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Individualisation of HCV Therapy Achieving an SVR What is the evidence? Dr Allister J Grant Achieving an SVR The ability to achieve SVR is the result of two independent steps: 1. Achieving a virologic response a. Interferon/peginterferon dose b. The presence of ribavirin 2. Not relapsing a. How fast the patient becomes HCV RNA undetectable b. How long the patient remains on treatment c. Dose of ribavirin Wk 12 PCR “EVR” Rx duration Neg/2log drop 48 weeks Genotype 1,4-6 Pos Genotype 2,3 Stop 24 weeks 2004 Regimes Genotype 1, 4, 5 and 6 Drug Manufacturer Pegasys (pegylated interferon) Roche Copegus (ribavirin) Roche Viraferon (pegylated interferon) Schering Plough All Rebetol (ribavirin) Schering Plough < 65 kgs 65-85 kgs > 85 kgs Pegasys/Viraferon 2,3 Weight All < 75 kgs ≥75 kgs Dose 180mcgs/week 1000mg 1200mg 1.5 mcgs/kg/week 800mg/day 1000mg/day 1200mg/day As Above Copegus(ribavirin) Roche All Rebetol (ribavirin) Schering Plough As Above 800mg/day WIN-R trial Weight based Interferon and Ribavirin Trial AASLD 2005 • Ribavirin 800mg/d (FD) vs 800-1400mg/d • Community based US study • PEG IFN 2b • 4913 patients • G1 48wks • G2/3 randomised to 24/48 wks • G1 significant advantage in WBD of RBV • No advantage for G2/3 but….. WIN-R Trial • Analysis of SVR by weight 60 50 44% 39% 34% 42% 47% 40 SVR • More dose reductions • No more discontinuations 49% 45% 52% <65kg 65-85kg >85-105kg >105kg 30 20 10 0 Flat dose P<0.0001 WBD p=0.11 WIN–R Trial Sustained Virological Response Ribavirin mg/d All G1 G1 HVL G2,3 800-1400mg 44% 34% 32% 62% 800 mg FD 41% 29% 27% 60% P value 0.02 0.004 0.047 0.26 G2 had a higher SVR and lower relapse rate than those with G3 (72% vs. 60% and 6% vs.10% respectively). Investigators concluded that higher weight-based doses of ribavirin appear to be necessary to achieve similar SVR rates in G3 patients What is the clinical evidence to support the value of EVR as a predictor of SVR? EVR – Treatment Outcome (All Genotypes) PEG IFN alfa-2a 180 g + ribavirin 1,000–1,200 mg Start of study Week 12 EVR 86% (n=390/453) Total study population (n=453) No EVR 14% (n=63/453) Fried et al. NEJM 2002 Week 72 No SVR 35% (n=137/390) SVR 65% (n=253/390) SVR 3% (n=2/63) No SVR 97% (n=61/63) Overall SVR 56% (255/453) EVR – Treatment Outcome (All Genotypes) PEG IFN alfa-2b 1.5 g/kg + ribavirin 10.6 mg/kg Start of study Week 12 EVR 76% (n=143/188) Total study population (n=188) No EVR 24% (n=45/188) Davis G, et al. Hepatology 2003 Week 72 No SVR 20% (n=29/143) SVR 80% (n=114/143 SVR 0% (n=0/45) No SVR 100% (n=45/45) Overall SVR 61% (114/188) But what about the difficult-to-treat Genotype 1 patients? EVR – Week 12 in Genotype 1 (Patients HCV RNA negative and patients HCV RNA positive >2 Log at week 12) PEG-IFN α-2a 180 g + ribavirin 1,000-1,200 mg N=298 81% Achieved EVR N=240 19% No EVR N=58 58% Achieve SVR N=139 2% Achieve SVR N=1 PPV=58% NPV=98% Ferenci P et al. J Hepatol 2005;43(3):425-33. EVR – Week 12 in Genotype 1 (Patients HCV RNA Negative and patients HCV RNA positive >2 Log at