Transcript STRATEGIES, TECHNOLOGIES AND METHODOLOGIES FOR …

Belgian Road Research Centre
SUSTAINABLE
MOBILITY ?
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YOU WANT
IF…
Optimism Final Conference – 16th September 2013
Wanda DEBAUCHE
Head of the Mobility – Safety - Road Management
Division
The main challenges we are facing
Social and
demographic
changes
Shortage of
resources
Technology
changes
Pressure on
the
environment
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Urban population will still increase
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GENERATION EFFECTS
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1960
1940
1920
Silent
Baby
boomer
Looks for longterm, stable
employement
1980
X (baby bust)
NIX
Generation
Low birth rate
2000
Y
Peter Pan
Z
C generation
Digital natives (wide
access to the internet and
to computers
C=communication, creativity,
connection and collaboration
Longer education
Web 2,0, (social media)
Expansion of physical
workspace : development
of satellite offices and
teleworking
Working hours concept
disappears
Zapping generation
Not the location, but the
activity on the worldwide web
is important
Shift in old age limit (60 to
80 years=period of full
independence
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Mobility
demand
High professional
mobility
Higher purchasing
power and car
ownership
Less attached to the car
as a status symbol
Nomads, constantly on line
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Vehicle technologies and energy
 Improvement
in fuel consumption
 Diversity of vehicles running on
unconventional fuels
 But…
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There are still profound
uncertainties in energy issues
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Connectivity
 Wide
range of online
services
 “The
world in my
pocket”

Huge changes in
consumer attitude and
behaviour, as well as in
transport and mobility
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The shape of future passenger
transport
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Will transport demand
still continue to grow ?
-
-
OECD
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PASSENGERS
Passengers-kilometres
GOODS
Tonnes-kilometres
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e car will remain the major
nsport mode but…
EU: car =
70 % of passengerkms in 2030
65 % in 2050
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What could bring ICT in this context ?
ICT
technologies
should
contribute to a :
• Smarter
• Cleaner
• Safer
passenger
transport system
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ICT … in travel demand
information
Static
Dynamic
Separate transport mode
Multimodal approach
Displayed for all travellers
Customized
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ICT … in mobility services
Single mode
Multimodal
Ownership
Use
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Private
Rent
Ownership
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Fleet
Transport modes
Car pool
Share
use
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ICT … in traffic management
Stand-alone system
Cooperative systems
Communication
• Infra-to-infra
• Vehicle-to-infra
• Vehicle-to-vehicle
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ICT … and vehicles
 Autonomous
vehicle: the technology is
available, but …
ROBOT
CROSSING
AHEAD
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How to make that all efficient?
Human factors
Technologies
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Transport
SYSTEM
Physical
factors
Environment
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…in infrastructure
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Urban public
space should be
redesigned and
optimized
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…in new vehicles
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…in management and funding
 Greater
coordination of all authorities
 Evaluation
culture (prioritization)
 New
ways
of funding
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BRRC: Belgian Road Research Centre
Mobility, Safety, Road Management Division
[email protected]
[email protected]
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