Transcript FEEM PPT Template

CASES – Cost Assessment for
Sustainable Energy Systems
Outline of the presentation
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What is CASES
Context
Objectives
Expected results
Interactions with other projects
The actors
Organisation of work
Work plan
Description of Work Packages
Description of dissemination activities
Cost Assessment for Sustainable Energy Systems
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What is CASES
CASES is the acronyms of ‘Cost assessment of
sustainable energy costs’, which is an European
Commission funded Coordination Action.
A Coordination Action:
aims at promoting and supporting the coordination,
cooperation or networking of a range of research and
innovation projects or operators for a specific
objective, normally to achieve improved integration
and coordination of European research for a fixed
period of time.
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Context
 While effort has been devoted in recent years to the estimation of the
external costs of energy, more attention is now being paid to the
examination of both the private and external costs in one framework.
 Energy policy making is concerned with both the supply side and the
demand side of energy provision.
 The geographical dimension is also important since environmental
damage from energy production crosses national borders.
 Costs are dynamic: the private costs and the external costs are
changing with time, as technologies develop, knowledge about impacts
of energy use on the environment increases and individual preferences
for certain environmental and other values change.
 The least well and least systematically covered area of external cost is
the one related to energy security.
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Objectives
CASES aims to evaluate policy options for improving the efficiency
of energy use, underpinning this evaluation with a consistent and
comprehensive picture of the full cost of energy, and to make this
crucial knowledge available to all stakeholders.
Detailed Objectives
1. To compile estimates of full costs of the use of different energy
sources in EU and selected other countries under agreed energy
scenarios to 2030.
2. To use resulting datasets to undertake comparative cost
assessments of introducing alternative policy options over the time
period.
3. To disseminate research findings to energy producers and users
and to the policy makers.
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Expected results
Objective One will produce:
 Best predictions about the evolution of the private costs of
major technologies for generating energy from different sources
over the next 25 years.
 Best estimates of the major environmental external costs of
different types of energy in different countries and how will these
change in the next 25 years.
 Best estimates of the major energy security related external
costs of different types of energy in different countries and of
their changes in the next 25 years.
 Best estimates of the likely prices of major sources of energy
over the next 25 years.
 Determination of the greatest uncertainties and of the most
relevant research directions for the future.
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Expected results
Objective Two will produce comparative assessments of :
 the investment and operational costs of different energy options
taking account of only private costs and taking account of
private plus external costs. This assessment is dynamic and will
provide the implications of different levels of internalisation on
the investment decisions and on key social indicators.
 the impacts of the use of different methods of decision-making
on the selection of projects - e.g. cost-benefit analysis with
‘externality adders’ versus multi-criteria decision analysis tools.
 the implications of different taxes/charges on energy and/or on
emissions on (a) the degree of internalisation and (b) the
comparative cost comparisons, now and over time.
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Expected results
Objective Three will produce:
 An interactive web site for the dissemination of
project related information (partnership, activities and
results, reports and deliverables, useful policy
documentation, etc).
 An electronic mailing list to ensure prompt, updated
and easy communication on project news.
 Two stakeholders workshops and a final conference
organised to present main results of the project.
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Interaction with other projects
 This Coordinated Action builds on the formidable amount of
research produced by several projects, focused to measure the
full costs of the use of different energy sources such as fossil
fuels, nuclear energy and renewable energy sources.
 CASES will interact with other projects to assess: energy
scenarios, external costs and private costs.
Former and current projects related to CASES:
 Projects focused on External Costs of Energy:
ExternE, NewExt, ExternE-Pol, DIEM, ECOSIT, INDES,
MAXIMA.
 Project focused on both the private and external costs: NEEDS.
 Projects focused on energy scenarios: Primes, Poles, NEEDS.
 Projects producing national energy models for non EC
countries: Markal (India), AIM (India), IPAC (China).
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Partners
 The Consortium of the CASES’s Co-ordination Action is composed
by twenty-six partners established in twenty States.
