Making Sense/ Making Numbers/ Making Significance

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Transcript Making Sense/ Making Numbers/ Making Significance

The General (LISREL) SEM model Ulf H. Olsson Professor of statistics

Making Numbers

Branch Satisfaction Loan Savings Loyalty

Satisfacti on

  11

Branch

  12

Loan

  13

Savings

  1

Loyalty

  21

Satisfacti on

  2 Ulf H. Olsson

CFA and SEM

B

y y

 

x x

  Ulf H. Olsson

CFA and SEM

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 

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    Ulf H. Olsson

CFA and SEM

• • • • • • •

No differences in estimation and testing Many estimators ML GLS ULS WLS DWLS

Ulf H. Olsson

Notation and Background

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Satorra & Bentler, 1988, equation 4.1

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   ) Ulf H. Olsson

C1 for ML and GLS

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  2 Ulf H. Olsson

The four different chi-squares

• •

C1 is N-1 times the minimum value of a fit-function

C2 is N-1 times the minimum value of a weighted (involving a weight matrix) fit function under multivariate normality

C3 is the Satorra-Bentler Scaled chi-square C4 is N-1 times the minimum value of a weighted (involving a weight matrix) fit function under multivariate non-normality

Ulf H. Olsson

C1 C2 C3 C4

Asymptotic covariance matrix not provided *

0 ULS 0 0

*

0 GLS

*

0

*

0 ML

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0 0 0 WLS 0 0 0 0 DWLS 0 0 Ulf H. Olsson

C1 C2 C3 C4

Asymptotic covariance matrix provided

* * * ULS 0 * * * GLS * * * * ML * 0 0 0 WLS * * * * DWLS 0 Ulf H. Olsson

ESTIMATORS

• • •

If the data are continuous and approximately follow a multivariate Normal distribution, then the Method of Maximum Likelihood is recommended.

If the data are continuous and approximately do not follow a multivariate Normal distribution and the sample size is not large, then the Robust Maximum Likelihood Method is recommended. This method will require an estimate of the asymptotic covariance matrix of the sample variances and covariances.

If the data are ordinal, categorical or mixed, then the Diagonally Weighted Least Squares (DWLS) method for Polychoric correlation matrices is recommended. This method will require an estimate of the asymptotic covariance matrix of the sample correlations.

Ulf H. Olsson

Problems with the chi-square test

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The chi-square tends to be large in large samples if the model does not hold It is based on the assumption that the model holds in the population It is assumed that the observed variables comes from a multivariate normal distribution => The chi-square test might be to strict, since it is based on unreasonable assumptions?!

Ulf H. Olsson

Alternative test- Testing Close fit

Non

central

 2

distributi on Population

F

0 

Max

( 

Discrepanc y

F

 (

df

/

n

); 0 )

Function

RMSEA

 

F

0

is an estimate of EA df

Ulf H. Olsson

How to Use RMSEA

Use the 90% Confidence interval for EA

Use The P-value for EA

RMSEA as a descriptive Measure

• • • RMSEA< 0.05 Good Fit 0.05 < RMSEA < 0.08 Acceptable Fit RMSEA > 0.10 Not Acceptable Fit Ulf H. Olsson

Other Fit Indices

CN

RMR

GFI = 1-(Fm/Fn)

AGFI= 1 – (k(k+1)/(2df)) (1-GFI)

Evaluation of Reliability

MI: Modification Indices

Ulf H. Olsson

Nested Models and parsimony

• • •

Modification Indices

chi-sq is chi-sq with df=

df Nested Models

Re-specification (Modification indices)

Ulf H. Olsson

RMSEA

TE

EA

EE E

(

TE

) 

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) 

discrepanc y F

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discrepanc y due to approx

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due to estimation E

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F

Ulf H. Olsson

RMSEA

If F

0  0 ; 

E

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nF

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df

nF

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E

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F

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Biased

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n

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 

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Max

(

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df

 1 /

n

, 0 ) Ulf H. Olsson

LISREL SYNTAX

Ulf H. Olsson