Transcript Slide 1
Emerging Ag & Natural Resources Issues from the College of Agriculture: Departments’ Perspective S.A. Shearer Biosystems and Agricultural Engineering Strategy 1 Improve the energy efficiency of Kentucky’s homes, buildings, industries, and transportation fleet Goal: Energy efficiency will offset at least 18 percent of Kentucky’s projected 2025 energy demand. Strategy 2 Increase Kentucky’s use of renewable energy Goal: By 2025, Kentucky’s renewable energy generation will triple to provide the equivalent of 1,000 megawatts of clean energy while continuing to produce safe, abundant and affordable food, feed and fiber. Strategy 3 Sustainably grow Kentucky’s production of biofuels Goal: By 2025, Kentucky will derive from biofuels 12 percent of its motor fuels demand, while continuing to produce safe, abundant and affordable food, feed and fiber. Strategies and Goals KDA Energy Efficiency Program 2008 Farm Bill Opportunities Governor’s Task Force on Biomass/Biofuels in KY Agenda GOAP has applied for funding from the ARRA of 2009 Applicants may be eligible for an additional 25% of project cost not to exceed $5,000 Only projects initiated after February 17, 2009 will be eligible Projects to be considered… ◦ Upgrades to all Applicable Farms ◦ Energy Efficient Building Components & Renewable Energy Projects ◦ Professional Fees and Training (i.e., Section 9007 Audits) ◦ Biomass Energy Crop Production ◦ Equipment and Infrastructure for On-Farm Energy Production KDA On-Farm Energy Efficiency and Production Program KDA Energy Efficiency Program 2008 Farm Bill Opportunities Governor’s Task Force on Biomass/Biofuels in KY Agenda Continues and expands funding for Federal agency procurement of biobased products, construction and development of advanced biofuel refineries, biomass research and development, and biodiesel education. New programs encourage renewable energy use by biorefineries, renewable energy systems and energy efficiency improvements, rural energy self sufficiency, development of next generation feedstocks, and use of forest and woody biomass for energy production. 2008 Farm Bill – Title IX Energy Section 9007 BCAP Program ADB funded KPF to study poultry house energy use and efficiency ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Increase production efficiency Reduce energy cost Evaluate cost-effectives of upgrades Develop educational workshops Broiler House Evaluation Program Assume 50% of producers upgrade houses and see same benefits of example Farm B. KY producers may be eligible for up to $3.4M in USDA Section 9007 funding! With upgrades KY producers may net up to $3.5M annually! Goal: Help KY producers upgrade houses over five years w/ 85 successful applications per year. USDA 9007 Potential Impact on Broiler Production KY farmers produced 152 M bu. of corn in 2008. Assuming 75% was stored on farm, with 80% of that being dried (5 points), KY farmers dried 91 M bu. Assuming there are 880 grain dryers in KY, 50% upgraded to reduce energy use by 40% (fuel use reduced from 0.20 to 0.12 gal LPG/bu). KY farmers may be able to save 3.6M gal LPG, or $7.2M per year by upgrading! Grain Dryer Upgrade Program Assume 50% of KY grain producers upgrade dryers (440 total) KY producers may be eligible for up to $3.4M in USDA Section 9007 funding! KY producers may net up to $7.2M annually (3.6M gal LPG)! Goal: Help KY producers upgrade dryers over five years w/ 85 successful applications per year. Impact to Grain Drying KDA Energy Efficiency Program 2008 Farm Bill Opportunities Governor’s Task Force on Biomass/Biofuels in KY Agenda White paper authored by Frank Moore (DEDI) Beshear’s Energy Plan – 7 Strategies 2006 FRS – KY uses 10% ethnol in 70% of gasoline Blend could go as high as 20% in next 13 years Without biofuel expansion, KY will import up to 90% of renewable fuel in 2022 A 20% federal mandated RPS will require KY to develop 2400 MW of renewable generating capacity Governor’s Task Force Governor’s plan call for 12% of transportation fuels to be renewable by 2025 – 90 MGY current leaving 700 MGY gap For biomass-based (non-food) fuel production we will need 10 MTY 2400 MW of renewable generating may require up to 16 MTY of biomass Can KY develop/support a 25 MTY biomass industry? Opportunity All biomass will be reported on a dry weight basis – corn at 47.3 lb/bu (not 56 lb/bu) dry matter. Some ag residue must be left on field to protect soil. Dry weight of plant is about equal to weight of