Transcript Launch Event - FNR Foresight

FNR Foresight Exercise
Exploratory Workshop
CM International
19th May 2006
80, rue Galliéni – 92773 Boulogne-Billancourt cedex – Tél : 01 47 12 53 00 – www.cm-intl.com
Outline
 Key findings to date
 Research landscape overview
 Main international trends analysis
 Assessment of priorities
 Introduction to the parallel sessions
 Strategy options
 Attractiveness - feasibility matrix
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Key findings to date
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Significant uplift in public R&D funds since 2000
60
Public Funds to Public R&D, 1990-2005, million euro
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
P ublic re se a rc h wit hout FNR
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
FNR
Source: R. Kerger, Luxembourg's Research Landscape, Paper presented at the CREST meeting. Mondorf-les- Bains, 23 May 2005
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2004
2005
A complex system of funding sources and actors
0,5M€
Private Research (ESA)
International coop
5,4M€
3,3M€
Research/training grants
14,5M€
44M€
Ministry of Health
5,3M€
Ministry of Education
Interministerial
Coordination
Committee for
Research and
Technological
Development
FNR
Ministry of Culture,
Higher Education
and Research
Ministry of the
Interior and spatial
planning
Ministry of Public
administration
University of Luxembourg
CEPS/INSTEAD
CRP Gabriel Lipman
1,7M€
31,6M€
CRP Henri Tudor
1,6M€
CRP Santé / Nal Health Labo
0,5M€
0,2M€
2M€
7M€
0,07M€
Ministry of State
Ministry of Economy
and Foreign Trade
0,6M€
Museum Natural History
Robert Schuman Centre
CVCE
0,2M€
ECGS
1M€
17,5M€
Ministry of Middle
class, Tourism &
Housing
E-Luxembourg
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Centre Hospitalier
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Private Research
A comprehensive range of public research supports
Direct financial measures
Financial support via Titre I of the 1987 Law (CRP Henri Tudor, CRP Gabriel Lipmann, CRP Santé, University, CVCE)
Thematic direct support
Financial support via Titre 2 of the 1987 Law (CRP Henri Tudor, CRP Gabriel Lipmann, CRP Santé, CEPS/INSTEAD)
Incentive non thematic measures
International mobility of researcher
R&D Incentive Scheme
Research and development incentive scheme of the Ministry of
Small and Medium-sized Businesses, Tourism and Housing
Research and learning grant (BFR)
Preparation of EU research projects
Financial contribution to the national plan in the field of
aeronautics and space
Innovation loans
Financial contribution to researchers mobility
Incentive thematic measures
SECOM
NANO
EAU
BIOSAN
ESA participation
PROVIE
TRASU
SECAL
VIVRE
INTER
Supporting measures
Science festival
Active participation of novice researchers in scientific conf.
CEDIES (Centre of documentation and Higher Education Info)
Cluster programme (Surfmat, InfoCom, Aerospace)
E-Luxembourg
MA1: Various measures for promoting R&D
MA2: Active participation of novice researchers in conferences
MA3:Organisation of scientific conferences in Luxembourg
MA4: Scientific publications
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MA5:Preparation of EU projects
MA6: Mobility of researchers
MA7: Training in research project management
SF: Science Festival
Organisation of international scientific conferences in Lux
Inter-ministerial coordination Committee for RTD
Technology Watch Centre (CVT)
Short Term Patent*
Technology and science parks – Incubators
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Top issues raised in the online questionnaire
Strategy development:
 “Luxembourg needs to commit to a national R&D policy: public
and private stakeholders have to be integrated and committed
to the same overall targets; national cooperation at all levels is
important for the overall success of R&D activities.”
Criteria for selection of R&D fields:
 “I think Luxembourg should not try to win any 'Nobel Prizes' by
doing research in novel and 'hip' areas, but should focus on
essential research which will help the country's welfare and
economy in the short and long run.”
Research system parameters:
 “The focus is in my feeling too much on applied research.
Applied research of tomorrow was always and will always be
the fundamental research of today. So fundamental research
has to be made to assure a future applied research.”
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Top issues…continued
Research culture:
 “Encourage exposure to international research community by
facilitating international collaborative projects. Encourage (national)
visibility of the research activities in the different projects (FNR has a
role as an information dissemination platform).”
Funding process:
 “Continuously monitor scientific quality and productivity. Best way is
via peer review (including site visits) by outside experts. Regularly
demand accountability from researchers and administrators to ensure
that public funds are well spent. Support what works, abolish what
doesn’t.”
Human resource development:
 “It is important to create a critical mass of experienced researchers
and infrastructure in Luxembourg to attract scientists from abroad.”
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Rationale for priorities
 Most countries are prioritising research domains in their public
research strategies
 Growing use of foresight as a mechanism to achieve this
prioritisation
 Strong and often competing evidence needs to be assessed
when undertaking prioritisation
You are here today to consider this evidence and contribute
towards prioritising public research funding in Luxembourg
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What type of research priority?
Thematic field
Research area
Research
domain
Research axis
Environmental
sciences
Global change and Water
ecosystem
management
Drinking water
Biomedical
sciences
Diseases
Cardiovascular
diseases
Metabolism
and
the Cv system
ICT
Infrastructure
Telecoms
Physical sciences Knowledge based Housing and civil Energy
efficient
and engineering
multifunctional
engineering
buildings
materials
Social &
sciences
human Economy,
policies,
institutional
framework
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Economy
finance
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and Dynamics
financial
creation
of
wealth
Trends at the international level : 54 emerging domains
Competition level
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11
High competition
Medium competition
Social Sciences
and Hum anties
7
Low competition
Environm ental
Sciences
Physical Sciences
and Engineering
Bio-Medical
Sciences
Inform ation
Com m unication
Technologies
15
10
 Identified from:
 Foresight projects conducted by the European Commission
 Research priorities identified from 12 comparator countries
 FNR 2005 call for proposals
 Senior researcher interviews in Luxembourg & online questionnaire survey
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How is a domain assessed?
 Attractiveness:




Societal need
Economic need
Emerging trend
Sustainable development need
 Feasibility:
 Scientific base
 Economic base
 Regional partners
 Competition intensity:
 Extent to which the research domain is being prioritised by other
countries.
 Note, this particular point requires careful consideration, as it is
complicated by the fact that for Luxembourg to reap benefit of prioritising
a research domain its scientists will also need to be part of a wider
community of scientists where knowledge exchange is important.
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Trends at the international level : 54 emerging domains
1
3
7
Competition level
6
2
3
High competition
Medium competition
Low competition
Social Sciences
and Hum anties
3
2
2
Environm ental
Sciences
Physical Sciences
and Engineering
Bio-Medical
Sciences
2
Inform ation
Com m unication
Technologies
3
7
5
0
8
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A fiche example
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A focus on the domain analysis table
Analysis
Engineering
Priority level (out of 283 respondents)
28/283
Expertise level (average out of 5)
3.26
Attractiveness score (sum of averages)
13.81
Attractiveness level
HIGH

Attractiveness consensus
Societal need
2.78
Economic need
4.11
Emerging trend
3.37
Sustainable development need
3.56
Feasibility score (sum of averages)
9.38
Feasibility level
HIGH

Feasibility consensus
Scientific base
2.85
Economic need
3.35
Regional partners
3.19
Competition level
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VERY HIGH
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Attractiveness – Feasibility Matrix : ‘Clustering’
VERY HIGH
feasibility
HIGH
MEDIUM
MEDIUM
HIGH
VERY HIGH
Attractiveness
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4 Types of Domains

Very high attractiveness and
high feasibility (3)

High attractiveness and high
feasibility
/
Very
high
attractiveness and medium
feasibility (30)

High
attractiveness
and
medium feasibility / medium
attractiveness
and
high
feasibility (20)

Medium attractiveness
medium feasibility (1)
Type 1
Type 2
Type 3
Type 4
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and
Top 10 Research priorities identified
Priority
Level %
Domain
Rank
Water management
29%
1st
Natural environment management
20%
2nd
Nanosciences and nanotechnologies
17%
3rd
Earth Observation
16%
4th
Bio Energies
16%
5th
School, work, qualifications
16%
6th
Biotechnologies
16%
7th
Materials and novel properties
16%
8th
Infectious diseases and immunity
15%
9th
21st century challenges and life-style related diseases
15%
10th
Source: online questionnaire results
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4 common domains amongst top domains selected by
public & private sector
Private sector respondents only
Public sector respondents only
Water management

