Transcript Slide 1

Global Burden of Disease

PHE contribution to GBD project Project Lead: Adrian Davis, Head of Population Health Science, PHE Senior Data Lead: Jürgen Schmidt, CKO Senior Analyst: Andrew Hughes, KIT SE

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GBD – what is it?

most comprehensive effort to date to measure epidemiological levels and trends around the world (187 countries to date)…

 Run by Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)  Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation  Publication for UK recently - change from 1990 to 2010

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Outputs

The results are presented in terms of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), a time-based measure that combines years of life lost due to premature mortality (YLLs) and years lived with a disability (YLDs), metrics that were specifically developed to assess the burden of disease.

One DALY can be thought of as one lost year of "healthy" life.

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Burden of disease attributable to 20 leading risk factors, 2010

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Role of PHE

Work programme 2013 – 2016 2013 objectives:  Update of data to GBD project – mortality, covariates  Regional break-down of outputs (recommendation from GBD)   Gain understanding of IHME models Lancet paper(s) (regional outputs and 2012 UK update) By 2016:  Establish an overall population health model for England, using GBD / IHME methodology.