Transcript Document

overview
Presentation overview
1
Rationale for long-term planning
2
A Call to Dream
3
Past, Present & Future
4
The Drivers of Change
5
The Levers of Change
5.1
Social Inclusivity & Cohesion
5.2
Equitable Growth
5.3
Sustainable Development & Infrastructure
5.4
Good Governance
6
Gauteng in 2055
Rationale for Gauteng Vision 2055: Why long-term
regional planning?
“With widespread inequality and poverty, why expend
effort on long-term planning? Why, in the context of
scarce resources, should the focus be beyond
addressing the needs faced by the people of the GCR
now?”
1. This requires a shared dream, careful planning,
and focused implementation of this plan
2. Countries and regions that have focused on longterm plans and their rigorous implementation have
seen the benefits
3. Gauteng Vision 2055 takes a balanced and
integrated approach to devising a development
vision over a long-term horizon
Rationale for Gauteng Vision 2055: Integrated government
planning
Focus
point for
Gauteng
Vision
2055
Rationale for Gauteng Vision 2055 : Why target 2055?
1. Plans recently established across the 3 spheres of government
have set their sights on different end points –
– NDP targets 2030; the Tshwane Vision 2055; the City of
Johannesburg’s GDS emphasizes 2040
– While variations in planning timeframes complicate efforts to
drive alignment, these timeframes have been identified for
specific reasons
Why target 2055?
• 2055 marks the 100 year anniversary of the Freedom Charter. While it may not be
possible to plan for every aspect of the path to 2055, the ideals defined in the
Freedom Charter serve as a valuable compass by which to navigate.
• We acknowledge that only some aspects of the future can be mapped and targeted.
Others may only reflect as aspirations, providing direction, but with less precision.
• Locating 2055 as the focal point sets our imagination free, in the context of
priorities, certain specifics and the democratic changes defined in the Freedom
Charter itself:
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The People Shall Govern!
All National Groups Shall have Equal Rights!
The People Shall Share in the Country's Wealth!
The Land Shall be Shared Among Those Who Work It!
All Shall be Equal Before the Law!
All Shall Enjoy Equal Human Rights!
There Shall be Work and Security!
The Doors of Learning and Culture Shall be Opened!
There Shall be Houses, Security and Comfort!
There Shall be Peace and Friendship!
Why target 2055?
1.
The Current reality is known to change rapidly and present
extreme challenges with limited control
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2.
The global financial crisis
Radical climate change across the continent, and the globe
Significant unemployment and poverty
Illness and disease
Political instability
Planning for 2055 provides a unique occasion for
fundamental change. It is the opportunity of a lifetime:
We could build a new educational system, and
generations of skilled South Africans
We could change the urban landscape: shifting the GCR’s
borders; changing the housing form; removing social
barriers
We could move to renewable energy – and eradicate
waste
We could eliminate poverty, and reduce inequality
The journey to “Gauteng Vision 2055”
1. ‘Gauteng 2055 Vision’, the long-term development plan for the
Gauteng City-Region (GCR), represents a synthesis of many
thinkers
2. In 2005, a plan to build “an integrated, globally competitive city
region” was announced, and called for: a “common vision and
strategy”; ‘regional thinking’ by all delivery partners; enhanced
cooperation and coordination; improved urban management and
governance; and a focus on acting together in a global arena
3. Learnings had been drawn from other city regions, which, like
Gauteng, “have large urban populations, a clustering of cities and
are dynamic economic engines driving not only national and regional
growth but…the global economy”
4. Since this announcement, much has been done to build a vision and
strategy for the GCR…
The journey to “Gauteng Vision 2055”
Gauteng in the ‘70s
From a time perspective,
2055 is not far away. 1970
was only 43 years ago
1970’s
2013
So 2055 is not so far into the
future and we need to prepare
for it now.
The Story of the Gauteng City Region
Urban land use in Gauteng, 1973
- Spatial change in Gauteng City Region
A Call to Dream
On 24 May 2012, the Premier of Gauteng, Ms Nomvula
Mokonyane, launched the Gauteng 2055 Discussion
Document and called on all stakeholders to voice their vision
for Gauteng in 2055.
