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Education for All by 2015: Will we make it? Nicholas Burnett Asssistant Director-General for Education, UNESCO ADEA Biennale, Maputo, Mozambique 6 May 2008 The big questions in 2008 2000 2005 Dakar Gender parity goal 2008 Midpoint 2015 Have national governments followed up on their commitment to EFA? Where are the greatest challenges? Are donors providing adequate support? What requires top policy attention? 2 What has happened since Dakar 2000? 3 Progress in primary education Sub-Saharan Africa Primary school enrolment up: Arab States South/West Asia 36% in sub-Saharan Africa 22% in South and West Asia 11% in Arab States Central Asia Central/Eastern Europe East Asia/Pacific Latin America Caribbean 1991 1999 2005 North America Western Europe 60 70 80 90 100 Net enrolment ratios in primary education (%) 50 4 Strides ahead in many countries Niger Congo Burkina Faso Eritrea Mali Côte d'Ivoire Burundi Chad Guinea Nigeria Ethiopia Senegal Ghana Namibia Rwanda Gambia Mozambique Togo Benin Kenya Swaziland Equat. Guinea Zimbabwe Botswana Lesotho South Africa Zambia Cape Verde Madagascar Malawi Mauritius S. Tome/Principe U. R. Tanzania Seychelles 20 1999 Significant acceleration in post-Dakar period compared to 1990s 2005 School fee abolition has favoured sharp enrolment increases in many subSaharan African countries 30 40 50 60 70 80 Net enrolment ratios (%) 90 100 5 Prospects for achieving UPE by 2015 Goal achieved by 2005 (NER ≥ 97%) 63 countries Close or in intermediate position NER 80%-96% High chance of achieving the goal by 2015 28 countries (5 in Africa) Far NER<80% At risk of not achieving the goal by 2015 2025: 7 countries 33 countries (8 in Africa) 2025: 6 countries Low chance of achieving the goal by 2015 Serious risk of not achieving the goal by 2015 17 countries (13 in Africa) 8 countries (4 in Africa) Not included in the prospects analysis 54 countries 6 C. A. R. Chad Niger D. R. Congo Côte d'Ivoire Mali Benin Burkina Faso Eritrea Guinea Mozambique Togo Cameroon Nigeria Burundi Comoros Ethiopia Congo Swaziland Zambia Cape Verde Equat. Guinea Madagascar Kenya South Africa Senegal U. R. Tanzania S. Tome/Principe Zimbabwe Botswana Ghana Gabon Uganda Lesotho Mauritius Namibia Seychelles Rwanda Malawi Gambia 0,50 1999 2005 Gender disparities still prevail Policies to encourage girls’ schooling have included: - Community mobilization - Targeting disadvantaged areas - Free learning materials - Sanitation in schools 35% of countries have achieved gender parity in primary education (63% globally), and only 6% at the secondary level 0,60 0,70 0,80 0,90 Gender parity Index in primary GER 1,00 1,10 7 Decline in number of out-of-school children Sub-Saharan Africa 1999: 96 million South/West Asia East Asia/Pacific 2005: 72 million Arab States 1999 2005 Latin America Caribbean Central/Eastern Europe North America Western Europe 33 million in sub-Saharan Africa Central Asia 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Out-of school children, million 8 Expansion of secondary education 120 N o rth A merica and Western Euro pe GER in secondary education (%) 100 C entral and Eastern Euro pe 80 60 Latin A merica and the C aribbean C entral A sia East A sia and the P acific A rab States So uth and West A sia 40 Sub-Saharan A frica 20 0 1999 55% increase since 1999 in secondary enrolments in Africa 2005 38% GER in lower secondary, 24% in upper secondary Technical and vocational education accounts for 6% of secondary enrolments Malawi Advances and disparities Zimbabwe Swaziland Namibia Seychelles Niger Mozambique Burkina Faso Rwanda Chad Universalization of lower secondary education is a policy objective in most African countries Uganda Senegal Democratic Rep. of the Congo Mali Zambia Guinea Eritrea 10% annual increase in several African countries but in others participation rates below 20% Benin Nigeria Ethiopia Comoros Lesotho Togo Cameroon Ghana Gambia Kenya Botswana 1999 Mauritius 2005 South Africa 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 GER in secondary education (%) 10 Minimal attention to adult literacy 774 million adult illiterates Number of illiterate adults South/West Asia increased in sub-Saharan Africa Sub-Saharan Africa but average literacy rate rose to 59% East Asia/Pacific 150 million adult illiterates in Arab States sub-Saharan Africa Latin America/Caribbean 62% are women Central/Eastern Europe Direct assessments of literacy North America/ Western Europe Central Asia 0 100 200 1985-1994 skills suggest even greater 1995-2004 challenge (Kenya adult literacy 300 400 500 survey) Adult illiterates, million 11 Indications of poor quality Survival rate to last grade improving but remains low in sub-Saharan Africa (63%) and in South and West Asia (79%) International and national learning assessments point to low achievement in core subjects (language and mathematics), especially in developing countries Low levels of learning