Transcript Slide 1
Innovative Hydrologic Products and Services from the National Weather Service Gregory P. Shelton Service Coordination Hydrologist NWS West Gulf River Forecast Center – Fort Worth, TX Tracy Howieson Hydrologic Services Program Manager NWS Southern Region Headquarters – Fort Worth, TX Overview Education/Outreach Products/Services Turn Around Don’t Drown® High Water Mark Signs Partnerships Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service Decision Support/Customer Involvement Decision Support Services Societal Impacts Research NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Turn Around Don’t Drown® Campaign to raise public awareness of flood hazards while driving DOT Approved Road Signs Sign Guidelines can be found at: http://mutcd.fhwa.dot.gov/SHSm/warning.pdf http://tadd.weather.gov/road_signs.shtml Available Signs: Incident Sign (magenta) Warning Sign (yellow) NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Turn Around Don’t Drown® Signs deployed along flood prone roads Example of Campaign Activities NWS Sign Deployment Oklahoma Floodplain Managers Association (OFMA) Tennessee Sign Deployment Grant Opportunities for Emergency Managers, etc. • Walmart • State Farm Insurance TADD Information http://tadd.weather.gov/tadd-resources.shtml NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov High Water Mark Signs Campaign to raise community awareness of local flood risk Signs can be deployed anywhere in the community Signs communicate ways to receive river information HWM Information: http://www.weather.gov/os/water/high_water/ NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Example Sign NWS Hydrologic Services Wadley, AL http://water.weather.gov Current Sign Locations NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Utilizing Partnerships Increased need for outreach and education in the Hydrologic Services Program Service Coordination Hydrologist Liaison with stakeholders and partners Actively engage partners Texas Flash Flood Coalition Hydrology for the Environment, Life and Policy UNESCO - University of Iowa NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service Overhaul of NWS Hydrologic Services Mississippi Flood of 1993, Red River of the North Flood of 1997 Service and Science Enhancements River Forecast Services Flash Flood Services Depict spatial extent and depth of flood waters near NWS forecast points 47 points as of (04/2010) Partnerships with FEMA, USGS, States, River Authorities, etc. Dissemination Services Higher resolution modeling for fast responding rivers Advanced tools to better identify risk and improve warning accuracy and lead time Inundation Mapping Services Longer-range ensemble forecast technique to quantify forecast certainty Projected completion in 2014 (2553 of 4011 forecast points as of 04/2010) http://water.weather.gov Outreach Biannual survey of key customers administered by CFI Group CSI for 2008 – 80 ( Government average – 68) National Flood Safety Awareness Week (launched 2005) Partnership with The Weather Channel® to develop educational videos Water’s Fury (2004) Cyclone: Second Wave (2007) NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov http://water.weather.gov AHPS Web Portal NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Precipitation Data National 24-Hour Precipitation Best Estimate Static zoom to states/regions Various time scales from 1 day to 1 year Normal, Departure from Normal, and Percent of Normal graphics Experimental Hourly Precipitation Best Estimate Google API maps Various time scales from 1 – 120 hours www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge2/RFC_Precip/ NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov River Information NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov River Information NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Probabilistic Forecasts 90 day Exceedance Probability NWS Hydrologic Services Weekly Exceedance Histogram http://water.weather.gov 90 Day Exceedance Example Conditional stages higher than “observed” stages…therefore wetter than normal NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Weekly Histogram Example 75% chance of being above flood stage 3 months from now At 12z 9/17/2008 SOLT2 was 26.26ft 12 out of 50 times the stage increased above the simulation starting stage (25%) 38 out of 50 times the stage decreased from the starting stage and the starting stage was always the maximum NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Flood Inundation Mapping Map types Full map with aerial photo and predefined height displayed Overlays Predefined Levels Flood Categories Current Forecast Street maps Aerial photos Map Tools Zoom Mouse over for water depth Export to multiple formats (including shapefiles) Current forecast zoomed to forecast point NWS Hydrologic Services Flood categories zoomed to nearby neighborhood http://water.weather.gov Trinity River at Dallas Current Observation: 38.38 FT at 11 UTC on 9/14/09 Forecast Stages Current forecast ordinates plotted NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Before Chat… Phone and e-mail Augment existing communications by bringing stakeholders into the decision making process through a one many concept Who’s Chatting? Are the right people getting the right information in a timely manner? Why Chat? NWSChat Emergency Management, Federal, and Regional entities (i.e. public safety officials, USACE, USGS, river authorities) How are we Chatting? https://nwschat.weather.gov Click on Request NWSChat Account Sign up for an account and create a user ID NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Example – Partner Coordination Discussion between NWS and Harris County Flood Control District (City of Houston) on potential rainfall and impacts USGS relaying stream flow measurements from the field and coordinating on additional locations NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov iNWS Prototype system to provide NWS alerts on mobile devices Community Leaders and Government Partners inws.wrh.noaa.gov Viewable from computer and mobile devices Alerts based on customer preference Alerts now include river observations and forecasts NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Societal Impacts WAS*IS (Water and Science – Integrated Studies) Social science into the weather/water enterprise to improve response to warnings/emergencies Customer involvement in NWS policy and product development Numerous local, regional, and federal projects Designed to elicit feedback/input from customers Drive new initiatives Effectively communicate risk Ensure customers needs are known and addressed NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Summary Education/Outreach Products/Services Improving awareness and preparedness Providing information before, during, and after events Decision Support/Customer Involvement Ensuring the right information is being communicated NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov Questions/Comments? Gregory Shelton Service Coordination Hydrologist NWS West Gulf River Forecast Center 817-831-3289 x323 [email protected] Tracy Howieson Hydrologic Services Program Manager NWS Southern Region 817-978-1100 x120 [email protected] NWS Hydrologic Services http://water.weather.gov