BW chp 8 slides

Download Report

Transcript BW chp 8 slides

Chapter 8
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Chapter 8
Economic Integration,
Labour Markets and
Migration
2
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Why Labour Markets Matter
• Economic and Labour Market Integration encourages labour
market flexibility
• Social Protection results in labour market rigidities
• Labour migration is another form of integration
3
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Controversies Abound
• Economic logic sometimes clashes with social logic
• Effectiveness sometimes clashes with equity
• Solidarity clashes with individualism
• Acquired advantages under threat
4
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Plan
• Unemployment
• Economic integration and the Labour markets
• Migration
5
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Unemployment
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Supply and Demand of Labour
• Labour demand: employment by firms
• The cost of labour is the wage per hour plus contributions
• The benefit of hiring workers is the additional output they produce,
or the marginal productivity of labour
• Labour supply:
– offered by people in exchange for a wage
– Represented by an upwards sloping curve
7
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Labour Market Rigidities: the Simplest Interpretation
Flexible wages deliver “full
employment”
8
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Labour Market Rigidities: the Simplest
Interpretation
Rigid wages result
in unemployment
Flexible wages deliver “full
employment”
9
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Why wage rigidity?
• Labour markets are different from goods markets; paying
attention to social imperatives.
• Characteristics:
–
–
–
–
–
Collective wage bargaining
Negotiations at more or less regular intervals
Regulations such as minimum wage
Conditions of hiring and dismissal regulated
The issue of unemployment benefits
10
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
The Standard Response: Collective Negotiations
Real wage
Collective negotiations
lead to higher wages
Sc
S
Individual supply
w’
B

C

 A
w
D
L’
L
L”
Employment
11
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
The Standard Response: Collective Negotiations
Collective negotiations
lead to higher wages
Real wage and to unemployment
Sc
S
Individual supply
w’
B

C

 A
w
D
L’
L
L”
Employment
12
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Economic Integration
and Labour Markets
A two-way relationship
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Effects of economic integration on the labour
markets
• More competition on the goods market means that labour
costs are a strategic issue
• Goods market integration indirectly leads to labour market
integration
• It also calls for faster reaction to shocks: flexibility is at a
premium
14
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Effects of the labour markets on economic
integration
• Economic integration creates winners and losers
• Willingness to undertake economic integration depends on the
winners readiness to compensate the losers
• This calls for safety nets that make labour markets more rigid
and less able to face competition
15
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
The case of social dumping
Median Wages and productivity in 2008
(Germany = 100)
Weekly pay in euros
Index: Germany = 100
Bulgaria
48
6
Croatia
205
26
Czech Republic
204
26
Estonia
150
19
Hungary
152
19
Latvia
97
12
Lithuania
107
14
Poland
197
25
Romania
89
11
Slovakia
120
15
Slovenia
235
30
Country
Source: FedEE, Pay in Europe, February 2008
16
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Migration
Facts and Theory
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Immigration: Facts
18
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Migration: The Simplest Framework
Initial situation
19
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Migration: The Simplest Framework
Post-migration
situation
20
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Migration: The Simplest Framework
Loss of
home workers
21
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Migration: The Simplest Framework
Gain of home
capital-owners
22
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Migration: The Simplest Framework
Loss of foreign
capital-owners
23
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Migration: The Simplest Framework
Gain of
foreign-workers
staying abroad
24
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Migration: The Simplest Framework
Gain of migrant
workers
Gain of
foreign-workers
staying abroad
25
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Migration: The Simplest Framework
Home gains
Foreign gains
26
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Complementarity vs Substitution
• Consideration: unskilled workers complements to skilled workers
and capital
– Complementarity of migrants and native factors of production
provides a win-win situation
• Empirical findings inconclusive:
– 1% rise in supply of migrant labour changes native wages by +/-1%
– Increase or decrease of risk to unemployment, depending on type of
workers, or no link
27
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Immigration and skills
28
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition
Barriers to mobility
• Labour mobility in the EU as fundamental freedom of movement
• Low mobility within European Union
• Barriers to mobility:
–
–
–
–
–
Restrictions for new EU members’ nationals mobility
Differing Pensions systems
Unemployment benefits
Regulated professions
Language, housing, health systems, etc.
29
© Baldwin&Wyplosz 2009 The Economics of European Integration, 3rd Edition