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Receptor pharmacology or animal models for dose selection in humans? Bart Laurijssens Clinical Pharmacology Modelling & Simulation, GlaxoSmithKline, UK Satellite Meeting on Predictive Modelling in Drug Development PAGE, St Petersburg, 23 June 2009 2 Animal Models? Pharmacology 3 Predictive Modelling in Early Development. A Simulation exercise: Extrapolation! May include some analysis of data. Prediction of Dose Pharmacological Clinical HUMAN DOSE! 4 Why predicting Human Clinical Dose early? TI [adapted from: Jennifer Sims, ABPI/BIA Early Clinical Trials Taskforce, slideset] 5 Predicting Human Dose? Simple. Bob Barker The Dose is Right Pharma’s Favourite Game Show Why is the dose “mg” not grams or “ng”? The screening process naturally selects candidates that drive the dose range A model can help Parameter Guess Low High MWT 450 250 700 Kd(nM) 1 0.3 100 Clinical 10 3 100 CL(ml/min) 200 3 1000 F (%) 64% 5% 95% Tau (hrs) 12 6 24 Dose MWT Kd Clinical CL/F No prior knowledge! 45% 35% Probability 25% 15% 5% -5% 0.1 0.3 1 3 10 30 100 300 1000 3000 Dose (mg) [thanks to Daren Austin] 6 Mechanistic Classification of Biomarkers ? Clinical Relevance of Prediction? Ease to Predict 7 Pharmacodynamic Theory Intrinsic Activity Intrinsic Efficacy SYSTEM DRUG Slope Affinity Disease Age chronic treatment combined treatment Tissue species gender Potency [Van der Graaf & Danhof, 1998] 8 Species differences in Receptors 9 So what about Animal Models of Disease? Face Validity Phenomenological Similarities with the disorder Predictive Validity Need drugs that work Quantitative False positives/negatives Mechanism specific? Construct Validity Sound theoretical rationale Need to understand disease and animal 10 What information to look for? Distribution to target(s) in Humans: Transporters (eg PgP) Extracellular vs Intracellular target Interaction with the Human Target(s) Affinity (in vitro, ex vivo) Efficacy (agonism vs antagonism) Human pharmacology In vitro, ex vivo Animal models of physiology (or Disease) Time course of response Knowledge Experience with mechanism in Humans Human physiology General Pharmacological Theory 11 Using Receptor Occupancy for a new target Human PK-RO was predicted using: Rat ex-vivo RO for R1 Rat and Human in-vitro Binding (R1 and R2) Rat and Human Fu, B:P Assumption re. PgP 12 Using Receptor Occupancy for a new target 100 100 90 90 80 Target Receptor Occupancy 70 80 NT related response (%) Target Receptor occupancy (%, 95% CI) 2] Do notMinimal study doses with “response” during dosing interval at steady state <80% RO 3] Doses 70 that hardly separate based on60RO, potentially separate 50 in efficacy 60 50 40 40 NT related response 30 30 20 1] =theoretical range of efficacy: No suppression – No effect Max suppression – Max effect 10 0 1 10 20 10 0 100 Compound Dose (mg) [Page satellite meeting, Pamplona, 2005] 13 Using primary Human Pharmacology and Clinical Knowledge Fenoprof en Ketorolac Naproxe n Rofecoxib Total Unbound [Huntjens et al. Rheumatology 2005;44:846–859] 14 Primary Pharmacology different Human vs Animal Gone horribly wrong X 15 Receptor Occupancy of TGN1412 at starting Dose [Jennifer Sims, ABPI/BIA Early Clinical Trials Taskforce, slideset] 16 Mechanism of Action of TGN1412 17 Predictive animal model [Rocchetti et al. Eur J Cancer 43 (2007): 1862-8] 18 19 Conclusions It is not about animal models vs receptor occupancy, but about what data is informative. Only informative data is worthy of your modelling skills and time. Animal Models MAY be informative Human Target Receptor Occupancy, or if possible, Target (in)Activation, is always informative. And … nearly always available. HUMAN dose! 20 My Favourite Animal Model