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University of Nevada, Las Vegas Creating a Culture of Completion University of Nevada, Reno Nevada State College College of Southern Nevada Great Basin College Truckee Meadows Community College For Presentation to the Legislative Committee on Education Western Nevada College March 26, 2014 Desert Research Institute * Today’s Presentation Creating a culture of completion in Nevada Complete College America – aggressive goals to graduate more students Policy changes adopted that support student completion Access and Affordability – more work to be done 15 to Finish – Enrollment intensity and student completion campaign 2 U.S. Ranking Among Nations for 25-34 Year Olds with an Associate’s Degree or Higher 1996 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Korea United States Netherlands Canada Norway Spain Australia Denmark Greece New Zealand United Kingdom Belgium Ireland Italy 2010 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Korea Japan Canada Russian Federation Ireland Norway New Zealand United Kingdom Australia Luxembourg Israel Belgium France United States Among developed nations, the U.S. ranks 14th for its educated youth. Source: Bridging the Higher Education Divide, The Century Foundation Press, May 22, 2013 3 How it all began . . . The Goal of the Obama Administration 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 United States Korea Japan Canada Russian Federation Ireland Norway New Zealand United Kingdom Australia Luxembourg Israel Belgium France To be first among nations by 2020, 60% of 25-34 year olds in the United States will need to have a postsecondary credential. Source: Bridging the Higher Education Divide, The Century Foundation Press, May 22, 2013 4 Educational Attainment Percent of Adults 25 to 34 with an Associates Degree or Higher NV 28.3% 50th National Average: 40.1% 5 Complete College America For a strong economy, the skills gap must be closed. 58% By 2020, jobs in Nevada requiring a career certificate or college degree 28% Nevada adults who currently have an associate degree or higher 30% The Skills Gap Source: Time is the Enemy, Complete College America, 2011 6 Complete College America Complete College America is an alliance of states The CCA Alliance committed to significantly 33 states and the District of Columbia increasing the number of students successfully completing college and achieving degrees and credentials of value in the labor market and closing attainment gaps for Member states traditionally underrepresented populations by 2020. 7 NSHE’s Campaign to Create a Culture of Completion What we have already done Complete College America Strategic Directions 120 / 60 credit policy Low Yield Program Policy Excess Credit Policy New Funding Formula Performance Pool Access and Affordability 15 to Finish Campaign A shift in focus from enrolling to graduating students . . . but there is more work to be done. 8 Awards Conferred Number of Degrees and Certificates Awarded 2007-08 2008-09 Certificates (30+ credits) 301 341 390 623 546 81.4% Associates degrees 2,936 3,054 3,377 3,811 3,853 31.2% Bachelor’s degrees 6,058 6,231 6,251 6,531 6,625 9.4% 9,295 9,626 10,018 10,965 11,024 18.6% Total 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 5-year Percent Change Note: Figures do not include master’s, doctoral, first-professional degrees and post-baccalaureate certificates. Bachelor’s degrees with second majors are counted only once. Source: IPEDS Revised on 01/05/2015 9 Skills Certificates A New Reporting Frontier Reporting Workforce Recognized Credentials Certificates of less than 30 credit hours Provide preparation necessary to take state, national