1. Robust engagements were held with women, youth, people with
disabilities, academia, researchers, faith based organisations,
business groupings, labour and ordinary citizens to mould a
collective vision for the province.
2. A campaign was rolled out in 2,745 schools across Gauteng to
ensure that the future custodians of 2055 could be heard on
their dreams for the future.
3. Thought leaders in the area of city-region planning and longterm development were called upon to give comment on the
discussion document and lively debates took place on radio and
on social media platforms.
Gauteng Vision 2055 is a “People’s Vision” - jointly
owned by the province’s residents as a legacy that we
leave for future generations.
Past, Present and Future: Population
Population projections made in the 1970
• Urban population projections made in the 1970 up to 2000 for the
Southern Transvaal, Witwatersrand Metropolitan and constituent
metro zones with good accuracy.
• From 630 519 people in 1911 to 3 965 716 in 1970.
Past, Present and Future: Population
Millions
Population Growth in South Africa and Gauteng: 1960-2055
70,00
60,00
South Africa
50,8 Million
Present
South Africa
57,5 Million
50,00
40,00
Gauteng
24,6 Million
30,00
20,00
Gauteng
12,8 Million
10,00
0,00
South Africa
Gauteng
Past, Present and Future: The Economy
Trillions
World Economic Growth 1960-2055
$ 250,00
6%
5%
$ 200,00
$ 150,00
3%
World GDP
2%
$ 100,00
Growth rate (%)
GDP at PPP
4%
1%
$ 50,00
BRICS GDP
0%
World GDP
•
BRICS GDP
2055
2050
2045
2040
2035
2030
2025
2020
2015
2010
2005
2000
1995
1990
1985
1980
1975
1970
1965
-1%
1960
$-
World GDP growth rate
GDP growth of the world, from $ 10.5 billion (1960) to $69 billion (2010) and
an estimated $ 227.2 billion by 2055
Past, Present and Future: The Economy
FDI as percentage of GDP for BRICS countries: 1980-2055
FDI as % of GDP
China:
3,7% of GDP
in 2055
South Africa:
2,5% of GDP
in 2055
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055
Brazil
China
India
South Africa
Russia
1. According to the World Economic Outlook Report (IMF, 2013) emerging
markets are set to receive increased capital flows from the developed world
2. FDI was at an average level of 1.5% of South Africa’s GDP during 2003-2013
and is estimated to reach 2.5% by 2055.
3. China has the largest FDI/GDP ratio at 3.5% currently and will stay in the
same range at 3.7% until 2055
Past, Present and Future: The Economy
$ 40,00
Gauteng
In 2055:
Gauteng is expected to have
much higher GDP per capita
than the average GDP per
capita of SA and the world
$ 35,00
$ 30,00
South Africa
$ 25,00
Currently:
South Africa’s GDP per
capita is very close to
that of the world
$ 20,00
$ 15,00
World
$ 10,00
$ 5,00
World
Africa
BRICS (5)
Africa SADC
South Africa
Gauteng
2055
2050
2045
2040
2035
2030
2025
2020
2015
2010
2005
2000
1995
1990
1985
1980
1975
1970
1965
$-
1960
Thousands
GDP per capita at PPP (2005 prices): 1960-2055
Past, Present and Future: Good Governance
1. The functional expansion of local government authority has arguably
been the most significant institutional change in South African society
since 1994
2. Intergovernmental collaboration is an imperative as government units
in South Africa approach these challenges.
