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Chronic Disease and Aging The 21st Century Healthcare Challenge Howard Bergman, MD, FCFP, FRCPC Chair, Department of Family Medicine Professor of Family Medicine, Medicine and Oncology The Dr. Joseph Kaufmann Chair of Geriatric Medicine McGill University 17.3.12 Family Medicine Médecine de famille The Shifting Face of Health Care From acute to chronic disease From institutions to networks of care; from a single site (hospital, nursing home) to many sites: home, assisted living, supportive housing, physician’s office, community clinics, ambulatory care centers, community hospitals, academic health centers, rehabilitation facilities, nursing homes, palliative care centers From a single professional, generally a physician to many health care professionals: family doctors, specialists, nurses, physical therapists, nutritionists, social workers, psychologists, etc. Expectations/knowledge/Involvement of patients and family The Shifting Face of Health Care ↑ Complexity ↑ Interdependency ↑ Uncertainty Increasing preoccupation with costs and performance leading to increased government intervention/control/reform Continuous change Aging and Chronic Disease The Challenge for the 21st Century Dramatic increase in the number of old, in particular old/old Increase in prevalence of chronic disease – 1 in 5 baby boomers will develop dementia – Cardiovascular: most important cause of hospital admission – Diabetes: increasing prevalence with age: 10% over 65 – Cancer: increasing incidence and mortality with age MCSAC Growth will be greater at older ages … Index 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 2010 2015 0-19 MCSAC 2020 20-64 2025 65-74 2030 75-84 2035 85+ Aging and Chronic Disease The Challenge for the 21st Century Complex relationship – Increase in chronic diseases due to aging as a result of longer exposure to chronic disease risk factors in a vulnerable population – Cumulative impact of chronic disease throughout the life course contributes to frailty and ultimately disability and dependency A global challenge – ↑ chronic diseases +↑ life expectancy = Aging with ↑ disability MCSAC Heath care systems and the challenge of aging Potential for promotion/prevention promoting healthy aging and in at least delaying onset of frailty and disability ↑ complex interventions (technology/surgery/medication) in increasingly older persons Health care systems poorly adapted to the management of chronic disease, frailty and dependency; complexity of treating chronic diseases and frail older persons Prevalence of Diabetes in Montreal Prevalence of Heart Failure in Montreal Aging and Chronic Disease The Challenge for the 21st Century People 6% 21% $$$ Those w/multiple chronic conditions Those w/one chronic condition 72% Those w/no chronic conditions 33% 31% 36% •drivers of morbidity, mortality, utilization and costs •A challenge to quality of life of elderly and healthcare system sustainability Source: Kaiser Permanente Northern California commercial membership, DxCG methodology, 2001. http://www.natpact.nhs.uk/uploads/BobCrane.ppt#270 10 Increasing prevalence of chronic disease but.. MCSAC are we getting it right Optimizing Quality and Best Practice in Primary Care Percent of people with diabetes receiving care according to guidelines 100% 60% 40% 20% Year 20 04 /0 5 20 03 /0 4 20 02 /0 3 20 01 /0 2 20 00 /0 1 0% 19 99 /0 0 Percent 80% What seniors receive? Jencks et al., JAMA, 2003; 289:305 ACOVE, Ann Int Med, 2003; 139:740 • AMI – 50-75% receive B-blockers, 43-50% counseled for smoking • CHF – 65-68% ACE on discharge • Stroke – 57% of A-fib on anti-coagulants • Diabetes – 48-70% have eye exam • Falls – 3% of fallers have fall examination • Depression – 26% of those with depressive symptoms treated or referred • Medications – 18% of those prescribed new drug had documented education • Cognition – 52% of new patients tested Health and functional status of cancer patients, aged 70 years and older referred for chemotherapy- preliminary findings 100 80 % 42% (n=21) 60 40 20 12% (n=6) 30% (n=15) 16% (n=8) 0 Without frailty With frailty markers or IADL / markers but ADL disability without IADL / ADL disability IADL disabled without ADL disability ADL disabled Retornaz F, Monette J, Monette M, Sourial N, Wan-Chow-Wah D, Puts M, Small D, Caplan S, Batist G, Bergman H. Usefulness of frailty markers in the assessment of the health and functional status in older cancer patient referred for chemotherapy Journal of Gerontology:medical sciences. 