Launch Event - FNR Foresight
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Transcript Launch Event - FNR Foresight
FNR Foresight Exercise
Exploratory Workshop
CM International
19th May 2006
80, rue Galliéni – 92773 Boulogne-Billancourt cedex – Tél : 01 47 12 53 00 – www.cm-intl.com
Outline
Key findings to date
Research landscape overview
Main international trends analysis
Assessment of priorities
Introduction to the parallel sessions
Strategy options
Attractiveness - feasibility matrix
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Key findings to date
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Significant uplift in public R&D funds since 2000
60
Public Funds to Public R&D, 1990-2005, million euro
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
P ublic re se a rc h wit hout FNR
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
FNR
Source: R. Kerger, Luxembourg's Research Landscape, Paper presented at the CREST meeting. Mondorf-les- Bains, 23 May 2005
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2004
2005
A complex system of funding sources and actors
0,5M€
Private Research (ESA)
International coop
5,4M€
3,3M€
Research/training grants
14,5M€
44M€
Ministry of Health
5,3M€
Ministry of Education
Interministerial
Coordination
Committee for
Research and
Technological
Development
FNR
Ministry of Culture,
Higher Education
and Research
Ministry of the
Interior and spatial
planning
Ministry of Public
administration
University of Luxembourg
CEPS/INSTEAD
CRP Gabriel Lipman
1,7M€
31,6M€
CRP Henri Tudor
1,6M€
CRP Santé / Nal Health Labo
0,5M€
0,2M€
2M€
7M€
0,07M€
Ministry of State
Ministry of Economy
and Foreign Trade
0,6M€
Museum Natural History
Robert Schuman Centre
CVCE
0,2M€
ECGS
1M€
17,5M€
Ministry of Middle
class, Tourism &
Housing
E-Luxembourg
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Centre Hospitalier
5
Private Research
A comprehensive range of public research supports
Direct financial measures
Financial support via Titre I of the 1987 Law (CRP Henri Tudor, CRP Gabriel Lipmann, CRP Santé, University, CVCE)
Thematic direct support
Financial support via Titre 2 of the 1987 Law (CRP Henri Tudor, CRP Gabriel Lipmann, CRP Santé, CEPS/INSTEAD)
Incentive non thematic measures
International mobility of researcher
R&D Incentive Scheme
Research and development incentive scheme of the Ministry of
Small and Medium-sized Businesses, Tourism and Housing
Research and learning grant (BFR)
Preparation of EU research projects
Financial contribution to the national plan in the field of
aeronautics and space
Innovation loans
Financial contribution to researchers mobility
Incentive thematic measures
SECOM
NANO
EAU
BIOSAN
ESA participation
PROVIE
TRASU
SECAL
VIVRE
INTER
Supporting measures
Science festival
Active participation of novice researchers in scientific conf.
CEDIES (Centre of documentation and Higher Education Info)
Cluster programme (Surfmat, InfoCom, Aerospace)
E-Luxembourg
MA1: Various measures for promoting R&D
MA2: Active participation of novice researchers in conferences
MA3:Organisation of scientific conferences in Luxembourg
MA4: Scientific publications
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MA5:Preparation of EU projects
MA6: Mobility of researchers
MA7: Training in research project management
SF: Science Festival
Organisation of international scientific conferences in Lux
Inter-ministerial coordination Committee for RTD
Technology Watch Centre (CVT)
Short Term Patent*
Technology and science parks – Incubators
6
Top issues raised in the online questionnaire
Strategy development:
“Luxembourg needs to commit to a national R&D policy: public
and private stakeholders have to be integrated and committed
to the same overall targets; national cooperation at all levels is
important for the overall success of R&D activities.”
Criteria for selection of R&D fields:
“I think Luxembourg should not try to win any 'Nobel Prizes' by
doing research in novel and 'hip' areas, but should focus on
essential research which will help the country's welfare and
economy in the short and long run.”
Research system parameters:
“The focus is in my feeling too much on applied research.
Applied research of tomorrow was always and will always be
the fundamental research of today. So fundamental research
has to be made to assure a future applied research.”
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Top issues…continued
Research culture:
“Encourage exposure to international research community by
facilitating international collaborative projects. Encourage (national)
visibility of the research activities in the different projects (FNR has a
role as an information dissemination platform).”
Funding process:
“Continuously monitor scientific quality and productivity. Best way is
via peer review (including site visits) by outside experts. Regularly
demand accountability from researchers and administrators to ensure
that public funds are well spent. Support what works, abolish what
doesn’t.”
Human resource development:
“It is important to create a critical mass of experienced researchers
and infrastructure in Luxembourg to attract scientists from abroad.”
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Rationale for priorities
Most countries are prioritising research domains in their public
research strategies
Growing use of foresight as a mechanism to achieve this
prioritisation
Strong and often competing evidence needs to be assessed
when undertaking prioritisation
You are here today to consider this evidence and contribute
towards prioritising public research funding in Luxembourg
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What type of research priority?
