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Modeling Seagrass Community Change Using Remote Sensing Marc Slattery & Greg Easson University of Mississippi Seagrass Worldwide- one of the most important marine ecosystems: Communities • critical nursery habitat for many coastal & pelagic species • economic resource- fisheries, tourism & biodiversity • feeding grounds for ecologically-important species • baffles for wave energy and coastal erosion • vital refuge for threatened species Seagrass NotBiology all seagrasses are created equal… Environmental Factors Controlling Seagrass Biomass/Abundance Manatee-grass: Syringodium filiforme nutrientsH2O column light salinity epiphytes temperature nutrientssediment Turtle-grass: Thalassia testidinum species relevant to Grand Bay NERR… Shoal-grass: Halodule wrightii July March Widgeon-grass: Ruppia maritima December August seagrass growing season Modeling Seagrass Problem: management of seagrass communities Communities requires management of seagrass populations [=productivity]… P. Fong & M. Harwell, 1994. Modeling seagrass communities in tropical and subtropical bays and estuaries: a mathematical synthesis of current hypotheses. Bulletin of Marine Science 54:757-781. • Biomassseagrass[t+1] = Biomassseagrass[t] + Productivityseagrass - Lossseagrass [Loss f (senescence)] Productivityseagrass = Pmaxseagrass (Salinityseagrass x Temperatureseagrass x Lightseagrass x nutrientsseagrass) [productivity assc w/ salinity] [productivity assc w/ temperature] [productivity assc w/ light] [productivity assc w/ nutrients] Goals of this Project: 1. Assess the capability of remote sensing platforms to provide data relevant to the Fong & Harwell model of seagrass community productivity. 2. Compare data from remote sensing platforms with data collected on the ground to determine which approach provides a better prediction of seagrass community productivity. Considerations: 1. Halodule & Ruppia have similar broad/high tolerances to salinity [McMillan & Moseley 1967; Murphy et al 2003]: exceeds the extremes of GBNERR- disregarded… 2. Halodule & Ruppia have similar high tolerances to nutrient levels [Thursby 1984; Pulich 1989]- since water column nutrient levels are limiting, and epiphytes rely on these, this value impacts seagrasses more… Satellite-based data Experimental Design Fall ‘07 Resource monitoring data Spring ‘08 Ruppia Biomass temporal sampling Light [MODIS- daily] Temperature [MODIS- daily] Nutrients (proxy: Chla) [MODIS- daily] Halodule Ground-based data Biomasst+1 = Biomasst + Productivity - Loss [rearrange and solve for loss using satellite-based and ground-based parameters of productivity…] Light [Onset- continuous; & standardized to IL1700] Temperature [Onset- continuous] Nutrients [Hach- monthly] Fall ‘07 Spring ‘08 temporal sampling statistics on the two data sets… Grand Bay NERR Seagrass Ecosystem Middle Bay Grand Bay Jose Bay Pont Aux Chenes In Situ Data 30 0.04 ANOVA: significant time effect, site effect ANOVA: significant time effect, site effect Temperature (C) 0.02 0.01 0.00 Nitrate (mg/L) 1.25 09/07 10/07 11/07 12/07 01/08 02/08 20 15 0.8 0.75 0.6 0.50 0.4 instrumentation error 0.2 0.00 0.0 10/07 11/07 12/07 01/08 02/08 09/07 03/08 10/07 11/07 12/07 01/08 02/08 03/08 500 1.0 1.00 0.25 10 03/08 ANOVA: significant site effect 09/07 25 nd Phosphate (mg/L) nd Corrected Light (uE/m 2/sec) Chla (ug/ml) 0.03 ANOVA: significant time effect, site effect 100 50 10 5 09/07 10/07 11/07 12/07 01/08 02/08 03/08 Remote Sensing Data 30 0.04 Temperature (C) Chla (ug/ml) 0.03 0.02 0.01 nd 0.00 09/07 20 15 nd 10/07 11/07 12/07 01/08 02/08 10 03/08 09/07 from In situ studies- 10/07 11/07 12/07 01/08 02/08 03/08 Phosphate [PO4]: Y=0.135-0.213*X Corrected Light (uE/m 2/sec) 500 Nitrate [NO3]: Y=0.255+7.557*X nutrient 25 100 50 10 5 Chla 09/07 10/07 11/07 12/07 01/08 02/08 03/08 Comparative Statistics In situ model 5 Remote model 0 theoretical values Relative Seagrass Productivity Productivityseagrass = Pmaxseagrass (Temperatureseagrass x Lightseagrass x nutrientsseagrass) + species 2… -5 -10 -15 09/07 10/07 11/07 12/07 01/08 02/08 03/08 Date Remote-sensing model yields positive seagrass productivity during the growing season!!! Paired t-test: t-value = -1.261 P = 0.2541 1. Conclusion Remote sensingsplatforms can be used, with some considerations, to populate parameters of the Fong & Harwell model of seagrass community productivity. 2. In situ data provided finer scale resolution of real world conditions; but temporal logistics may offset some of this benefit. 3. Cooperative work between satellite-based and ground-based data acquisition teams appears to offer the greatest opportunities for seagrass resource managers. Future Plans Assess the Fong & Harwell model in St. Joseph’s Bay, FL system is dominated by Thalassia & Syringodium… Acknowledgement s Anne Boettcher, USA Cole Easson, UM Brenna Ehmen, USA Deb Gochfeld, UM Justin Janaskie, UM Dorota Kutrzeba, UM Chris May, GBNERR Scotty Polston, UM Jim Weston, UM NASA Grant #: NNS06AA65D