2008 Life expectancy percentiles for men. Life expectancy, years 25 vulnerable Top 25th percentile 50th percentile 20 Healthy 18 Lowest 25th percentile 14.2 15 With ADL disabilities 12.4 10.8 9.3 10 7.9 6.7 6.7 4.9 5 5.8 4.7 4.3 3.3 2.2 3.2 1.5 2.3 1 0 70 years 75 years 80 years 85 years 90 years Walter LC et al. JAMA 2001, 285, 2750-2756 95 years Embracing the heterogeneity and complexity Healthy older persons – Primary medical care, Health assessment/promotion/prevention Early frail/low risk/chronic disease – Primary medical care, Chronic disease management, detection of vulnerability, preventive home visits Medium risk/mild-moderate disability – Primary medical care and home care, chronic disease management. Specialized Geriatric care, ↑ Disability and “complex” systems of integrated care End of life care Implementation in a coherent system: challenges to explore Prevention and chronic disease management Programs for health promotion/prevention Chronic disease management for clinical priorities in older persons – Diabetes, CHF, hypertension, depression, cancer, dementia – Potential role of frailty/vulnerability markers Implementation in a coherent system: challenges to explore Population Health Approach Primary Care Reform – The Family Medicine Group(GMF): basis for integration – Example of proposed Quebec Alzheimer Plan • Collaborative care model ; Partnership MD-Nurse-Patientcaregiver; Nurse navigator • Community social care (AD support centre) • Intensive team based case management and multidisciplinary community based services • Role of specialty care • End of life care http://www.rqrv.com/en/document/alzheimer_report.pdf http://www.rqrv.com/fr/document/rapport_alzheimer.pdf Primary Care Medical Reform in Canada GMF (Qc); Family Health Teams (Ont); Medical Home (College of family Physicians of Canada – May or may not be in the same building eg BC and Alberta Group practice; interdisciplinary practice; continuity of care with population and healthcare system responsibility; evolving remuneration; IT infrastructure: evolving integration of other healthcare professionals Priority Action 2 Provide access to personalized, coordinated assessment and treatment services for people with Alzheimer’s and their family/informal caregivers Implementation of a service structure based on the chronic-care model and the collaborative-practice model, introduced gradually, starting in Family Medicine Groups (FMGs) and Network Clinics (NCs). – The primary care physician and the nurse clinician responsible for continuity of patient services establish a partnership with each patient and his or her family for the process of assessment, diagnosis, treatment, monitoring, and follow-up. • Approximately 10 to 15 patients with AD per MD = 100-150 per FMG with 10 MDs – The nurse clinician plays the role of Alzheimer’s nurse care navigator. 20 Chronic Disease and Aging in the Acute Care Setting ↑ of chronic diseases – ↑ hospitalization – ↑ hospitalization for Ambulatory Case-Sensitive (ACS) conditions – ↑ hospitalization associated with avoidable and costly complication > 65 – 37% of admissions – 50% of hospital days – ↑ readmission Siu et al: Health Affairs 2008 Change in profile of hospitalized patients Profile of patients on admission – demography/health promotion and prevention/medical care – Treatment/intervention in ambulatory and primary care Increasingly complex medical and surgical interventions on older and older patients The Challenge of the Aging Population Frailest elderly ~3% of population are the major client group, use 30% of health-care resources Seniors use 1/3 of all hospital admissions & 1/2 of inpatient days (2002/2003 Hospital morbidity database) Readmission rates 42% in patients >75 years Seniors have higher rates of return visits to emergency Disconnect between patient needs and hospital practices = “hostile environment” Frail elderly experience further functional decline not related to acute episode but to hospital practices (Inouye et al 2000) Adverse effects are higher in frail elderly even when adjusted for age/co-morbidity High Resource Hospital Patients: 2/3 are Seniors Majority go home after hospitalization; Account for up to 80% of ALC days; 30%-40% have a mental health co-morbidity Health Region: Hospital Inpatient Data 100% 06/07 2,779 100% 80% 2,779 7,902 169,027 1,827 1,827 5% 4,996 60% 80% 11% 36% 97,684 932,221 52,794 67,230 40% 301,035 60% 40% Other Inpatients 20% 697,073 34,713 42,298 0% Population Inpatients