Transcript Slide 1
Gerdau S.A. Annual Citigroup Asia Pacific Fixed Income Investor Conference January 2006 1 Disclaimer Statements relative to business perspectives are based on current expectations of future events and trends that may affect our business. These estimates are subject to risk, uncertainties and suppositions and include, among other, overall economic, political and commercial environment, in Brazil and in the markets we are present in addition to government regulations, present and future. 2 Agenda Gerdau Group Overview Steel Industry Overview Gerdau’s Operating and Financial Highlights All data presented in US Dollar and in metric tons, except when indicated 3 Philosophy VISION TO BE A WORLD-CLASS INTERNATIONAL STEEL COMPANY MISSION Gerdau is an organization focused on the steel business with a mission to satisfy customers` needs and add value to shareholders, committed to the fulfillment of people and to the sustainable development of society 4 Investment Considerations A low cost international steel company with operations in Brazil, Uruguay, Canada, Chile, Argentina, Colombia and the United States Substantial international profile – foreign exchange generation through divisions abroad and export sales amount approximately 63% of consolidated revenues in 9M05 Ranked 12th globally by steel output in 2004 with an output of 13.4m tons (includes one joint venture) 2nd largest long steel producer in North America and largest long steel producer in the Americas Focused on the production of long steel products Gerdau operates 29 mills incorporating both integrated and mini mills with the latest technologies Relevant market share in every country with operations and diversified product range, with high value-added products Strong low cost strategy as a result of diversified production processes and multiple raw material sourcing Sound balance sheet (Net Debt/EBITDA 0.6x at Sep05) and strong cash generation Shares of Gerdau S.A. are currently traded at the São Paulo, New York and Madrid exchanges 5 An International Company Total Capacity (Includes Joint Ventures) 16.8 million tons of crude steel 13.9 million tons of rolled steel products Abroad Brazil 7.6 million tons of 9.2 million tons of crude steel crude steel 4.8 million tons of 9.1 million tons of rolled steel products rolled steel products Gerdau’s installed capacity will reach some 21 million tons of crude steel per year post completion of the Brazilian investment program in 2007 Steel mills (29) Downstream operations (21) Fab shops (49) Comercial Gerdau stores and Service centers (75) Scrap collection and processing units (24) Solid pig iron production units (2) Iron ore extraction areas (3) Private port terminals (2) Joint venture (1) 6 Solid Track Record In thousand tons THE NEW MILLENNIUM 16,830 Expansion abroad – reverse takeover of Co-Steel and acquisition of North Star Mills Acquisition of stake in Açominas – controller since 2002 Strategic alliance in Colombia Expansion into SBQ - Spain Potter Form Gate City & RJ North Star (USA) Cartersville DIACO Drawing (Colombia) Co-Steel (USA) 7,696 Ameristeel (USA) TOTAL INVESTED ABROAD (1981-2004): North America = US$ 1.3 billion + Debt South America = US$ 314 million + Debt Brazil – Crude Steel Installed Capacity Abroad – Crude Steel Installed Capacity 0 4 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 9 9 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 7 SIPAR (Arg.) 1 9 9 6 1 9 1 9 9 4 1 9 9 3 9 2 1 9 9 1 1 9 9 0 1 9 1 9 8 8 1 9 8 7 1 9 8 6 1 9 8 5 1 9 8 4 1 9 8 3 1 9 1 9 8 2 Laisa - 1980 (Uruguay) 8 9 Cambridge (Canada) 1 9 1,757 Manitoba (Canada) AZA (Chile) 9 5 3,072 AZA New Plant (Chile) Cartersville Mill Orrvile SIPSA Drawing (Argentina) (USA) 4,595 3,934 SACK (Chile) 14,450 