FEEM
ISIS
UBATH
NTUA
USTUTT/IER
UFLENS
VITO
CEPS
RISOE
OME
ECN
VU/IVM
WU
IT
IT
UK
GR
DE
DE
BE
BE
DK
FR
NL
NL
NL
CIEMAT
ES
SEI
SE
UWARS
PL
CUEC
CZ
LEI
LT
EAP
BG
TUBITAK
TR
SWECO
NO
ECON
NO
PSI
CH
IIMA
IN
ERI
CHN
COPPETEC
BR
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Organisation of work
Scenarios
WP1
COSTS
WP4 Private costs
WP12 Uncertainty
External costs
WP2 Human related external costs
WP3 Non human related external costs
WP5 Energy security
WP12 Uncertainty
Cordiantion and management
WP13
Internal costs
EU national level cost estimates
WP6
POLICY
Non-EU national level cost estimates
WP7
Assessment of policy instruments to
internalize environment related external
costs
Assessment
methods
DISSEMINATION
WP11
WP8 EU Member States, non-renewables
WP9 EU Member States, renewables
WP10 non-EU Member States
Cost Assessment
for Sustainable Energy Systems
Dissemination
Stakeholders
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Work plan
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WP1 – Electricity scenarios
WP1 objective
Provide electricity scenarios up to 2030 for EU-25 countries,
Bulgaria, Turkey, Brazil, India and China.
WP1 partners
 OME – France (coordinator).
 ECON – Norway, FEEM – Italy, EAP – Bulgaria, TUBITAK – Turkey,
COPPETEC – Brazil, IIMA – India, ERI – China.
WP1 description of work
Parameters having direct
influence on the evolution
of electricity demand.
Energy policy and other drivers
for power supply options.
Cost Assessment for Sustainable Energy Systems
Electricity scenarios
by country and
primary fuel for
2010, 2020, 2030.
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WP2 – Human Health Related External Costs
WP2 objectives
 Collection of life cycle emissions for state-of-the-art conversion
technologies.
 Description of methodology for external costs estimation (human
health, materials, crops) and Including methodologies for other areas
(eutrophication, acidification, land use change, climate change) into
framework and tools.
 Calculation of marginal costs for state-of-the-art technologies.
 Organisation of a joint WP2-7 stakeholder workshop.
WP2 partners
 USTUTT/IER – Germany, (Coordinator).
 PSI – Switzerland, ISIS – Italy, COPPETEC – Brasil, IIMA – India, ERI
– China, EAP – Bulgaria, TUBITAK – Turkey.
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WP2 – Human Health Related External Costs
WP2 description of work
 Task 2.1: to identify and describe the pressures to the environment
stemming from the latest state-of-the-art energy conversion
technologies.
 Task 2.2: to describe the current state-of-the-art methodology to
estimate external costs.
 Task 2.3: to incorporate the methodology to cover land use change,
acidification and eutrophication, visual intrusion and climate change into
the methodology to generate external cost estimates and into the
ECOSENSE tool to calculate marginal external costs.
 Task 2.4: to demonstrate the application of the methodology, by
estimating external costs for the different technologies at specific sites
in Germany.
 Task 2.5: to organise a joint WPs 2-7 workshop for stakeholders, to
discuss the methodology to calculate external and private costs and the
results for selected sites.
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WP2 – Human Health Related External Costs
EcoSense Flowchart
Impact
Assessment
Valuation
primary pollutants,
local scale
Concentration /
Deposition
fields
WTM
primary pollutants
and acid species,
regional scale
Receptor
distribution
- population
- crop yield
- building materials
SROM
Ozone formation,
Regional scale
Cost Assessment for Sustainable Energy Systems
Physical impacts
(e.g.
increased mortality,
crop losses)
Monetary
unit values
Environmental damage
costs
Local Model
Dose-effect models
Emissions (NOx, SO2, NH3, NMVOC,
primary particles...) according to
• Source
• Location
Emission Air Quality
inventory Modelling
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WP3 – Non human health related environmental costs
WP3 objectives
 To update the estimates of non-human health related
environmental costs of different energy sources
based on life cycle impacts for EU and non-EU
countries with specific attention to ‘new impacts’
(acidification, eutrophication and visual intrusion).
