Transcript Slide 1
NRG Energy: Past, Present and Future David Crane, President and Chief Executive Officer Robert Flexon, EVP and Chief Financial Officer Deutsche Bank Global High-Yield Conference October 6, 2004 Scottsdale, AZ Safe Harbor Statement This Investor Presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions and typically can be identified by the use of words such as “expect,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “forecast,” “plan,” “believe” and similar terms. Such forwardlooking statements include, but are not limited to, expected earnings, future growth and financial performance, the sufficiency in the disputed claims reserve, the successful closing of announced transactions, the successful closing of the coal transportation agreement, the successful implementation of our acquisition and repowering strategy, the outcome of hearings on our RMR agreements and cost tracker for scheduled expenses. Although NRG believes that its expectations are reasonable, it can give no assurance that these expectations will prove to have been correct, and actual results may vary materially. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated above include, among others, general economic conditions, hazards customary in the power industry, competition in wholesale power markets, the volatility of energy and fuel prices, failure of customers to perform under contracts, changes in the wholesale power markets and related government regulation, the condition of capital markets generally, our ability to access capital markets, unanticipated outages at generation facilities, our ability to convert facilities to western coal, our substantial indebtedness and the possibility that we may incur additional indebtedness, adverse results in current and future litigation, delays in or failure to meet closing conditions in announced transactions, failure to identify or successfully implement acquisitions and repowerings, the amount of proceeds from asset sales and adverse rulings on our RMR agreements and cost tracker for scheduled expenses, resulting in us refunding certain payments received to date. NRG undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The adjusted EBITDA guidance is an estimate as of August 5, 2004 and is based on assumptions believed to be reasonable as of that date. NRG disclaims any current intention to update such guidance from August 5, 2004. The foregoing review of factors that could cause NRG’s actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in the forward-looking statements included in this Investor Presentation should be considered in connection with information regarding risks and uncertainties that may affect NRG's future results included in NRG's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission at www.sec.gov. 2 Agenda NRG in the Past NRG in the Present NRG in the Future 3 NRG – A Merchant Generator We are a nonutility electric generation company providing value through competitive markets. 4 NRG History New NRG Old NRG Xcel subsidiary, NRG completes series of domestic and international acquisitions leading to partial IPO in June 2000. 1991-2001 Xcel Energy completes tender offer to acquire NRG’s outstanding stock 2002 Confidence in energy industry falters post-Enron. Energy prices fall. NRG emerges from Chapter 11 2003 Overpaid for acquisitions Overleveraged balance sheet Overextended via turbine orders Over hyped market prospects 2004 Year to Date $2.7 bn Exit Financing Unable to serve debt accumulated through acquisitions, NRG files under Chapter 11. The “old” NRG committed the same blunders as the rest of the wholesale power industry: Relisted on NYSE With Kendall, Total Asset Sales: $1 bn+ New CFO ’04 Adj. EBITDA Guidance $850 mn Emergence from Chapter 11 marks the birth of the “new” NRG, a very different company: New balance sheet New strategy New management No legacy issues 5 New NRG – New Strategy Leverage off the strength of the asset base Northeast West Coal Oil 2,407 MW 2,350 MW 30% 30% Gas Dual Fuel 693 MW 628 MW 56% 44% South Central Gas 980 MW 40% Coal 1,489 MW 60% Gas 842 MW 11% Dual Fuel 2,284 MW 29% Regional concentrations with fuel and dispatch-level diversity Our Competitive Advantages Sizeable asset base in the right markets Long-term contracts / relationships with retail cooperatives in South Central Locational advantage * Other North America Healthy balance sheet includes 2,934 MW outside of core regions Flexibility to act in best interest of stakeholders 6 The New NRG New Management No Legacy Issues New CEO and CFO California settled Best practices approach to CL&P contract expired Corporate Governance – Non-executive Chairman – Board of Directors are independent* – All Directors selected by NRG Creditors Committee McClain sold Turbine purchase obligations resolved *Excluding CEO 7 New NRG – Post-emergence focus Objectives met – Noncore assets continue to be sold – Strong liquidity maintained – Restructured corporate organization – 2004 financial guidance provided – Conversion of New York coal-fired plants to PRB and initial steps in Delaware Focus remains – Building regional businesses with customer focus – Increasing operational efficiencies in maintenance and fuel procurement – Solving for California – Allocating capital among shareholders, debt service and growth – Strengthening trading and marketing platform New NRG: Significant progress since bankruptcy, but plenty of work still remains 8 New NRG - Early Returns are Good While we plan and organize for the future, the Company has stayed focused on delivering the present: $ millions Q2 YTD Operating revenues 574 1,174 Gross margin 349 683 83 113 EBITDA 282 529 Adjusted EBITDA* 233 489 37 355 Net income Free Cash Flow *Full-year guidance for 2004 Adjusted EBITDA is $850 million 9 Enterprise Value How we look at equity value: As of 6/30/04 $ in millions Consolidated Debt Total $ 4,037 Nonsupported $ 1 1,003 Supported $ 3,034 Unrestricted Cash 821 31 790 Restricted Cash 152 63 89 973 94 879 Total Cash Net Debt $ 3,064 Equity Value $ 2,700 Enterprise Value $ 5,764 Forecasted Adjusted EBITDA $ 850 1) Includes expected asset sales $ 909 $ 2,155 - $ 2,700 $ 909 $ 4,855 $ 100 $ 750 TEV / FY Adjusted EBITDA 6.47x Net Debt / FY Adj. EBITDA 2.87x 10 New NRG – Balance Sheet Management Portfolio Management Strengthening the Balance Sheet A 2004 Priority Targeted Unproductive Capital Invested Capital $7,000 $4,000 Net Debt $6,000 $3,000 $5,000 $4,000 $2,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $1,000 $0 $0 12/03A 12/04E Debt EBITDA1 Leverage Ratio McClain $156.5m $10m 15.65x Batesville $289.1m $39m 7.41x Kendall $447.4m $43m 10.40x Subtotal $893.0m $92m 9.71x Other $ 94.2m N/A2 N/A Asset Sale 1Full-year 2004 estimate 2Break-even at time of sale 12/03A 12/04E Asset sales announced year-to-date also generated close to $150mn of cash proceeds Total liquidity now exceeds $1.6 billion Corporate maturities due over the next five years are less than $50 million in aggregate 11 9/24/2004 9/10/2004 8/27/2004 8/13/2004 7/30/2004 7/16/2004 7/2/2004 6/18/2004 6/4/2004 5/21/2004 5/7/2004 4/23/2004 4/9/2004 3/26/2004 3/12/2004 2/27/2004 60.00% 2/13/2004 1/30/2004 1/16/2004 1/2/2004 NRG Performance NRG versus Peer Group 160.00% 140.00% 120.00% 100.00% 80.00% NRG % DYN % RRI % AES % CPN % 40.00% 12 NRG Performance Secondary Market Performance: NRG versus Peer Group 118.000 116.000 114.000 112.000 110.000 104.000 102.000 100.000 98.000 96.000 94.000 92.000 90.000 NRG 8% due '13 ($1,725MM) 88.000 86.000 Reliant Res. 9.5% due '13 ($550MM) 84.000 82.000 Calpine 8.75% due '13 ($900MM) 80.000 78.000 Dynegy 10.125% due '13 ($900MM) AES 8.75% due '13 ($1,200MM) CSFB High Yield Index 12 /1 8/ 20 03 1/ 1/ 20 04 1/ 15 /2 00 4 1/ 29 /2 00 4 2/ 12 /2 00 4 2/ 26 /2 00 4 3/ 11 /2 00 4 3/ 25 /2 00 4 4/ 8/ 20 04 4/ 22 /2 00 4 5/ 6/ 20 04 5/ 20 /2 00 4 6/ 3/ 20 04 6/ 17 /2 00 4 7/ 1/ 20 04 7/ 15 /2 00 4 7/ 29 /2 00 4 8/ 12 /2 00 4 8/ 26 /2 00 4 9/ 9/ 20 04 (Price, % of Par) 108.000 106.000 13 NRG: Working Towards a Super-Regional Business Model We are transitioning NRG from a loose collection of power plants into three coherent regional businesses, each focused on developing as a foundation to their businesses, commercial relationships with the inmarket retail load providers Region Northeast South Central West Total MWs 180,000 50,000 60,000 Our MWs 7,884 2,469 1,321 (2,692 gross) Market Share 4% 5% 2% (4% gross) Principal Strength Base load coal Base load coal / long term contracts Locational advantage Principal Vulnerability Shortfall of our generation relative to load we serve Lack of capacity market Reduction in transmission constraints 14 NRG Strategy – Beyond Back to Basics Extracting maximum value from existing fleet West Coast Northeast Reinvestment in repowering of key assets South Central Selective acquisitions to fill out regional lineups Our Objective: to be a multi-regional, multi-fuel, scale generator with assets across the merit order in each of our core regional businesses and with the capability to procure, transport and trade all of the commodities involved in our business. 