or industry recognized certifications o Examples: American Welding Society, National Institute for Automotive Service Excellence, Commission on Dietetic Registration Portable and stackable credentials Began official reporting in 2012-13 10 Skills Certificates 2012-13 Reporting Skills Certificates Less than 30 Credit Hours CSN 1,489 GBC 171 TMCC 534 WNC 293 TOTAL 2,487 Going forward, skills certificate counts will be used in reporting for Complete College America goals, NSHE accountability metrics, and in future iterations of the NSHE Performance Pool. 11 Shifting Gears Promoting Student Completion through Policy 60/120 Credit Policy Limiting the number of credits for an associates or bachelor’s degree to 60 and 120 credits, respectively Low Yield Policy Requiring institutions to review programs on a regular basis in the context of degree productivity. Institutions must develop a plan for increasing productivity or eliminate the low-yield program Excess Credit Policy Tough love policy – charging students a 50 percent surcharge if they accumulate more than 150 percent of the credits required for their degree program 12 Performance Based Funding Shifting the focus from enrollment to graduation through funding Base Formula driven by course completions Performance Pool with metrics focused on graduating students 13 Are NSHE Institutions Affordable? It Depends . . . . Factors in Affordability The Price Tag o Tuition and Fees, Room and Board Student/Family Ability to Pay o Family Income Institutional Support o Financial Aid Historically, discussions on tuition and fees of NSHE institutions focused on the price tag as compared to the prices in the regional western United States. 14 Access and Affordability When you consider the price tag alone relative to Median Family Income in Nevada, NSHE institutions appear affordable Public 4-Year Institutions, 2011-12 Average Tuition and Fees as a % of Median Family Income Average Tuition and Fees as a % of Median Family Income (Lowest Quintile) Nevada 8.7% 28.5% U.S. Average 12.7% 46.7% Public 2-Year Institutions, 2011-12 Average Tuition and Fees as a % of Median Family Income Average Tuition and Fees as a % of Median Family Income (Lowest Quintile) Nevada 4.4% 14.5% U.S. Average 4.5% 16.6% Source: NCES, IPEDS 15 Access and Affordability Percent of Median Family Income Needed to Pay for College 4-Year Institutions, 2011-12 Pennsylvania Ohio Michigan Illinois New Hampshire Oregon Maine South Carolina Delaware Nevada New Jersey Vermont Indiana Rhode Island California Arizona Alabama Washington Virginia Wisconsin Colorado United States Minnesota New York Massachusetts Missouri Kentucky Connecticut Iowa Hawaii Texas Georgia Nebraska North Carolina South Dakota Idaho Florida Kansas Mississippi West Virginia Maryland Montana North Dakota Oklahoma New Mexico Tennessee Alaska Arkansas Louisiana Utah Wyoming 26.1 23.5 23.1 22.6 22.5 22.4 22.3 22.0 21.8 21.2 21.1 20.6 20.1 20.0 19.9 19.6 19.3 19.3 18.9 18.9 18.8 18.6 18.6 18.5 18.5 18.0 17.8 17.7 17.0 17.0 16.7 16.6 16.6 16.5 16.4 16.3 16.2 16.0 16.0 15.9 15.3 15.3 14.3 14.1 14.1 13.8 13.0 12.8 12.2 11.9 2011-12 Nevada: 21.2% Nation: 18.6% 2008-09 Nevada: 17.6% Nation: 16.9% Net Price figures include tuition and fees, and room and board, less financial aid 10.5 Source: NCES, IPEDS 16 Percent of Income from the Lowest Quintile Needed to Pay for College 4-Year Institutions, 2011-12 88.5 88.0 87.7 85.5 81.9 80.1 78.6 77.9 76.8 75.8 74.5 73.8 72.5 71.9 71.8 71.5 71.1 69.9 69.1 68.7 68.6 68.5 66.7 66.7 66.2 64.2 63.6 63.2 62.9 59.9 59.9 59.4 59.1 57.9 56.5 55.0 53.9 52.4 49.8 49.7 49.5 49.4 48.7 48.6 48.0 47.7 45.3 43.9 42.6 2011-12 Nevada: 69.9% Nation: 68.7% 2008-09 Nevada: 