 To discuss and confirm ranges of estimates of
environmental costs with representatives of industry.
WP3 partners
 VU-IVM – Holland (Coordinator).
 Sweco Grøner – Norway and WU – Holland.
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WP3 – Non human health related environmental costs
WP3 description of work
 This WP provides a critical review and updates external
cost estimates of energy-related impacts on land use
change, acidification, eutrophication, visual intrusion and
climate change across Europe and for selected non-EU
countries.
 Jointly with WP2 and WPs4-7, research findings are
presented and discussed in a stakeholder workshop.
Results on land use change, acidification, eutrophication,
visual intrusion and climate change are shared with the
coordinator of WP2 to be included in the ECOSENSE
model.
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WP 4 – Private Costs
WP4 objectives
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Overview of existing heating technologies and electricity generation
plants in previous studies.
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Updating to the state-of-the-art technologies and extending with
technologies under development.
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Determination of the levelised lifetime cost of the heat and electricity
generation technologies.
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Accomplishment of some sensitivity analysis for different load factors,
workers’ salaries and annual energy production.
WP4 partners
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USTUTT/IER – Germany (WP coordinator).
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VITO – Belgium, COPPETEC – Brasil, IIMA – India, ERI – China, EAP
– Bulgaria, TUBITAK – Turkey.
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WP5 – Externalities of Energy Security
WP5 objectives
 To derive estimates of externalities related to energy supply insecurities
for EU and other selected countries.
 To use estimates of externality costs in policy assessment of measures
addressing energy security in the EU and other selected countries.
WP5 partners
 UBath – United Kingdom (Coordinator).
 ECN – Holland and CEPS – Belgium.
WP5 description of work
 Review and updating of existing estimates of external costs of energy
insecurity for primary fuels.
 Review of current estimates of values of loss of load (VOLLs) of
electricity for EU and other selected countries.
 Assessment of the policy options to reduce - and insure against - the
costs of energy insecurity, by comparing costs of a number of policy
options with the benefits in terms of reduced energy insecurity.
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WP 6 – National Level Estimates of Energy Costs in EU Countries
WP6 objectives
 To develop a consistent set of national level full costs estimates
for the 25 EU countries for different energy sources.
 To develop a comparative full cost assessment and a
consistency analysis of the set of national level full costs
estimates.
WP6 partners
 FEEM – Italy (WP coordinator).
 VITO – Belgium, USTUTT/IER - Germany, UWARS - Poland, LEI
– Lithuania, CIEMAT – Spain, SEI - Swede, CUEC – Czech
Republic, NTUA – Greek.
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WP 6 – National Level Estimates of Energy Costs in EU Countries
New investigations
WP2
WP3
WP4
Private costs Human health
Non-human
of energy related external health related
production
costs
external costs
WP5
Costs of
energy
security
WP1 Time dimension
WP6
Complete
cost datasets.
Fill in data gaps.
Calculate full (private +
external) cost
for different energy sources.
Compare full cost across countries.
Compare
fullforcost
composition.
Cost Assessment
Sustainable
Energy Systems
WP12 Uncertainty dimension
Existing literature
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WP7 – National Level Estimates of Energy Costs in Non EU Countries
WP7 objectives
 Develop a methodological framework for the extraction of private and social
costs of energy fuel cycles in a set of non EU countries.
 Derive new insights into the costs of fuel cycles in EU as compared to the
group of non EU countries.
 The group on non EU collaboration countries: Brazil, Bulgaria, China, India
and Turkey.
WP7 partners
 RISOE, Risoe National Laboratory (WP coordinator).
 COPPETEC – Brasil, IIMA – India, ERI – China, EAP – Bulgaria, TUBITAK –
Turkey.
WP7 description of work
Estimates of private and social costs
 Twenty–five years’ time frame
 Based on available fuel cycle cost assessments for the collaboration
countries.
