Transcript Front cover
June 2006 ATF Highlights ATF is the 4th largest bank in Kazakhstan by assets (assets reached USD 2.7bn in 2005) Network of over 60 full branches and other servicing outlets, covering Kazakhstan, neighbouring Kyrgyzstan and the Omsk region of Russia Balanced business focus: Corporate, SMEs and Retail Banking High and stable profitability over the last 10 years Rating of Ba1/ stable by Moody’s, B+/ stable by S&P and BB-/stable by Fitch Top quality management team with proven track record and international experience Strong gain in market share in 2003-2005 (reached 8% in 2005) 1 ATF Bank vs other Banks in Kazakhstan Asset growth… Growth % 31 Dec 2003 31 Dec 2004 31 Dec 2005 Kazakhstan banks 46% 60% 68% Top 10 52% 64% 72% ATFBank 64% 82% 106% thousand KZT 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 Kazakhst an banks TOP 10 01/ 01/ 2005 ATFBank 01/ 01/ 2006 Source: FMSA 2 ATF Bank Among its Peers Kazakh banks by assets, as of 1 Jan 2006 (thousand KZT) Bank VTB 2% Eurasian 2% Other 10% KKB 25% NURBank 3% Caspian 3% BCC 7% Alliance 7% ATF 8% BTA 21% Halyk 12% 1 Jan 2005 1 Jan 2006 Growth Amount % 1 KKB 656,381 1,131,763 475,382 72% 2 BTA 613,224 963,653 350,429 57% 3 Halyk Bank 398,186 558,455 160,269 40% 4 ATFBank 173,902 359,069 185,167 106% 5 Alliance Bank 120,299 336,956 216,657 180% 6 BCC 148,511 333,332 184,821 124% 7 Bank Caspian 80,032 150,157 70,125 88% 8 NURBank 89,644 121,813 32,169 36% 9 Eurasian Bank 78,068 105,163 27,095 35% 10 VTB 50,035 78,784 28,749 57% 281,482 460,627 179,145 64% Other Source: FMSA 3 ATF Branch Network Network of over 60 full branches and servicing outlets located throughout Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Omsk region of Russia ATF will open over 30 new branches during 2006 KYRGYZSTAN 4 1. Operating Environment 5 Kazakhstan: Best Performing Economy in the CIS Stable Environment Annual GDP growth from 2002-2005: 9.3% Strong GDP Growth (%) 9,5 9,2 9,4 9,4 2002 2003 2004 2005 7,3 7,1 6,4 5,2 Estimated GDP in 2005: USD 56.2bln (9.4%) 4,3 4,1 3,7 4,3 4,7 3,0 1,3 0,7 Inflation (CPI) decreased from 17.3% in 1999 to 7.7% in 2005 Gold and foreign currency reserves (including National Oil Fund) reached USD 15.3bn in 2005 Kazakhstan (Baa3/BBB-) Mexico (Baa1/BBB) Croatia (Baa3/BBB) Russia (Baa2/BBB) Source: National Bank of Kazakhstan,Economist Intelligence Unit, Mexican National Statistics Unit, Rosstat, Croatian CBS Stabilizing Inflation Stable political environment Enormous base of natural resources 1st sovereign investment grade rating in the CIS 10,0 15,0 10,4 9,8 6,0 6,8 6,4 4,0 0,0 20,0 Inflation (CPI) (%) - RHS 17,3 8,0 2,0 Source: Statistics Agency of the Republic of Kazakhstan Reserves (USD bn) - LHS 12,0 6,6 9,1 6.7 7,7 2,0 2,1 2,5 1999 2000 2001 3,1 5,0 2002 2003 10,0 5,0 0,0 2004 2005 Source: National Bank of Kazakhstan 6 The Most Advanced Banking Sector in the CIS Strong Sector Growth Banking Assets as a % of GDP No of Banks 80% 30 20% 0% 12% 15% 17% 31% 39% 48% 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 20 62% 10 0 2005 Source: National Bank of Kazakhstan Banking Assets / GDP in 2005 105% 68% 67% 62% 45% Russia 80% Kazakhstan Rapidly developing insurance market Total premiums in 2005: USD 520mn (up 68% yoy) 40 40% Brazil Growing Insurance Market 50 35 44 Estonia Developed Pension System Most successful pension reform in CIS 14 pension funds with total assets of USD 5bn (around 9% of GDP) Most of the funds invested domestically (T-bills, banks etc) 48 Czech R. Advanced Banking System Most developed banking system in the CIS with total assets of USD 35bn (up 