56.0% Nation: 60.7% 36.4 35.1 Source: NCES, IPEDS Access and Affordability Michigan Ohio Pennsylvania Illinois South Carolina New Jersey Oregon California New York Massachusetts New Hampshire Alabama Rhode Island Arizona Delaware Kentucky Maine Nevada Virginia United States Indiana Connecticut Washington Georgia Colorado Mississippi Missouri Texas Hawaii North Carolina New Mexico Wisconsin Minnesota Vermont Florida West Virginia Maryland Iowa Kansas Nebraska Tennessee Louisiana Idaho South Dakota Oklahoma Montana North Dakota Alaska Arkansas Utah Wyoming 17 Access and Affordability Percent of Median Family Income Needed to Pay for College 2-Year Institutions, 2011-12 Nevada New Hampshire Vermont Oregon Ohio New York Pennsylvania Rhode Island Delaware Alabama Florida Maine California New Jersey Iowa Colorado Indiana Washington Illinois South Dakota West Virginia United States Idaho Kentucky Michigan Arizona Minnesota Massachusetts Tennessee Mississippi South Carolina Hawaii Virginia Connecticut North Carolina Wisconsin Maryland Missouri Alaska Nebraska Georgia Louisiana Texas Montana Utah Oklahoma Wyoming North Dakota New Mexico Arkansas Kansas 18.9 18.6 17.9 16.9 16.7 16.3 15.8 15.8 15.3 15.1 15.0 15.0 15.0 14.6 14.5 14.4 14.2 14.1 14.1 14.0 14.0 13.5 13.4 13.4 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.2 13.2 13.1 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.3 12.2 12.1 12.1 11.8 11.6 11.5 10.8 10.7 10.6 10.3 10.1 10.1 10.0 9.7 2011-12 Nevada: 18.9% Nation: 13.5% 2008-09 Nevada: 16.8% Nation: 12.9% Source: NCES, IPEDS 18 Percent of Income from the Lowest Quintile Needed to Pay for College 2-Year Institutions, 2011-12 67.5 62.5 62.4 61.5 59.4 58.7 57.9 57.1 55.4 54.2 53.5 53.3 53.0 52.8 52.5 51.1 50.6 50.4 50.4 49.9 48.9 48.8 48.5 48.4 48.3 47.8 47.4 47.3 47.3 47.2 46.8 46.0 45.4 44.5 43.6 43.1 43.0 43.0 42.1 41.6 40.9 40.1 39.2 36.1 36.0 34.5 33.7 33.1 32.7 32.2 30.3 2011-12 Nevada: 62.4% Nation: 49.9% 2008-09 Nevada: 53.4% Nation: 46.4% Source: NCES, IPEDS Access and Affordability New York Ohio Nevada New Hampshire Oregon California Alabama Rhode Island New Jersey Massachusetts Kentucky Illinois Pennsylvania Mississippi Florida Michigan Colorado Delaware Vermont United States Washington Arizona Indiana Connecticut West Virginia Maine Georgia South Carolina Tennessee Louisiana Hawaii Virginia North Carolina Iowa Texas Maryland New Mexico Missouri Minnesota South Dakota Alaska Idaho Wisconsin Nebraska Oklahoma Wyoming Montana Arkansas Utah North Dakota Kansas 19 College Participation College Participation Rates for Students from Low Income Families in Nevada Getting better, but not good enough . . . . the national rate for college participation among students from low income families was 39.4% in 2012, Nevada ranked 44th among states at 28.6%. 28.4% 28.6% 2011 2012 23.5% 14.3% 2003 15.3% 2004 16.3% 2005 14.8% 12.6% 12.1% 12.8% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 In these difficult economic times, access and affordability must be maintained. Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity, September 2013 20 College Participation How Accessible are Nevada’s Access Institutions? Nevada: Among the Lowest in the Nation for 2-Year College Participation Rates for Students from Low Income Families Select Participation Rates: 2-Year Institutions, 2012 Florida 5.2% District of Columbia 5.9% Nevada 6.4% West Virginia 7.1% Utah 7.4% South Dakota 7.8% 2-Year U.S. Rate 15.0% Source: Postsecondary Education Opportunity, September 2013 21 As Nevada focuses increasingly on creating policies to encourage degree completion, it is becoming more and more apparent that financial aid policy cannot be considered in isolation from