1,200
88.1
82.3
763.8
698.9
800
400
45.0
200
10
24.5
0
11.6
4.2
11.4
Южно-Казахстанская
South Kazakhstan
0.3
Мангистауская
Mangistau
3.1
Кызылординская
Kyzylorda
14.8
Костанайская
Kostanay
57.3
20
North Kazakhstan
Северо-Казахстанская
Pavlodar
Павлодарская
1,000
600
402.0
10.6
27.0 27.4
20.6
16.7
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
0
5.8
Карагандинская
Karaganda
4.7
Жамбылская
Zhambyl
3.7
Западно-Казахстанская
West Kazakhstan
1.3
Атырауская
Atyrau
15.1
Almaty
Алматинская
Aktobe region
RK
Aktobe
Актюбинская
5.7
Akmola
Акмолинская
7.5
0
5
10
15
20
% of total
9
Real Sector
The growth of industrial production volumes was observed
throughout the study period, excluding crisis year 2009, when the
mining industry showed a decrease:

bln. tenge
1,400
1,253.9
1,200
800
485.4
600
400
200
0
962.0
881.5
1,000
93.2
112.8140.4
194.8
557.4
657.9
695.2
Mln
Teng
e
982
740
643
312.5
229
22
26
126 201
54
122
66
40 169 206
46
67
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Mining industry output
Manufacturing output
Electricity, gas and water production and distribution
Industrial production
billion Tenge
• The share of industrial production in the Kazakhstan’s level has
increased from 5.2% in 2000 to 7.9% in 2011:
14
12
11.1
10
6
4
2
10.3
9.2
8.1
8
5.6
6.0
6.9
8.0
5.2
3.7
4.4
8.5
8.4
8.6
6.8
10.0
7.6
5.9
4.3
6.0
•
Real sector industries with the highest values of
production in 2010 are production of crude oil and natural
gas, construction, mining of metal ores, other mining
industries, chemical industry, and etc. These industries
have the significant share in the total production volume
of RK and region’s GRP:
4.1
9.7
7.9
6.4
7.9
6.3
4.4
4.3
Share in Shar
RK level e in
2010
GRP
Production of crude oil and
natural gas
541 142
8.7
46.1
Construction
126 479
6.5
10.8
Metal ores mining
101 301
15.5
8.6
Other mining industries
97 268
22.1
8.3
Maintenance in mining industry
87 770
24.1
7.5
Agriculture
82 276
5.7
7.0
71 662
4.2
6.1
53 585
6.4
4.6
40 698
4.5
3.5
19 216
15.5
1.6
Metallurgic industry and
production of finished metal
products
Production and distribution of
electricity, gas and water
Production of food products,
beverages and tobacco
Chemical industry
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
10
600
500
400
3
4
300
200
480
484
4
4
498
542
4
4
520
5
5
5
5
6
5
4
4
576
561
623
622
620
592
3
2
1
100
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Aktobe region
0
• The number of construction companies is increasing:
5
4
4
4
250
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
200
3
3
150
2
243 234 256
235
204
100
2
183
164 169 175
1
50
1
0
0
300
%
700
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Aktobe region
Share in RK
Share in RK
• The number of working agricultural enterprises has been growing since
2009, however, its share has decreased from maximum 5.9% in 2003 to 4.6%
in 2011:
300
250
5.6
100
50
7.
5.9
4.6 5.
5.1
278
243
6.
5.5
5.2
200
150
5.9
%
350
units
units
• The number of industrial enterprises was increasing until
2008 and decreasing from 2008, however, its share in RK level
has grown up:
%units
Sector Enterprises
271
4.2
265
4.1
4.4
4.2 3.9
248
228
222
252
219
4.
288 3.
227
2.
253
0
1.
.
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Aktobe region
Share in RK
11
Small and Medium Business
• The number of registered legal entities as
of October 1, 2012 is 12 625. The SME number is
12 528. The structure of the enterprises number
is close to the RK average level:
• SME share of the region's GRP is growing
at a moderate pace, but it’s below the
average level in RK:
%
40
RK
Aktobe region
35
30.4
33.4
31.6
27.6
30
4% 1%
5%1%
25
20
20.3
18.9 19.7
30.0
15
10
Small
5
Medium
13.9
14.2
-
Large
2005
95%
94%
22.2
19.4
24.0
12.8
2006
2007
2008
Aktobe region
2009
2010
2011
RK
12
Interbudgetary Relations
Budget revenues of Aktobe region in 2011 amounted to 124.9 trillion Tenge, including
60.7 trillion Tenge of transfers from the national budget. Expenses amounted to 128.1
trillion Tenge, including 0,5 trillion Tenge of transfers to the national budget. Thus, the
region is subventional:

Name
Cash
execution
Million Tenge
Revenues
including income transfers
Expenses
including transfers
Budget deficit (surplus)
124889.2
60671.1
128082.7
529.4
-3193.5
140000
3508.2
Million Tenge
120000
100000
80000
1931.7
1572
250
60000
13
218
142
-1064
40000
-2693
20000
-1484.6
-2234.1
-3193.5
0
Expenses and credits
Costs and
financing
Deficit (-),
surplus (+)
2000
13070
12820
250
2001
17873
17860
13
2002
14434
14216
218
4000
2003
18951
18809
142
3000
2004
23909
24973
-1064
2000
2005
31904
34597
-2693
1000
2006
45424
43853
1572
0
2007
58455
60689
-2234
-1000
2008
89848
86340
3508
-2000
2009
103883
101952
1932
-3000
2010
114581
116066
-1485
-4000
2011
124889
128083
-3194
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Revenues
Receivables
Deficit (-), surplus (+)
13
Aktobe Region Development Program for 2011-2015
Main target indicators:













GRP increase in real terms in 2015 by 1.4 times compared to 2009 level;
An increase of the share of manufacturing industry in GRP to 13.1% in 2015 (2009 7.9%).
An increase of the share of local content in the procurement of goods of public
institutions and organizations, strategic enterprises - up to 62%, procurement of
works and services - more than 92%.
An increase of the share of non-resource exports in total exports - 45.5% by 2015
(2009 - 31.8%), including export in the agricultural sector to 2.53% by 2015 (2009 1.26%) .
Ensure the provision for the number of gasified settlements with the oil-associated
(natural) gas to 51.3% of the total number of settlements by 2015.
An increase of the labor productivity in agriculture by 1.4 times by 2015 compared to
2009.
The life expectancy of the population in 2015 shall be 70.1 years (2009 - 68.19 years);
Total mortality in 2015 to be 7.62 per 1,000 people of the population (2009 - 8.46);
Coverage of preschool education and upbringing in educational institutions in 2015
shall be 98% (2009 - 64.3%);
Reduce the unemployment rate to 5.0% in 2015 (2009 - 6.0%);
Reduce the share of population with income below the minimum cost of living to 4.0%
in 2015. (2009 - 6.3%);
Reduce energy intensity of GRP by 2015 at least by 10%;
Reduce emissions of air pollutants by 6.5% in 2015 compared to the level of 2009.
14