 Two fuel cycles in each country
 Special focus on social costs of human health impacts from pollution
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WP8 – Assessment of policy instruments to internalise environment-related
external costs in EU Member States, excluding renewables
WP8 objectives
 Comparative assessment of investment and operational costs of
different energy options taking account of only private costs and taking
account of private plus external costs.
 Impact of the use of different methods of decision-making on the
selection of projects - e.g. cost-benefit analysis with ‘externality adders’
versus multi-criteria decision analysis tools.
 Implications of different taxes/charges on energy and/or on emissions on
(a) the degree of internalisation and (b) the comparative cost comparisons,
now and in the future.
 Implications of different policies to reduce energy insecurity on (a) the
degree to which energy security concerns are internalised and (b) the
comparative costs of different energy sources, now and over time.
 Comparison of the effectiveness of emissions trading instruments for
internalising externalities versus the use of externality based taxes.
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WP8 – Assessment of policy instruments to internalise environment-related
external costs in EU Member States, excluding renewables
WP8 partners
 VITO - Belgium (WP coordinator).
 FEEM - Italy, NTUA – Greek, ISIS – Italy, PSI – Switzerland.
WP8 description of work
 Task 8.1: Synopsis of all relevant policy instruments for non-renewable energy
sources and systems used by EU Member States.
 Task 8.2: Analysis of the extent to which different policy instruments succeed to
internalise external costs of fossil fuels and nuclear energy with reference to
2010, 2020, 2030 scenarios of energy use provided by WP1.
 Task 8.3: Analysis of policy linkages for fossil fuels use reduction and GHG
emissions trading regimes.
 Task 8.4: Development of suggestions for an integrated EU policy and to
improve the instruments to achieve an extensive internalisation of the external
costs of the use of fossil fuels and nuclear energy. An analysis of the hidden
costs of the implementation of different policy instruments for internalisation of
external costs of fossil fuels and nuclear energy is carried out.
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WP9 – Policy Assessment of Instruments to Internalise Environment Related
External Costs in EU Member States, via Promotion of Renewables
WP9 objectives
 Provide overview of instruments used to stimulate the use of
renewables.
 Compare different instruments with respect to degree of
internalisation achieved.
 Analyse social and fiscal implication of different instruments
especially on poor and vulnerable groups.
 Suggest modifications to minimize negative and maximise
positive impacts.
 Analyse hidden costs of implementation.
 Investigate stakeholder preferences.
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WP9 – Policy Assessment of Instruments to Internalise Environment Related
External Costs in EU Member States, via Promotion of Renewables
WP9 partners

UFLENS – Germany (WP coordinator).
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FEEM – Italy, NTUA – Greek, RISOE – Denmark.
WP9 description of work

Synopsis of all relevant policy instruments.
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Analysis of extent of success of internalisation and of future
success 2010, 2020, 2030.

Analysis of linkages between Renewable Energy policies and
GHG emissions trading.
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Analysis of social and fiscal implications.
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Development of suggestions to improve policy measures and
for an integrated EU policy.
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Analysis of the hidden costs of implementation.
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WP10 – Assessment of policy instruments to internalise
environment-related external costs in non-EU Member States
WP 10 objectives
 To assess policy instruments to internalise externalities in non EU Member
States, via promotion of renewables, focusing on Turkey, Bulgaria, India,
China and Brazil.
 To investigate stakeholders preferences for policy instruments to promote
renewable energy sources through Stakeholders Workshop 2.
WP 10 partners
 UBATH – United Kingdom (WP coordinator).
 NTUA - Greek, COPPETEC – Brasil, IIMA – India, ERI – China, EAP –
Bulgaria, TUBITAK – Turkey.
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WP10 – Assessment of policy instruments to internalise
environment-related external costs in non-EU Member States
WP 10 description of work
 Task 10.1: Synopsis of policy instruments for the promotion of renewables in non-EU
Countries.
 Task 10.2: Comparison of instruments used in non-EU Countries with those used in
EU-Countries for the internalisation of externalities in the production of energy.
