Transcript Slide 1
1 Presentation Outline Map Modernization & Risk MAP Overview Risk MAP Early Demonstration Purpose Study Area Selection/Proposal Product Results and Findings Stakeholder Feedback Mapping Partner Recommendations Moving forward with Risk MAP 2 FEMA Map Modernization Program Map Mod brought NFIP mapping into 21st century Ran from 2003-2010 Transition from paper to digital format Significant advantages in capability and precision New digital SFHA’s for 92% of the population Encourage use of quality local data 3 FEMA Vision for Risk MAP FEMA Risk Mapping, Assessment, and Planning (MAP) Program Deliver quality flood data that increases public awareness Initiate mitigation measures to reduce risk and loss of life and property Transform traditional flood mapping to better integrate: – Identification – Assessment – Communication – Planning for – Mitigation of flood related risks Ensure 80% of the Nation’s flood hazards are current Update flood hazard data for 100% of the populated coastal areas in the Nation 4 Risk MAP Early Demonstration Purpose Early Demonstration Projects Validate Risk MAP products increase value to program vision Emphasize production efficiencies and innovations Update Guidance Ascertain product refinement Determine costs Stakeholder feedback Risk MAP Development 5 Early Demonstration Requirements Project study area funded prior to 2010, pre-appeal phase Strong Regional Support Efforts could not exceed $100k Good elevation data Completion by February 2011, lessons learned integrated prior to FY2011 Risk MAP 6 Early Demonstration Area Selection, Madison County, AL Madison County Project Effective 1998 FY2008/2009 funding Strong stakeholder relationship, OWR and AMEC Current ground surface data: LiDAR 2007 Area which will benefit from products, mitigation potential Existing county revision, several detailed studies Produce: Changes Since Last FIRM Flood Risk Probability Grids Depth Grids Flood Risk Report Flood Risk Map Two Stakeholder Meetings Enhanced: Annualized Loss Estimates Velocity Grids Areas of Mitigation Interest 7 Changes Since Last FIRM ESRI model builder tool developed Data stored in Flood Risk Database FRR shows summaries SFHAs affected Greatest level of effort: attributing factors contributing to the shape of the SFHA Population and buildings affected CSLF example: Bradford Creek, Madison, AL 8 Areas of Mitigation Interest Channel Improvements Significant proposed and recent development Urbanization Undersized culverts Floodplain pinch points 9 Areas of Mitigation Interest Flood Control Structures Risk “hot spot” areas Home buyouts Previous claims Locations of successful mitigation projects 10 Water Surface Elevation and Flood Depth Grid By products of floodplain mapping Mosaicing rasters can horizontally skew data Resampling model grids can reduce the magnitude of the skew Resulted in average horizontal skew of less than one foot Initial Raster Mosaicing 11 Velocity Grid Methodologies HEC-GeoRAS and RAS Mapper methodologies were considered HEC-GeoRAS - smoothest and most accurate velocity grid Floodplain polygons required inputs for velocity grid creation AFG chosen over HEC-GeoRAS Tiling Using AFG Floodplain Using Geo-RAS Floodplain 12 Velocity Grid Results Velocity grid example: confluence of Indian Creek Trib 1 and Indian Creek, Intersection of Slaughter Road and Interstate 565 Huntsville, AL, 100 yr event 13 (Linear) Percent Chance of Flooding Equations Ground Elevation (WSEL – Depth Grid) % Annual Chance (Log) 30 -Year Percent Chance log10 pannual upper log10 pannual lower WSEupper WSElower log10 pannual upper GroundElevation log10 pannual 1 - (1 - p)30 pannual 10 14 Percent Chance of Flooding Methodology Procedure derived based on FEMA guidance ESRI model builder tool created Grids were created for each of the selected flooding source intervals and mosaiced by county 15 Percent Annual Chance and Percent 30-Year Results Aldridge Creek, near Valley Hill Country Club area, Huntsville, AL 16 Flood Risk Assessment Flood Risk Assessment Products (10%, 4%, 2%, 1%, 0.2%, and annual chance) Area (Risk, Very Low to Very High) Classification (Residential, Commercial, Other) Population Average Value (buildings/census block) Total Loss Building Loss Content Loss 17 Result Discrepancies 18 Locally Supplied Building Data Building footprints First floor elevations Constructions materials Number of stories or height Year built/age/building quality Building value Content value Building type Latitude/Longitude Occupancy class 19 Flood Risk Assessment Results FEMA provided a Level 1 HAZUS risk assessment for each census block. Results were poor in quality. Classified all census blocks as residential in Madison County. Community stakeholders noted areas of high risk labeled as very low risk in HAZUS. Enhanced flood risk assessment not possible with current version of HAZUS, needs to be revised. Estimated Potential Losses for Flood Event Scenarios Total Inventory Percent of Estimated Value Total 10% (10-yr) 2% (50-yr) 1% (100-yr) 0.2% (500-yr) Annualized ($/yr) Dollar Losses Loss Ratio Dollar Losses Loss Ratio Dollar Losses Loss Ratio Dollar Losses Loss Ratio Dollar Losses Loss Ratio Residential Building/Contents $30,093,892,200 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Commercial Building/Contents $7,409,054,950 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Other Building/Contents $4,663,139,042 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Total Building/Contents $42,166,086,192 100% $396,750,000 1% $523,033,000 1% $579,867,000 1% $701,102,000 2% $47,067,000 <1% n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a $42,166,086,192 100% $396,750,000 1% $523,033,000 1% $579,867,000 1% $701,102,000 2% $47,067,000 <1% Business Disruption TOTAL 20 Watershed Flood Risk Report Provides a summary of all flood risk information in single source. 