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S•M•A•R•T Limitations of Current Antiretroviral Therapy • Inability to eradicate HIV • Limited number of agents/classes • Development of HIV resistance • Occurrence of serious side effects • Difficulty with long-term adherence S•M•A•R•T Basis for Antiretroviral Guidelines • • • Short-term trials Observational studies Expert opinion Only partially evidence-based S•M•A•R•T 2001 DHHS Guidelines Clinical Category CD4+ Count Plasma HIV RNA Symptomatic Recommendation Treat!! Asymptomatic < 200/mm3 Any Treat! Asymptomatic > 200/mm3 and < 350/mm3 Any Treat. But… Asymptomatic > 350 > 55,000 Treat? Asymptomatic > 350 < 55,000 Treat?? S•M•A•R•T A Large, Randomized Trial Comparing Two Strategies for Management of AntiRetroviral Therapy S•M•A•R•T The SMART Study is a: Multicenter Study of the Terry Beirn Community Programs for Clinical Research on AIDS (CPCRA) Funded by: NIH: The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Division of AIDS S•M•A•R•T Countries Participating in SMART CPCRA RCC Sydney RCC Brazil Canada Peru South Africa United States Argentina Australia Chile Israel Japan New Zealand Thailand Uruguay Copenhagen RCC Austria Belgium Denmark Estonia Finland Germany Lithuania Luxembourg Norway Poland Portugal Russia Spain London RCC France Greece Ireland Italy Morocco Switzerland United Kingdom S•M•A•R•T SMART Study Design Participants with CD4+ > 350 n = 3000 Virologic Suppression (VS) Strategy [Use ART to maintain viral load as low as possible throughout follow-up] n = 3000 Drug Conservation (DC) Strategy [Stop or defer ART until CD4+ < 250; then episodic ART based on CD4+ cell count to increase counts to > 350] Expected follow-up period: 7-8 years S•M•A•R•T The SMART Study Questions • What is the optimal way to use ART to achieve longest disease-free survival? • Which treatment strategy is associated with – Better adherence – Fewer drug side effects – Fewer metabolic complications – Better quality of life – Less drug resistance? • Which strategy is more cost effective? S•M•A•R•T Study Treatment Comparison Viral Suppression Strategy Continuous Antiretroviral Therapy VS Drug Conservation Strategy Episodic Antiretroviral Therapy S•M•A•R•T Primary Objective To compare the VS and DC strategies in prolonging survival without progression of disease. S•M•A•R•T Other Major Clinical Outcomes • Death • Major cardiovascular and metabolic complications • Serious HIV progression events • Combined endpoint of death, HIV disease progression, and major cardiovascular and metabolic events • Grade 4 adverse events S•M•A•R•T SMART Target Population • HIV-infected patients • CD4+ cell counts > 350 cells/mm3 • Older than 13 years of age • Willing to initiate, modify, or stop antiretroviral therapy, in accordance with the randomized assignment. S•M•A•R•T Viral Suppression (VS) Strategy Goal Maintain maximum possible suppression of viral load Treatment Strategy Utilize any available HIV treatments irrespective of CD4 cell count S•M•A•R•T Viral Suppression Strategy Potential BENEFITS • Maximal suppression of viral load more likely Potential RISKS • More cumulative side effects • Adherence more difficult • Lower risk of resistance due to viral suppression • Resistance to more agents with virologic failures • Lower risk of lasting CD4 depletion • Fewer active anti-HIV agents available when risk of disease is higher • Potential lower risk of