other state policies and practices. Likewise, it seems clear that a consistent state-wide policy to ensure that all students have the chance to attend college will have the greatest positive effect on student completion rates. Nevada students need a clear commitment from the State to provide a stable and adequate source of funding for need-based financial aid to ensure access for low income students. Access and Affordability State-Funded, Need-Based Financial Aid Program 22 15 to Finish Enrollment Intensity Shift Focus to Benefits of Full-Time Enrollment Benefits include: Progress from freshman to sophomore status after first year More likely to graduate Pay less in tuition and living expenses Gain additional years of earnings Free up limited classroom space for other students Source: The Power of 15 Hours, Enrollment Intensity and Postsecondary Student Achievement, Dr. Nate Johnson, Fall 2012 23 National Perspective National Student Clearinghouse Research Center Four-Year Public Institutions Six-Year Outcomes and First Completion for Students who Started at Four-Year Public Institutions by Enrollment Intensity 100% 90% 21.6% 13.8% 68.7% 24.6% 3.8% 80% 70% 15.0% 60% 63.5% 82.3% 26.0% Not Enrolled 50% 49.4% 40% Still Enrolled Completed* 30% 10.8% 20% 20.4% 10% To the extent students can go full-time at any point, increased likelihood of completing. 0% Overall Exclusively Full- Exclusively PartTime Time Mixed Enrollment** Part-time students far less likely to graduate *Completed: Includes students who completed at starting or different institution **Mixed Enrollment: Both part-time and full-time during the study period Source: Completing College: A National View of Student Attainment Rates, National Student Clearing House, December 2013 24 National Perspective National Student Clearinghouse Research Center Two-Year Public Institutions Six-Year Outcomes and First Completion for Students who Started at Two-Year Public Institutions by Enrollment Intensity 100% To the extent students can go full-time at any point, increased likelihood of completing. 90% 41.2% 38.7% 68.3% 38.4% 80% 70% 60% 50% 3.7% 18.9% 25.1% 57.6% Still Enrolled 40% 30% Not Enrolled 39.9% 11.8% 20% 36.5% Completed* 19.9% 10% 0% Overall Exclusively Full- Exclusively PartTime Time Mixed Enrollment** Part-time students far less likely to graduate *Completed: Includes students who completed at starting or different institution **Mixed Enrollment: Both part-time and full-time during the study period Source: Completing College: A National View of Student Attainment Rates, National Student Clearing House, December 2013 25 National Perspective o Undergraduates enrolled full-time – 30 or more credits completed in first year – are more likely to graduate on time than students who completed fewer credits per year. Source: National Beginning Postsecondary Student Survey, 2004-09 o Withdrawal rates are lower for full-time students. One-third of part-time students withdrew in their first year. Source: NCES Report 2011-12 Enrollment Intensity National Center for Education Statistics 26 Graduation Rates by Credit Load NSHE 4-Year Institutions – Fall 2004 Cohort < 12 Credits 12 - 14 Credits 21.0% 15 TO FINISH Undergraduate students who are enrolled full-time are more likely to graduate from college. 