3. South Africa’s 1996 Constitution invoked a system that requires all
three spheres of government to play a role in most of the core
functions pertaining to urban and regional development
Gauteng 2055 Drivers of Change
Sustainable
development &
infrastructure
Equitable
growth
2055
Good
governance
Social
inclusivity &
cohesion
Drivers of Change: Alignment with the NDP
Equitable
Growth
Good
Governance
Social
Cohesion &
Inclusivity
Sustainable
Development &
Infrastructure
Levers of Change
Decent employment through inclusive economic
growth
Protect and enhance our
environmental assets and natural
resources
Skilled and capable workforce to
support an inclusive growth path
supp
Sustainable human
settlements and
improved quality of
household life
Sustainable
development &
infrastructure
Create a better South Africa, a
better Africa and a better world
2055
Nation building and
social cohesion
Responsive, accountable,
effective and efficient
local government system
An efficient, competitive and
responsive economic infrastructure
Equitable
growth
network
communi
Good
governance
Social
inclusivity &
cohesion
An efficient, effective and
development oriented public
service
A long and healthy life for all
Quality basic education
s
9.
Vibrant, equitable, sustainable rural
communities contributing to food
security for all
All people in South Africa are and feel
safe
Social protection
Gauteng Vision 2055
A liveable, equitable, prosperous and united GCR,
established through the combined efforts of
a developmental state, an engaged civil society and an active citizenry
–
together targeting the objectives of
equitable growth,
.
sustainable development and infrastructure,
social inclusivity and cohesion,
and the necessary condition of good governance.
Social Inclusivity and Cohesion
Outcome 1: Quality basic education
Key Insights
• Growing skills gap
• Lack of education
resources
• Youth Unemployment
• Literacy, numeracy
and science
inadequacies
• Provide access for
children with
disabilities
• Limited Access in
Early Childhood
Development
Developmental
Interventions
• Improve literacy,
numeracy and
science outcomes
• Improve resources in
basic education
• Expanded inclusivity
through the
development of full
service schools
• Integrate and
universalise Grade R
Game Changers
• ECD nutrition
programme
• Electronic/online
textbooks
• Tax incentives to all
that sponsor a
students education
• Computer facilities in
all schools
• Free tertiary education
to all
Social Inclusivity and Cohesion
Outcome
A long and healthy
life for all South Africans
Social2:Inclusivity
and Cohesion
Key Insights
• Unequal Healthcare
System
• Quadruple Burden of
Disease
• High rates of violence
• Underdeveloped
Health ICT
• Low life expectancy
• National Quality
Assurance Standards
underutilised
Developmental
Interventions
Game Changers
• Encourage
meaningful Public
Private Partnerships
• Improve access to
HIV/AIDS prevention
and treatment services
• Finance Universal
Healthcare
Coverage
• Requisite for more
access to primary
healthcare facilities in
peri-urban areas
• Prioritise the
development and
management of
effective data
systems
• Increase life
expectancy
• Improved accessibility
to health facilities
• Life orientation
includes establishment
and maintenance of
food gardens in
schools
Social Inclusivity and Cohesion
Outcome
All people in and
South Cohesion
Africa are and feel safe
Social 3:Inclusivity
Key Insights
• High Crime Rate
• Poverty and
Unemployment
• Lack of training of
police
• Culture of Violence
• Focus on reactive
Measures, rather than
prevention
• Prevalence of social
crime
Developmental
Interventions
• Social Crime
Prevention
• Develop crime
prevention through
environmental
design strategies
• Strengthen the
criminal justice
system
• Rehabilitation of
prisoners and
reducing recidivism
Game Changers
• Develop crime
prevention through
environmental design
strategies
• Consider building
“half-way” houses to
assist in the
reintegration of
offenders
• Establishment of a
real-time data and
information tracking
Social Inclusivity and Cohesion
Outcome 7: Vibrant, equitable, sustainable rural communities
Social Inclusivity
and for
Cohesion
contributing
towards food security
all
Key Insights
• Spatial distortions in
the spread of
economic opportunity
• High levels of poverty
and unemployment
• Poor access to
Services
• Underutilised
Agricultural land
• Inadequate delivery of
Education
• Food Security at Risk
Developmental
Interventions
Game Changers
• Access to Municipal
