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CHAPTER 6 POLITICAL ECONOMY McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Political Economy The field that applies economic principles to the analysis of political decision making. 6-2 Political Economy Social Welfare Function Unanimity Rules Majority Voting Rules Logrolling Representative Democracy Dictatorship 6-3 Eve’s share (SE) Direct Democracy-Unanimity Rules 0’ DrE Adam’s share (SA) S* DrA 0 r per year r* The Lindahl Model 6-4 Feasibility of Unanimity Rules Reaching equilibrium Practical problems Strategic behavior time to reach equilibrium 6-5 Direct Democracy-Majority Voting Rules Majority Voting Rule one more than half of the voters must favor a measure for it to be approved Paired Voting 6-6 Direct Democracy-Majority Voting Rules Voter Choice Brad Jen Angelina First A C B Second B B C Third C A A 6-7 Direct Democracy-Majority Voting Rules Voting Paradox – community preferences can be inconsistent even though individual’s preferences are consistent Agenda Manipulation – process of organizing order of votes to ensure a favorable outcome Voter Choice Brad Jen Angelina First A C B Second B A C Third C B A Cycling – when paired voting on more than two possibilities goes on indefinitely without a conclusion ever being reached 6-8 Direct Democracy-Majority Voting Rules How can B win the election? 6-9 Direct Democracy-Majority Voting Rules How can B win the election? C Preferred to A B Preferred to C 6-10 Graphing Preferences Utility Single-peaked preferences Jen Double-peaked preferences Brad Angelina A B C Missiles 6-11 Practical Importance of Double Peaked Preferences Availability of Private Substitutes Gym Issues Ranked 6-12 Direct Democracy The Median Voter Theorem Median Voter Theorem As long as all preferences are single peaked and several other conditions are satisfied, the outcome of majority voting reflects the preferences of the median voter Median Voter The voter whose preferences lie in the middle of the set of all voter’s preferences; half the voters want more of the item selected and half want less. 6-13 Direct Democracy - The Median Voter Theorem Voter Expenditure Donald $5 Daisy 100 Huey 150 Dewey 160 Louie 700 6-14 Direct Democracy The Median Voter Theorem Single Peaked Preferences Majority Voting = Stable Result Multipeaked? Voting Paradox 6-15 Direct Democracy - Logrolling I Logrolling The trading of votes to obtain passage of a package of legislative proposals PORK! Measure of Desirability Up and Down Vote 6-16 Direct Democracy - Logrolling I Voter Project Hospital Melanie Rhett Scarlet Total Net Benefits 200 -50 -55 95 Library -40 150 -30 80 Pool -120 -60 400 220 Which would be accepted? 6-17 Direct Democracy - Logrolling I Voter Project Hospital Melanie Rhett Scarlet Total Net Benefits 200 -50 -55 95 Library -40 150 -30 80 Pool -120 -60 400 220 How should Melanie get funding for the hospital? 6-18 Direct Democracy - Logrolling I Voter Project Hospital Melanie Rhett Scarlet Total Net Benefits 200 -50 -55 95 Library -40 150 -30 80 Pool -120 -60 400 220 Trade her vote on the library for Rhett’s hospital. 6-19 Direct Democracy - Logrolling I Voter Project Hospital Melanie Rhett Scarlet Total Net Benefits 200 -50 -55 95 Library -40 150 -30 80 Pool -120 -60 400 220 Trade her vote on the pool for Scarlet’s hospital vote. 6-20 Direct Democracy - Logrolling II Voter Project Melanie Rhett Scarlet Hospital 200 -110 -105 Total Net Benefits -15 Library -40 150 -120 -10 Pool -270 -140 400 -10 6-21 Earmarks McCain January 2006: “If we don't stop the earmarking, we're not going to stop the abuses of power here in Washington. In 1994, when the Congress was taken over by Republicans, there were 4,000 earmarks on appropriations bills. Last year there were 15,000. It's disgraceful, this process.“ Obama $740 million in 3 Years McCain at least $24.3 Million in 2006 Definitions 6-22 Direct Democracy - Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem (Kenneth Arrow 1951) All conceivable voting schemes have some potential for being unfair or producing a paradoxical result 6-23 Direct Democracy - Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem “Reasonable” Collective Decision-Making Criteria 1. It can produce a decision whatever the configuration of voters' preferences 2. It must be able to rank all possible outcomes 3. It must be responsive to individuals’ preferences 4. It must be consistent 5. Independence of irrelevant alternatives 6. Transitive A vs. B excludes A vs. C, etc. Dictatorship ruled out Otherwise Satisfication 6-24 Direct Democracy - Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem Meaning consistent rule not necessarily impossible to find, but cannot be guaranteed Existence of Social Welfare Functions James Buchanan 1960 Democracy at Work 6-25 Representative Democracy – Elected Politicians Who makes these decisions? Politicians! Median Voter 6-26 Representative Democracy - Elected Politicians Number of Voters Where do you want to get your votes? Liberal Median Conservative 6-27 Implications of the Median Voter Model Stable Two-Party System Same Outcome Median Voter 6-28 Other Factors Influencing Voting Single-dimensional rankings Ideology Personality Leadership Decision to vote 6-29 Representative Democracy-Public Employees Function of bureaucrats Goals of bureaucrats 6-30 Niskanen’s Model of Bureaucracy C $ V Actual output Efficient output 0 Q* Qbc Q per year 6-31 Representative Democracy – Special Interests What are “Special Interests” Establishment of Special Interest Groups Source of Income: Capital or Labor Size of Income Source of Income: Industry of Employment Region Demographic and Personal Characteristics 6-32 Representative Democracy – Rent-Seeking $ Rents S=MC D tons of peanuts per year MR 6-33 Representative Democracy – Other Actors Judiciary Journalists Experts 6-34 Explaining Government Growth Citizen Preferences G = f(P, I) Marxist View Chance Events Changes in Social Attitudes Income Redistribution 6-35 Controlling Government Growth Government growth as a non-issue Government growth as a problem Commitments made in the past Basic flaws in the political system 6-36 Improving the Workings of the Political System Change bureaucratic incentives financial incentives privatization Change Fiscal Institutions Budget Enforcement Act (BEA) – 1990 Balanced budget rules at the state level Institute Constitutional Limitations Balanced budget amendment 6-37 Provisions of a Typical Balanced Budget Amendment 1. Congress must adopt a budget statement “in which total outlays are no greater than total receipts” 2. Total receipts may not increase “by a rate greater than the rate of increase in national income” 3. 4. “The Congress and President shall…ensure that actual outlays do not exceed the outlays set forth in the budget statement” The provisions can be overridden in times of war 6-38 Critique of Balanced Budget Amendments Forecasting issues Definitional issues Penalties for violation of the law Economic issues 6-39