1st
Materials and novel properties

1st
Natural environment management

2nd
Water management

2nd
School, work, qualifications

3rd
Nanosciences and nanotechnologies

3rd
Biotechnologies

4th
Engineering

3rd
Bio Energies

5th
Natural environment management

4th
Infectious diseases and immunity

5th
Sustainable production and products

5th
Sustainable transports and logistics

6th
21st century challenges and life-style
related diseases

5th
Earth Observation

7th
Earth Observation

6th
Language diversity and linguistic competences

7th
Nanosciences and nanotechnologies

7th
Social integration and social exclusion

8th
Biodiversity, conservation and GMOs

7th
Telecommunications

8th
Health and Environment

7th
Culture, history, identity

8th
Photovoltaic solar energy

7th
Demography, childhood, youth and intergenerational relations

8th
Source: online questionnaire results
Note: coloured circles refer to competition level from other countries – e.g. red = high, amber = medium, and green = low
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Variable competition level for the 54 domains
Competition level
Low
T1
Typology
T2
T3
Medium
High
 School, work, qualifications
 Welfare state
 21st century challenges and life-stylerelated diseases
 Cardiovascular diseases
 Agriculture
 Multimedia
 Software
 Modelling and simulation technology
 Business and information technology
 Demography
 Language diversity and competencies
 Social integration and exclusion
 Cognition and learning
 Management, business studies & innovation
 Water management
 Oncology
 Biochemistry and cell biology
 Food and human nutrition
 Materials with novel properties
 Economy and finance
 Ecotechnologies
 Bioenergies
 Hydrogen as a fuel source
 Natural environment management
 Climatology
 Telecommunication
 Interactive computing technologies
 Nanotechnologies
 Engineering
 Business opportunities from space
 Culture, history, identity
 Biodiversity, conservation and GMOs
 Health and the environment
 Technologies for health
 Housing, civil and urban engineering
 Photovoltaic solar energy
 Neurosciences, neurological and
mental diseases
 Rare diseases, handicaps, regenerative
medicine
 Biotechnologies
 Sustainable production and products
 Sustainable transports and logistics
 Implants, transplants and organ regeneration
 Substance use and addictions
 Animal sciences
 Computational science and engineering
 Miniaturising electronics
Artificial intelligence
 Supramolecular functional materials
 Industrial design technology
 Earth observation
T4
 Intensive grid calculation and calculation grid
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Source: online questionnaire results
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Key emerging issues
 The Luxembourg research landscape has evolved at a rapid
rate
 Stakeholders agree that now is the time to introduce a greater
strategic focus to public research funding
 Prioritisation of research domains is needed but is difficult
 There is a need to match views from a diverse range of
stakeholders (public and private sectors)
 There are many research domain ‘niches’ where competition
appears to be lower – although this issue needs to be treated
carefully when prioritising
 The results suggest some emerging domains with strong
assessments
 They also indicate some pessimism regarding feasibility of
many domains – more than half the domains are of ‘medium
feasibility’
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Strategy option 1: Build critical mass to develop the
business base
 Move away from specialisation in the context of the
knowledge economy
 Develop research activities that have a clear potential for
strengthening existing and developing new economic clusters in
the medium to long term
 Focused strategy with priority research domains selected
because of their business development potential
 Economic attractiveness is a key ‘assessment’ issue and
feasible domains are obviously preferable
 Highly attractive and currently less feasible domains will also be
considered as future success may well depend on developing
entirely new specialisms in Luxembourg in both the scientific and
economic domain.
 80% of the budget will be focused on the priorities, 20% of
the budget for other innovative research projects outside
the domain priorities
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Strategy option 2: Scientific excellence strategy
 Develop high level research activities
 Which have the greatest potential to firmly establish Luxembourg on the
international science map and ensure the country partakes in groundbreaking new developments
 With the capacity to transform this knowledge into innovation
 Focused strategy with priority domains selected because of their
scientific potential
 Domains assessed as highly attractive with high scientific potential should
be selected - also taking into account what the expected long-term
economic impact of these domains is likely to be.
 Two or three domains only will be selected. Complementary domains that
would have a positive impact on the development of these few priorities
will also be selected
 The major share of the budget (80%) will be focused on the
priorities with the remaining (20%) devoted to other scientifically
excellent research projects outside the domain priorities
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Strategy option 3: Differentiation strategy
 Focus resources
competition
on
domains
with
relatively
low
 Luxembourg’s relative resources are too limited to compete in any
significant way in most domains.
 The research strategy will build on Luxembourg’s
particular strengths and competencies in current, potential
and emerging sectors
 Domains with both scientific and economic potential are selected
 Domains assessed as having good attractiveness and
feasibility assessment will be preferred
 In particular, feasible or strategically important domains are
preferable - such as domains that have either a scientific base,
economic base or regional partners, or have been identified in
national policy statements as priorities
 All budget should be devoted to these priorities
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Strategy option 4: Sustain diversity in Luxembourg
 Diversity is an opportunity to spread risk and avoid
choosing a focused approach too soon.
 Managing a larger portfolio of research domains will provide the
opportunity to counterbalance potential failures in some domains
with success stories in others. Over time this will guide the way to
the development of a few clusters with a positive socio-economic
impact
 The key issue is to select priorities among domains with
both scientific and economic potential
 Research teams are invited to select one or two domain
priorities and even specific research axes in order to
nevertheless concentrate their efforts and achieve critical
mass
 Budget will need to be spread, and should support
international collaboration and in particular to use the
Grande Region potential
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Strategy option 5: Research for sustainability
 Focus research activities on the development of methods,
technologies, and practices that are required to shift
behaviours and consumption patterns in a sustainable
direction
 A mix of domains with combined business potential as well
as an environmental and social impact will be selected
 Higher levels of convergence (the NBIC convergence:
Nano, Bio, Info, Cogno) offer the greatest potential to
substantially advance human capabilities and societal
functions towards sustainable development
 FNR’s role is to use programme development to strike a
balance between research aiming at scientific excellence in
NBIC interfaces and the continued development of
technological capacity and knowledge resources of
Luxembourg research teams for the benefit of the business
community
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Thank you
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