week 12) PEG-IFN α-2a 180 g + ribavirin 1,000-1,200 mg N=569 84% Achieved EVR N=477 16% No EVR N=58 58% Achieve SVR N=264 NA% Achieve SVR N=NA PPV=58% NPV=NA Reddy K et al. DDW2005, Abstract # S1540 So are we able to push prediction back further? Treatment Of Chronic HCV Predicting SVR Over Time SVR (%) 100 PEG-IFN-2a + Ribavirin 91 80 66 60 45 40 20 The later a patient becomes HCV RNA 0 undetectable, regardless of EVR the lower the chance for SVR.12 4 2 24 Week Became HCV RNA (-) P Ferrenci et al. J Hepatology 2005; 43:425-33. HCV RNA + at week 24 Relapse Rate Relationship to First Time HCV RNA Negativity Week 4 Neg Week 12 Neg Week 24 Neg 100% Relapse % 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% IFN α-2b 24 wks IFN α-2b 48 wks PEG-IFN α-2b 1.5 48 wks IFN α-2b + riba 24 wks IFN α-2b + riba 48 wks Data on file Schering-Plough Corp. Adapted Poynard T. et al, Lancet 1998, McHutchison JG, NEJM, 1998, Lindsay K. et al, Hepatology 2001 RAPID VIROLOGIC RESPONSE 100 91 93 92 • Rapid virologic SVR (%) 80 60 • 40 20 0 PEG/RBV PEG P Ferrenci et al. J Hepatology 2005; 43:425-33. IFN/RVN response (RVR) defined as HCV RNA (-) by week 4 Occurs regardless of the interferon type or if ribavirin utilised or not RVR- Effect Of Genotype SVR (%) 100 91 91 89 1 2 3 80 60 40 20 0 GENOTYPE P Ferrenci et al. J Hepatology 2005; 43:425-33. ML Shiffman et al. EASL 2006. RVR- Frequency SVR (%) 100 80 70 63 60 40 20 15 0 1 2 GENOTYPE P Ferrenci et al. J Hepatology 2005; 43:425-33 ML Shiffman et al. EASL 2006. 3 Individualisation of Therapy According to HCV Genotype and Viral Load Zeuzem et al J.Hepatol 2006 Open multicentre, historical controlled trial to test whether HCV-1 patients with low viral load can be treated with 24 weeks therapy (PEG IFN 2b +Ribavirin 8001400mg/) 100 81% 74% 50% 71% 89% 85% 90 80 70 SVR(%) • 60 24wks 50 48 wks Manns et al 2001 40 • 30 724 patients screened and 235 enrolled 20 10 0 EOT SVR RVR Virologic response in patients with HCV-1 and HCV RNA < 600,000 IU/mL 90 Patients (%) 80 70 SVR Relapse 89% 80% 75% 60 50 40 30 50% 37% 20 25% 10 0 All patients Zeuzem et al., J Hepatol 2006 8% Week 4 (47%) 17% Week 12 (26%) Week 24/EOT (10%) Time to first negative HCV RNA PEG-IFN a-2b + RBV Shorter treatment in HCV-2 and HCV-3 ? Peginterferon alfa-2a 180 µg qw + Ribavirin 1000-1200 mg qd HCV-RNA N = 71 A < 600 IU/mL N = 153 600 IU/mL 0 4 8 N = 69 B N = 13 C 12 16 20 weeks 24 follow-up period 48 v. Wagner, Gastroenterology 2005 End-of-treatment (EOT) and sustained virologic response (SVR) - HCV genotypes 2 and 3 combined - Virologic response (%) SVR B vs C: P = 0.003 100% 94% 82% 80% EOT SVR 86% 81% 69% 60% 39% 40% 20% 67/71 58/71 59/69 56/69 Group A Group B 9/13 5/13 0% (16 weeks) (24 weeks) Group C (24 weeks) v. Wagner et al, Gastroenterology 2005 SHORTENING TREATMENT FOR G2-3 RAPID VIROLOGIC RESPONDERS % HCV RNA (-) 100 80 94 85 82 80 End-of-Treatment SVR Relapse 60 40 13 20 6 0 16 24 Weeks of Treatment M Von Wagner et al. Gastroenterology. 