Services
• Develop agroprocessing clusters
• Extend the
Expanded Public
Works Programme
• Peri-urban
Development Strategy
• Conditional
jobseekers
allowance
• Institute clear
state/civil society
partnership
• Community food
gardens
Social Inclusivity and Cohesion
Outcome 13: An Inclusive and responsive social protection system
Social Inclusivity and Cohesion
Key Insights
Historic, social and
economic divisions
High levels of Poverty &
Unemployment
Developmental
Interventions
• Build a
transformative social
protection floor
Lack of Community
Participation
• Remove social
pathologies as
blockages to
education
High incidence of Social
Pathologies
• Close the gaps in
social benefits
Lack of a defined Social
Floor
Fragmented Education
Services
Game Changers
• Provision of social
welfare services
• Close the gaps in
social benefits
• Track & trace
beneficiaries of EPWP
• Build a transformative
social protection floor
Social Inclusivity and Cohesion
Outcome
14: Nation building
and social cohesion
Social Inclusivity
and Cohesion
Key Insights
• Lack of community
participation
• Organisational
instability
• Gaps in social benefits
• Shortages in Social
welfare services
Developmental
Interventions
• Engage with civil
society
Game Changers
• Find a ‘Uniquely
Gauteng’ identity that
will speak to the
GCR’s unique and
best attributes
• Application of
innovative devices and
tools to build real-time,
proactive state-society
dialogue
• Youth Unemployment
• Social Protection Floor
• Exercises/ initiatives/
opportunities for civil
society to contribute
creatively to planning
and place
Equitable
Equitable Growth
Growth
Outcome 4: Decent Employment through inclusive economic growth
Key Insights
• Insufficient Industrial
Regional Growth
• Poverty &
Unemployment
• Inadequate levels of
foreign trade and
investment
• Crucial development in
the Knowledge
economy
• Skills mismatch
between secondary and
Tertiary training
institutions and labour
market
Developmental
Interventions
• Working in
partnership with
business to create
green industries,
• Regulate and
implement significant
incentives for
resource efficiency
• Regulate emission
standards;
encourage new
resource efficient
and wasteminimising
infrastructure
Game Changers
•
Holistically plan for, build,
invest in and grow an
integrated regional
innovation system
•
Knowledge Economy:
establishing a regulatory
and economic
environment that
incentivises knowledge to
flow
•
Green Economy –
allowing long term
sustainability and
diversified economy to
create new job
opportunities across
economic sectors
Equitable Growth
Outcome 5: Skilled and capable workforce to support an
Equitable
Growth
inclusive
growth
path
Key Insights
• Education System not
able to Produce
number of Graduates
needed
• Poor quality of
Education puts those
at University at a
Disadvantage
• Lack of experience
learning opportunities:
Internships and skills
development
• Inadequate training
facilities to produce
highly skilled
Developmental
Interventions
• Build partnerships
with the private and
public sector to
match education
• he strategy
implemented to
provide the province
with a sustainable
pool of economically
• Build partnerships
with the private and
public sector to
match education
outputs with sector
needs Master Skills
Game Changers
• Improving the quality
of education from the
primary level through
to secondary and
tertiary level
• Improving accessibility
of graduates to
opportunities for higher
education and skill
development
• Provision of bursaries
for graduates in
specific skills that is
needed as set out in
the Master Skills Plan
Equitable Growth
Outcome 6: An efficient, competitive and responsive economic
infrastructure network
Equitable Growth
Key Insights
• Spatial Distortions in
Housing and Transport
• Transportation model
reform needed
• Infrastructure
inadequately
supporting the GCR's
role as economic
driver
• Lack of Innovative
transport connections
• Urban sprawl putting
pressure on
boundaries
Developmental
Interventions
• Addressing the
GCR’s spatial and
infrastructure form,
and the role of
innovation
• Pressurised regional
boundaries
Game Changers
• Development of
powerful economic
clusters and new
growth sectors
• Establish a regional
Transport Authority
and an urban planning
entity for the GCR
Equitable Growth
Outcome 11: Creating a better South Africa and contributing
toEquitable
a better and Growth
safer Africa in a better world
Developmental
Key Insights
Game Changers
Interventions
• Historic, social and
economic divisions
