Transcript DG TREN - Europaregion


ENERGY 2020
New Energy strategy for a changing world
Florian Ermacora
Assistant to the Director-General for Energy, European
Commission
June 2011
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The 20-20-20 EU policy
By 2020
Greenhouse
gas levels
Energy
consumption
-20%
-20%
Renewables
in energy mix
100%
+20%
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EU-27 Import dependence
in %
2005
2008
2020
2030
2005
2008
2020
2030
100
94,1%
92,7%
80
84,3%
82,8%
82,4%
75,9%
60
62,3%
57,7%
40
20
(based on 2009 baseline scenario)
OIL
GAS
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January 2009 gas crisis and its impact
 The
(6-20 January 2009)
% of missing gas supply – 300
mcm/d for 14 days
> 75 %
50 - 75 %
25 – 50 %
< 25%
0%
Ukraine
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ENERGY STRATEGY 2020
5 PRIORITIES:
Efficient use of energy
Integrated energy market
Secure, safe and affordable energy
Technological leadership
Strong international partnership
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Historical consumption (Eurostat)
20% Energy efficiency target for 2020
Baseline projections for 2020 (Primes 2007)
1900
20% Energy saving objective
1842 Mtoe
Primary energy consumption*, Mtoe
1850
1800
1750
1712 1714
1700
1692 1685
1676 Mtoe
1650
Expected
achievements**
- 166 Mtoe
1600
1550
1500
1474 Mtoe
20% objective
- 368 Mtoe
1450
1400
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
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What improving energy efficiency means for a single family house of
the 70s (150 m2 in D)
No
renovation
Renovation to
new build
standard
Renovation to
low energy
house
standard
Annual
CO2
emissions
in tonnes
Consumption
of heating oil
per year
÷ 2,5
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EU strongest renewable
energy potentials
Wind energy
onshore
Solar energy
Wave energy
Simplified Map
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European infrastructures priorities
Southern
gas corridor
LNG terminals
Baltic interconnection plan
Mediterranean
energy ring
North south
electricity & gas
interconnections
in central-south
Europe
North Sea
offshore grid
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Energy system investment needs
Total investment needs in the electricity and gas sector
between 2010-20: over 1 trillion €
Power generation: ~ 500 bn
Transmission and distribution: ~ 600 bn
Distribution: ~ 400 bn
RES: ~ 310-370 bn
Transmission: ~ 200 bn
NB: approximative figures, mainly
from DG ENER calculations based
on data from PRIMES, ENTSO-E,
KEMA, ECOFYS etc.
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of public spending on energy R&D
 Development
in selected EU Member States, the USA and Japan - 1991-2005
in 2005 in %
EU (17 MS)
USA
JAPAN
20
+22%
10
1991=100
-13%
-10
-20
-30
-40
-40%
Source: International Energy Agency (IEA) and own calculations
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Major oil and gas pipeline projects
Networks originating in Russia
Pipelines
IN PROJECT
IN OPERATION

Oil
Gas
Idea/photo: maxppp
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