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Political Economy and Corporate Governance: a cross – country analysis of political systems, legal traditions and ownership structure Renira C. Angeles 14.10.2010 1 Background • Corporate governance: Owner, manager and the board • Factor of production • Agency problems (Jensen and Meckling 1976) 2 Dependent variables Determinants of variations in: 1. Investor protection 2. Ownership concentration 3 Base of this analysis • Investor protection and legal origins, N=49 (La Porta et al. 1997;1998;1999;2008) • Findings - LLSV legal rules protecting investors vary systematically among legal traditions - Common Law (US, UK, etc.): low investor protection - Civil Law (France): high investor protection Convincing? • Static • Assumes stock markets in low – protection countries ”doomed” to not expand 4 Ownership concentration • Dispersed ownership UK, US (Berle and Means 1932) WHY? • Ownership structure and legal origins (La Porta et al. 1998) N=49 Findings: - High protection, dispersed ownership - Low protection, concentrated ownership Convincing? 5 Political determinants on investor protection and ownership structure Purpose of this analysis: • Propose a model of political determinants of investor protection and ownership structure How can variations in electoral systems explain the observed variations in degree of investor protection and ownership structure? • Want a more adequate and precise analysis to get a deeper understanding of the variations • Insights from Tabellini and Persson (2002) • Left – right dimension Ljiphart (1984) 6 Base – political determinants • The Political Economy of Corporate Governance (Pagano and Volpin 2005) • Analyze political determinants of investor protection • Investor protection exogenous • Pol.var. included: proportionality, left, right, district size*maj, threshold*PR 7 Dependent variables Investor protection (Y1) • Antidirector rights index (ADRI) from LLSV (1998): - proxy by mail - shares not blocked before meeting - share of capital to call required to call an extraordinary meeting < 10 % - cumulative voting - oppressed minorities are protected 8 Ownership structure (Y2) - 10 % cut-off point - 20 % cut-off point 9 Independent variables • Legal Origins - Common Law (UK, US, New Zealand, Italy, Australia, etc.) - Civil Law (Austria, Germany, Switzerland, France, Greece, Finland et.) • Political variables - PR - Maj - Left 10 Two analysis 11 Analysis I Y1: Investor protection x1:Legal origins variables (countries aggregated in categories) x2:Political determinants 12 Analysis II Y2: Ownership structure x1: Legal origins (countries aggregated in categories) x2: Political determinants 13 Hypothesis Assumption legal model: Reforms in investor protection rare ( La Porta et al. 1998) • Common law high protection dispersed ownership • Civil law low protection concentrated ownership 14 Political determinants • PR low protection concentrated ownership (Why? Greater proportionality, more representation, value government, coordinated and weak markets) • Maj high protection dispersed ownership (Why? Less government/welfare state, Liberal markets, less employee protection,) 15 Variable Dataset Year Adr. Dependent variables Investor protection (Antidirector right index) Investment protection and corporate governance 2000 http://mba.tuck.dartmout h.edu/pages/faculty/rafael .laporta/publications.html Ownership structure Blockholders. Ownership cut off point 2002-2006, 1996-1999? AMADEUS or Mara Faccio: http://www.krannert.purd ue.edu/faculty/mfaccio/ho me.asp Independent variables Legal models (categorized) Investment protection and corporate governance 2000 http://mba.tuck.dartmout h.edu/pages/faculty/rafael .laporta/publications.html Political determinants World bank, Armingeon I, Pippa Norris 1975-2006, 1960-2006, 1994-2006 (it’s learning) 16 Empirical evidence 17 Preliminary literature Jensen, Michael C. and William H. Meckling 1976. “Theory of the Firm: Managerial behavior, agency cost and ownership structure”. Journal of Financial Economics. 3 (4). pp. 305-360. La Porta, Rafael, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, Andrei Schleifer. 1999. ”Corporate ownership around the World”. The Journal of Finance. 54 (2). pp. 471-517 La Porta, Rafael, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, Andrei Schleifer, Robert W. Vishny. 1998. ”Law and Finance”. The Journal of Political Economy. 106 (6). pp. 1113 – 1155 Pagano, Marco and Paolo F. Volpin. 2005. The Political Economy of Corporate Governance. The American Economic Review. 95 (4). pp. 1005-1030 18