7 Value Builder Company ATKearney Revenue Growth Growth portfolio (CAGR 1999-2003) benchmarked against industry average 30% Gerdau Outokumpu Acerinox 25% Usinas Salzgitter 20% 15% Industry average China Steel Baoshan1) INI Steel Nucor Rautaruukki Ipsco Tata US Steel Voest-Alpine Smorgon Boehler-Uddeholm SSAB Ispat JFE 10% 5% Arcelor Corus SAIL Harsco Thyssenkrupp Dofasco Nippon Steel Kobe 0% Carpenter -5% -10% -35% Iscor Nisshin Steel -25% Onesteel1) Wuhan Steel1) Kennametal RIVA1) Haynes CSN AK Steel Stelco Eregli DemirPosco Allegheny -15% -5% 5% Note: 1) RIVA 98 02, Wuhan Steel & Onesteel 00 03, Baoshan 01 03 Source: ThyssenKrupp (segment), Kobe (segment), RIVA, Haynes: EBIT Growth Industry average 15% 25% 35% 45% Value Growth 8 Agenda Gerdau Group Overview Steel Industry Overview Gerdau’s Operating and Financial Highlights 9 World Steel – Supply and Demand Finished Steel + 15.3% over 2005 In million tons 1,153 1,000 830 632 603 1985 690 698 655 641 1990 1995 Production Source: IISI / World Steel Dynamics 1,117 According to a WSD forecast for 2010, 97% of the world’s production will be consumed. 942 772 2000 2005F + 18.6% over 2005 2010F Apparent Consumption 10 Brazil and the Global Steel Industry Crude Steel Production – 2004 In million tons In million tons 272 Total World Production: 1,057 million tons China accounted 25.7% of the global steel production Brazil accounted 3.1% of the global steel production 113 99 65 48 Source: IISI 46 39 33 33 28 11 Among the Leaders Crude Steel – Output 2004 In million tons Mittal Steel (NET) 1 Arcelor (LUX) 2 58.9* 46.9 32.4 Nippon Steel (JAP) 3 JFE Steel (JAP) 4 Posco (KOR) 5 31.6 30.2 Shangai Baosteel (CHI) 6 21.4 20.8 US Steel (USA) 7 Corus Group (U.K.) 8 Nucor (USA) 9 17.9 ThyssenKrupp (GER) 10 17.6 Riva Group (ITA) 11 Gerdau Group (BRA) 12 Sumitomo (JAP) 13 19.0 16.7 13.4 13.0 Gerdau should have an installed capacity of approximately 21 million tons of crude steel per year after the investment program in Brazil is completed in 2007. * Includes ISG acquired by Mittal Steel in 2004. Source: IISI 12 Solid Market Share in Long Steel NORTH AMERICA BRAZIL Barra Mansa 5% Other 29% Gerdau 48% Imports 18% Commercial Metals 7% Other 12% Nucor 27% Gerdau Ameristeel 19% Belgo 35% COUNTRY MARKET SHARE MAIN COMPETITORS CHILE 53% CAP + Imports URUGUAY 90% Imports ARGENTINA 20% Acindar + Bragado + Zapla COLOMBIA 37% Acerias Paz Del Rio 13 Agenda Gerdau Group Overview Steel Industry Overview Gerdau’s Operating and Financial Highlights 14 Shipments US GAAP - In thousand tons BY REGION 11,453 * 9M05 Annualized 12,906 531 8,928 348 438 6,856 309 4,466 4,724 5,874 311 339 2,841 2,353 541 2,311 790 1,904 3,263 2,830 2,954 3,372 3,416 3,874 3,376 3,881 3,547 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005* 6,577 Billets, blooms & slabs 11,873 Merchant bars Brazil – Domestic Market South America Brazil – Exports North America Rebars Fabricated steel Heavy structural shapes Wire-rod Wires Nails 15 Strong Hard Currency Generation NET SALES - US GAAP In US$ millions Currency Breakdown – 9M05 Exports and Companies Abroad 63% Brazil 37% Historical Geographical Distribution 6,952 6,602 4,531 319 4,977 122 1,811 3,010 168 521 1,250 2,161 752 248 South America 2,963 North America 950 2,077 2,373 1,896 2,441 2003 2004 9M04 9M05 Brazil - Exports Brazil – Domestic Market 16 Strong Export Business Shipments by Region 2004 US$ 1.1 billion 2.7 million tons Asia 34% Europe 11% Africa 8% Central America 15% South America 17% North America 15% 9M2005 US$ 949.7 million 2.1 million tons Europe 11% Asia 44% Africa 8% Central America 12% North America 4% South America 21% 17 Costs and Prices 682 Cost of Sales All data in BR GAAP converted by R$ 2.2222/US$ 444 425 402 338 314 309 316 293 