HIV transmission S•M•A•R•T Drug Conservation (DC) Strategy Goal Conserve anti-HIV drug options while the risk of disease progression is low Treatment Strategy Defer use of anti-HIV agents until CD4 cell count is < 250 then treat episodically to maintain CD4 > 350 using any available HIV treatments S•M•A•R•T Drug Conservation Strategy Potential BENEFITS • Potent anti-HIV agents available when risk of disease increases • Fewer side effects • Less anti-HIV drug use may reduce the risk of drug resistance Potential RISKS • Stopping and restarting anti-HIV agents may increase the risk of drug resistance • Risk of lasting damage to immune system • Potential increased risk of HIV transmission • Adherence may be better with episodic therapy S•M•A•R•T SMART Participants and Timetable • Enrollment from 8 January 2002 to 11 January 2006 – 33 countries – 318 sites – 5,472 patients • Date randomization screens closed: 11 January 2006 • Mean follow-up: 15 months S•M•A•R•T Canadian Participation • 13 sites across Canada • First Canadian site opened in December 2004 • 10 of 13 sites were opened for enrolment S•M•A•R•T Canadian Enrolment (to 11 January 2006) Site Enrollment CHUL (Ste-Foy, Quebec) Toronto Hospital (Ontario) McMaster (Hamilton, Ontario) Halifax (Nova Scotia) CHUS (Fleurimont, Quebec) Montreal Chest (Quebec) Windsor (Ontario) St. Joseph’s (London, Ontario) L’actuel (Montreal, Quebec) Medical Halles (Ste-Foy, Quebec) 14 5 8 9 13 4 7 4 29 9 Total = 102/150 S•M•A•R•T Canadian Sites Three sites not opened for enrolment: • Quartier Latin (Montreal, Quebec) • Sudbury (Ontario) • DIDC (Vancouver, British Columbia) S•M•A•R•T Ja nM A pr ar 2 -J 0 Ju u n 02 l-S 20 O ep 02 ct -D 20 Ja ec 02 n- 2 0 A Mar 02 pr -J 20 Ju u n 03 l-S 20 O ep 03 ct -D 20 Ja ec 03 n- 2 0 A Mar 03 pr -J 20 Ju u n 04 l-S 20 O ep 04 ct -D 20 Ja ec 04 n- 2 M 00 A pr ar 2 4 -J 0 Ju u n 05 l-S 20 O ep 05 ct -D 20 ec 05 2 Ja 00 n 5 20 06 Total Number Enrolled SMART Enrollment by Quarter 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Sydney RCC London RCC Copenhagen RCC CPCRA RCC 240 243 250 186 153 170 292 240 942 623 503 547 293 351 195 117 127 S•M•A•R•T Enrollment by Geographic Region 3% 3% 1% 10% 57% North America Europe South America Australia/NZ Asia Africa 26% S•M•A•R•T SMART Study: Enrollment Through 11 January 2006 Number Enrolled Study Main DC VS Total 2720 2752 5472 S•M•A•R•T Baseline Characteristics Patients with data available as of 10 Dec 2005 DC Group Number VS Group Total 2443 2464 4907 Age (years; mean) 46 46 46 Female (%) 25 27 26 Race: Black (%) White (%) Other (%) 30 57 13 32 55 13 31 56 13 Likely mode of infection: Sexual contact, same sex (%) Sexual contact, opposite sex (%) Injection drug use (%) Other/ unknown (%) 53 42 10 8 50 44 10 9 52 43 10 8 S•M•A•R•T Baseline Characteristics Patients with data available as of 10 Dec 2005 DC Group Number VS Group Total IQR 2443 2464 4907 CD4+ (cells/mm3; median) 599 598 598 (466, 792) CD4+ nadir (cells/mm3; median) 253 253 253 (153, 364) HIV RNA ≤ 400 copies/mL (%) 69.8 69.4 69.6 HIV RNA < 1000 copies/mL (%) 74.3 73.9 74.1 4.8 4.8 4.8 Highest log HIV RNA (log copies/mL; median) S•M•A•R•T Baseline Characteristics Patients with data available as of 10 Dec 2005 DC Group VS Group Total Number 2443 2464 4907 Prior AIDS-related illnesses (%) 24.4 23.4 23.9 Hepatitis B co-infection (%) 2.5 2.3 2.4 Hepatitis C co-infection (%) 16.1 14.9 15.5 S•M•A•R•T Baseline