 Task 10.3: Analysis of the extent to which different policy instruments succeed in
internalising the net external benefits of renewables in year 2010, 2020, 2030.
 Task 10.4: Analysis of the social and fiscal implications of different internalisation
instruments, focusing on the impacts on the most vulnerable groups in society and
on the fiscal burdens created by some instruments working through positive incentive
schemes on the basis of government payments.
 Task 10.5: Suggestions to reduce negative social and fiscal impacts of instruments
while increasing their power to achieve an extensive internalisation; analysis of the
hidden costs of the implementation of different policy instruments for the
internalisation of net external benefits of renewables.
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WP11 – Methods of assessment
WP11 objectives
 To perform a comparative analysis of policy assessment methods and
identify common grounds and linkages.
 To provide guidelines for the dynamic implementation of policy
assessment methods.
 To provide tools and support for implementing methods in WPs 8-10 with
the involvement of energy suppliers and other stakeholders.
 To estimate implied monetary equivalents for non-monetised impacts.
WP11 partners
 NTUA – Greek (WP coordinator).
 UBATH – United Kingdom, VITO - Belgium, UFLENS – Germany.
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WP11 – Methods of assessment
WP11 description of work
 Task 11.1: to review Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA), Cost Effectiveness Analysis
(CEA), Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) techniques/tools and successful
applications in energy and environmental policy making.
 Task 11.2: to set up guidelines for using CBA, CEA and MCDA in policy assessment,
with emphasis on integrating dynamic aspects in multi-criteria assessment.
 Task 11.3: to set up tools for implementing assessment methods in an interactive
and dynamic way.
 Task 11.4: to extend and improve the methodology for deriving monetary equivalents
for non-monetised impacts through individual preferences elicited in MCDA.
 Task 11.5: to organise a seminar for WPs 8-10 partners.
 Task 11.6: to adapt the tools to the specific context and data of WPs 8-10, testing the
tools through electronic communication and in partners meetings.
 Task 11.7: to participate in stakeholders workshop 2 and to elaborate results
providing policy input.
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WP12 – Uncertainties
WP12 objectives
 To evaluate the uncertainties of the costs (both private and external)
estimated in this project.
 To evaluate the effect of these uncertainties on policy decisions and the
social costs if the wrong policy choices are made because of errors or
uncertainties in the estimation of the costs estimated in this project.
 To evaluate the benefit of reducing the uncertainties by further research .
WP12 partners:
 ECN – Holland (WP coordinator) and FEEM – Italy.
Description of work
 Task 12.1: to review, update and complete the estimation of uncertainties.
 Task 12.2: to assess the effect of the uncertainties on different levels of
internalisation.
 Task 12.3: to evaluate effect of uncertainties on energy choices.
 Task 12.4: to evaluate benefit of reducing the uncertainties by further research.
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WP13 – Management and Coordination
WP13 objectives
 To ensure the efficient co-ordination and management of the project, both
in terms of scientific co-ordination and administrative management;
 To review and assess project results and progress towards the objectives;
 To carry out full communication and dissemination on the project activities
and findings.
WP13 partners
 FEEM – Italy (project coordinator)
 UBATH – United Kingdom (deputy coordinator)
Description of work
 Task 13.1: Project management and coordination activities
 Task 13.2: Project review and assessment
 Task 13.3: Project communication and dissemination activities
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Description of dissemination activities

Dissemination of research outputs is a key objective to maximize the impact of
the project activities.
 The dissemination strategy will be implemented through a range of means to
reach the highest number of end-users.
 Target: EU/international research community, policy sphere, business, public at
large.
Dissemination means
 Interactive web site http://www.feem-project.net/cases/
– Electronic Mailing List and Electronic Newsletter
 Project events
– 2 Stakeholders Workshops and the Final Conference
 Other conferences and workshops, seminars
 Publications
– FEEM Working Paper series
– Peer-reviewed scientific journals
– Book
Cost Assessment for Sustainable Energy Systems
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