Transcript Слайд 1 - Windows

Regional & Global Solutions
for Sustainable Gas Supply:
Russia Perspective
Prof. Anatoly Zolotukhin
Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas
National Research University
Moscow, Russia
Neftegaz conference
Moscow, June 27, 2012
July 17, 2015
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Undiscovered Gas
Assessment of Undiscovered
Oil and Gas in the Arctic
Donald L. Gautier, et al.
Science 324, 1175 (2009);
DOI: 10.1126/science.1169467
2
Russian unconventional gas resources
Ref: Е. Perlova, June 2011
July 17, 2015
3
Russia’s conventional HC reserves & resources
Total: 355 BTOE
Ref.: D. Khramov, Rus-Norw Seminar, June 20, 2011
July 17, 2015
4
HC Resources of the Russian Arctic Shelf
July 17, 2015
5
Europe Arctic Offshore – HC Potential
41,7 BTOE – Europe Arctic resources
July 17, 2015
6
Forecasted petroleum production from
the Russian shelves, 2010-2030
Oil and gas production forecast
Добыча УВ на российском шельфе
from the Russian shelves
year
TOE per
Million
Млн ТНЭ
в год
350
300
250
Caspian Sea
Каспийское
море
200
Offshore
Сахалин
Sakhalin
150
Arctic seas
Арктические
моря
100
50
0
2010
July 17, 2015
2015
2020
2030
7
Gas consumption per capita
Source: BP statistical review on World Energy, 2011
8
Global supply and balance in 2015
Source: Timera Energy graphic based on IEA data
Russia’s unique position to supply demand growth
for both piped gas and LNG to global markets
Source: Exxon Mobil 2010 The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2030
July 17, 2015
10
Opportunity for Russia to meet a rising
Asian import requirements
Source: James Henderson, The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, March 2012
July 17, 2015
11
Forecasts and Uncertainty
Source: James Henderson, The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, March 2012
July 17, 2015
12
2005 Forecast of global gas market in 2010
Source: PFC Energy (Novatek, 2011)
July 17, 2015
13
2010 – Global gas market forecast changes
Source: PFC Energy (Novatek, 2011)
July 17, 2015
14
Major gas trade movements
Source: BP statistical review on World Energy, 2011
15
The Barents Sea:
An area of international energy cooperation
Snøhvit LNG
Total
Fedynskoye
Shtokman
Goliat
Snøhvit
Skrugard
ENI
Lukoil
Gazprom
Statoil
Rosneft
ExxonMobil
June 15, 2012
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We can have a safe, secure and reliable
development of arctic resources… only
through cooperation, not competition,
among arctic nations.
Any other way of doing this… will not
benefit any nation in the long run.
Assistant Secretary of State Daniel S. Sullivan,
Oct. 15, 2007
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Thank you!
Prof. Anatoly Zolotukhin
E-mail: [email protected]
Phone/Fax: +7 499 135 75 16
June 15, 2012
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