Thematic field
Research area
Research
domain
Research axis
Environmental
sciences
Global change and Water
ecosystem
management
Drinking water
Biomedical
sciences
Diseases
Cardiovascular
diseases
Metabolism
and
the Cv system
ICT
Infrastructure
Telecoms
Physical sciences Knowledge based Housing and civil Energy
efficient
and engineering
multifunctional
engineering
buildings
materials
Social &
sciences
human Economy,
policies,
institutional
framework
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Economy
finance
10
and Dynamics
financial
creation
of
wealth
Trends at the international level : 54 emerging domains
Competition level
11
11
High competition
Medium competition
Social Sciences
and Hum anties
7
Low competition
Environm ental
Sciences
Physical Sciences
and Engineering
Bio-Medical
Sciences
Inform ation
Com m unication
Technologies
15
10
Identified from:
Foresight projects conducted by the European Commission
Research priorities identified from 12 comparator countries
FNR 2005 call for proposals
Senior researcher interviews in Luxembourg & online questionnaire survey
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How is a domain assessed?
Attractiveness:
Societal need
Economic need
Emerging trend
Sustainable development need
Feasibility:
Scientific base
Economic base
Regional partners
Competition intensity:
Extent to which the research domain is being prioritised by other
countries.
Note, this particular point requires careful consideration, as it is
complicated by the fact that for Luxembourg to reap benefit of prioritising
a research domain its scientists will also need to be part of a wider
community of scientists where knowledge exchange is important.
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Trends at the international level : 54 emerging domains
1
3
7
Competition level
6
2
3
High competition
Medium competition
Low competition
Social Sciences
and Hum anties
3
2
2
Environm ental
Sciences
Physical Sciences
and Engineering
Bio-Medical
Sciences
2
Inform ation
Com m unication
Technologies
3
7
5
0
8
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A fiche example
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A focus on the domain analysis table
Analysis
Engineering
Priority level (out of 283 respondents)
28/283
Expertise level (average out of 5)
3.26
Attractiveness score (sum of averages)
13.81
Attractiveness level
HIGH
Attractiveness consensus
Societal need
2.78
Economic need
4.11
Emerging trend
3.37
Sustainable development need
3.56
Feasibility score (sum of averages)
9.38
Feasibility level
HIGH
Feasibility consensus
Scientific base
2.85
Economic need
3.35
Regional partners
3.19
Competition level
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VERY HIGH
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Attractiveness – Feasibility Matrix : ‘Clustering’
VERY HIGH
feasibility
HIGH
MEDIUM
MEDIUM
HIGH
VERY HIGH
Attractiveness
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4 Types of Domains
Very high attractiveness and
high feasibility (3)
High attractiveness and high
feasibility
/
Very
high
attractiveness and medium
feasibility (30)
High
attractiveness
and
medium feasibility / medium
attractiveness
and
high
feasibility (20)
Medium attractiveness
medium feasibility (1)
Type 1
Type 2
Type 3
Type 4
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and
Top 10 Research priorities identified
Priority
Level %
Domain
Rank
Water management
29%
1st
Natural environment management
20%
2nd
Nanosciences and nanotechnologies
17%
3rd
Earth Observation
16%
4th
Bio Energies
16%
5th
School, work, qualifications
16%
6th
Biotechnologies
16%
7th
Materials and novel properties
16%
8th
Infectious diseases and immunity
15%
9th
21st century challenges and life-style related diseases
15%
10th
Source: online questionnaire results
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4 common domains amongst top domains selected by
public & private sector
Private sector respondents only
Public sector respondents only
Water management
1st
Materials and novel properties
1st
Natural environment management
2nd
Water management
2nd
School, work, qualifications
3rd
Nanosciences and nanotechnologies
3rd
Biotechnologies
4th
Engineering
3rd
Bio Energies
5th
Natural environment management
4th
Infectious diseases and immunity
5th
Sustainable production and products
5th
Sustainable transports and logistics
6th
21st century challenges and life-style
related diseases
5th
Earth Observation
7th
Earth Observation
6th
Language diversity and linguistic competences
7th
Nanosciences and nanotechnologies
7th
Social integration and social exclusion
8th
Biodiversity, conservation and GMOs
7th
Telecommunications
8th
Health and Environment
7th
Culture, history, identity
8th
Photovoltaic solar energy
7th
Demography, childhood, youth and intergenerational relations
8th
Source: online questionnaire results
Note: coloured circles refer to competition level from other countries – e.g. red = high, amber = medium, and green = low
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Variable competition level for the 54 domains
Competition level
Low
T1
Typology
T2
T3
Medium
High
School, work, qualifications
Welfare state
21st century challenges and life-stylerelated diseases
Cardiovascular diseases
Agriculture
Multimedia
Software
Modelling and simulation technology
Business and information technology
Demography
Language diversity and competencies
Social integration and exclusion
Cognition and learning
Management, business studies & innovation
Water management
Oncology
Biochemistry and cell biology
Food and human nutrition
Materials with novel properties
Economy and finance
Ecotechnologies
Bioenergies
Hydrogen as a fuel source
Natural environment management
Climatology
Telecommunication
Interactive computing technologies
Nanotechnologies
Engineering
Business opportunities from space
Culture, history, identity
Biodiversity, conservation and GMOs
Health and the environment
