Transcript Document
Client Service is Changing… 42% of homebuyers purchased a home for the first time in 2001. NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers 2002 A typical homebuyer is a married couple age 36 and earns $71,300 household income NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers 2002 Source Used in Search Agent Newspaper Internet Home Book Open House 1995 86% 51% 2% 30% 41% 2001 79% 41% 41% 24% 29% CAR Internet Versus Traditional Buyers Study 2002-1 Customer Satisfaction Overall Process Kept Informed Schools/Crime Buying Process Assistance Negotiating Value for Pay Internet Traditional 97% 38% 88% 36% 83% 35% 79% 33% 75% 39% 76% 37% 48% 30% CAR Internet Versus Traditional Buyers Study 2002-1 Frequency of Contact Traditional – 6.5 days Internet – 4.3 days, 5 more times in 60 days CAR Internet Versus Traditional Buyers Study 2002-1 Desired Changes Negotiate Better Screen Houses Keep Informed Internet Traditional 3% 30% 0% 5% 1% 6% CAR Internet Versus Traditional Buyers Study 2002-1 Finding an Agent Internet Traditional Internet 79% Mailers/Flyers 12% 44% Sign 1% 16% Referral 19% CAR Internet Versus Traditional Buyers Study 2002-1 Previous Living Arrangement 45% Rented, 43% owned, 11% lived with parents, relatives or friends, 2% rented home that was purchased NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers 2002 Factors for House Change 74% Neighborhood 58% Price 29% Work 29% School 23% Family and Friends 15% Parks and Recreation 11% Shopping 2% Health Facilities NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers 2002 Reason For Choosing Agent 36% - Friend, Relative, Neighbor 13% - Used Previously in Buying or Selling 9% - Personal Contact by Agent 7% - Reputation 7% - For Sale Sign 6% - Visited an Open House 6% - Walked into Office NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers 2002 Interviewing an Agent 59% - One 22% - Two 13% - Three NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers 2002 Ethnic Background European, Caucasian, White Asian Hispanic, Latin American African American, Black Internet Traditional 46% 60% 30% 19% 18% 16% 4% 4% Client Service is Changing… Questions Understanding used to be knowing all the right answers. Today for brokers and agents it is asking the right questions. The Questions 1. What changes are you experiencing? 2. What business propositions will make the biggest difference over time? 3. How and who will compete with the proposition? 4. How will you counter the competition? Wall Street is Targeting R.E. Business models built on obtaining fees from referrals, property data, and ancillary services. (i.e. loans, title, etc) Railroads or Transportation? 8 of 10 buyers and sellers received recommendations for other real estate services and 90% purchased at least one product. NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers 2002 Commission Pressure 1991 commission 6.34%, 2000 - 5.48%. (-14%) 1991 agent split was 64/36, 2000 - 72/28. (+13%) Brokers Expanding Traditional - Mortgage & Title Service Future - Move to Maintenance (118 U.S. Brokers) Broker Consolidation 1991 –2000 Nation’s top 8 brands grew from 32% to 54% Team Concept Assistants (Licensed and non Licensed). Specialized Assistants (Buyer Agent, Seller Agent, Administrative Agent) Client Service is Changing… Office Security Tenants are demanding specific security measures and new terrorist clauses in leases. (CIE) Commercial Information Systems More local and regional CIEs have been formed in the last 12 months than in history. Consolidation Mergers and acquisitions abound in commercial even more so than residential. International Major demand for the skills of commercial REALTORS in international arena. CCIMs graduating at large rate in China. Client Service is Changing… LIFE BEFORE THE COMPUTER • A cursor used profanity. • A virus was the flu. • And if you had a 3 ½ inch floppy, you hoped nobody found out! 60% of Buyers View Property on WEB Are they looking for your listings, the company listings, or the MLS listings? Prepare for IDX and VOW 2002 Top Websites 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) 82% - Company Website 73% - REALTOR.com 67% - Agent’s Website 52% - Websites w/ homes of interest 49% HomeAdvisor.com 34% - HomeGain.com 29% - California Living Network 28% - Homebuilder Websites 11% - REALTOR