Transcript Slide 1
Industrial Master Plans and Action Plans Policy Design and Formulation in Developing Countries Proactive Industrial Policy Even under globalization, industrial policy is both necessary and possible. In fact, many countries already practice industrial policies consistent with WTO, regional integration and bilateral FTAs. But new policy must be different from old ones: planning, laissez-faire, infant-industry promotion (Korea), FDI-led industrialization with slow integration (ASEAN4). Proactive industrial policy must satisfy the following: Promotion of markets and international integration A strong and wise state to guide the private sector Retaining sufficient policy tools for catching up Dynamic capacity building of both government and private sector through concrete actions & projects Internalization of skills & technology Effective public-private partnership Deep industrial knowledge shared by government and businesses Policy Learning International best policy practices (and failures) must be collected and compared systematically. East Asia abounds in good examples, but we can also learn from other regions. Using them as references and building blocks, government must acquire general capability to create a policy most suitable for a particular country, time and sector. Do not copy other countries uncritically, or reject their experiences as irrelevant. Learning (knowledge collection) and thinking (adaptation to your country) must be combined. Learning steps: Collect and analyze policy documents of other countries Seminars & advice by invited foreign officials and experts Policy missions to foreign country governments (write reports) Discuss how foreign experiences can be used in formulating policies What to Be Learned? Basics Policy Policy Policy Policy content procedure organization documentation More advanced National leadership National movement for mindset change Developmental state (politics & development) Exit to an advanced society Standard Policy Making Procedure (Five Necessary Conditions) 5. A secretariat with sufficient authority and responsibility to coordinate the entire process Top leader 1. Vision 2. Consensus building 3. Documentation Brainstorming Studies & surveys Set broad goals & direction Drafting work Comments & revisions (Drafting may be outsourced) Stakeholder consultation 4. Substantive stakeholder participation Ministries &agencies Businesses Academics & consultants Regions & localities Finalize & approve Taiwan: Statute for Industrial Innovation, 2010 Brainstorming; agreeing on goals & directions Task force under Ministry of Economic Affairs Minister providing vision & key ideas The 3-year process was managed by Chung-hua Institution for Economic Research (a think tank winning competitive bidding). Stakeholder consultations Documentation Private sector hearings with six sectoral business associations Interministerial meetings Drafting by MoEA official with lawyer’s help for wording Further revision & approval by National Assembly with MoEA chairing Dissemination (“Island Tour”) Thailand: Automotive Industry Master Plan 2007-2011 Brainstorming; agreeing on goals & directions “CEO Forum” FDI & local firms Exporters MoI, MoST, MoEdu Professors’ team (Chulalornkorn Univ) Business Gov’t Experts (Informal) The whole process (1 year) is managed by Thailand Automotive Institute (TAI) Set up formal committee for drafting M/P M/P Steering Committee Organized by MOI Subcommittees study identified issues Human resource Productivity M/P Drafting By TAI staff Businesses Officials Experts Business Gov’t Experts (Formal) Marketing Engineering Investment & linkage Comment & dissemination Implementation Vietnam: Traditional Policy Drafting Process Prime Minister Review for approval Order Submit Drafting Team Minister Interministerial review Submit MPI & other Ministries Data Internal review MPI & other Ministries Government Appeal letter to Prime Minister when problems arise Contact Ministry when necessary Interviews, symposiums (sometimes) Technical assistance (sometimes) International experts Business Community No permanent channel for continuous policy dialogue (case-by-case, temporary, ad hoc) Alternative Policy Organizations Who will draft and execute policies, and how? The following approaches are not mutually exclusive; some countries use more than one. Technocrat group directly under PM or President National Councils or Committees Super-ministry Sector/issue-specific institute acting as a hub Strong leader without institutionalization Technocrat Group Approach - Elite technocrat group with full planning authority given by top leader - Members are selected officials, business leaders & experts with good education & experience Korea – Econ. Planning Board Malaysia – Econ. Planning Unit Thailand – NESDB Taiwan – Kuomintang Elites Indonesia – BAPPENAS Chile – “Chicago Boys” PM or President Direction, full authority for policy making Faithful execution and reporting Technocrat Group (Policy Maker) Policy, guidance and monitoring Businesses Academics Experts Faithful execution and reporting Ministries (Policy Implementers) National Council/Committee Approach PM or President Chair, give mandate Businesses Academics Experts National Council or Committee Plan Support working groups or task forces for specific issues and sectors Ministries and agencies Implement Singapore Now: New Productivity Drive Economic