Technologies for health
Housing, civil and urban engineering
Photovoltaic solar energy
Neurosciences, neurological and
mental diseases
Rare diseases, handicaps, regenerative
medicine
Biotechnologies
Sustainable production and products
Sustainable transports and logistics
Implants, transplants and organ regeneration
Substance use and addictions
Animal sciences
Computational science and engineering
Miniaturising electronics
Artificial intelligence
Supramolecular functional materials
Industrial design technology
Earth observation
T4
Intensive grid calculation and calculation grid
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Source: online questionnaire results
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Key emerging issues
The Luxembourg research landscape has evolved at a rapid
rate
Stakeholders agree that now is the time to introduce a greater
strategic focus to public research funding
Prioritisation of research domains is needed but is difficult
There is a need to match views from a diverse range of
stakeholders (public and private sectors)
There are many research domain ‘niches’ where competition
appears to be lower – although this issue needs to be treated
carefully when prioritising
The results suggest some emerging domains with strong
assessments
They also indicate some pessimism regarding feasibility of
many domains – more than half the domains are of ‘medium
feasibility’
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Strategy option 1: Build critical mass to develop the
business base
Move away from specialisation in the context of the
knowledge economy
Develop research activities that have a clear potential for
strengthening existing and developing new economic clusters in
the medium to long term
Focused strategy with priority research domains selected
because of their business development potential
Economic attractiveness is a key ‘assessment’ issue and
feasible domains are obviously preferable
Highly attractive and currently less feasible domains will also be
considered as future success may well depend on developing
entirely new specialisms in Luxembourg in both the scientific and
economic domain.
80% of the budget will be focused on the priorities, 20% of
the budget for other innovative research projects outside
the domain priorities
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Strategy option 2: Scientific excellence strategy
Develop high level research activities
Which have the greatest potential to firmly establish Luxembourg on the
international science map and ensure the country partakes in groundbreaking new developments
With the capacity to transform this knowledge into innovation
Focused strategy with priority domains selected because of their
scientific potential
Domains assessed as highly attractive with high scientific potential should
be selected - also taking into account what the expected long-term
economic impact of these domains is likely to be.
Two or three domains only will be selected. Complementary domains that
would have a positive impact on the development of these few priorities
will also be selected
The major share of the budget (80%) will be focused on the
priorities with the remaining (20%) devoted to other scientifically
excellent research projects outside the domain priorities
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Strategy option 3: Differentiation strategy
Focus resources
competition
on
domains
with
relatively
low
Luxembourg’s relative resources are too limited to compete in any
significant way in most domains.
The research strategy will build on Luxembourg’s
particular strengths and competencies in current, potential
and emerging sectors
Domains with both scientific and economic potential are selected
Domains assessed as having good attractiveness and
feasibility assessment will be preferred
In particular, feasible or strategically important domains are
preferable - such as domains that have either a scientific base,
economic base or regional partners, or have been identified in
national policy statements as priorities
All budget should be devoted to these priorities
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Strategy option 4: Sustain diversity in Luxembourg
Diversity is an opportunity to spread risk and avoid
choosing a focused approach too soon.
Managing a larger portfolio of research domains will provide the
opportunity to counterbalance potential failures in some domains
with success stories in others. Over time this will guide the way to
the development of a few clusters with a positive socio-economic
impact
The key issue is to select priorities among domains with
both scientific and economic potential
Research teams are invited to select one or two domain
priorities and even specific research axes in order to
nevertheless concentrate their efforts and achieve critical
mass
Budget will need to be spread, and should support
international collaboration and in particular to use the
Grande Region potential
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Strategy option 5: Research for sustainability
Focus research activities on the development of methods,
technologies, and practices that are required to shift
behaviours and consumption patterns in a sustainable
direction
A mix of domains with combined business potential as well
as an environmental and social impact will be selected
Higher levels of convergence (the NBIC convergence:
Nano, Bio, Info, Cogno) offer the greatest potential to
substantially advance human capabilities and societal
functions towards sustainable development
FNR’s role is to use programme development to strike a
balance between research aiming at scientific excellence in
NBIC interfaces and the continued development of
technological capacity and knowledge resources of
Luxembourg research teams for the benefit of the business
community
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Thank you
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