68% in 2005) Market consolidation is progressing with 6 largest banks having around 80% of total banking assets Deposit Insurance Fund since 1999 created strong stimulus for deposits 35 38 60% 60 34 55 Poland Strong and Independent Regulator Tight controls and regulations ensure only strongest banks survive Consolidated supervision: FMSA Local regulations regime to be harmonized with EU standards by 2007 Source: National Bank of Kazakhstan 7 2. Business Profile and Strategy 8 Business Overview 10 years of Confident Growth ATF was established in 1995 and developed into the 4th largest bank in Kazakhstan (8% of total banking assets as of 31 Dec 2005) Core business: Corporate, SMEs and Retail Banking Focus on top tier domestic corporates, SMEs, middle class and higher net worth individuals Strong position in export oriented industries Engaged in lending, deposits, trade finance, cash management, custodian services, commercial FX, securities trading, insurance and leasing 31.12.2004 Highlights, USD Total Assets: 1,338mn Net Loans: 862mn Deposits: 529mn Equity: 140mn Net Income: 17mn Capital Adequacy: 11.10% Tier 1: 9.6% 31.12.2005 Highlights, USD Total Assets: 2,680mn Experienced management team with senior managers formerly employed by international banks Net Loans: 1,828mn Strong focus on growth, including acquisitions, both domestically and in CIS Net Income: Deposits: 871mn Equity: 206mn 31mn Capital Adequacy: 12.43% Tier 1: 8.3% 9 Current Ownership Structure A supportive shareholder base The Bank of New York, ADRs 23,10% Others (each less than 5%) 34,72% LLC Rink Invest 19,21% JSC Pention Fund "BTA KirmetKazakhstan" 5,02% "KMC "AstanaMotors" LLP JSC Olzha 5,0% 6,93% Historically, shareholders always support the bank’s development and growth No interference with operational management and lending JSC Pension Fund of Halyk Bank Kazakhstan 4,8% Represents common shares only * Data is prepared as at 31 December 2005 10 Group Structure Continuously Expanding: diversified business structure ATF Bank 100.0% ATF Policy Insurance Company Assets: USD 41.4 mln Capital: USD 8.6 mln 100.0% SibirBank Commercial Bank in the Russian Federation Assets: USD 2.1 mln Capital: USD 0.5 mln 7.84% market share in Kazakhstan (in terms of premium) 73.9% EnergoBank Commercial Bank in Kyrgyzstan 24.3% 9.0% National Pension Fund Otan ATF Leasing Pension Fund Leasing Assets: USD 24 mln Capital: USD 5.4 mln Pension Assets: USD 94.4 mln Capital: USD 3.7 mln Assets: USD 14.3 mln Capital: USD 3.5 mln 6th largest bank in Kyrgyzstan 1.95% share of the pension market in Kazakhstan 8% market share in Kazakhstan *All figures as at 31 December 2005 11 Business Strategy Continuously strengthening its position in Kazakhstan… ATF’s growing market share Dec2002 Dec2003 Dec2004 9% Dec2005 8,40% 8,00% 8% 6,90% 7% 6% 6,50% 5,70% 6,20% 6,90% 6,00% 5,70% 5,10% 5,70% 4,90% 5% 6,60% 5,70% 4,60% 4,10% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Assets Capital Loans Deposits All figures as of 1 Jan of each year 12 Strategy Implementation Expanding while maintaining quality and efficiency Current Status Future Strategy Expand banking and other financial services Market share: reached 8% of total banking sector assets Increased its stake to 73.9% in Kyrgyz EnergoBank and fully acquired SibirBank in the Russian Federation Product mix targets corporates, SMEs and high net worth individuals Nation-wide brand recognition (brand re-positioning in 2004-2005) Targeting 10-15% market share by 2008 (through both organic growth and potential acquisition of a Top-10 bank) Further expansion in Kazakhstan and