Characteristics Patients with data available as of 10 Dec 2005 DC Group VS Group Total Number 2443 2464 4907 ART History ART naïve (%) PI experienced (%) NNRTI experienced (%) On ART at baseline (%) 4.7 68.9 64.6 83.3 5.1 66.5 64.3 82.5 4.9 67.7 64.5 82.9 6 6 6 Time since first prescribed ART (years; median) IQR (3, 8) S•M•A•R•T Distribution of Baseline CD4+ Cell Count 1200 22% No. of Patients 1000 21% 16% 800 12% 600 9% 400 8% 7% 5% 200 0 350+ 450+ 550+ 650+ 750+ 850+ 950+ 1050++ CD4+ Count (cells/mm3) Mean: 661 Median, [ 25th ; 75th ]: 598[ 466 ; 792 ] S•M•A•R•T Distribution of CD4+ Nadir Prior to Enrollment 700 13% No. of Patients 13% 600 11% 11% 500 10% 9% 9% 7% 400 7% 6% 300 4% 200 100 0 0+ 50+ 100+ 150 + 200+ 250+ 300+ 350+ 400+ 450+ 500+ CD4+ Nadir (cells/mm3) Mean: 270 Median, [ 25th ; 75th ]: 253 [ 153 ; 364 ] S•M•A•R•T SMART Statistical Methods • Intent-to-treat • DC versus VS comparisons – Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox’s proportional hazard models used to compare treatment groups for: • Progression to AIDS or death • Survival • Major cardiovascular and metabolic events • Serious disease progression events • Grade 4 events – Data cutoff date used in clinical events analyses: 10 December 2005; at that time 5,007 patients were randomized. S•M•A•R•T Follow-up by Treatment Group Number of follow-up visits missed (%) Number lost to follow-up (%) Median months of follow-up (IQR) DC Group 761 (4.6%) VS Group 1,061 (6.4%) 48 (1.9%) 55 (2.2%) 10 (4,23) 10 (4,23) Average follow-up (months) 14.7 14.7 Total person years through 10 Dec 2005 3062 3077 S•M•A•R•T Hypothetical CD4+ Cell Count Patterns Over Follow-up 600 (a) 500 400 C D 4+ cell co unt300 200 DC Group VS Group 100 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 3 4 5 6 7 3 4 5 6 7 600 (b) 500 400 CD4+ ce ll count 300 200 DC Group VS Group 100 0 0 1 2 600 (c) 500 400 CD4+ ce ll count 300 200 DC Group VS Group 100 0 0 1 2 Ye ar of Follow-up Pos sible Pat terns of C D 4+ C ell C ount s D uring Follow-up f or the D C and VS group: (a) no dif f erenc e in C D 4+ c ell count af ter 5 y ears ; (b) C D 4+ cell c ount in the D C and VS group do not conv erge; and (c ) C D 4+ c ell count great er in the D C t han VS group af ter 5 y ears. For eac h of these pos sible patterns the long-term c linic al implic ations are unc ertain. S•M•A•R•T Confirmed Clinical Events+ - 1 through 10 December 2005 RR (DC/VS) DC Group VS Group N Rate N Rate Progression of disease or death (primary endpoint) 93 3.1 44 1.4 2.15 [1.50, 3.08] <0.0001 Death 47 1.5 29 0.9 1.63 [1.02, 2.58] 0.04 Group I1 events 59 2.0 37 1.2 1.62 [1.07, 2.44] 0.02 Major CVD or metabolic complications2 83 2.9 73 2.5 1.14 [0.83, 1.56] 0.41 + Reviewed [95% CI] P-value and adjudicated by Endpoint Review Committee 1 Fatal or non-fatal MI (reported as supplemental event or diagnosed by ECG), stroke, CAD requiring surgery, kidney failure, cirrhosis. 