1Q032Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 Net Sales Revenue 707 Cost of Sales 655 558 583 689 674 606 557 729 633 685 509 494 392 630 461 407 565 0 516 374 397 376 731 510 579 487 723 368 351 418 367 637 417 586 425 288 331 502 549 422 637 718 North America (US GAAP) 510 820 699 755 546 Net Sales Revenue South America (BR GAAP) 733 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 Cost of sales 717 490 493 501 496 504 483 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 Net Sales 498 374 507 414 371 364 447 674 673 476 339 387 295 263 342 403 304 568 625 692 747 680 443 Brazil (BR GAAP) Group (US GAAP) 449 Net Sales Revenue and Cost of Sales In US$/ton 1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 Net Sales Cost of Sales 18 Capital Expenditures INVESTMENTS - 9M2005 In US$ millions BRAZIL 410.4 ABROAD 248.2 North America 114.4 South Amerca 133.8 TOTAL 658.6 Investment Program 2005 – 2007: US$ 3.2 billion EVOLUTION OF INSTALLED CAPACITY In thousand tons Rolled Steel Crude Steel + 28% 16,380 + 11% 9,730 + 55% 11,720 7,580 BraZil 12,970 8,240 8,800 2004 + 19% 21,450 4,730 2007 Abroad 2004 Brazil 15,490 + 8% 8,880 + 40% 6,610 2007 Abroad 19 Consolidated Financials US GAAP In US$ millions 2004 9M05 4,531 6,952 6,602 915 1,085 2,113 1,760 563 696 1,628 1,307 229 526 1,722 1,482 232 510 1,158 925 880 157 343 (34) 122 292 1,869 83 772 407 276 331 1,501 47 297 411 301 446 2002 2003 3,265 Income Statement Net revenue Gross profit Operating income Income before taxes Net income Free Cash Flow EBITDA (-) Net interest expenses (-) Capex (including acquisitions) (-) Taxes (-) Dividends Free cash flow 760 116 464 7 74 99 20 Consolidated Financials US GAAP In US$ millions September/05 2002 2003 2004 Current assets Non-current assets Fixed assets Total 1,524 2,476 2,085 4,000 1,760 3,011 2,304 4,771 3,323 3,529 2,790 6,852 4,946 4,311 3,525 9,257 Current liabilities Non-current liabilities Minority interest Shareholders’ equity Total 1,588 1,239 309 864 4,000 1,459 1,644 265 1,403 4,771 1,712 1,975 642 2,523 6,852 1,610 3,059 934 3,654 9,257 Total debt Cash and cash equivalents Net debt 2,100 423 1,667 2,086 331 1,755 2,298 659 1,639 3,190 2,080 1,110 24% 19% 2.4x 2.0x 5.6x 125% 56% 38% 30% 27% 1.2x 0.9x 22.5x 65% 39% 29% 27% 23% 1.6x 0.6x 30.6x 30% 23% 17% Balance Sheet Ratios Gross margin 28% EBITDA margin 23% Total debt / EBITDA 2.8x Net debt / EBITDA 2.2x EBITDA / Interest 6.6x Net debt / Shareholders’ equity 194% Net debt / Total capitalization 66% Short term debt / Total debt 53% 21 Consolidated Debt Profile US GAAP In US$ millions Sep./05 GROSS DEBT 3,190 100% SHORT TERM 543 17% Domestic Currency 76 2% Foreign Currency Companies Abroad 402 65 13% 2% LONG TERM 2,648 83% Domestic Currency 701 22% Foreign Currency Companies Abroad 1,239 708 39% 22% CASH & CASH AND EQUIV. 2,080 100% Domestic Currency Foreign Currency 1,825 255 61% 39% NET DEBT 1,110 * Includes exchange and monetary variation in the last 9 months DEBT STRUCTURE Foreign Currency 52% Companies Abroad 24% Domestic Currency 24% 22 Consolidated Debt Amortization US GAAP Debentures: 328.7 Bonds GNA: 398.9 Securitization: 24.4 Perpetual:589 In US$ millions – September/05 Securitization: 38.1 BNDES: 60.8 Debentures GNA: 93.3 Imports: 107.6 Pre-Export: 22 Securitization: 8 Securitization: 40.9 BNDES: 65 Imports: 61.6 Pre-Export: 112 Securitization:18 Securitization: 9 4Q 05 NOTES: Securitization: 41 Securitization: 44 378 274 1,527 190 167 1H 06 2H 06 310 205 2007 2008 2009 143 2010 AFTER 2010 a) US$ 328.7 million equivalent of local bonds maturing from 2011 to 2020 b) US$ 398.9 million GNA bonds maturing in July/2011 c) US$ 589.0 million Perpetual Bonds with no final maturity date 23 Gerdau S.A. www.gerdau.com.br [email protected] +55 51 3323 2703 24