building significant presence in Russia, Kyrgyzstan and Ukraine Enhancing product range (incl. leases, private banking, advisory and other commission business, cross-selling) Higher exposure to growing sectors (telecom, food/beverages, retail trade) Diversifying and strengthening funding base Able to tap syndicated lending and Eurobond markets as well as the local liquidity supply Continued support from shareholders EBRD long-term funding or minority stake transaction Reduce costs of funding Seeking liquidity in new markets (e.g. Middle East markets) Full utilization of pension fund limits 13 Strategy Implementation (cont’d) Expanding while maintaining quality and efficiency Current Status Future Strategy Strengthening risk management Risk management capabilities demonstrated by rapid growth with no material increase in NPLs Experienced credit risk managers who directly report to the Head Office, are stationed at each branch and have veto power Ability to manage risks associated with acquisitions Industry exposures and positions limits monitored daily Institution-wide new banking software project in 2005-07 (budget: USD 15 mn) Improved reporting and control system to reduce operational risks Move to internal rating system in credit analysis, in line with Basle II Developing group-wide corporate governance and RM procedures Considering “RM Twinning” project with western financial institution Enhancing operating efficiency Implementing a matrix business and reporting structure Multi-level credit risk authorization Performance-based incentive schemes for commercial staff Investment in human resources Moving to RAROC benchmarking by business area Further standardization of operations throughout the bank network Centralized data processing to focus branches on product sales (IT project) 14 3. Lending and Asset Quality 15 Strong Growth Driven by Core Business ...reflects a successful implementation of strategy Total Asset Growth Dynamics 3500 Cash & Equivalents Loans Securities Other USD million 3000 2,680 2500 2000 1,338 1500 1000 500 662 374 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 Growth: 2002 2003 2004 2005 Loans 40% 88% 106% 112% Securities 91% 69% 64% 63% Total Assets 44% 77% 102% 100% 16 Well Diversified Loan Portfolio In 2005 ATF’s loan portfolio grew by 112 % Customer Loans by Type of Borrower Customer Loans by Sector Wholesale trading 18.3% Other 35.4% 2004 Corporates 92% 89% Individuals 14.5% Oil & Gas 2,7% Construction 9.0% Transport 3,3% Services 4,0% Retail trading 5,3% Wholesale trading 18.6% Other 17.7% Hospitality 3.0% 2002 74% 70 Individuals 16.7% 2003 2004 Food industry 10.2% 2005 60 54 % 50 37 40 32 29 30 Agriculture 5.4% 14% 12% 9% 11% Share of Top 10 Borrowers 2005 60 Retail trading 4.1% Retail 80% 5% 6% 3% 5% Agriculture 7,5% SME 20 20 2003 2004 25 20 Services 12.7% Construction 11.6% 10 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2005 17 High Quality Loan Book Prudently Provisioned Ratios Allowance / Gross Loans % of Gross Loans 6% 5% NPL / Gross Loans 5,3% 4,7% 4,4% 4% 3,0% 3% 2,4% 2% 1% Net Write Offs 2,0% 2,5% 1,6% 1,1% 0,2% 0,6% 0,4% 0% 2002 2003 2004 2005 98.9% of loans are collateralised by cash, real estate, equipment, commercial goods, inventories, cash receivables and etc. Improved credit controls have reduced actual loan losses to a fraction of provision levels Regulations limit the bank’s “single borrower” risk exposure to: - 10% of equity for related parties - 25% of equity for other borrowers 18 Strong Deposit Base Growing in line with assets Deposits by Sector Deposit Growth Dynamics Corporates 900 