• Lack of Infrastructure
for strategic logistical
and freight operations
• Lack of partnership
with private business
in tourism
infrastructure
• Need for opportunities
to progress GCR with
the based industries
• Participating
effectively in the
Financial Centre for
Africa
• Promulgating the
advantages of cityregion collaboration
• Investing, together
with private
business, in tourism
infrastructure
• Marketing the GCR as
the gateway to not
only the rest of South
Africa but also to the
rest of Africa
• Improving the GCR
infrastructure to attract
domestic business to
the region and
strengthen regional
trade through the SIP’s
• Focussing on
interventions that
depend less on
imported goods but
more on producing the
same products
Sustainable Development and Infrastructure
Outcome 8: Sustainable human settlements and improved
Sustainable
Development
and Infrastructure
quality
of household
life
Developmental
Key Insights
Game Changers
Interventions
• Spatial mismatch
between places of
work and housing
settlements
• Inadequate transport
capacity
• Inadequate housing
• Unequal access to
Municipal services
• Rapid urbanization
and population growth
• Insufficient
• use of Resources
• Insufficient Energy
• Final date for the
delivery of the last
RDP house in
Gauteng
• Implement a GCRaligned Spatial
Development
Framework
• Reducing the
housing backlog by
a further 20% with
targeted
interventions in
housing delivery
• A GCR-wide Transport
Authority
• Final date for the
delivery of the last
RDP house in
Gauteng
Sustainable Development and Infrastructure
Outcome 10: Protect and enhance our environment assets and natural
resources
Sustainable Development and Infrastructure
Key Insights
• Scarce Water
resources
• Little land under
protection
• Alternative cleaner
energy sources have
not been explored
• High levels of Pollution
Developmental
Interventions
• Enhanced quality
and quantity of water
resources
• Reduced
greenhouse gas
emissions,
• Promote sustainable
land use
management
• Unsustainable
resource use
• Protect Biodiversity
• Environmental
degradation
Game Changers
• Implementation and
policing of policies that
help with the
protection of
environmental assets
and natural resources
• Initialize public
transport framework
that reduces the
dependency upon cars
through improving and
focussing on the public
transport infrastructure
Good Governance
Outcome 9: Responsive, accountable, effective and efficient local
Good Governance
government
system
Key Insights
• High levels of
Corruption
• Broken communication
& pervasive mistrust
between communities
& local government
• Hampered mechanism
of accountability due to
Discrimination based
on gender, age,
disability
Developmental
Interventions
• The Municipal
Infrastructure
Programme
• The Municipal
Support Programme
• Support and training
initiatives for Ward
Committees
• Review of the
Municipal Property
Rates Act
Game Changers
• The salient need for a
new governance
model for the GCR
Good Governance
Outcome 12: An efficient, effective and development orientated
Good
Governance
public
service
Key Insights
Developmental
Interventions
• Lack of
intergovernmental
cooperation
• A Human Resources
Development
Strategy;
• Absence of common
governance
arrangement
• Policies that fight
corruption;
• Government officials’
lack of skills
• The implementation
of an Integrated
Service Delivery
model
• The review and
simplification of
governance
structures;
•
Game Changers
• The establishment of a
GCR Association,
constituted of state,
civil society and expert
role-players
• The creation of MultiArea Agreements
(MAAs) between local
authorities
• Devolving powers and
functions to
metropolitan
municipalities
Gauteng Vision 2055
World class education system
catering for the needs of the local
and the regional economy.
By 2055 all
residents enjoy an
adequate standard
of living
Delivery against the vision for a liveable, equitable,
prosperous and united Gauteng city-region demands that all
sectors of society work in partnership with government to
create inclusive, cohesive, integrated and connected spaces
for people to live, work and play, thereby contributing toward
equitable, sustainable development and economic growth of
the GCR through collaborative, accountable and transparent
governance practices
GCR in 2055 will
offer a
comprehensive
and well
integrated
healthcare system
The GCR will
be the gateway
to continental
trade
By 2055 all
residents enjoy
equal economic and
social opportunities
The future starts here