grain. Biomass energy content - 7,500 Btu/lb; Coal 12,000 Btu/lb. Ground Rules Electricity generated using biomass is by direct combustion using conventional boilers: ◦ Boilers burn waste wood products ◦ Coal-fired power plants also add biomass to their coal-burning process (i.e., co-firing) to reduce the emissions Biomass can also be gasified prior to combustion: ◦ Gases generally burn cleaner and more efficiently ◦ Biomass can be used combined-cycle gas turbines (used in the latest natural gas power plants) ◦ Modular biomass gasification systems provide electricity for isolated communities Biopower vs. Biofuel Cellulosic ethanol is a biofuel produced from lignocellulose (structural material comprising much of the plant) ◦ Ethanol from lignocellulose has the advantage of abundant and diverse raw material ◦ Greater processing to make the sugar available to microorganisms for fermentation Pyrolysis is the basis of several methods that are being developed for producing fuel from biomass ◦ Bio-oil, resembling light crude oil,can be produced by hydrous pyrolysis from many kinds of feedstock Biopower vs. Biofuel Kentucky consumes 44 MTY of coal. Kentucky has a land area of 25.4 M acres. If we were to replace coal (12,000 Btu/lb) with biomass (7,500 Btu/lb), we would need to harvest 2.8 T/ac of biomass every year from every acre in Kentucky. Perspective Table 1. Available land resources (ac) on Kentucky farms1. 1 http://www.nass.usda.gov/Census/Create_Census_US.jsp Cropland Harvested Pastured Other Woodland Rangeland CRP Total West 2,899,629 734,671 493,870 1,101,705 471,144 348,264 6,049,284 Central 1,848,973 1,600,940 281,417 1,357,147 967,817 49,987 6,106,281 East 230,380 241,339 76,741 652,758 174,718 5,471 1,381,410 Total 4,978,983 2,576,950 852,031 3,111,610 1,613,678 403,724 13,536,975 Table 2. Potential forest resources (ac) in Kentucky1. 1 http://fiatools.fs.fed.us/fido/index.html- US Forest Service. 2Forest land not included in woodland category for farms. Federal State Local Private2 Sum West 186,112 71,999 13,116 1,426,166 1,697,392 Central 127,511 28,041 16,764 2,093,424 2,265,742 East 550,161 89,187 26,979 4,069,145 4,735,474 Sum 863,783 189,228 56,861 7,588,737 8,698,609 Scenario 1: Existing ag production harvested for energy biomass. Year Acres Corn 2009 1,130,000 146 - 3.90 Beans 2009 1,430,000 44 - 1.63 Small Grain 2008 460,000 71 - 0.85 Hay 2009 2,640,000 - 1.95 5.16 Total Yield (bu/ac) Yield (T/ac) MTY 11.54 Scenario 2: One-half of ag residues harvested for energy biomass. Corn Beans Small Grain Hay Year 2009 2009 2008 2009 Yield Acres (bu/ac) 1,130,000 146 1,430,000 44 Yield (T/ac) 1.73 - 460,000 2,640,000 Total 0.92 - 71 - MTY 1.95 0.42 2.37 Scenario 3: One-half of wood waste processed for energy biomass. Wood Waste Year Acres Yield (T/ac) MTY 2005 11,810,000 0.18 2.09 Scenario 4: 10% of hay, pasture and range land sown to switchgrass. Switchgrass Year Acres Yield (T/ac) MTY 2005 683,000 6.0 4.10 Scenario 5: 10% of hay, pasture and range land planted to miscanthus. Miscanthus Year Acres Yield (T/ac) MTY 2005 683,000 10.0 6.83 Scenario 6: 5% of forests and woodlands (farm) planted to dedicated woody biomass crops. Dedicated Woody Biomass Crops Year Acres Yield (T/ac/yr) MTY 2005 590,000 4.46 2.63 Scenario 6: 50% of reclaimed mine lands planted to dedicated woody biomass crops. Dedicated Woody Biomass Crops Year Acres Yield (T/ac/yr) MTY 2005 315,000 2.23 0.702 Scenario 1 (convert food to fuel) is not plausible. Scenarios 2, 3, 4 or 5, 6 and 7 are possible and will result in 11.9 MTY to 14.6 MTY of production per year. Can we reach 25 MTY? Will depend on the value of biomass and competing land use. KY does have the natural resources base! Production Potential Kentucky has: ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Excellent barge transportation – Ohio River Excellent rail – Coal Industry Well developed highway system New law - 10% weight variance Problem: ◦ Moving a low bulk and low energy density material Logistics Solution ◦ Must densify biomass to a minimum of 14 lb/ft3 to overload a tractor-trailer. ◦ Round bales are not dense enough to transport cost-effectively (7-8 lb/ft3) plus void space. ◦ Large rectangular bales are better (10-12 lb/ft3). ◦ Need a better solution…. Logistics For co-firing, utilities want biomass that: ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ handles like coal… stores like coal… burns like coal, and… costs about the same as coal. Logistics Questions?