2 Fatal or non-fatal MI (reported as supplemental event or diagnosed by ECG), CAD requiring drug treatment S•M•A•R•T or an invasive procedure, stroke, myocarditis, pericarditis, diabetes requiring drug treatment, pancreatitis, lactic acidosis, osteonecrosis. Time to Disease Progression or Death Confirmed events through 10 December 2005 S•M•A•R•T Time to Death Events through 10 December 2005 S•M•A•R•T SMART Primary Composite Endpoint (Disease Progression or Death) and Components; Confirmed Events Through 10 Dec Endpoints No. of Patients with Events Progression of Disease or Death Relative Risk (95% CI) 2.2 137 1.6 Death 76 5.8 Serious Progression Event 19 > 2.9 Serious Progression of disease or death 46 1.9 91 0.1 1 ► Other Progression Event Favors DC 10 S•M•A•R•T Favors VS ► Time to Group I Event1 Confirmed events through 10 December 2005 1 Fatal or non-fatal MI (reported as supplemental event or diagnosed by ECG), stroke, CAD requiring surgery, kidney failure, cirrhosis. S•M•A•R•T SMART Group I Events and Components: Confirmed Events Through 10 December Subgroups No. of Patients with Events Relative Risk (95% CI) 1.6 Total 96 1.5 Cardiovascular 78 1.5 Liver 15 2.0 9 0.1 1 ► Renal 10 S•M•A•R•T Favors DC Favors VS ► Confirmed Clinical Events+ - 2 through 10 December 2005 Serious progression of disease1 Serious progression of disease1 or death Grade 4 events Total follow-up time (person-years) RR (DC/VS) DC Group VS Group N Rate N Rate 16 0.5 3 0.1 5.82 [1.68, 20.2] 0.01 59 1.9 32 1.0 1.88 [1.22, 2.90] 0.003 157 5.4 133 4.5 1.19 [0.94, 1.49] 0.15 3062 [95% CI] P-value 3077 + Reviewed and adjudicated by Endpoint Review Committee. 1 Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy, lymphoma, visceral Kaposi’s sarcoma, AIDS dementia S•M•A•R•T complex, toxoplasmosis, histoplasmosis, cryptococcosis, MAC, wasting syndrome, cytomegalovirus disease. Rate of AIDS-related Illnesses through 10 December 2005 AIDS – related event Aspergillosis, invasive Candidiasis, esophageal Candidiasis of bronchi, trachea, or lungs CMV disease Cryptococcosis, extrapulmonary Encephalopathy, HIV-related, stage 2 or higher Herpes simplex Herpes zoster, disseminated Kaposi’s sarcoma Lymphoma TB, pulmonary or extrapulmonary MAC, extrapulmonary PCP Pneumonia, bacterial3 Wasting syndrome due to HIV Patients with any AIDS-related event DC Group Events1 Rate2 0 17 2 1 1 1 3 3 6 4 2 1 6 7 3 54 0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.8 VS Group Events1 Rate2 1 5 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 0 17 0.0 0.2 0 0 0 0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0 0.6 1 One patient may have several illnesses. Each occurrence is counted, but recurrent illnesses of the same type are counted only once. 2 Per 100 person-years. 3 Recurred within 1 year. S•M•A•R•T Causes of Death Deaths through 10 December 2005 Death Classification DC Group Deaths1 % AIDS-related Hepatic complications Pancreatic/ GI complications Cancer, excluding AIDS-related Cardiovascular complications Violent/ Accident Other, none of the above2 Unknown 3 3 1 7 11 9 6 9 Total number of deaths 47 100.0 1 2 6.4 6.4 2.1 14.9 23.4 19.1 12.8 19.1 VS Group Deaths1 % 1 4 0 5 10 9 2 2 3.4 13.8 0 17.2 34.5 31.0 6.9 6.9 29 100.0 Patients may have multiple causes of death. Other includes the following causes: DC (cerebral empyema, renal failure – 2 patients, ARDS/septic shock, bacterial meningitis, COPD/pneumonia) and VS (intra-abdominal sepsis/multi-organ failure, pneumonia). S•M•A•R•T Progression of Disease or Death by Baseline CD4+ Confirmed Events Through 10 December 2005 % of patients CD4+ (cells in subper mm3) group DC Group VS Group Events Rate1 Events Rate1 RR2 (DC/VS) [95%CI] P-Value2 for RR P-Value3 Interaction 0.07 350 - 449 0.30 21.7 21 3.36 17 2.40 1.4 [0.7,2.7] 450 - 549 20.4 23 3.80 6 0.96 4.0 [1.6,9.9] <0.005 550 - 649 15.5 14 3.03 6 1.29 2.4 [0.9,6.2] 0.08 ≥ 650 42.5 35 2.67 15 1.19 2.3 [1.2,4.1] 0.01 1 Per 100 person-years, time to first event. proportional hazards model within subgroup 3 Subgroup by treatment group interaction, Cox proportional hazards model 2 Cox S•M•A•R•T Progression of Disease or Death for Baseline CD4+ Subgroups Subgroups Total No. of Patients with Events Relative Risk (95% CI) 2.2 137 CD4 (cells/mm3) 1.4 350 - 449 38 4.0 450 - 549 29 2.4 ≥ 650 20 2.3 50 0.1 1 ► 550 - 649 10 S•M•A•R•T Favors DC Favors VS ► Progression of Disease or Death by Nadir CD4+ Confirmed Events Through 10 December 2005 Nadir CD4+ (cells per mm3) % of patients in subgroup DC Group VS Group Events Rate1 Events Rate1 RR2 (DC/VS) [95%CI] P-Value2 for RR P-Value3 Interaction 0.42 < 100 16.4 18 3.64 6 1.13 3.2 [1.3,8.2] 0.01 100-199 18.4 16 2.79 10 1.98 1.4 [0.6,3.1] 0.38 200-299 25.6 21 3.09 11 1.40 2.2 [1.1,4.6] 0.03 300-399 20.0 25 4.09 11 1.84 2.1 [1.1,4.4] 0.04 ≥ 400 19.5 13 2.01 6 0.93 2.1 [0.8,5.6] 0.13 1 Per 100 person-years, time to first event. proportional hazards model within subgroup 3 Subgroup by treatment group interaction, Cox proportional hazards model 2 Cox S•M•A•R•T Progression of Disease or Death for Nadir CD4+ Subgroups Subgroups No. of Patients with Events Relative Risk (95% CI) 2.2 Total 137 Nadir CD4 (cells/mm3) 24 1.4 100 – 199 26 200 – 299 32 300 – 399 36 ≥ 400 19 2.2 2.1 2.1 0.1 1 ► < 100 3.2 10 S•M•A•R•T Favors DC Favors VS ► Progression of Disease or Death by Baseline Viral Load for those on ART Confirmed Events Through 10 December 2005 HIV RNA (copies/mL) % of patients in subgroup DC Group VS Group Events Rate1 Events Rate1 RR2 (DC/VS) [95%CI] P-Value2 for RR P-Value3 Interaction <0.01 ≤ 400 81.7 55 3.02 17 0.94 3.2 [1.9,5.6] <0.005 > 400 18.3 19 3.04 18 2.85 1.1 [0.6,2.0] 0.87 1 Per 100 person-years, time to first event. proportional hazards model within subgroup 3 Subgroup by treatment group interaction, Cox proportional hazards model 2 Cox S•M•A•R•T Progression of Disease or Death for Baseline HIV RNA Subgroups among Those Taking ART Subgroups No. of Patients with Events Relative Risk (95% CI) 2.2 Total 137 HIV RNA (copies/ mL) (only patients on ART at baseline) ≤ 400 3.2 72 1.1 37 0.1 1 ► > 400 10 S•M•A•R•T Favors DC Favors VS ► Percent of Patients on ART at each Month of Follow-up and Treatment Group S•M•A•R•T CD4+ Change from Baseline, Mean + 2SE (in cells/mm3) by Month of Follow-up and Treatment Group S•M•A•R•T Hypothetical CD4+ Cell Count Patterns Over Follow-up 600 (a) 500 400 C D 4+ cell co unt300 200 DC Group VS Group 100 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 3 4 5 6 7 3 4 5 6 7 600 (b) 500 400 CD4+ ce ll count 300 200 DC Group VS Group 100 0 0 1 2 600 (c) 500 400 CD4+ ce ll count 300 200 DC Group VS Group 100 0 0 1 2 Ye ar of Follow-up Pos sible Pat terns of C D 4+ C ell C ount s D uring Follow-up f or the D C and VS group: (a) no dif f erenc e in C D 4+ c ell count af ter 5 y ears ; (b) C D 4+ cell c ount in the D C and VS group do not conv erge; and (c ) C D 4+ c ell count great er in the D C t han VS group af ter 5 y ears. For eac h of these pos sible patterns the long-term c linic al implic ations are unc ertain. S•M•A•R•T Percent with HIV RNA ≤ 400 copies/mL by Month of Follow-up and Treatment Group S•M•A•R•T Summary - 1 • There is an increased risk in the DC group compared to the VS group of: –Progression to AIDS, including death –Death –Serious disease progression events –Major cardiovascular, renal and