Discharges 176,992 Bed Days 20% 0% Population Inpatients Discharges Bed Days Source: DAD database CIHI 1Defined Complex Inpatients as discharges not coded as emergency, direct or clinic; excludes stillborns, newborns and day surgery Disconnect between patient needs and hospital environment The loss of independent functioning during hospitalization has been associated with: (Inouye et al 2000) Prolonged lengths of hospital stay Increased readmission A greater risk of institutionalization Higher mortality rates Myth: Elderly patients with chronic diseases are blocking the system – It’s only an outflow problem An appropriate approach …60 years ago Structured to support continued action on single disease strategies and approaches; disjuncture and repetition of activities Based on reducing LOS of uncomplicated acute admissions Patients too complex to fit into standard critical pathways and treatment models The complex patients (“acute on chronic”; functional decline; decreased reserve with age) get lost: – ↑ LOS;↑ LTC; ↑ Readmissions Siu et al: Health Affairs 2008: The ironic case for the chronic disease model in the acute care setting The Acute Care setting Re-thinking the approach in a coherent system of care Engagement with primary medical and community care: a collaborative care approach – Transition in and out of the hospital – Specialty care supporting primary care • Not necessarily within the hospital Engagement with LTC – Smooth transitions – Prevention of admissions Counsell JAMA 20007; Callahan JAMA 2008; Boult Journal Geronto Med sciences 2008; Béland, Bergman et al Journal Geronto Med sciences 2007 Naylor Present system of care u u Poor communication of best practices Innumerable programs and models – The national disease strategies The Acute Care setting Re-thinking the approach in a coherent system of care From the traditional medical and surgical wards to the collaborative care wards Clinical processes and organization of care within the hospital – – – – – Interdisciplinary team directed care based on best practices Integrate holistic older person evaluation within the acute care process Physical organization Hospital environment Patient and family engagement Training including end of life care The Acute Care setting Re-thinking the approach: the key elements Aggregating the 3 components in a coherent system – Pre-hospital – Intra Hospital – Post-hospital Inter disciplinary rather than disciplinary Partnership: clinicians, managers, the community Research: a key component The Chronic Disease Model questions and issues u Can the Chronic Disease Model be implemented without primary medical reform – Family Medicine Groups in Quebec u How can the Chronic disease(S) model be integrated into primary care Beyond the Models Reflections on key elements Primary care What seems to work/needs to be tested u u u u u u Primary med care: org infrastructure/remuneration The multi disciplinary care u integrated into primary medical care Evolution of relationships among professionals u u Rapid access to intensive professional services u (professional and social); access to a wide range of assisted/supportive housing Population data/ responsibility What does not seem to work Primary med care: organization /infrastructure/remuneration not suited to complex continuing care The programmatic, budgetary and geographic cleavage between primary medical and multidisciplinary care Parallel play among professionals Sporadic responsibility There are no emergencies hospital ER/wards ACE/GAU BEDS ER/WARD CONSULTATION DAY HOSPITAL REHAB OUTPATIENT Transition beds MD/nurse clinician geriatric consultation team DAY PROGRAMS ASSISTED LIVING INTENSIVE TEAM BASED CASE MANAGEMENT COMMUNITY PROGRAMS Primary medical care Primary multidisciplinary care Specialized Geriatric Program Critical role of research in change Understanding the health and functional status, on trajectory and costs of the population Data to help understand why change is necessary and to make evidence based decisions Understanding attitudes and expectations of both clinicians, patients and families Clinical research and hospital and community based studies Evaluative research Synthesising evidence Canadian Initiative on Frailty and Aging / Initiative canadienne sur la fragilité et le vieillissement www.frail-fragile.ca Conclusion A shared vision of the challenge A complex challenge – – – – data The long haul a multi disciplinary approach and a multi-dimensional integrated strategy Do not try and boil the ocean