Association Websites CAR Internet Versus Traditional Buyers Study 2002-1 Real Estate is Local 65% of buyers come from the county and 87% come from the state in which they live! Enhanced Web Pages Average number of homes visited with the agent 7.5 Internet Buyers, 15.2 Traditional Most Important Web Features 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 46% - Preview homes to narrow search 21% - Identify specific homes for agent to show 18% - Info on financing and down payments 9% - Find an agent 3% - Learn about neighborhoods 2% - Originate a mortgage 1% - Pre-qualify for a mortgage CAR Internet Versus Traditional Buyers Study 2002-1 Most Frequently Used Features 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) 10) 88% - Identify specific homes for agent to show 87% - Preview homes to narrow search 73% - Find a specific agent 38% - Info on home financing & down payments 32% - Find a real estate firm 23% - Pre-qualify for mortgage 21% - Info about mortgages and rates 16% - Learn about neighborhoods 10% - Originate mortgage on line 6% - School Districts CAR Internet Versus Traditional Buyers Study 2002-1 MLS to MIS or Lose the Transaction It is about cooperation AND reducing cost! Tax, appraisal, virtual assistant for CRM, and web marketing. Brokerage Mgmt There is NO cost effective front to back office seamless web based software for brokers. MIS via Handheld Tech firms are focusing on applications for PDAs giving access to information in the field without a laptop. PDAs Evolving 75% of AOL emails are instant messaging. By the end of 2002 half of the top 1000 corporations will use instant messaging. In Europe SMS messages most popular use of cellular. We Are Broadcasting Previously by paper, computers now move billions of messages in the realm of bits which are low hanging fruit for the picking! Pirates are Stealing! NAR is reporting numerous lawsuits against companies stealing data from the local MLS and from the local brokers. Wipeout Your Business? In 1988 there were 6 viruses. Last year there were over 21,000! Client Service is Changing… “Give a man a fish, feed him for a day; teach him to use the Internet and he won’t bother you for weeks. With IDX, a broker may only display properties listed by that broker OR properties the broker has received permission to display. The rationale for listing broker to “opt out” of IDX, is the broker’s ability to participate in the MLS’s proprietary system should not be conditioned on willingness to allow competitors to advertise his listings on their public websites. The primary features of a VOW today are that visitors register by entering an email address and receive a password prior to accessing MLS data. The rationale for a VOW is analogous to a consumer’s visit to a broker’s “bricks and mortar” office. Therefore the VOW broker believes he is entitled to provide visitors with the same information provided to a consumer physically present in a broker’s place of business. Brokers operating VOWs maintain that the registration process, sometimes involving passwords, and the requirement that visitors indicate by mouse-click agreement with the broker’s terms of use, takes such websites outside the MLS rules governing IDX. Some VOW operators are displaying ALL of the data fields available in the MLS, including showing instructions, broker-to-broker offers of compensation, and other confidential information. IDX VOW 1. No Registration 1. Must Register 2. Can Opt Out 2. NO Opt Out 3. MLS determines information to be displayed 3. Broker determines information to be displayed NAR considering for VOWS 1. Verify the validity of the registrant. 2. Comply with all legal requirements to establish a valid and lawful relationship 3. Supply a unique user name and password NAR considering for VOWS 4. Registrant must affirmatively express: • Use is non commercial • Bona fide interest in purchase, sale, or lease. • Will not copy or redistribute data. • MLS ownership and copyright of the data NAR considering for VOWS 5. VOW must protect the MLS data from misappropriation by employing reasonable efforts to monitor for and prevent “scraping” or other unauthorized accessing, reproduction or use of the MLS database. NAR considering for VOWS 6. Restrict data intended exclusively for MLS participants such as: • Seller(s) name, phone, email • Compensation