871 77% 78% 76% 800 Retail 79% 78% 700 24% 23% 22% 22% 21% 600 529 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Top 10 Customer Deposits 400 311 80 300 71 70 55 60 203 200 43 50 134 % USD million 500 100 47 48 39 43 35 40 30 20 0 10 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 19 Balanced Maturity Profile Liquidity position further enhanced following the Eurobond offering Asset and Liability Breakdown by Maturity for 2005 1 000 Assets Liabilities 882 900 800 USD million 700 708 702 695 591 600 500 420 400 350 334 300 261 200 88 100 61 68 0 On demand < 1 month 1 - 3 month 3 - 12 month 1 - 5 years > 5 years 20 Adequate Capitalisation Capital Base Total Capital 350 16,9% Capital Adequacy Ratio 18% 15,6% 300 12,4% 13,6% USD million 250 14% 11,1% 12% 200 309 10% 8% 150 6% 100 146 50 34 44 4% 70 2% 0 Capital Adequacy (BIS) 16% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2001 2002 2003 2004 Tier 1 Capital (USD mn) 26 30 45 125 206 Total Capital (USD mn) 34 44 70 146 309 197 281 516 1,306 2,484 Tier 1 Capital Adequacy (%) 13.0 10.7 8.7 9.6 8.3 Total Capital Adequacy (%) 16.9 15.6 13.6 11.1 12.4 Total Risk Weighted Assets (USD mn) 2005 21 Funding Current capital transactions are laying basis for further asset growth Recent Developments Future plans USD 35mn Lower Tier 2 capital placed on the local market in January 2005 USD Tier 1 Eurobonds issue under RegS rule in June 2006 USD 200 mn Eurobonds issue under 144 A/Reg S rule in April 2005 Shareholders have agreed to increase Tier 1 capital by USD 150-200 mn in Q2 2006 USD 40mn Common and Preferred Shares fully subscribed among the existing shareholders in July 2005 USD 250mn Syndicated Loan in H2 2006 USD 100mn Subordinated Bonds placed in August 2005 (primarily for local pension funds) Negotiations to bring EBRD to minority stakeholder or Tier 2 capital are in progress USD 100-150mn Subordinated Debt to be placed in local market in H2 2006 USD 200 mn Eurobonds issue under Reg S rule placed in October 2005 USD 50mn of newly issued shares were placed and fully paid by existing shareholders in March 2006 USD 100 mn DPR Securitization program in April 2006 USD 350 mn Eurobonds issue under 144 A/Reg S rule in May 2006 22 4. Financial Performance 23 High Quality and Sustainable Earnings Momentum Net Bank Income Breakdown (Before Impairment) 100,0 21,7 90,0 Other Non Interest Income 80,0 Net Commision Income Net Interest Income USD million 70,0 12,6 60,0 20,5 14,4 50,0 7,9 40,0 9,5 30,0 20,0 7,8 62,3 4,5 7,1 50,2 31,1 5,5 10,0 12,3 19,3 0,0 2001 ROAA ROAE 2002 2003 2004 2005 2002 2003 2004 2005 2.1% 21.4% 1.9% 22.0% 1.8% 17.5% 1.6% 17.5% 24 Strong Focus on Operating Efficiency Net Interest Margin Cost / Income Ratio* In percent In percent 80,0 12,0 72,8 9,8 10,0 70,0 7,2 8,0 7,1 6,7 60,0 5,7 54,1 51,1 6,0 3,4 4,0 50,0 48,2 49,2 2004 2005 43,5 40,0 2,0 30,0 0,0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2000 2001 2002 2003 * Definition: Non-interest Expense / (Net Interest Income before Provisioning + Non-Interest Income) 25 ATF Highlights ATF is the 4th largest bank in Kazakhstan by assets (assets reached USD 2.7bn in 2005) Network of over 60 full branches and other servicing outlets, covering Kazakhstan, neighbouring Kyrgyzstan and Omsk region of Russia Balanced business focus: Corporate, SMEs and Retail Banking High and stable profitability over the last 10 years Rating of Ba1/ stable by Moody’s, B+/ stable by S&P and BB-/stable by Fitch Top quality management team with proven track record and international experience Strong gain in market share in 2003-2005 (reached 8% in 2005) 26