achievement are related to : socio-economic background rural residence lack of access to textbooks in school, books at home insufficient and inefficient instructional time inadequate physical infrastructure and material resources 12 Teacher shortages Teaching staff has not kept pace with enrolment increases in sub-Saharan Africa and South and West Asia Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest pupil teacher ratio in the world (45:1). Pupil/trained teachers ratios above 60 in Chad, Madagascar, Mozambique and Rwanda Contract teachers fill gap in francophone sub-Saharan Africa and South and West Asia. They receive lower salaries and less training than civilservant teachers 18 million new primary teachers needed by 2015, of which 3.8 million in Africa 13 EFA Development Index: a comprehensive view of progress Out of 129 countries: South Africa Dominican Rep. Namibia 51 high achievers Swaziland (1 close to EFA in Africa) Lesotho Guatemala 53 in intermediate position (10 in Africa) Nicaragua Iraq Bangladesh Index pulled down by low education quality or low adult literacy levels Nepal Malawi Mauritania Yemen Mozambique 1999 Ethiopia 2005 Chad 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 Education Development Index 25 far from achieving EFA of which: 16 in sub-Saharan Africa 4 Arab States 4 in South and West Asia 1 in East Asia / Pacific 14 Increases in national spending on education El Salvador Madagascar 1999 Nepal 2005 Benin 50 out of 84 countries outside North America and Western Tajikistan Europe increased the share. Mozambique Mali 18 out of 24 in sub-Saharan Africa Kyrgyzstan Czech Rep. Colombia 5% annual increase in public Burundi Senegal spending on education in sub- Mexico Saharan Africa and South and Ghana Poland West Asia Hungary Malawi Ethiopia Countries making significant Swaziland progress towards UPE have Ukraine Bolivia generally increased their Kenya spending as a share of GNP Morocco Lesotho 0 2 4 6 8 10 Public expenditure on education as a % of GNP 15 Aid to education: inadequate to achieve EFA There has been a slowdown in the growth of aid to education since 2004 and levels remain inadequate. Africa receives 40% of total aid to basic education 12 Constant 2006 US$ billions Low income countries 9.4 10 8.5 8.3 8 11.2 11.0 7.3 6.6 All developing countries 7.0 6 5.3 4.1 4 6.5 2 3.3 3.7 3.7 4.1 4.6 4.5 5.6 2.8 2.8 3.0 5.0 3.7 3.0 1.6 2.0 1.9 1.9 1999 2000 2001 2002 2.7 4.1 2.4 3.0 2005 2006 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Total aid to education 2004 2005 2006 2003 2004 Total aid to basic education Total aid includes allocations from budget support and aid to level unspecified The Way Forward 17 Promoting access To offset the cost of schooling for poor households countries are: Targeting poorer regions and population groups Brazil, Burkina Faso Abolishing school fees (10 countries in Africa since 2000) Setting up education cash-transfer programmes Latin American countries, Kenya, Turkey Providing scholarships for girls Bangladesh, Cambodia, Pakistan Governments are also encouraging access through: Flexible models for working children, enforced child labour legislation Inclusive education for the disabled Bilingual education for children from indigenous communities 18 Improving learning at all levels Four broad policy areas Trained and motivated teachers Training models, professional development, incentives to work in underserved areas, policy frameworks for contract teachers Effective teaching and learning strategies Active learning, relevant curricula, HIV/AIDS education, importance of acquiring basic skills, better assessments Learning time, materials and textbooks Textbook production, unbiased learning content, free distribution to priority areas Healthy and safe learning environment Nutrition, health programmes, physical safety 19 Programs for young children and for parents Early childhood care and education programs offset disadvantage improve children’s well-being prepare them for primary school improve student performance in primary school Literacy programs for youth and adults have long-term benefits healthcare knowledge HIV/AIDS prevention self esteem and empowerment, widening choices higher chance of parents sending children to school Early childhood and literacy programs carry strong returns but require massive scaling up 20 An education compact 1. Effective national policies 2. Higher domestic spending 3. External aid Educational development A model at work in Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, India, Mozambique, Tanzania, Yemen and Zambia POLICY PRIORITIES Inclusion Quality Literacy Capacity Development Financing: National commitment to increase education spending Donors must Focus on low-income countries and Fragile States Continue to support countries making progress towards EFA 21 The report, summary, regional overviews, statistics and additional resources are on line at: www.efareport.unesco.org [email protected] 22