Strategies Committee: Report Chaired by Deputy PM Members from ministries/agencies, business, unions Joint secretariat: MTI, MOM (ministers) National Productivity and Continuing Education Council (NPCEC) Review & submit Oversight Review & approval Led by MTI, MOM (PS level) Inter-agency coordination Working Committee for Productivity and Continuing Education (WCPCE) Sectoral “Productivity Roadmap” for the next 10 years Draft & propose Financial Incentives Scrutiny National Productivity Fund Productivity Skills Dvt. Fund & Innovation Lifelong Learning Credit E.F. Sector working groups (12 priority sectors) Construction BCA Unions Industry Electronics EDB Unions Industry Cross-cutting issues Low wage workers Research & benchmarking Infocomm and logistics Precision Eng. Transport Eng. General Mfg. EDB EDB SPRING Unions Unions Unions Industry Industry Industry F&B SPRING Unions Industry Retails SPRING Unions Industry My Proposal for Vietnamese Government Prime Minister Direct, give mandate Plan National Competitiveness Council Commission studies, reports Chaired by PM (or DPM) Secretariat: Government Office Members: Heads of concerned ministries Support, report, draft Working groups for specific issues or sectors SMEs Supporting industries Clusters TVET Higher Educ Secretariat: MPI Secretariat: MOIT Secretariat: MOIT Secretariat: MOLISA Secretariat: MOET Ministries, businesses, experts Ministries, businesses, experts Ministries, businesses, experts Ministries, businesses, experts Ministries, businesses, experts Ministries and agencies Implement Super Ministry Approach One ministry with broad authority for industry (sectors, trade, technology, training, standards, SMEs, FDI, IPR, regional development…) Performing multiple tasks—planning, interface with politicians, working with businesses and other stakeholders, trade negotiation, drafting laws and regulations, monitoring, dissemination…. Highly motivated and capable officials and extensive information networks are needed. No charismatic leader is needed for this approach to work. Organizational Structure of Japan’s Ministry of International Trade and Industry, 1960s MITI Minister Politically appointed VM Administrative VM Deputy VMs Special assistants Main Bureau Minister’s Secretariat (incl. Research & Statistics) Int’l Trade Policy Bureau Int’l Trade Admin. Bureau Industrial Policy Bureau Industrial Location & Environment Protection Bureau Basic Industries Bureau Machinery & Information Industries Bureau Consumer Goods Industries Bureau Deliberation Councils Industrial Structure Export Insurance Textile Petroleum Electrical Works ......... Attached Organizations and External Bureaus Agency of National Resources & Energy Patent Office SME Enterprise Agency Agency of Industrial Science & Technology Trade & Investment Training Other (*) Industrial Structure Council: influential in the 60s (18 special committees): industrial pollution, int’l economy, consumer economy, heavy industry, chemical industry, etc. Int’l Trade Transaction Industrial Location & Water Product Safety & Household Goods Quality Indication Aircraft & Machinery Industry Traditional Crafts Industry ................... Special Institute as a Hub Government creates/designates a special institute for promoting a specific sector or a specific issue. This institute becomes a hub of policy making and implementation (secretariat function)—as well as a service provider for consultation, training, testing, etc. The institute works closely with relevant ministries, businesses and experts/researchers. The institute prepares a policy draft. Thailand: Special Institute Name Thailand Productivity Institute (around the time of Asian Financial Crisis) Start-up date Jun. 1995 Thai-German Institute Organizations Originated from MOI industry promotion dept. 20 Board members, 161 staff. Nov. 1995 Financial cooperation from KfW, GDC. Technical training (CNC, CAM/CAD, etc.), 12 Board members, 79 staff, 5 German experts. Jun. 1997 Based on MOI industry promotion dept. and industry association. 20 Board members, 27 staff. Oct. 1996 Based on MOI industry promotion dept. and industry association. 20 Board members, 27 staff. Mar. 1999 Originated from Thai Industrial Standard Institute (TISI). 14 Board members, 55 staff. Apr. 1999 Supporting industry development. 20 Board members, 28 staff Electrical & Electronics Institute (EEI) Feb. 1999 Supporting industry development. 29 Board members, 28 staff. Foundation for Cane & Sugar Research Institute Apr. 1999 Originated from Cane & Sugar Research Institute. 13 Board members. Jun. 1999 Modeled on Japan’s SME Univ. Operated by Thammasat Univ. in cooperation with 8 local universities. 