offered and type of listing agreement. Showing instructions • 7. MLS data fields authorized for display may not be changed. THE POINT! Clearly web power is and will continue to have an impact on client service and the real estate industry! Client Service is Changing… More Diversity Salsa now out sells ketchup in the US. By 2050 there will be no majority race in the US. Brokerages that get more diverse will win versus trying to teach culture to current members. Business from On-Line 1999 0% 43% 1%-5% 43% 6%-10% 9% 11%-20% 3% Over 20% 1% 2001 29% 49% 14% 6% 3% NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers 2002 Education is Rising 1978 - 58% had some college. 2001 - 72% had some college. Designations and Certifications are up. Education by Satellite Web or Wireless New education is being delivered in multiple and creative ways to students. Client Service is Changing… Senior Power 75% seniors say they never intend to retire. 80% own their own homes. People age 75, buy more than ages 55 & 65. Single Women Buyers In 10 years single women homeownership grew 65%. Business Week shows female managers are better than men in almost every measure. More Urban Dwellers Singles who are buying homes in greater numbers than ever, like to live close to work and social life. Targeted Mortgages Higher ratios for people who live near public transportation. Special loans for police officers and others. A World Business Foreign-born households contributed 1/3 of household growth in USA. 16% of REALTORS have conducted business in another language. Client Service is Changing… Automation Goes Mainstream Builders installing hardware and software to control all home systems - television to toaster – coffee to communications. Greener Houses Buyers opting for recycled materials. Carpeting from plastic. Bathroom tile from automobile glass. Insulation from newspaper and straw. Renting By Choice Apartment dwellers with incomes more than $50,000 jumped 11.2% from 2000 to 2001. Good news for the multifamily Industry. Housing Affordability Oakland CA - 24.4% Portland - 45.8% Boulder, CO - 59.2% Austin, TX - 61.9% Kansas City, MO - 86.1% In Oakland a family with a median income can only afford 24.4% of the cost of the median priced home! Client Service is Changing… There were 1000 growth issues on the ballots in the 2000 USA election and most were NO GROWTH! Insurance is loaming as being the very biggest issue to face the real estate industry in years How will one more terrorist attack impact the US economy? Or no terrorist insurance for construction? World War II - 1941-44, Korean Conflict - 50-53 Vietnam - 1953-72, Kuwait/Iraq - 1991 Afghanistan - 2001 to ? 8:46 a.m. Sept. 11, 2001 9:03 a.m. Sept. 11, 2001 9:40 a.m. Sept. 11, 2001 9:43 a.m. Sept. 11, 2001 10:10 a.m. Sept. 11, 2001 10:05 a.m. S. Tower & 10:28 a.m. N. Tower Sept. 11, 2001 Just 102 minutes! If you think things will get back to normal.. can you really define what “normal” means? Wall street stock dropped the equivalent of two entire Japanese economies. 192 countries - % of Economies that are Corporations 42 of the Top 100 – 42% 123 of the Top 200 – 62% A corporation is not a democracy. People in corporations are being busted, settling government claims or under indictment and investigation! In the middle of all this chaos, where do REALTORS turn to provide outstanding client service? Under all is the land. Upon its wise utilization and widely allocated ownership depend the survival and growth of free institutions and of our civilization. Such interest impose obligations beyond those of ordinary commerce. NO inducement of profit and no instruction from clients ever can justify departure from this ideal. … share with their fellow REALTORS a common responsibility for INTEGRITY AND HONOR. The greatest danger for most of us is not that our aim is too high and we miss it, but that it is too low and we reach it. - Michelangelo “The strength of a nation lies in the HOMES of its people” “I have not yet begun to fight” John Paul Jones “No victim’s family will lose its HOME” “Confusion has always been a part of the world and WILL CONTINUE!” So How Do REALTORS Respond? “ …when you get the choice to sit it our or dance, I hope you dance…” Because the answer has been the same throughout history Your LEADERSHIP REALTORS Lighting a flame for the future!