43.4% 56.6% 79.0% 15+ Credits 58.1% 41.9% NOTE: Fall 2004 cohort, first-time, degree-seeking students, who earned a bachelor’s degree within 200% time to degree at a 4-year institution. Enrollment load based on first term. NSHE 2-Year Institutions – Fall 2008 Cohort < 12 Credits 12 - 14 Credits 11.4% 2.6% 97.4% % Graduated % Not Graduated 15+ Credits 88.6% 22.6% 77.4% NOTE: Fall 2008 cohort, first-time, degree seeking students who earned a certificate or associates degree at a community college within 200% time to degree. Enrollment load based on first term. 27 Graduation Rates by Credit Load and Ethnicity First-term Enrollment Load < 12 12 – 14 15+ Minorities 23.1% 38.7% 53.5% White Non-Hispanic 19.1% 45.9% 60.5% NSHE 2-Year Institutions – Fall 2008 Cohort First-term Enrollment Load < 12 12 – 14 15+ Minorities 2.6% 11.3% 20.9% White Non-Hispanic 2.8% 11.5% 23.3% Regardless of race or ethnicity, undergraduate students who are enrolled full-time are more likely to graduate from college. NOTE: Fall 2004 cohort, first-time, degree-seeking students, who earned a bachelor’s degree within 200% time to degree at a 4-year institution. Fall 2008 cohort students who earned a certificate or associates degree at a community college within 200% time to degree. Enrollment load based on first term. Enrollment Intensity 4-Year Institutions – Fall 2004 Cohort 28 Persistence Rates Enrollment Intensity Fall to Spring Persistence Rate 100% 80% 93.3% 84.0% 60% 40% 20% 91.0% 67.3% 82.4% 65.2% 0% NSHE 2-Year Institutions < 12 12 - 14 NSHE 4-Year Institutions 15+ NOTE: Analysis includes first-time, degree-seeking freshmen cohorts from Fall 2009, 2011, and 2012. Full-time students are significantly more likely to persist to the next semester. 29 Data: Cohort GPA by Academic Preparation NSHE NSHE 2-Year Institutions 4-Year Institutions Remedial English / Math Credit Load Enrollment Groups < 12 12 to < 15 College 15+ < 12 12 to < 15 Remedial 15+ GPA (cohort) GPA (cohort) 2.61 2.68 2.78 2.30 2.38 2.60 2.37 2.75 2.98 2.05 2.40 2.53 Lacking other data elements, placement into remedial English and/or mathematics was used as a proxy for academic preparation. Regardless of academic preparation, students enrolled full-time have higher grade point averages. NOTE: Fall 2008 cohort of first-time, degree-seeking freshmen. 30 Enrollment Intensity Policy Considerations Related to 15 to Finish Governor Guinn Millennium Scholarship Minimum enrollment required o 6 credits at the 2-year institutions o 12 credits at the 4-year institutions Maximum funding per semester o 12 credit max funded each semester In support of NSHE’s student success campaign, we urge the Nevada Legislature to consider increasing the maximum award for the Millennium Scholarship from 12 to 15 credits. 31 Has all this work made a difference? 34.6% 33.0% 31.1% 28.5% 24.6% 21.0% 19.9% 19.4% 19.3% 19.1% 17.1% 16.8% 15.4% 15.1% 14.8% 14.7% 14.3% 14.2% 13.9% 13.8% 13.5% 13.3% 13.2% 13.1% 12.8% 12.5% 12.5% 12.4% 12.3% 12.1% 12.0% 11.5% 11.2% 11.0% 10.6% 10.4% 10.2% 9.3% 9.2% 8.6% 7.7% 7.6% 7.4% Percent Change in Awards Conferred, 2010 thru 2012 Bottom Line: YES!!! A 21% increase in awards conferred in the first three years of Complete College America participation -- the policy initiatives and campaigns associated with CCA are making a difference relative to other state and the national average (13.5%)! Changing Nevada Arizona Alaska Iowa New Mexico Virginia Nevada Hawaii Utah Oregon Florida Washington Tennessee Louisiana Alabama Mississippi West Virginia California Nebraska Arkansas Colorado United States Maryland Texas South Carolina South Dakota Indiana North Carolina Missouri Maine Idaho Ohio Kentucky Georgia Montana New Jersey Kansas Wisconsin Minnesota Connecticut Michigan Massachusetts Oklahoma New York Delaware Illinois Vermont Pennsylvania Rhode Island New Hampshire Wyoming North Dakota 5.3% 4.4% 4.2% 4.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.1% -3.7% Source: NCHEMS, NCES, IPEDS 2009-10, 2011-12 Completions File Awards include 30+ credit certificates, associates degree, and bachelor’s degrees 32 Questions! 33