2005;129:522-527. Shortening therapy even in patients with RVR doubles the relapse rate Peginterferon alfa-2b 1.0 µg/kg+ Ribavirin 1000-1200 mg qd A N = 70 HCV-RNA - N = 133 B N = 80 C N = 213 + 0 4 8 12 weeks 16 20 24 follow-up period 48 Mangia et al, N Engl J Med 2005 Sustained virologic response (SVR) according to HCV genotype Rx: PEG-IFN alfa-2b 1.0 µg/kg + RBV 1000-1200 mg 100% SVR (%) 80% 87% 76% 76% 77% HCV-2 HCV-3 72% 60% 41% 40% 20% 40/53 13/17 89/102 24/31 42/58 9/22 Group A Group B Group C (24 weeks) (12 weeks) (24 weeks) 0% Mangia et al, N Engl J Med 2005 HCV Genotypes 2 & 3 ACCELERATE TRIAL N=1469 PEGASYS 180 mcg/wk Ribavirn 800 mg/d PEGASYS 180 mcg/wk Ribavirin 800 mg/day 0 4 12 Weeks ML Shiffman et al. EASL 2006. 16 24 48 HCV Genotypes 2 & 3 ACCELERATE TRIAL % OF PATIENTS 100 80 60 N=1469 94 92 * 68 65 76 65 16 Weeks 24 Weeks 40 30 20 * 18 0 Week 4 ML Shiffman et al. EASL 2006. EOT EOFu REL HCV Genotypes 2 & 3 Impact Of Rapid Response 100 SVR (%) 80 90 82 Rapid Virologic Response: 60 * 49 40 20 * 27 0 16 Weeks ML Shiffman et al. EASL 2006. 24 Weeks Yes No Viral load at baseline Wk 4 PCR Rx duration Neg/2log drop* 48 weeks Pos Pos Low Wk 12 PCR Neg Stop 24 weeks PPV 89% Genotype 1,4-6 High 48 weeks Neg PPV75-85% / 46-72% Pos Neg/2log drop* Pos Low Genotype 2,3 48 weeks Stop Pos 24G2(48G3) Neg 16G2/24G3 PPV 82-90% High Low= <600,000 IUml <3x106 cpm Neg 24 weeks Pos 24G2(48G3) * If 2 log drop then PCR at 24 weeks HCV Treatment in 2007 Genotype Drug Manufacturer Pegasys (pegylated interferon) Roche Copegus (ribavirin) Roche Viraferon (pegylated interferon) Schering Plough 1,3, 4 to 6 Rebetol (ribavirin) Pegasys/Viraferon Schering Plough Roche/Schering Plough Weight All < 65 kgs 65-85 kgs 85-105 kgs >105kg All < 65 kgs 65-85 kgs 85-105 kgs >105kg Dose 180mcgs/week 800mg/day 1000mg/day 1200mg/day 1400mg/day 1.5 mcgs/kg/week 800mg/day 1000mg/day 1200mg/day 1400mg/day As Above 2 Copegus/Rebetol(ribavirin) Roche/Schering Plough All 800mg/day SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATIONS Shorten duration of therapy for Genotype 1 LVL with RVR………………24 weeks instead of 48 Genotype 2 LVL with RVR………………16 weeks instead of 24 Consider lengthening duration of therapy for Genotype 3 who do not have RVR……..48 weeks instead of 24 Do PCR at 4 weeks for everyone If 4 week PCR negative then no need for further PCR till 24 weeks post Rx If 4 week PCR positive then do PCR at 12 weeks. If PCR positive at 12 weeks stop therapy If PCR shows 2 log drop at 12 weeks do PCR at 24 weeks EXTENDING TREATMENT DURATION HCV RNA (+) 48 weeks N=165 Pegasys 180 mg QW Ribavirin 800 mg/d N=162 72 weeks 0 4 Weeks JM Sanchez-Tapias et al. Gastroenterology 2006; 131: 451-460. 48 72 96 EXTENDING THERAPY % HCV RNA (-) 80 60 End-of-Treatment 61 SVR 52 40 45 Extending the duration of therapy reduced relapse from 47% to 13% 32 20 0 48 P=0.014 72 Weeks of Treatment JM Sanchez-Tapias et al. Gastroenterology 2006; 131: 451-460. G1 without RVR SVR 28%(48w) vs 44%(72w) Urgent Treatment Recommended For • Acute HCV • Stable compensated cirrhotics • HCV with cryoglobulinaemia/renal involvement • Occupation where HCV infection is hazardous