21 Board members. Thailand Textile Institute National Food Institute (NFI) Management Systems Certification Institute (MSCI) Thailand Automotive Institute (TAI) Institute for SME Development The Iron & Steel Institute of Thailand Aimed at joint marketing promotion of four steel Dec. 1998 (cabinet approval) companies (oversupply) Thailand under Thaksin Administration (2001-2006) Strong PM, quick decision, running the country like a business corporation Prime Minister Visions to be concretized Instruct Thailand should become: -“Detroit of Asia” -“Hub of Tropical Fashion” -“Kitchen of the World,” etc. Report Direct access Private sector Relevant ministry Industry-specific committees High level coordination Specialized institute Operational level coordination Experts Documentation DraftingImplementationResults. Producing documents is the means, not the end. Generally speaking, short & concise is better than long and complex. Large documents are usually not read. Only include information and arguments necessary for the policy actions proposed. Drafters can be officials, consultants, academics or a mixed team. As long as key contents are agreed and necessary studies have been prepared, anyone can draft policy documents. Comparison of Master Plan Structure 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Malaysia: Third Industrial Master Plan Thailand: First Automotive Industry ES Thailand: Second Automotive Industry ES Thailand: Second Automotive Industry Vision Thailand: Small and Medium Enterprises Thailand: Supporting Industries ES Targets Situation analysis Policy issues Thailand: Food Industry ES Thailand: Leather, leather goods, footwear ES Indonesia: National Industrial Dev. Policy India: National Strategy for Manufacturing India: Industrial Policy of Maharashtra State Action plans Action Plan Template The following template is actually used in Vietnam-Japan Industrialization Strategy (2011-ongoing). Only essential items are included to save time & energy; total about 5 pages. 1. Situation analysis (about 2 pages, essential facts only for promoting this industry) 2. Vision for 2020 (one sentence) 3. Targets (3-5 items, one phrase each) 4. Policy issues (3-5 items, one phrase each, policy efforts required for targets above) 5. Action plan (who, what, by when, success criteria in table format) 6. Monitoring mechanism (1-2 sentences, common for all industries) Thailand Automotive M/P 2007-2011 Drafting team at Thailand Automotive Institute Vision 2011 4 Objectives 5 Strategies 12 Action Plans Strong coordination by Mr. Vallop of Thailand Automotive Institute Effective stakeholder networking – FDI, local producers, government, donors Process-based action mechanism – annual budget and projects for implementing actions (no matrix) Thai Automotive Vision, 5 Strategies and 12 Action Plans Vision—“Asia’s auto production base with value-added and strong parts industry” Source: Thailand Automotive Institute, The Automotive Industry Master Plan 2007-2011 Executive Summary, p.4. Vietnam-Japan Joint Initiative Purpose: Improve Vietnam’s investment climate to become an attractive investment destination Background: (1) Japan is the largest implementer of FDI and largest donor in Vietnam; (2) public private dialogue; (2) Vietnam joined WTO in Jan. 2007. Scheme: (1) Action Plan is agreed among Vietnamese & Japanese governments and Japanese private companies. (2) Monitor progress and announce final result. Phase 1, 2003-2005 (44 items, 85% achieved) Phase 2, 2006-2007 (46 items, 94% achieved) Phase 3, 2008-2010 (37 items, 81% acheived) Phase 4, 2011-2012 (70 items, 87% achieved) Phase 5, 2013-2014 (100 items, ongoing) Procedure for Action Plan Vietnam-Japan 1. Japanese Business Associations in Vietnam identify problems and study support measures. 2. Bilateral dialogue to agree on problems and solutions (two governments & Japanese FDI) 3. Agree on Action Plan 4. Execute Action Plan Vietnam—review/adjust laws and regulations Japan—ODA support 5. Monitor Action Plan Interim monitoring (one year later) Final monitoring (two years later) Organization for Action Plan Vietnam-Japan (Phase 4) Vietnamese Side Ministry of Planning and Investment (MPI) Coordinate Gov’t Office M of Transp M of Finance M of Post/Tel M of Industry & Trade M of Resource M of Sci/Tech M of Justice M of Labor Japanese Side J.Embassy, JICA,JETRO in Vietnam Co-work Coordi nate MoFA METI Keidanren Japanese Bus. Assn. (HN/HCM) WT1 Power supply WT2 Labor market WT3 Macroeconomy WT4 General (SI, IPR, customs) WT5 Retail distribution WT6 Infrastructure A/P Drafting & Monitoring Vietnam-Japan Drafting Action Plan Monitoring Action Plan Joint Committee Evaluation Committee Task Force Monitoring Committee headed by Japanese ambassador Keidanren chairman MPI Minister headed by Japanese ambassador Keidanren chairman MPI Minister headed by MPI Minister & GD attended by Japanese Bus. Assn. headed by MPI Minister & GD attended by Japanese Bus. Assn. Japanese Consultants Task Force Hearing from companies Preparing action plan draft headed by MPI Secretary & DGD attended by Japanese Bus. Assn. Action Plan Format Sample: (Phase I, Item 29) Adoption of international accounting standard (total 2 pages) (1) Current status—Explanation of current situation and citation of relevant laws & regulations (2 paragraphs) (2) Issues raised by enterprises—Gap between local and global accounting system adds cost and ambiguity, etc (2 paragraphs) (3) Views expressed by Vietnamese Gov’t—Statement of proposed law revisions and future direction (2 paragraphs) (4) Concrete solution measures: 1. Clarification of all accounting and auditing standards and integration into international standards. 2. From 2004, PR & implementation of Accounting Law Common deadline: Action within 2 years Reasons for Success Excellent bilateral relationship between VN & JP High level political involvement Public Private Partnership Commitments with a deadline on Action Plan and monitoring Support by ODA for implementing Action Plan Openness and transparency of the result (Cited from the presentation of Mr. Kyoshiro Ichikawa, Senior Investment Advisor & JICA expert, Hanoi, Dec. 2007)