21 Flood Risk Map Countywide base data FEMA AAL Contributing Engineering Factors Areas of Mitigation Interest 22 Community Feedback - CSLF Integration • Easily incorporated Improvement • No large potential Community Benefit • Could help relate flood risk to public Concerns • Public could blame community leaders for changes 23 Community Feedback – Analysis Grids Integration • Not easily integrated into daily routines Improvement • No large potential Community Benefit • Help identify trouble areas Concerns • Unable to determine BFE’s in lieu of FIRMs 24 Community Feedback – Flood Risk Assessment Integration • Neutral Improvement • Community specific data incorporated Community Benefit • General information purposes only Concerns • Accuracy 25 Community Feedback – Areas of Mitigation Interest Integration • Areas already known by community Improvement • Dependent upon community participation Community Benefit • Minimal Concerns • Liability 26 Community Feedback – FRR/FRM Integration • General information purposes only Improvement • May be difficult to use in paper format Community Benefit • Not helpful Concerns • Funding towards more detailed studies 27 Mapping Partner Recommendations CSLF Flood Depth and Analysis Grids Flood Risk Assessment FRR/FRM • More detailed guidance • Start and end of flooding source effects procedure • Additional data field for inconsistent flooding source • Specified naming convention and cell sizes for all grid products • Guidance for mosaicing rasters • New version of HAZUS needed • Account for incomplete community datasets • Language and graphic recommendations • Map format recommendations 28 Revised FEMA Guidance, Appendix N & O CSLF Contributing engineering factor became a variable attributed with 12 possible fields Ex: New Terrain Data- If new terrain data was introduced and that new data caused the floodplain boundaries to change, the attribute would be “True” No procedure for start/end of flooding sources included. No new field for new flood source added 29 Revised FEMA Guidance, Appendix N & O Flood Depth Analysis Grids Defined naming convention and raster cell size (resolution) for all raster datasets =10 meters (32.808 feet). If higher resolution depth or analysis rasters are produced, Mapping Partners shall submit outside of the FRD. Section detailing combining depth grids at a confluence, acceptable depth difference (+/- 0.5 ft), engineering judgment applied when exceeds 30 Revised FEMA Guidance, Appendix N & O Flood Risk Assessment Guidance details MR4 version cannot calculate annualized loss but does include a HAZUS alternative loss calculation formula. Guidance does not address partial dataset information entered into the Comprehensive Data Management System (CDMS) but defers users to CDMS manual. MR5 available and new version of CDMS should be available soon AOMI’s Remains point feature Defines how to create AOMI Data including detailing the data mining process 31 Revised FEMA Guidance, Appendix N & O FRR Guidelines are not mandatory and some portions may be tailored by writer Template Tables may be edited based on available information Template text edited FRM Purpose of FRM is intended for facilitation purposes to involve communities Legend modified- specifies AOMIs Most recommendations followed 32 Moving Forward with Risk MAP Community FEMA Other Parties Mapping Partner 33 Mutually Beneficial Partnerships Develop a framework that collects information on the effectiveness of partnerships Ensure Risk MAP products from partnerships are complementary and not duplicative Collaborate with partners to improve understanding and encourage action Provide support to partners to include policies, procedures, guidelines, and training 34 Outreach and Communications Flood Insurance Policy Holders General Public Planners Engineers Surveyors Environmental Groups Realtors, Homebuilders Insurance Agents Lenders State and local representatives Other Federal Agencies 35 Outreach and Communications Reaching Stakeholders Conferences Media Relations Community Meetings Social Media Facebook Twitter Web Applications Phone apps Other 36 Presentation Conclusions Risk MAP Early Demonstration Project was successful Emphasized production efficiencies and innovations Presented product cost estimates Provided Stakeholder feedback Provided Mapping Partner feedback Aided in update to guidance 37