PowerPoint-presentation

Download Report

Transcript PowerPoint-presentation

Globalization –
what is it about?
Manfred Steger; Globalization – a very short
introduction
Perceptions of the World
Different levels:
• tribal, local,
• regional,
• national,
• international
• and global.
Globalization indicates that we are dealing with the
highest level of relations in the world
NEW HISTORICAL ERA - WAVES
ABILITY TO MANIPULATE
MATTER
TECHNOLOGICAL WAVES
INFORMATION
INDUSTRY
AGRICULTURE
GATHER-HUNT
…
8000 BC
1700
2000
TIME
Tomas Ries 14.10.2004
WORLD SOCIETY –
EARLY GLOBALISED
1%
GLOBALISING COMMUNITY
14 %
5%
MODERN STATES
EXXON-MOBIL
DAIMLER-CHRYSLER
MITSUBISHI
CITIGROUP
USA
JAPAN
SINGAPORE
HONG KONG
SWEDEN
ITALY
TAIWAN
SOUTH KOREA
(CHINA, INDIA 10%)
ESTONIA
HUNGARY
THAILAND
BRAZIL
EGYPT
RUSSIA
SYRIA
(CHINA, INDIA 40%)
15 %
PREMODERN SOCIETIES
ANGOLA
(CHINA, INDIA 50%)
RWANDA
SUDAN
ZAIRE
65 %
Tomas Ries 14.10.2004
WORLD SOCIETY - STRATA
GNP pc ppp 000 USD
1% GLOBALISED
ELITE
DAIMLER-BENZ
NOKIA
SONY-ERICSSON
30
FLOW WORLD
USA
SWITZERLAND
JAPAN
25
20
15
10
05
13% RICH GLOBALISING
822.5
2% EARLY GLOBALISING
4% LATE MODERN
124.8
COLLISION
15% PRIMITIVE MODERN
32% PREMODERN
34% MISERY
Tomas Ries 14.10.2004
SPAIN
SOUTH KOREA
233.7
CZECH REPUBLIC
ARGENTINA
HUNGARY
891.0
BRAZIL
RUSSIA
VENEZUELA
1,925.2
PRC 3, INDIA 3
ANGOLA, LAOS
RWANDA
IMPLOSION
01
HONG KONG
FINLAND, SWEDEN
ITALY, TAIWAN
PRC 1, INDIA 1
2,066.2
WORLD SOCIETY –
EARLY GLOBALISED
EXXON-MOBIL
DAIMLER-CHRYSLER
MITSUBISHI
CITIGROUP
1%
GLOBALISED COMMUNITY
14 %
THE EMPIRE
5%
“OECD community”
MODERN STATES
USA
JAPAN
HONG KONG
SWEDEN
ITALY
TAIWAN
SOUTH KOREA
(CHINA, INDIA 10%)
CZECH REP
HUNGARY
THAILAND
BRAZIL
EGYPT
RUSSIA
SYRIA
(CHINA, INDIA 60%)
15 %
PREMODERN SOCIETIES
ANGOLA
RWANDA
SUDAN
ZAIRE
65 %
Tomas Ries 14.10.2004
L’EMPIRE, C’EST NOUS –
THE GLOBAL FAT CATS
POSTMODERN COMMUNITY - Cooper
GLOBALISERS - Friedman
CORE - Barnett
?
?
G7
Other OECD
China & India
Tomas Ries 14.10.2004
EXTERNAL POLITICAL TENSIONS - EARLY GLOBALISED
L’EMPIRE - C’EST NOUS
REFUGEES
INSTABILIT
Y
CRIME
CHALLENGE
VITAL INTERESTS
DISORDER
YUGOSLAVI
A
TERRORISM
REFUGEES
MIGRATION
POVERTY
ISRAELPALESTINE
DETERRENC
E
DISORDER
PRC-TAIWAN
RADIATION
DISORDER
FALKLANDS MAGHREB
CRIM
TRANSNATIONAL
E
STRATEGIC
TERROR
COLUMBI
IRAQ- KUWAIT
A
ARAB WORLD
EVACUATION
SIERRA
LEONE
Tomas Ries 14.10.2004
INDIAPAKISTAN
CHECHNYA
PANDE
MIC
AFRICA
DISEAS
E
THE WHITE MAN’S BURDEN
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMOCRACY
1.ORDER AND SECURITY
2.ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
3.SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT (Middle Class)
4.DEMOCRACY
You must first develop structural stability.
Only thereafter is stable democracy possible.
This is why development aid is not enough.
And this is our dilemma.
Tomas Ries 14.10.2004
1%
IMPERIAL SECURITY
AGENDA
GLOBALISED COMMUNITY
14 %
SYMBIOSIS(WEF)
G7, NATO, EU
LEADERSHIP + STRATEGY
5%
EU, OECD, WTO
INTEGRATE
MODERN STATES
IMF, WB, UNDP, NATO
ASSIST, PROTECT
15 %
OSCE, NATO, EU
ASYMMETRIC REALPOLITICS
PREMODERN SOCIETIES
65 %
UN? NATO?
??? BENEVOLENT COLONIALISM
??? ESDP?
Tomas Ries 14.10.2004
THREAT ANALYSIS - EARLY GLOBALISED
SEVERITY
EXISTENCE
STRATEGISK
DEADL
TERROR
Y
GLOBAL
PANDE
9.11
ECONOMIC
MIC SARS
LONDON
CRASH
GLOBAL
ECONOMIC
FLUMADRID
DEPRESSION
VITAL
COMFORT
MORAL
REMOTE
POSSIBLE
Tomas Ries 14.10.2004
LIKELY
HAPPENING
LIKELIHOOD