liver events S•M•A•R•T Summary - 2 • The increased risk of the DC group compared to the VS group did not differ according to subgroups defined by baseline and nadir CD4+ cell count. • For the subgroup of patients who entered with a viral load < 400 copies/mL on treatment, risk of progression was over 3fold higher in the DC group compared to the VS group. • For other subgroups examined, risk was always greater in the DC group than the VS group. S•M•A•R•T Conclusion of the SMART executive committee Episodic use of ART based on CD4+ cell count levels as per the SMART study design is inferior to continuous ART for the management of treatment experienced patients and thus should not be routinely recommended. S•M•A•R•T Questions: • Do you agree with the conclusion of the executive committee? S•M•A•R•T Questions: • Do you agree with the DSMB's recommendation to: (a) stop enrolment? (b) consider changing the therapy for patients in the DC arm? S•M•A•R•T Questions: • Given that the relative risks between the 2 arms change over time, how should patients who are 1 year into the study be managed? At 2 years? 3 years? S•M•A•R•T Questions: • Can the original question (long term comparison) still be answered by, say, redesigning the study? • If so, how? Any suggestions? S•M•A•R•T SMART Baseline CVD Risk factors (to Nov 2005) Current smoker 41.8 % Diabetes mellitus 7.6 % Prior MI 1.8 % Prior stroke 1.6 % Peripheral vascular disease 1.7 % S•M•A•R•T SMART Baseline CVD Risk (cont.) Major ECG abnormalities 7.9 % Coronary artery disease 2.8 % Congestive heart failure 0.9 % Antihypertensive drugs 20.3 % Cholesterol >= 240 or lipid lowering drugs 23.3 % S•M•A•R•T NIAID Stops Intermittent HAART Trial Reuters Health Information 2006. © 2006 Reuters Ltd. NEW YORK (Reuters Health) Jan 18 - The National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases has halted enrollment in a large international trial comparing continuous highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) with intermittent therapy, guided by CD4+ cell counts. The trial, known as Strategies for Management of Antiretroviral therapy (SMART), quickly showed that patients do better on continuous HAART, according to a statement released by the NIAID on Wednesday. Patients in the intermittent arm had twice the risk of dying or progressing to AIDS. "Furthermore, there was an increase in major complications such as cardiovascular, kidney and liver diseases in the participants on the drug conservation arm," the statement continued. "These complications have been associated with (HAART), and it was hoped that they would be seen less frequently in those patients receiving less drug," it added. S•M•A•R•T NIAID Stops Intermittent HAART Trial (Continued) "We were surprised to learn that in the short-term, episodic antiretroviral therapy carries such an increased risk without evidence of sparing patients the known side effects associated with ART," said coinvestigator Dr. Wafaa El-Sadr of the Harlem Hospital Center and Columbia University in New York. The patients in the drug-sparing arm stopped treatment when CD4+ counts reached 350 cells per microliter and resumed treatment when CD4+ counts dropped below 250 cells per microliter. When the trial was stopped, it had enrolled 5472 of a target of 6000 patients at 318 clinical sites in 33 countries. The trial was halted January 11, 2006 after an average follow-up of 15 months. S•M•A•R•T