15 Supplemental information 17 Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation NRG ENERGY, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES Reconciliation of NonGAAP Financial Measures Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation Reorganized NRG Predessor NRG Reorganized NRG YTD (Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts) 6/30/04 6/30/03 3/31/04 6/30/04 Net Income / (Loss) $83,024 ($608,401) $30,235 $113,259 36,322 4,305 14,280 50,602 60,210 88,168 71,989 132,199 53,168 63,768 55,006 108,174 30,638 - 30,968 61,606 Amortization of power contracts 8,614 - 16,965 25,579 Amortization of emission credits 3,648 - 6,270 9,918 Plus: Income Tax Expense Interest expense, excluding amortization of debt issuance costs and debt discount/ (premium) noted below Depreciation and amortization WCP CDWR contract amortization (included in equity in earnings of unconsolidated affiliates) Amortization of debt issuance costs and debt discount/(premium) EBITDA 6,015 3,919 21,157 27,172 $281,639 ($448,241) $246,870 $528,509 (2,257) 97,285 865 (1,392) Plus: (Income) Loss from Discontinued Operations, net of Income taxes (Gain) Loss from Discontinued Operations (11,898) 2,066 - (11,898) Corporate relocation charges 5,645 - 1,116 6,761 Reorganization items (2,661) 6,334 6,250 3,589 Restructuring and impairment charges 1,676 269,631 - 1,676 - (38,357) FERC-authorized settlement with Connecticut Light and Power (38,357) - Write downs and (gains)/losses on sales of equity method investments Adjusted EBITDA (1,205) 132,436 1,738 533 $232,582 $59,511 $256,839 $489,421 18 2004 EBITDA and FCF Outlook $ in millions Reported Adjustment Outlook EBITDA Adjusted Outlook 837 13 850 (278) 15 (263) Income Tax (36) -- (36) Other Cash Used by Operations (50) -- (50) 473 28 501 Working Capital Changes (60) -- (60) Xcel Settlement, net 100 (100) -- 513 (72) 441 145 (145) -- (130) -- (130) (7) -- (7) 521 (217) 304 Interest Payments FFO CFO Asset Divestitures CapEx Other Cash used by Investing FCF 19 GAAP Reconciliation (cont.) EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net income are non-GAAP financial measures. These measurements are not recognized in accordance with GAAP and should not be viewed as an alternative to GAAP measures of performance. The presentation of Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net income should not be construed as an inference that NRG’s future results will be unaffected by unusual or nonrecurring items. EBITDA represents net income before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. EBITDA is presented because NRG considers it an important supplemental measure of its performance and believe debt-holders frequently use EBITDA to analyze operating performance and debt service capacity. EBITDA has limitations as an analytical tool, and you should not consider it in isolation, or as a substitute for analysis of our operating results as reported under GAAP. Some of these limitations are: • EBITDA does not reflect cash expenditures, or future requirements for capital expenditures, or contractual commitments; • EBITDA does not reflect changes in, or cash requirements for, working capital needs; • EBITDA does not reflect the significant interest expense, or the cash requirements necessary to service interest or principal payments, on debts; • Although depreciation and amortization are noncash charges, the assets being depreciated and amortized will often have to be replaced in the future, and EBITDA does not reflect any cash requirements for such replacements; and • Other companies in this industry may calculate EBITDA differently than NRG does, limiting its usefulness as a comparative measure. Because of these limitations, EBITDA should not be considered as a measure of discretionary cash available to use to invest in the growth of NRG’s business. NRG compensates for these limitations by relying primarily on our GAAP results and using EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA only supplementally. See the statements of cash flow included in the financial statements that are a part of this press release. Adjusted EBITDA is presented as a further supplemental measure of operating performance. Adjusted EBITDA represents EBITDA adjusted for reorganization, restructuring, impairment and corporate relocation charges, discontinued operations, and write downs and losses on the sales of equity method investments; factors which we do not consider indicative of future operating performance. The reader is encouraged to evaluate each adjustment and the reasons NRG considers it appropriate for supplemental analysis. As an analytical tool, Adjusted EBITDA is subject to all of the limitations applicable to EBITDA. In addition, in evaluating Adjusted EBITDA, the reader should be aware that in the future NRG may incur expenses similar to the adjustments in this presentation. 20