Transcript Energy Demand Outlook - CentralAsia

Energy Demand Outlook
by
Mohamed Ariff
Based on Data from
The Institute of Energy Economics, Japan
Annual Growth of Energy Demand
2000 - 2020
World
2.1%
Asia
3.2%
North America
1.1%
2
Demand Share by Region
2000
2020
OECD
59%
49%
Non-OECD
41%
51%
China
10%
15%
3
Contribution to Global Increase in Energy
Demand 2000 - 2020
China
25%
India
8%
Japan
1%
Other Asia
14%
Asia total
50%
4
Primary Sources of Energy
World
Asia
Oil
2000
39%
2020
38%
2000
39%
2020
38%
Coal
27%
27%
43%
40%
Natural
Gas
24%
27%
10%
13%
Nuclear
8%
6%
6%
6%
Hydro
2%
2%
1%
2%
5
Share in Demand Increase 2000 - 2020:
Asia by Energy Source
Oil
35%
Coal
26%
Gas
30%
Others
9%
6
Asian Contribution to Oil Demand Growth
China
Japan
47.0%
-
Korea
India
Indonesia
4.1%
21.0%
7.1%
Taiwan
Singapore
Malaysia
Philippines
1.8%
2.6%
4.6%
2.9%
Thailand
Vietnam
4.2%
2.7%
7
Regional Share of Increase Demand for
Gas 2000 - 2020
Europe
32%
Asia
26%
North America
9%
Others
33%
8
Dependence on Middle-East Oil, 2020
Japan
89%
South Korea
79%
China
51%
9
China: Energy Demand
2000
2020
Coal
44%
24%
Oil
32%
43%
Gas
Electricity
3%
16%
6%
22%
10
India: Energy Demand
2000
2020
Coal
55%
45%
Oil
35%
41%
Gas
7%
10%
11
Oil Exports to East Asia
2001
bpd
Middle East
2020
%
bpd
%
8,560
53
14,510
58
Africa
720
12
919
10
Former Soviet Union
South America
100
80
3
3
2,272
295
30
6
12
13